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paulclist.bsky.social
Paul Clist
@paulclist.bsky.social
420 followers 740 following 15 posts
Development Economist @ UEA, UK
Experiments, Language, Risk, Lying,
Development Aid, Tax
Posts Replies Media Videos
Reposted by Paul Clist
susanathey.bsky.social
ICYMI: New paper for causal effects with panel data, subsuming other approaches. We generate realistic synthetic data based on commonly studied datasets, showing our method substantially outperforms others and providing insight about what in the data-generating process corresponds to gains.
November 23, 2025 at 10:39 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
economeager.bsky.social
I appreciate the WSJ following up on this story, which is already in danger of being one of many forgotten scandals in elite academia.
November 22, 2025 at 4:29 AM
Reposted by Paul Clist
ottocr.at
Brexit reduced the UK’s GDP by between 6% and 8%. That is MASSIVE. #ProjectFear #wetoldyouso

www.nber.org/papers/w3445...
extract from the paper reads: “This paper examines the impact of the UK's decision to leave the European Union (Brexit) in 2016. Using almost a decade of data since the referendum, we combine simulations based on macro data with estimates derived from micro data collected through our Decision Maker Panel survey. These estimates suggest that by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time. We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%. …“
November 10, 2025 at 8:11 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
hopecm.bsky.social
well said expatriarch.substack.com/p/usaid-is-u...
USAID Is Unlikely to Be Replaced With Something Better Any Time Soon, So Stop Pretending
Why Rajiv Shah is wrong, wrong, wrong, and kind of insulting
expatriarch.substack.com
October 21, 2025 at 12:27 AM
Reposted by Paul Clist
jdportes.bsky.social
Some good news/

Home Office evaluation of the Refugee Transitions Outcomes Fund - pilot schemes to help employment, housing and integration for newly recognised refugees.

Substantially improved employment outcomes & had positive fiscal impacts.

www.gov.uk/government/p...
October 20, 2025 at 5:10 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
danneidle.bsky.social
Amazing story in The Times. Reform UK failed to pay VAT to HMRC on its sales (tickets, merchandise). About £400k in all.

Not tax avoidance. Not tax evasion. They just didn't realise when you sell stuff you have to charge VAT.
October 20, 2025 at 9:00 AM
Reposted by Paul Clist
gwagner.com
You've got to love studies like these: New carbon tax paper out in @aeajournals.bsky.social: Macroeconomics.

The headline: "I find that carbon taxes reduce emissions
as expected but also impair macroeconomic activity."

What to make of this, a quick 🧵
The Economic Consequences of Effective Carbon Taxes By Felix Kapfhammer∗ This paper studies the sectoral and macroeconomic consequences of carbon taxes in four Nordic countries using a novel monthly measure of effective carbon tax rates. The suggested measure accounts for the time-varying emission coverage of taxes that are both explicitly and implicitly levied on greenhouse gas-emitting goods, thereby solving several issues of existing carbon tax measures currently used by the literature. Employing the new measure in a local projections setting, I find that carbon taxes reduce emissions as expected but also impair macroeconomic activity – though there is some heterogeneity in the effects across sectors and countries. JEL: H23, Q54, Q58 Keywords: carbon tax, carbon pricing, climate policy, emissions, macroeconomy, economic sectors
October 18, 2025 at 3:12 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
steamtraen.eu
Next time an institution tells you how seriously it takes research misconduct, ask them if it's *this* seriously. www.bmj.com/content/297/...
In 1916 the BMJ published an article about the work done by James Shearer, an American physician working in the British Army as a sergeant (because he had no British qualification). He had described a "delineator" which was better than x rays for portraying gunshot wounds. This caused a sensation and a lot of interest — but on investigation the work was found to have been invented. The BMJ published a retraction, but Shearer was tried by court martial and sentenced to death by firing squad.
October 13, 2025 at 8:12 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
daveevansphd.bsky.social
www.cgdev.org/blog/cholera...
charlesjkenny.bsky.social Charles Kenny @charlesjkenny.bsky.social · Oct 9
Blog with CGD colleagues: Cholera in Africa: Rising Deaths, Shrinking US Aid.

Africa seeing rising cholera deaths, but US foreign assistance not responding...
October 9, 2025 at 7:53 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
econ.uzh.ch
We are thrilled to welcome Esther Duflo and Abhijit Banerjee as the new Lemann Foundation Professors to our department, beginning in the summer of 2026.
October 10, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Reposted by Paul Clist
henninghermes.com
WOW, terrific news for @econ.uzh.ch and the wider European community 🤩🤩🤩 Congrats!
econ.uzh.ch Department of Economics @Universität Zürich 🇨🇭 @econ.uzh.ch · Oct 10
We are thrilled to welcome Esther Duflo and Abhijit Banerjee as the new Lemann Foundation Professors to our department, beginning in the summer of 2026.
October 10, 2025 at 10:17 AM
Reposted by Paul Clist
olihanney.bsky.social
🆕 Where to find development economics resources

I've updated my list of all the various sources of newsletters, articles, podcasts & videos relevant to development economics that I've come across in my three years at @voxdev.bsky.social: voxdev.org/topic/where-...
Where to find development economics resources: Newsletters, articles, podcasts & videos
Where can you find articles, podcasts, and videos about research and topics in development economics? This blog is your one-stop shop for accessible resources related to development economics.
voxdev.org
September 18, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
timhirschelburns.bsky.social
Foreign Policy has a new issue on "The End of Development."

Lots of pieces worth reading - I'll put my thoughts in this thread as I read through.

(Re the title, worth noting that development has always been about more than ODA + SDGs. That broader development is far from dead)
foreignpolicy.com Foreign Policy @foreignpolicy.com · Sep 8
What does the future look like for global aid, NGOs, and development diplomacy? Which new approaches in international development should the world move toward? Eight authors tackle these topics in FP’s latest print issue, available to read now: foreignpolicy.com/the-magazine...
FP’s Fall 2025 Print Magazine: The End of Development
foreignpolicy.com
September 9, 2025 at 2:11 AM
Reposted by Paul Clist
turnbulldugarte.com
Radical right accommodation really does not work.

New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk

doi.org/10.31235/osf...
September 5, 2025 at 6:50 AM
Reposted by Paul Clist
olihanney.bsky.social
Back to teaching or studying economics at university this September?

@voxdev.bsky.social has tons of useful resources for university economics courses - I have included some examples in this thread. 1/n
September 2, 2025 at 9:17 AM
Reposted by Paul Clist
hopenothate.org.uk
“This is my local community. I’m worried about my children.”

That’s what a woman told GB News at the anti-migrant protest at the Barbican in London.

Problem is, she said the same thing at a protest in Epping days earlier. 🤦 ❌

hopenothate.org.uk/2025/08/05/o...
One Woman, Two Protests, Zero Postcodes in Common: Tommy Robinson associate claims to be ‘concerned local resident’
Yesterday, former academic turned Reform UK cheerleader, Matt Goodwin tweeted a clip from the recent anti-migrant protest at the Barbican in London.  “Why are you...
hopenothate.org.uk
August 5, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
willmasonmusic.com
Every rich person is going to tell *you* how great AI teaching is while sending *their* kids to the kind of schooling the Ancient Greeks would recognize. I just wish everyone would think about why that is.
phdhurtbrain.bsky.social Tobias Wilson-Bates @phdhurtbrain.bsky.social · Aug 5
I think we’re on the cusp of mass attempts to automate teaching, and I also think it is going to be a massive wasteful failure in ways that will make the “learning loss” of the pandemic look like a speed bump next to a mountain.
August 5, 2025 at 4:46 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
shuaichenecon.bsky.social
Loving the new Handbook of Culture & Economic Behavior (Benjamin Enke, Paola Giuliano, @nathannunn.bsky.social, Leonard Wantchekon)--fantastic work! Grateful to the editors & authors for the insightful, well-structured chapters. As a cultural/political economy fan, I've found it enriching&inspiring!
July 27, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
khoavuumn.bsky.social
Seeing too many diff-in-diff reviews and and summary articles but not sure where to start? We propose a new way to synthesize this growing literature using a Review in Reviews approach.
July 13, 2025 at 1:17 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
nber.org
Researcher assumptions shape not just how experiments run—but what questions we ask. Outlining best practices for designing context-aware lab experiments in non-Western settings, from Sara Lowes and @nathannunn.bsky.social https://www.nber.org/papers/w33981
July 7, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
tderyugina.bsky.social
In my latest blog post, I discuss the intuition behind the "bad control" problem, which unfortunately still appears to be quite common in econ papers.

#EconSky

deryugina.com/the-intuitio...
July 1, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
ourworldindata.org
Child mortality in Malawi has fallen by more than 80% since 1990
A line graph illustrating the trend in child mortality in Malawi from 1990 to 2022. In 1990 the share of newborns who died before the age of 5 was almost 25%. In 2022 this had fallen to 4%. Data source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, 2024
June 30, 2025 at 12:17 PM
Reposted by Paul Clist
leecrawfurd.bsky.social
Why is public support for foreign aid so much lower in the UK than France/Germany/USA? (real not rhetorical question)
June 25, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Reposted by Paul Clist
danilaserra-eco.bsky.social
#EconSky

Does anybody have DHS data for Bangladesh?

Or is there a webpage where somebody managed to save previously available DHS data?

Thank you for your help!
June 24, 2025 at 9:51 AM
Reposted by Paul Clist
jwmason.bsky.social
For all the millions of word that have been written about how LLMs work, this is the only thing about them that most of us need to know.
astrokatie.com Katie Mack @astrokatie.com · Jun 19
Chatbots — LLMs — do not know facts and are not designed to be able to accurately answer factual questions. They are designed to find and mimic patterns of words, probabilistically. When they’re “right” it’s because correct things are often written down, so those patterns are frequent. That’s all.
June 19, 2025 at 1:07 PM