The @aleague.bsky.social expansion is bigger that I thought
October 24, 2025 at 12:30 PM
The @aleague.bsky.social expansion is bigger that I thought
not surprised by this
The Big Data fallacy 😱
Research by Vosgerau et al suggests decision-makers tend to interpret correlational relationships as causal when sample sizes are large (vs small)—even when given experimental evidence showing no or opposite causal effect:
buff.ly/5ZjWJ8E
Research by Vosgerau et al suggests decision-makers tend to interpret correlational relationships as causal when sample sizes are large (vs small)—even when given experimental evidence showing no or opposite causal effect:
buff.ly/5ZjWJ8E
October 24, 2025 at 9:05 AM
not surprised by this
Reposted by Patrick
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Digital Distractions with Peer Influence: The Impact of Mobile App Usage on Academic and Labor Market Outcomes,” by Barwick, Chen, Fu, and Li: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
Digital Distractions with Peer Influence: The Impact of Mobile App Usage on Academic and Labor Market Outcomes*
Abstract. Concerns about excessive mobile phone use among youth are mounting. We present estimates of both behavioral and contextual peer effects, along wi
doi.org
October 17, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Digital Distractions with Peer Influence: The Impact of Mobile App Usage on Academic and Labor Market Outcomes,” by Barwick, Chen, Fu, and Li: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
The only definitions of AGI that matters is the one that comes from the Deutsches Institut für Normung
www.agidefinition.ai
www.agidefinition.ai
A Definition of AGI
A definition and measurement of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)
www.agidefinition.ai
October 18, 2025 at 3:31 AM
The only definitions of AGI that matters is the one that comes from the Deutsches Institut für Normung
www.agidefinition.ai
www.agidefinition.ai
With LLMs, execution is now cheap and ideas are expensive again. We are so back
October 17, 2025 at 2:27 PM
With LLMs, execution is now cheap and ideas are expensive again. We are so back
Reposted by Patrick
German Reunification Day invites both gratitude and reflection.
Gratitude, because the peaceful revolution of 1989 was nothing short of a miracle — a bloodless dismantling of a repressive regime.
Reflection, because the wounds of the transition still mark the country —and because
Gratitude, because the peaceful revolution of 1989 was nothing short of a miracle — a bloodless dismantling of a repressive regime.
Reflection, because the wounds of the transition still mark the country —and because
October 3, 2025 at 3:10 PM
German Reunification Day invites both gratitude and reflection.
Gratitude, because the peaceful revolution of 1989 was nothing short of a miracle — a bloodless dismantling of a repressive regime.
Reflection, because the wounds of the transition still mark the country —and because
Gratitude, because the peaceful revolution of 1989 was nothing short of a miracle — a bloodless dismantling of a repressive regime.
Reflection, because the wounds of the transition still mark the country —and because
Reposted by Patrick
It was fun (painful 😅) to implement VAR(p) models from scratch juanitorduz.github.io/var_numpyro/
Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Models in NumPyro - Dr. Juan Camilo Orduz
juanitorduz.github.io
October 3, 2025 at 6:22 PM
It was fun (painful 😅) to implement VAR(p) models from scratch juanitorduz.github.io/var_numpyro/
You know it’s Friedrichshain because the Italians are in Neukölln
Sitting in a vegan Chinese restaurant, listening to R&B, watching Rocky and Bullwinkle on the TV over the bar, listening to the table next to me speaking in Spanish, and thinking...
...this is what makes our country great
...this is what makes our country great
September 24, 2025 at 6:20 PM
You know it’s Friedrichshain because the Italians are in Neukölln
Today in AI and the labour market www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08...
August 21, 2025 at 5:43 AM
Today in AI and the labour market www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08...
The good thing about the CD player is that I can hide it from the toddler, unlike the turntable below.
Snaffled a live Talk Talk record, new Swans, old grinderman and some Steely Dan today.
Snaffled a live Talk Talk record, new Swans, old grinderman and some Steely Dan today.
Friends, it pleases me to report that we, the CD loving public, are so so back
August 13, 2025 at 4:04 PM
The good thing about the CD player is that I can hide it from the toddler, unlike the turntable below.
Snaffled a live Talk Talk record, new Swans, old grinderman and some Steely Dan today.
Snaffled a live Talk Talk record, new Swans, old grinderman and some Steely Dan today.
It’s a real shame that writers are too cowardly to touch fatherhood. I’d buy the shit out of those books.
July 27, 2025 at 5:37 PM
It’s a real shame that writers are too cowardly to touch fatherhood. I’d buy the shit out of those books.
Long weekend cycling in the alps ✅
Work tasks ✅
Break from family responsibilities ✅
Evening ICE from Berlin to Munich ✅
Beer ✅
Sun seeking ✅
Window seat ✅
Ready to tune out and listen to some shoegaze ✅
I open my AirPods case and the pods are at home
Work tasks ✅
Break from family responsibilities ✅
Evening ICE from Berlin to Munich ✅
Beer ✅
Sun seeking ✅
Window seat ✅
Ready to tune out and listen to some shoegaze ✅
I open my AirPods case and the pods are at home
July 24, 2025 at 6:29 PM
Long weekend cycling in the alps ✅
Work tasks ✅
Break from family responsibilities ✅
Evening ICE from Berlin to Munich ✅
Beer ✅
Sun seeking ✅
Window seat ✅
Ready to tune out and listen to some shoegaze ✅
I open my AirPods case and the pods are at home
Work tasks ✅
Break from family responsibilities ✅
Evening ICE from Berlin to Munich ✅
Beer ✅
Sun seeking ✅
Window seat ✅
Ready to tune out and listen to some shoegaze ✅
I open my AirPods case and the pods are at home
The answer is always, especially when you simply need to build, TWFE FTW
With the recent diff-in-diffs upheaval, you may have asked:
When can I get away with using two-way fixed effects?
If so, check out this new working paper!
It proposes tests for differences in dynamic treatment effects over cohorts, which allows you to explore when TWFE is likely to be biased.
When can I get away with using two-way fixed effects?
If so, check out this new working paper!
It proposes tests for differences in dynamic treatment effects over cohorts, which allows you to explore when TWFE is likely to be biased.
July 19, 2025 at 8:46 AM
The answer is always, especially when you simply need to build, TWFE FTW
Friends, it pleases me to report that we, the CD loving public, are so so back
July 19, 2025 at 7:46 AM
Friends, it pleases me to report that we, the CD loving public, are so so back
Pleased to report that the kid now rides the whole way to and from Kita
July 10, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Pleased to report that the kid now rides the whole way to and from Kita
After 18 years I'm finally back in an random effects versus fixed effects discussion 😎
July 4, 2025 at 8:44 AM
After 18 years I'm finally back in an random effects versus fixed effects discussion 😎
I love a good hustle
Via hustle news // Matt Levine newsletter.
Via hustle news // Matt Levine newsletter.
June 23, 2025 at 6:16 PM
I love a good hustle
Via hustle news // Matt Levine newsletter.
Via hustle news // Matt Levine newsletter.
Reposted by Patrick
Most books I have read over the years are German novels and biographies from the 1920s and 1930s. To at least come closer, even if you can never really understand it. Here is my top 5. 🧵
June 17, 2025 at 10:51 AM
Most books I have read over the years are German novels and biographies from the 1920s and 1930s. To at least come closer, even if you can never really understand it. Here is my top 5. 🧵
Recommend this one. Great characters and amusing impressions of British village life. Also dark, weird, emotional.
June 8, 2025 at 5:41 PM
Recommend this one. Great characters and amusing impressions of British village life. Also dark, weird, emotional.
Best ROI investment is the year pass to the zoo.
June 8, 2025 at 5:34 PM
Best ROI investment is the year pass to the zoo.
Lessgo
Clear aim stated by Germany's Federal Minister of Research: "to offer a new home to foreign professors and students". 👏
www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deut...
www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deut...
Handelsblatt
www.handelsblatt.com
June 6, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Lessgo
open sourced map of baby changing tables in Berlin fixmydiaper.com
Fix My Diaper: Find Baby-Friendly Places with Changing Tables
Find the best baby-friendly places with changing tables in Berlin. Submit your favorite diaper-changing locations and help other parents.
fixmydiaper.com
June 5, 2025 at 4:03 PM
open sourced map of baby changing tables in Berlin fixmydiaper.com
Reposted by Patrick
New from @lpachter.bsky.social, lots to think about liorpachter.wordpress.com/2025/06/03/e...
June 4, 2025 at 7:43 AM
New from @lpachter.bsky.social, lots to think about liorpachter.wordpress.com/2025/06/03/e...