Randy Uhrlaub
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randy-uhrlaub.bsky.social
Randy Uhrlaub
@randy-uhrlaub.bsky.social
Cybersecurity architect working on SOC automation with AI and RAG. Go, Python. Bourbon. Hiking the National Park system in the western US and researching climate resiliant housing for neurodivergent young adults.
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
November 16, 2025 at 12:37 PM
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November 14, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
New 8”x10” paintings.
October 24, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
China has electrified faster than almost any other country - electricity’s share of its energy use is up 10% in a decade.

Since 2019 it’s built 40% of global wind & solar, boosting their share in power generation by nearly 20% points.

Energy independence meets industrial strategy.
October 21, 2025 at 2:05 PM
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October 5, 2025 at 6:51 PM
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Approaching Shiprock. #photography
October 3, 2025 at 10:12 PM
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People Standing On The Beach
October 4, 2025 at 2:49 PM
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“A broad shift to electric vehicles -- which are quieter than traditional vehicles -- could yield noise reduction benefits of $77.3 billion, concentrated among low-income families in dense urban areas.” www.nber.org/papers/w34298
The Traffic Noise Externality: Costs, Incidence and Policy Implications
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
September 30, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
Shifting Wind 8”x10” oil
September 27, 2025 at 7:11 PM
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In a UN speech today, President Trump said that "all of these [climate] predictions were wrong".

Back in 2019 I led a research effort to digitize old climate model projections and assess how well they did. Turns out they got future warming pretty spot on!
September 23, 2025 at 5:01 PM
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September 17, 2025 at 12:36 PM
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Sunblind II
September 21, 2025 at 9:09 PM
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If genocide isn't your redline, then you have no redlines.

The Sydney Harbour Bridge was closed temporarily as tens of thousands of Australians made their voices heard against Israel's genocide in Gaza. #FreePalestine #3E
August 3, 2025 at 5:41 PM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
Nio's dancing, battery-swapping ET9 flagship sedan may be the best-riding car on the planet. Even Joe Rogan has high praise for it.

insideevs.com/reviews/7678...
We Drove The Nio ET9. It Feels Like A Game-Changing Luxury Sedan
Nio's dancing, battery-swapping ET9 flagship sedan may be the best-riding car on the planet. Even Joe Rogan has high praise for it.
insideevs.com
August 2, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
April 24, 2025 at 3:23 AM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
Relieved to see that the Budget Lab numbers are close to my back-of-the-envelope estimate. We're still looking at a shock an order of magnitude bigger than Smoot-Hawley
• 2025 tariffs raise the average effective tariff rate by 22.9pp *pre-substitution*, before consumers & business shift purchases, similar to pre-Apr 9 announcement.
• *Post-substitution*, China imports collapse to 4% of imports, so 2025 becomes a 15.7pp increase in avg.

2/7
April 10, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
"NextEra Energy Inc., the biggest US utility and No. 1 developer of wind and solar generation, believes power plants fueled by natural gas can meet only a sliver of the unprecedented electricity demand growth forecast through the end of the decade."

www.bloomberg.com/news/article... 🔌💡
Top US Utility Says Gas Can Meet Only a Fraction of Power Demand
NextEra Energy Inc., the biggest US utility and No. 1 developer of wind and solar generation, believes power plants fueled by natural gas can meet only a sliver of the unprecedented electricity demand...
www.bloomberg.com
March 10, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
OpenAI, in deep trouble | @GaryMarcus.bsky.social

1. GPT 4.5 is hugely expensive.
2. Even so it offers no decisive advantage over competitors; there is basically zero moat.
3. Scaling hasn’t gotten them —or anyone else — to #AGI.

garymarcus.substack....

#artificialintelligence
OpenAI, in deep trouble
Maybe burning money isn’t the answer
garymarcus.substack.com
March 1, 2025 at 7:05 AM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
Super interesting that Microsoft's Satya Nadella is admitting what @garymarcus.bsky.social & I have been talking about (see my pinned post) re the genAI bubble. Is he trying to buy a competitor? Or is he actually trying to do the right thing and reduce Musk/Trump power?

gizmodo.com/microsofts-s...
Microsoft's Satya Nadella Pumps the Brakes on AI Hype
Fears of an artificial superintelligence that could replace humans are just a distraction at a time when ChatGPT still has major shortcomings.
gizmodo.com
February 23, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
LLM companies to their own customers (same as to everybody else): you are on your own.
February 21, 2025 at 3:19 AM
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Five ways in which the last 3 months — and especially the DeepSeek era — have vindicated “Deep learning is hitting a wall"

open.substack.com/pub/garymarc...
Five ways in which the last 3 months — and especially the DeepSeek era — have vindicated “Deep learning is hitting a wall"
A demonized paper from three years ago that has stood the test of time
open.substack.com
February 9, 2025 at 1:15 AM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
NEW RESEARCH: IEA WEO energy scenarios have significantly underestimated solar PV growth potential.

There's a consistent underestimation of PV. The projected annual additions of solar PV have not aligned with real market developments.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
February 7, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
Still hustling those one-drop blood tests even though he doesn’t know how to make them.

Or, um, still hustling those next-gen models.
February 7, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Reposted by Randy Uhrlaub
ChatGPT in Shambles.
• can’t properly count to 50
• sometimes forgets US states
• think the letter h can be a vowel
• can’t count vowels to save its electronic life
• issued numerous corrections that were wrong
• lied about having a subconscious

At

open.substack.com/pub/garymarc...
ChatGPT in Shambles
After two years of massive investment and endless hype, GPT’s reliability problems persist
open.substack.com
February 4, 2025 at 9:46 PM