@rickyalberto62.bsky.social
An overdue shoutout for @renanetjes.bsky.social

She has been a vox clamans in deserto for years

Standing your ground against death threats, online harassment and public opinion, takes backbone. A lot of it
Raqqa and eastern Deir Ezzor are experiencing their own December 8th moment. Despite what most Western media and many Western politicians claim.

I choose to side with the victims. Many are still held in (secret) SDF prisons. I am in contact with several of their relatives, both Kurds and Arabs.
#Footage of the release of underage detainees who had been held by the #SDF in Al-Aqtan #Prison in the #city of #Raqqa.
January 25, 2026 at 8:32 AM
More chronicles from banana republic
Breaking NYT:

The FBI agent who sought to investigate the federal immigration officer who fatally shot Renee Good has resigned from the bureau, according to two people familiar with the matter, after leadership pressured her to discontinue a civil rights inquiry into the officer.
F.B.I. Agent Who Tried to Investigate ICE Officer in Shooting Resigns
www.nytimes.com
January 24, 2026 at 11:40 AM
The best summing up
Putin promised a 2-day operation.

It's now outlasted Soviet involvement in WWII. The death toll has reached 10x the Soviet losses in Afghanistan.

🧵Even Russia's war hawks are furious — (Read on)
January 15, 2026 at 11:37 PM
He nails it
Say what you will about prior US interventionism, in Latin America or elsewhere. It was never on one person’s whim, let alone one who goes about it like an immature adolescent.
January 4, 2026 at 4:59 AM
If you support industrial policy b/c it worked in 🇰🇷

For every 🇰🇷, there are 10 stories like these
Russia's "import substitution" policy is a cruel joke and has created a catastrophic dependence on China.

How the promise of independence led to a humiliating reality of isolation and decline. 🧵 [1/18]
December 30, 2025 at 6:02 AM
Chronicles from banana Republic

Self-dealing settlement edition
The formula is set. Any crony who committed crimes in the past sues the government now, then DOJ “settles” with a vast payout.

Result: limitless payments straight from Treasury to cronies.

Breathtaking corruption poisons us. It steals money from every Conservative and Liberal American taxpayer.
Michael Flynn, DOJ in Settlement Talks Over $50 Million Claim
The Justice Department has been discussing settlements with two former officials from Donald Trump’s first term who — like the president — claim they’re owed major payouts from the US government as vi...
www.bloomberg.com
November 17, 2025 at 10:19 PM
Reposted
The formula is set. Any crony who committed crimes in the past sues the government now, then DOJ “settles” with a vast payout.

Result: limitless payments straight from Treasury to cronies.

Breathtaking corruption poisons us. It steals money from every Conservative and Liberal American taxpayer.
Michael Flynn, DOJ in Settlement Talks Over $50 Million Claim
The Justice Department has been discussing settlements with two former officials from Donald Trump’s first term who — like the president — claim they’re owed major payouts from the US government as vi...
www.bloomberg.com
November 15, 2025 at 2:40 AM
Next time someone brings up Putin as a bulwark for Western values quote this thread
This 23-year-old woman was strangled in Yerevan, Armenia.

Originally from Chechnya, Aishat Baimuradova left Russia because she wanted to life freely.

🧵A year later, it seems, the Chechen dictator got to her.

[1/17]
October 21, 2025 at 12:01 AM
Chronicles from Banana Republic - Wall Street edition
To see American institutions fold like a cheap suit remains shocking.
October 4, 2025 at 11:03 AM
A real econ reporter
My Trade Secrets today. Javier Milei's chainsaw deregulation (right direction but execution unclear) is his signature policy but not the big question right now.

Qu is if he's got the cojones & the political capital to break the endless Argentine macro crisis cycle & float the currency.

Thread 1/n
Trump’s lifeline won’t stop Argentina’s president repeating old mistakes
[FREE TO READ] Javier Milei has wasted foreign exchange reserves trying to hold up the peso
on.ft.com
October 3, 2025 at 12:57 AM
May this NOT be the epitaph of Milei's presidency

Argentina badly needs to turn the page

But I'm afraid @filipecampante.bsky.social is on to something
One striking thing about Milei is that, for all his talk about disruption, his stabilization policy has been the oldest trick in the LatAm/emerging mkt book: using an overvalued exchange rate as an anchor to bring down inflation. He’s kind of replaying the 1990s, but brandishing a chainsaw.
Argentina spends $1bn to defend peso as Milei’s crisis spirals on.ft.com/4gtNFzW
September 22, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Xi and Putin way younger than Trump

Not 100% germane to @mclem.org point. But still worth noting
The incapacity of decrepit old dictators to imagine leaving absolute power, to opening their decaying fortresses to a new generation full of youthful force and new ideas.
“.. Quite a hot mic moment on CCTV in Beijing today as Putin and Xi, both 72 years old, are caught casually talking about living to 150 and maybe forever thanks to organ transplants. (As picked up by Bloomberg.)”

(via @yarotrof.bsky.social)
September 3, 2025 at 4:07 PM
A pithy summary of my life on social media
I got an unsolicited e-mail from a stranger complimenting something I'd written.

When I thanked him for taking the time to reach out, he replied that he'd been motivated by something he'd recently heard:

"Keeping a good thing to yourself is as bad as saying a bad thing."

Amen.
September 3, 2025 at 7:04 AM
Stephen Miller, this is on you
10 months in U.S. immigration detention made a Russian antiwar activist do the unthinkable: ask to be sent back to Putin's Russia, knowing terrorism charges awaited him.

🧵The U.S. Immigration system broke Leonid Melekhin so completely that a Russian prison seemed like mercy
September 1, 2025 at 11:39 PM
How a democracy dies, Russia edition
I spent 10 years in Putin's prisons for the crime of political participation. Now he's counseling Trump about "rigged" elections.

🧵It's not my business to tell Americans how to conduct elections, but taking Putin's advice here is like taking fire safety tips from an arsonist
August 30, 2025 at 4:03 AM
Reposted
About twice as many people at Solihull Moors versus Forest Greeen Rovers (1568) as at all the anti-asylum protests at Saturday. It was one of a dozen non-league games in the 5th tier of English football.

Many more people at Charlton v Watford today (21,178) than at all asylum protests all summer
August 9, 2025 at 9:58 PM
August 1, 2025 at 6:16 AM
Budapest on the Potomac

www.nytimes.com/2025/07/23/o...
Opinion | I Watched It Happen in Hungary. Now It’s Happening Here.
www.nytimes.com
July 23, 2025 at 3:53 PM
"In just under six months, only an eighth of his term, Trump has made huge strides in his war on everything that made the US successful. Only the Maga base, Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping should feel happy"

www.ft.com/content/acf6...
Trump’s assault on American greatness
In just six months, the US president has made huge strides in advancing his agenda
www.ft.com
July 9, 2025 at 6:28 AM
Thread
Oh, but I keep hearing that US elections will always be 100% free and fair, because they are run by the states… www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/u...
Justice Dept. Explores Using Criminal Charges Against Election Officials
www.nytimes.com
July 4, 2025 at 3:06 AM
"Chronicles from Banana Republic" are morphing into "Chronicles from Prison Island"

Kudos to the WSJ for standing alongside media it disagrees with
WSJ editorial board: “The President is using government to intimidate news outlets that publish stories he doesn’t like. It’s a low move in a free country with a free press.”

www.wsj.com/opinion/dona...
Opinion | Trump’s Lawfare Against the Free Press
He suggests prosecuting CNN, while pressuring a settlement out of CBS.
www.wsj.com
July 4, 2025 at 2:43 AM
Again, the scale of the slaughter is unprecented

No whataboutisms, please
"Data published by Spagat indicates that the proportion of women and children killed via a violent death in Gaza (56 percent of victims) is more than double the proportion in almost every other recent conflict, including in Ethiopia (9 percent), Syria (20 percent) and Sudan (23 percent)."
June 29, 2025 at 12:54 PM
Unlike the misinterpreted Harvard study, here is a direct estimate of the deaths

From the Israeli press
This article cites two recent studies by researchers at Holloway College (Univ. of London) and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. Both estimate the real number of direct deaths in Gaza to be 40 percent higher than those listed by the Gaza health ministry.
archive.is/2025.06.28-0...
June 29, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Reposted
This looks like a must-have for any applied researcher...
🧵1/4

🚨 We have finalized our DID textbook!
You’ve run out of excuses for sketchy pre-trends and mysterious TWFE coefficients.

📘 Credible Answers to Hard Questions: Differences-in-Differences for Natural Experiments
By Chaisemartin & D’Haultfœuille.

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Credible Answers to Hard Questions: Differences-in-Differences for Natural Experiments
<div> The purpose of this book is to introduce applied researchers to </div> <div> modern Differences-in-Differences (DID) estimators, tailored to potentially
papers.ssrn.com
June 26, 2025 at 11:21 AM
I wish this thread was an exaggeration but @filipecampante.bsky.social knows whereof he speaks
I think the reason behind this apparent paradox is that this is a movement that doesn’t believe in elections, in the sense that they don’t accept electoral defeat. Whoever’s Trump’s designated successor in 2028, I bet they won’t accept a loss — and this time they may succeed.
this is obviously something to take seriously but i am also struck by how the white house’s only move is to double down, no matter how unpopular or politically disastrous it might be
June 16, 2025 at 7:32 AM