Rory Johnston
@roryjohnston.bsky.social
oil market researcher
founder of https://CommodityContext.com
former bank economist
markets, code, barbecue
founder of https://CommodityContext.com
former bank economist
markets, code, barbecue
Given that's how private/merchant tanks operate—buying in contango, selling in backwardation—what's the "strategic" differentiator of the SPR?
Is it a term structure threshold? Should the source of the market tightness play a role in a decision to release?
Is it a term structure threshold? Should the source of the market tightness play a role in a decision to release?
November 10, 2025 at 8:37 PM
Given that's how private/merchant tanks operate—buying in contango, selling in backwardation—what's the "strategic" differentiator of the SPR?
Is it a term structure threshold? Should the source of the market tightness play a role in a decision to release?
Is it a term structure threshold? Should the source of the market tightness play a role in a decision to release?
Given that's how private/merchant tanks operate—buying in contango, selling in backwardation—what's the "strategic" differentiator of the SPR?
Is it a term structure threshold? Should the source of the market tightness play a role in a decision to release?
Is it a term structure threshold? Should the source of the market tightness play a role in a decision to release?
November 10, 2025 at 8:29 PM
Given that's how private/merchant tanks operate—buying in contango, selling in backwardation—what's the "strategic" differentiator of the SPR?
Is it a term structure threshold? Should the source of the market tightness play a role in a decision to release?
Is it a term structure threshold? Should the source of the market tightness play a role in a decision to release?
I’m less excited by the prospect that they’ll do a weird lag-out of the data once publication resumes, putting out 2 weeks of data each week rather than just bulk-updating the whole history at once.
This is what happened last time and it was somehow worse than no data.
This is what happened last time and it was somehow worse than no data.
November 10, 2025 at 12:37 AM
I’m less excited by the prospect that they’ll do a weird lag-out of the data once publication resumes, putting out 2 weeks of data each week rather than just bulk-updating the whole history at once.
This is what happened last time and it was somehow worse than no data.
This is what happened last time and it was somehow worse than no data.
Beautiful! I have dreams of adding the doors (which I have in my shed) and hardware (and some moulding/router work), but I’m calling it for this stage lol
November 9, 2025 at 8:57 PM
Beautiful! I have dreams of adding the doors (which I have in my shed) and hardware (and some moulding/router work), but I’m calling it for this stage lol
not enough functioning, market-accessible refining capacity!
echoes of '22/'23
echoes of '22/'23
November 7, 2025 at 1:58 PM
not enough functioning, market-accessible refining capacity!
echoes of '22/'23
echoes of '22/'23