Sara Estep (she/her)
@saraestep.bsky.social
Economist @ CAP; opinions my own
Pinned
Just a reminder on what would have been the 52nd anniversary of #Roe that we have less rights than our mothers and grandmothers, and low income women will be forced to give birth as a result of long travel times.
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
First Jobs Day since the shutdown, and @saraestep.bsky.social and I are here with the latest analysis of today's data and how job seekers are struggling in Trump's economy. ⬇️
www.americanprogress.org/article/in-a...
www.americanprogress.org/article/in-a...
In a Stagnating Job Market, Job Seekers Are Struggling To Find Opportunities
Delayed September 2025 jobs data release reveals the hardships of finding a job in Trump’s economy, especially for people of color.
www.americanprogress.org
November 20, 2025 at 3:59 PM
First Jobs Day since the shutdown, and @saraestep.bsky.social and I are here with the latest analysis of today's data and how job seekers are struggling in Trump's economy. ⬇️
www.americanprogress.org/article/in-a...
www.americanprogress.org/article/in-a...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
The federal statistical agencies (FSAs) that produce the gold standard economic data employers/investors/job seekers/workers/policymakers rely on to assess the health of the U.S. economy face unprecedented threats.
We've pulled next-best data from non-FSA sources to help keep an eye on things. 1/
We've pulled next-best data from non-FSA sources to help keep an eye on things. 1/
Data accountability dashboard
Federal statistical agencies (FSAs) produce the gold standard economic data that employers, investors, job seekers, workers, and policymakers rely on to assess the health of the U.S. economy. Today, F...
www.epi.org
November 18, 2025 at 3:19 PM
The federal statistical agencies (FSAs) that produce the gold standard economic data employers/investors/job seekers/workers/policymakers rely on to assess the health of the U.S. economy face unprecedented threats.
We've pulled next-best data from non-FSA sources to help keep an eye on things. 1/
We've pulled next-best data from non-FSA sources to help keep an eye on things. 1/
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
Today is #NativeWomensEqualPayDay. For every $1 earned by a non-Hispanic white man, Native women earn just 58¢. This devastating wage gap fuels hardship & insecurity. #IndigenousWomen deserve #EqualPay & #EconomicJustice.
November 18, 2025 at 7:00 PM
Today is #NativeWomensEqualPayDay. For every $1 earned by a non-Hispanic white man, Native women earn just 58¢. This devastating wage gap fuels hardship & insecurity. #IndigenousWomen deserve #EqualPay & #EconomicJustice.
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
While everyone is still digesting how it feels to not see a Sept jobs report until late November, remember this feeling the next time folks complain about monthly revisions and suggest publishing data with a 2 or 3 month lag.
November 18, 2025 at 12:04 AM
While everyone is still digesting how it feels to not see a Sept jobs report until late November, remember this feeling the next time folks complain about monthly revisions and suggest publishing data with a 2 or 3 month lag.
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
November 17, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
THIS is the way to welcome federal workers back after a shutdown — with appreciation, clarity, and respect for the essential work they do.
Read the full message from the Friends of BLS to BLS staff here:
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
Read the full message from the Friends of BLS to BLS staff here:
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
To the BLS Staff from the Leadership of the Friends of BLS — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Welcome back. On behalf of the Friends of BLS, we extend our deepest appreciation to each of you for your work this year. As you return from the recent government shutdown, we want to express this gra...
www.friendsofbls.org
November 17, 2025 at 11:59 AM
THIS is the way to welcome federal workers back after a shutdown — with appreciation, clarity, and respect for the essential work they do.
Read the full message from the Friends of BLS to BLS staff here:
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
Read the full message from the Friends of BLS to BLS staff here:
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
New @americanprogress.bsky.social I find that 4.4 million small business owners and self-employed people face a $1,500 mean tax hike this year.
When enhanced marketplace tax credits expire, businesspeople making <$150k, face a larger tax hike than eliminating the passthru deduction
When enhanced marketplace tax credits expire, businesspeople making <$150k, face a larger tax hike than eliminating the passthru deduction
October 28, 2025 at 3:00 PM
New @americanprogress.bsky.social I find that 4.4 million small business owners and self-employed people face a $1,500 mean tax hike this year.
When enhanced marketplace tax credits expire, businesspeople making <$150k, face a larger tax hike than eliminating the passthru deduction
When enhanced marketplace tax credits expire, businesspeople making <$150k, face a larger tax hike than eliminating the passthru deduction
“Letitia James would be among the many Black women that support their families.” Thanks @nytimes.com for covering @kennedyandara.bsky.social Bela Salas-Betsch & my research @americanprogress.bsky.social in this story about the experiences of Black breadwinning women. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/n...
In Letitia James Case, Some Black Women See Their Own Family Sacrifices
www.nytimes.com
October 26, 2025 at 7:06 PM
“Letitia James would be among the many Black women that support their families.” Thanks @nytimes.com for covering @kennedyandara.bsky.social Bela Salas-Betsch & my research @americanprogress.bsky.social in this story about the experiences of Black breadwinning women. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/n...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
Big new U.S. job quality survey just dropped.
From Gallup, my @upjohninstitute.bsky.social colleagues Sue Houseman & @truesdale.bsky.social & others.
Data will be public & longitudinal.
finance.yahoo.com/news/landmar...
From Gallup, my @upjohninstitute.bsky.social colleagues Sue Houseman & @truesdale.bsky.social & others.
Data will be public & longitudinal.
finance.yahoo.com/news/landmar...
October 16, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Big new U.S. job quality survey just dropped.
From Gallup, my @upjohninstitute.bsky.social colleagues Sue Houseman & @truesdale.bsky.social & others.
Data will be public & longitudinal.
finance.yahoo.com/news/landmar...
From Gallup, my @upjohninstitute.bsky.social colleagues Sue Houseman & @truesdale.bsky.social & others.
Data will be public & longitudinal.
finance.yahoo.com/news/landmar...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
Latinas often work in industries with positive employment growth, but their wages haven't kept up. Full-time, year round #Trabajadoras earn just 58 cents per dollar of white, non-Hispanic men resulting in >$33k/year lost to the #WageGap. #LatinaEqualPay https://ow.ly/Iht150X8Bv2
The gender wage gap for full-time, year-round workers expanded significantly in 2024 and is wider for women of color
ow.ly
October 8, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Latinas often work in industries with positive employment growth, but their wages haven't kept up. Full-time, year round #Trabajadoras earn just 58 cents per dollar of white, non-Hispanic men resulting in >$33k/year lost to the #WageGap. #LatinaEqualPay https://ow.ly/Iht150X8Bv2
Aaron is spot on, our paper shows that Trump proposed a 17% reduction in FTEs and currently 34% of senior career staff positions sit empty. Without adequate budget and without protecting these career positions we risk losing this independent analysis. www.americanprogress.org/shareable/mo...
October 7, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Aaron is spot on, our paper shows that Trump proposed a 17% reduction in FTEs and currently 34% of senior career staff positions sit empty. Without adequate budget and without protecting these career positions we risk losing this independent analysis. www.americanprogress.org/shareable/mo...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
Independence and funding are complements, not substitutes.
We cannot fix attacks on independence just with funding.
Exempt BLS & other statistical agencies from Schedule Policy/Career reform. Re-establish meaningful cause protection for Commissioner.
We cannot fix attacks on independence just with funding.
Exempt BLS & other statistical agencies from Schedule Policy/Career reform. Re-establish meaningful cause protection for Commissioner.
October 7, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Independence and funding are complements, not substitutes.
We cannot fix attacks on independence just with funding.
Exempt BLS & other statistical agencies from Schedule Policy/Career reform. Re-establish meaningful cause protection for Commissioner.
We cannot fix attacks on independence just with funding.
Exempt BLS & other statistical agencies from Schedule Policy/Career reform. Re-establish meaningful cause protection for Commissioner.
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
The real value of the Bureau of Labor Statistics's budget has fallen for over a decade.
The president is proposing deep cuts alongside other attacks on the agency.
Progress requires Congress to re-establish BLS independence & support innovation & funding.
www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...
The president is proposing deep cuts alongside other attacks on the agency.
Progress requires Congress to re-establish BLS independence & support innovation & funding.
www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...
October 7, 2025 at 3:52 PM
The real value of the Bureau of Labor Statistics's budget has fallen for over a decade.
The president is proposing deep cuts alongside other attacks on the agency.
Progress requires Congress to re-establish BLS independence & support innovation & funding.
www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...
The president is proposing deep cuts alongside other attacks on the agency.
Progress requires Congress to re-establish BLS independence & support innovation & funding.
www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...
New from Kyle Ross and me, breaking down the budget and staffing issues in FY26 dollars. The BLS needs experienced nonpartisan leadership, and adequate funding to restore trust and ensure accuracy.
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/re...
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/re...
Real funding for the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has been declining for years
www.americanprogress.org
October 7, 2025 at 3:51 PM
New from Kyle Ross and me, breaking down the budget and staffing issues in FY26 dollars. The BLS needs experienced nonpartisan leadership, and adequate funding to restore trust and ensure accuracy.
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/re...
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/re...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
We wrote this before the shutdown but the analysis is still just as important. Healthcare workers, who are mostly women, are the backbone of our economy, but Trump's attacks on health care and repubs refusal to extend the ACA tax credits threaten the industry
www.americanprogress.org/article/what...
www.americanprogress.org/article/what...
What To Know Before September’s Jobs Day Report: Falling Wages and Stalling Employment Growth
In August, women held up the economy while their wages faltered in industries such as health care. Will the September Employment Situation report show more of the same?
www.americanprogress.org
October 1, 2025 at 4:25 PM
We wrote this before the shutdown but the analysis is still just as important. Healthcare workers, who are mostly women, are the backbone of our economy, but Trump's attacks on health care and repubs refusal to extend the ACA tax credits threaten the industry
www.americanprogress.org/article/what...
www.americanprogress.org/article/what...
New bubble plot would be cool if it wasn’t so ominous. How much longer can we expect women to pick up the labor market slack? www.americanprogress.org/shareable/fe...
Female-dominated industries are keeping job growth positive, but wages are falling
www.americanprogress.org
September 30, 2025 at 3:41 PM
New bubble plot would be cool if it wasn’t so ominous. How much longer can we expect women to pick up the labor market slack? www.americanprogress.org/shareable/fe...
My latest op-ed in @msnbc.com grapples with some of the reasons Gen Z men are out of the labor force and how we could help them come off the sidelines. Read more:
www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/rc...
www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/rc...
Gen Z men are facing a surprise workforce crisis
There’s not a one-size-fits-all explanation, but two main factors stand out.
www.msnbc.com
September 20, 2025 at 12:34 PM
My latest op-ed in @msnbc.com grapples with some of the reasons Gen Z men are out of the labor force and how we could help them come off the sidelines. Read more:
www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/rc...
www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/rc...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
Trump's tariffs are devastating America's manufacturers, with 42,000 manufacturing jobs lost since "liberation day." Check out @cbsnews.com coverage of @saraestep.bsky.social and my latest piece here
www.cbsnews.com/news/jobs-ma...
www.cbsnews.com/news/jobs-ma...
The U.S. is losing thousands of manufacturing jobs, analysis finds
Uncertainty over U.S. tariffs and other Trump administration economic policies are deterring manufacturers from hiring, according to the Center for American Progress.
www.cbsnews.com
September 9, 2025 at 6:38 PM
Trump's tariffs are devastating America's manufacturers, with 42,000 manufacturing jobs lost since "liberation day." Check out @cbsnews.com coverage of @saraestep.bsky.social and my latest piece here
www.cbsnews.com/news/jobs-ma...
www.cbsnews.com/news/jobs-ma...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
An epic and predictable economic disaster. In South Carolina, Lindsey Graham has been an active participant in and promoter of this disaster in tossing aside his previous support for free trade in service to Trump. South Carolina needs @drannieandrews.com.
Trump's tariffs and attacks on stable green energy jobs are all likely contributing to the rapid decline in manufacturing employment since April. Check @kennedyandara.bsky.social and my latest column with today's jobs numbers. #NumbersDay #EconSky
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
Trump’s Trade War Squeezes Middle-Class Manufacturing Employment
American manufacturing employment is shrinking in response to Trump’s tariffs.
www.americanprogress.org
September 5, 2025 at 3:45 PM
An epic and predictable economic disaster. In South Carolina, Lindsey Graham has been an active participant in and promoter of this disaster in tossing aside his previous support for free trade in service to Trump. South Carolina needs @drannieandrews.com.
Numbers don't lie:
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/th...
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/th...
September 5, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Numbers don't lie:
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/th...
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/th...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
OPINION by @zeeshanaleem.bsky.social:
“If American factories aren't experiencing a boom, how can Trump defend his protectionist extremism?”
READ MORE:
www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb...
“If American factories aren't experiencing a boom, how can Trump defend his protectionist extremism?”
READ MORE:
www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb...
Opinion | Trump's tariffs were supposed to revive U.S. manufacturing. They're wrecking it.
Why Trump is failing to fulfill his most prized economic vision.
www.msnbc.com
September 5, 2025 at 1:04 PM
OPINION by @zeeshanaleem.bsky.social:
“If American factories aren't experiencing a boom, how can Trump defend his protectionist extremism?”
READ MORE:
www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb...
“If American factories aren't experiencing a boom, how can Trump defend his protectionist extremism?”
READ MORE:
www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
"Since...Trump’s tariff announcement in April...manufacturing employment has declined by 42,000, while job openings and hires have fallen by 76,000 and 18,000, respectively."
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
@kennedyandara.bsky.social @saraestep.bsky.social @americanprogress.bsky.social
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
@kennedyandara.bsky.social @saraestep.bsky.social @americanprogress.bsky.social
September 5, 2025 at 2:22 PM
"Since...Trump’s tariff announcement in April...manufacturing employment has declined by 42,000, while job openings and hires have fallen by 76,000 and 18,000, respectively."
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
@kennedyandara.bsky.social @saraestep.bsky.social @americanprogress.bsky.social
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
@kennedyandara.bsky.social @saraestep.bsky.social @americanprogress.bsky.social
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
Trump promised a manufacturing renaissance- more like a manufacturing dark age. Check out our latest jobs day analysis from @saraestep.bsky.social and me on how Trump's tariff policies are harming the manufacturing industry. #econsky www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
Trump’s Trade War Squeezes Middle-Class Manufacturing Employment
American manufacturing employment is shrinking in response to Trump’s tariffs.
www.americanprogress.org
September 5, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Trump promised a manufacturing renaissance- more like a manufacturing dark age. Check out our latest jobs day analysis from @saraestep.bsky.social and me on how Trump's tariff policies are harming the manufacturing industry. #econsky www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
The larger-than-usual downward revision last month was in large part driven by a negative skew in the job growth distribution among late reporting firms. That’s unusual, but it’s happened before when the pace of job growth slows rapidly. This print is more evidence that was the case
U.S. employers added 22,000 jobs in August and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.3 percent.
Data: www.bls.gov/news.release...
Live coverage: www.nytimes.com/live/2025/09... #NumbersDay
Data: www.bls.gov/news.release...
Live coverage: www.nytimes.com/live/2025/09... #NumbersDay
Employment Situation Summary
- 2025 M07 Results
www.bls.gov
September 5, 2025 at 12:42 PM
The larger-than-usual downward revision last month was in large part driven by a negative skew in the job growth distribution among late reporting firms. That’s unusual, but it’s happened before when the pace of job growth slows rapidly. This print is more evidence that was the case
Reposted by Sara Estep (she/her)
This chart tells the story.
September 5, 2025 at 2:14 PM
This chart tells the story.