Sam Almy
@sfalmy.bsky.social
Democratic politcal strategist who also tracks early ballots. Numbers are approximate. @Uplift Campaigns
Reposted by Sam Almy
NOW Pentagon says it's investigating Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly over video aimed at service members.
November 24, 2025 at 5:27 PM
NOW Pentagon says it's investigating Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly over video aimed at service members.
Reposted by Sam Almy
Holy shit finally an Op-Ed that Gets It
November 11, 2025 at 10:07 PM
Holy shit finally an Op-Ed that Gets It
Reposted by Sam Almy
Dick Cheney shot his friend in the face the right way.
by Ezra Klein
by Ezra Klein
November 4, 2025 at 2:39 PM
Dick Cheney shot his friend in the face the right way.
by Ezra Klein
by Ezra Klein
Reposted by Sam Almy
UPDATED: @adelitaforcongress.bsky.social, @azagmayes.bsky.social sue House over failure of Speaker Johnson to swear her in, claim he has no choice since she was elected. Grijalva says big problem right now is inability to help constituents. tucson.com/news/local/g...
October 22, 2025 at 1:05 AM
UPDATED: @adelitaforcongress.bsky.social, @azagmayes.bsky.social sue House over failure of Speaker Johnson to swear her in, claim he has no choice since she was elected. Grijalva says big problem right now is inability to help constituents. tucson.com/news/local/g...
My friends know I have a very particular set of skills.
October 22, 2025 at 12:07 AM
My friends know I have a very particular set of skills.
Reposted by Sam Almy
AZ AG Mayes said she will sue Speaker Johnson if doesn’t swear in Grijalva in the next 2 days. “We will likely, if this doesn't get resolved very quickly, be seeking a declaratory action from a federal judge and trying to get her sworn in,” she said.
www.kjzz.org/politics/202...
www.kjzz.org/politics/202...
Congresswoman-elect Grijalva's win is certified. Mayes threatens litigation if she's not sworn in
Arizona leaders certified Congresswoman-elect Adelita Grijalva's win Tuesday and demanded she be sworn in. Southern Arizona voters elected Grijalva in a special election on Sept. 23, but she still has...
www.kjzz.org
October 15, 2025 at 1:16 AM
AZ AG Mayes said she will sue Speaker Johnson if doesn’t swear in Grijalva in the next 2 days. “We will likely, if this doesn't get resolved very quickly, be seeking a declaratory action from a federal judge and trying to get her sworn in,” she said.
www.kjzz.org/politics/202...
www.kjzz.org/politics/202...
On my first attempt my princess cake got stuck in the bowl. Glad i tried a different method the 2nd time
October 4, 2025 at 3:15 PM
On my first attempt my princess cake got stuck in the bowl. Glad i tried a different method the 2nd time
Saw takes about Adelita's win in AZ-07 way outperformed both Harris and Raul in 2024. This is supposed to be a signal that voters are swinging back towards the dems?
Comparing a presidential election to a special is silly
But if Dems can increase their vote share 14% in 2026, hello blue wave 🌊
Comparing a presidential election to a special is silly
But if Dems can increase their vote share 14% in 2026, hello blue wave 🌊
September 25, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Saw takes about Adelita's win in AZ-07 way outperformed both Harris and Raul in 2024. This is supposed to be a signal that voters are swinging back towards the dems?
Comparing a presidential election to a special is silly
But if Dems can increase their vote share 14% in 2026, hello blue wave 🌊
Comparing a presidential election to a special is silly
But if Dems can increase their vote share 14% in 2026, hello blue wave 🌊
Arizona has ~1,700 voting precincts. Since 2012, 176 have shifted left 3x in presidential elections. 66 have shifted right 3x.
I'm calling these Triple Trending precincts
Triple Right precincts tend to have a higher share of Latino voters
The precincts still vote Democratic, but a rate than 2012
I'm calling these Triple Trending precincts
Triple Right precincts tend to have a higher share of Latino voters
The precincts still vote Democratic, but a rate than 2012
September 22, 2025 at 6:11 PM
Arizona has ~1,700 voting precincts. Since 2012, 176 have shifted left 3x in presidential elections. 66 have shifted right 3x.
I'm calling these Triple Trending precincts
Triple Right precincts tend to have a higher share of Latino voters
The precincts still vote Democratic, but a rate than 2012
I'm calling these Triple Trending precincts
Triple Right precincts tend to have a higher share of Latino voters
The precincts still vote Democratic, but a rate than 2012
Zoom, Google Meets, Microsoft Teams, and WebEx are all the same software.
But somehow Teams is always the worst.
But somehow Teams is always the worst.
September 12, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Zoom, Google Meets, Microsoft Teams, and WebEx are all the same software.
But somehow Teams is always the worst.
But somehow Teams is always the worst.
Reposted by Sam Almy
There is no strict Constitutional prohibition against spitting on another player so it's hard to see why Jalen Carter was ejected from the game.
by Jonathan Turley
by Jonathan Turley
September 5, 2025 at 1:41 AM
There is no strict Constitutional prohibition against spitting on another player so it's hard to see why Jalen Carter was ejected from the game.
by Jonathan Turley
by Jonathan Turley
Reposted by Sam Almy
State Election Director Lisa Marra and Maricopa County Director of Election Services and Early Voting Rey Valenzuela were inducted into the Election Officials’ Hall of Fame at the 40th Annual National Conference in Salt Lake City, Utah.
Election Center photos by Karl Dukstein
Election Center photos by Karl Dukstein
September 3, 2025 at 12:05 AM
State Election Director Lisa Marra and Maricopa County Director of Election Services and Early Voting Rey Valenzuela were inducted into the Election Officials’ Hall of Fame at the 40th Annual National Conference in Salt Lake City, Utah.
Election Center photos by Karl Dukstein
Election Center photos by Karl Dukstein
Oh you went for a run 100 days straight? That’s nice, I did the Wordle instead.
August 25, 2025 at 7:00 PM
Oh you went for a run 100 days straight? That’s nice, I did the Wordle instead.
Oh, it wasn’t a for a geology lesson? 🤷♂️
😳 The latest SHOCKING ESA voucher purchases with your taxpayer dollars!
Full story ➡️ www.12news.com/article/news...
Full story ➡️ www.12news.com/article/news...
August 19, 2025 at 2:36 AM
Oh, it wasn’t a for a geology lesson? 🤷♂️
*Hank Hill Voice
I don’t want a password for milk. I want hot water for tea!
I don’t want a password for milk. I want hot water for tea!
August 5, 2025 at 3:39 PM
*Hank Hill Voice
I don’t want a password for milk. I want hot water for tea!
I don’t want a password for milk. I want hot water for tea!
If you’re not donating directly to a candidate or local political party, it’s probably a scam.
The annoying spam texts destroying the Democratic brand:
$678M raised through those spam tactics
$282M to one consulting firm: Mothership Strategies.
$11M to actual campaigns (1.6%)
The party isn’t just treating donors like marks—it’s being fleeced itself yet continues to back Mothership.
$678M raised through those spam tactics
$282M to one consulting firm: Mothership Strategies.
$11M to actual campaigns (1.6%)
The party isn’t just treating donors like marks—it’s being fleeced itself yet continues to back Mothership.
The Mothership Vortex: An Investigation Into the Firm at the Heart of the Democratic Spam Machine
How a single consulting firm extracted $282 million from a network of spam PACs while delivering just $11 million to actual campaigns.
open.substack.com
August 3, 2025 at 9:31 PM
If you’re not donating directly to a candidate or local political party, it’s probably a scam.
Imagine if No Labels could even get organized enough to gather the minimum number of signatures to simply appear on a primary ballot.
A write-in candidate running for office in Congressional District 7 won the No Labels Party primary election with just one vote, making him the first candidate from the party to appear on a general election ballot in Arizona.
www.kjzz.org/politics/202...
www.kjzz.org/politics/202...
Write-in candidate wins No Labels primary election with just 1 vote
A write-in candidate running for office in Congressional District 7 won the No Labels Party primary election with just one vote, making him the first candidate from the party to appear on a general el...
www.kjzz.org
August 1, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Imagine if No Labels could even get organized enough to gather the minimum number of signatures to simply appear on a primary ballot.
Looking a little more at AZ-07, @dejafoxx.bsky.social unsurprisingly did well among younger voters.
Generally speaking, precincts with a higher share of under 35 voters also saw a higher share of Foxx vote %.
Her best* performance in Pima county was in and around the U of A precincts.
Generally speaking, precincts with a higher share of under 35 voters also saw a higher share of Foxx vote %.
Her best* performance in Pima county was in and around the U of A precincts.
August 1, 2025 at 6:49 PM
Looking a little more at AZ-07, @dejafoxx.bsky.social unsurprisingly did well among younger voters.
Generally speaking, precincts with a higher share of under 35 voters also saw a higher share of Foxx vote %.
Her best* performance in Pima county was in and around the U of A precincts.
Generally speaking, precincts with a higher share of under 35 voters also saw a higher share of Foxx vote %.
Her best* performance in Pima county was in and around the U of A precincts.
Reposted by Sam Almy
FWIW in AZ-07
Foxx won 32% of the poll vote vs 20% of the early vote. Election day voters often skew younger.
Adelita won 56% of poll voters vs 62% of early voters.
Foxx won 32% of the poll vote vs 20% of the early vote. Election day voters often skew younger.
Adelita won 56% of poll voters vs 62% of early voters.
July 16, 2025 at 4:54 PM
FWIW in AZ-07
Foxx won 32% of the poll vote vs 20% of the early vote. Election day voters often skew younger.
Adelita won 56% of poll voters vs 62% of early voters.
Foxx won 32% of the poll vote vs 20% of the early vote. Election day voters often skew younger.
Adelita won 56% of poll voters vs 62% of early voters.
This article didn't age well
BUT
I hope this isn't Deja's last run for office. AZ needs candidates like her. AZ-07 has an outsider progressive candidate. AZ-01 could use some new energy...
BUT
I hope this isn't Deja's last run for office. AZ needs candidates like her. AZ-07 has an outsider progressive candidate. AZ-01 could use some new energy...
Deja Foxx, a 25-year-old political influencer, has a real shot at winning tonight's Arizona primary to replace the late Rep. Raúl Grijalva.
She's one of the first professional content creators to run for Congress — but she won’t be the last.
Read more: ow.ly/Ek9850Wq2FP
(📷 Arizona Daily Star)
She's one of the first professional content creators to run for Congress — but she won’t be the last.
Read more: ow.ly/Ek9850Wq2FP
(📷 Arizona Daily Star)
July 16, 2025 at 3:29 AM
This article didn't age well
BUT
I hope this isn't Deja's last run for office. AZ needs candidates like her. AZ-07 has an outsider progressive candidate. AZ-01 could use some new energy...
BUT
I hope this isn't Deja's last run for office. AZ needs candidates like her. AZ-07 has an outsider progressive candidate. AZ-01 could use some new energy...
The semi-annual tradition of F5 at results.arizona.vote has begun
Arizona Election Results
results.arizona.vote
July 16, 2025 at 3:00 AM
The semi-annual tradition of F5 at results.arizona.vote has begun
AZ-07 7/15 Election Day Update
64k total returns in the district, just under 50k on the Democratic side. I'd estimate this ~85% of all ballots cast in the race.
65+ voters make up 53% of returns, down 2% from 7/11. Voters 20-54 increased their vote share 24.8% to 26.2% since 7/11
64k total returns in the district, just under 50k on the Democratic side. I'd estimate this ~85% of all ballots cast in the race.
65+ voters make up 53% of returns, down 2% from 7/11. Voters 20-54 increased their vote share 24.8% to 26.2% since 7/11
July 15, 2025 at 6:56 PM
AZ-07 7/15 Election Day Update
64k total returns in the district, just under 50k on the Democratic side. I'd estimate this ~85% of all ballots cast in the race.
65+ voters make up 53% of returns, down 2% from 7/11. Voters 20-54 increased their vote share 24.8% to 26.2% since 7/11
64k total returns in the district, just under 50k on the Democratic side. I'd estimate this ~85% of all ballots cast in the race.
65+ voters make up 53% of returns, down 2% from 7/11. Voters 20-54 increased their vote share 24.8% to 26.2% since 7/11
AZ-07 Update 7/14
Posting some data from Friday. Yuma and Santa Cruz counties had nice backfills with data (they report weekly).
Dem turnout is now over 25%. Pima County turnout is at 31.4% Maricopa turnout is surprisingly low considering daily updates.
Posting some data from Friday. Yuma and Santa Cruz counties had nice backfills with data (they report weekly).
Dem turnout is now over 25%. Pima County turnout is at 31.4% Maricopa turnout is surprisingly low considering daily updates.
July 14, 2025 at 6:15 PM
AZ-07 Update 7/14
Posting some data from Friday. Yuma and Santa Cruz counties had nice backfills with data (they report weekly).
Dem turnout is now over 25%. Pima County turnout is at 31.4% Maricopa turnout is surprisingly low considering daily updates.
Posting some data from Friday. Yuma and Santa Cruz counties had nice backfills with data (they report weekly).
Dem turnout is now over 25%. Pima County turnout is at 31.4% Maricopa turnout is surprisingly low considering daily updates.
And Tucson has another election happening now? What a fun time to in the early ballot business
July 11, 2025 at 11:53 PM
And Tucson has another election happening now? What a fun time to in the early ballot business