Osman Suntay
@osmansuntay.bsky.social
PhD researcher in Quantitative PolSci @goetheuni.bsky.social Frankfurt and @infer-frankfurt.bsky.social || MA, Mannheim Uni || Studying how political actors and violence influence identity, intergroup relations & social conflict. https://osmansuntay.com/
Reposted by Osman Suntay
Immigration raids during Trump II have increased daily student absences by 22 percent in the California Central Valley, with largest increases among the youngest students.
November 7, 2025 at 7:24 AM
Immigration raids during Trump II have increased daily student absences by 22 percent in the California Central Valley, with largest increases among the youngest students.
Reposted by Osman Suntay
We are really excited to kick this semester's InFER Colloquium & Comparative Politics Speaker Series off with a talk by Valerie Sticher (@ethz.ch): "Satellite Data for Understanding and Monitoring Armed Conflict”
Join us next tuesday!
Join us next tuesday!
November 6, 2025 at 11:37 AM
We are really excited to kick this semester's InFER Colloquium & Comparative Politics Speaker Series off with a talk by Valerie Sticher (@ethz.ch): "Satellite Data for Understanding and Monitoring Armed Conflict”
Join us next tuesday!
Join us next tuesday!
Reposted by Osman Suntay
🗳️ New study (w @jessicakuhlm.bsky.social) on AfD success in integration council elections in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany: AfD achieved significant results in councils elected exclusively by voters with migration backgrounds. It's not about economics—it's about political competition. (1/3)
November 3, 2025 at 11:43 AM
🗳️ New study (w @jessicakuhlm.bsky.social) on AfD success in integration council elections in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany: AfD achieved significant results in councils elected exclusively by voters with migration backgrounds. It's not about economics—it's about political competition. (1/3)
Reposted by Osman Suntay
New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
NEW -
Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa
- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa
- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
November 4, 2025 at 11:20 AM
New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
Reposted by Osman Suntay
“Within a seminar series, women are interrupted more than men. This holds when controlling for characteristics of the presenter, paper, and audience. Interruptions that are negative in tenor or tone, or cutoff the presenter mid-sentence, increase for women presenters.”
Gender Differences in Economics Seminars
(Forthcoming Article) - We assess whether men and women are treated differently when presenting their economics research. We collected data across thousands of seminars, job market talks and conferenc...
www.aeaweb.org
October 24, 2025 at 3:46 AM
“Within a seminar series, women are interrupted more than men. This holds when controlling for characteristics of the presenter, paper, and audience. Interruptions that are negative in tenor or tone, or cutoff the presenter mid-sentence, increase for women presenters.”
Reposted by Osman Suntay
🚨 New article out!
“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social
👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.
Short summary thread below 👇
“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social
👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.
Short summary thread below 👇
October 22, 2025 at 3:14 PM
🚨 New article out!
“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social
👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.
Short summary thread below 👇
“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social
👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.
Short summary thread below 👇
Reposted by Osman Suntay
Job Alert! We are hiring two post-docs (full time, 4+ years) in our project SCEPTIC - Social, Computational and Ethical Premises of Trust and Informational Cohesion with @annanosthoff.bsky.social @guzoch.bsky.social and Prof. Andreas Peters (uol.de/informatik/s...)
October 17, 2025 at 9:15 AM
Job Alert! We are hiring two post-docs (full time, 4+ years) in our project SCEPTIC - Social, Computational and Ethical Premises of Trust and Informational Cohesion with @annanosthoff.bsky.social @guzoch.bsky.social and Prof. Andreas Peters (uol.de/informatik/s...)
Reposted by Osman Suntay
🆕 Do Respectful Politicians Make Less Polarized Citizens? 🤝
@rtpedersen.bsky.social @julianchr.bsky.social & Niels Bjørn Grund Petersen use survey data to test whether politicians’ positive rhetoric 🗣️ ✅ can reduce #polarization in the same way negative rhetoric 🗣️ ❎ increases it
📖
@rtpedersen.bsky.social @julianchr.bsky.social & Niels Bjørn Grund Petersen use survey data to test whether politicians’ positive rhetoric 🗣️ ✅ can reduce #polarization in the same way negative rhetoric 🗣️ ❎ increases it
📖
Congenial messages from politicians reduce affective polarization among citizens | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Congenial messages from politicians reduce affective polarization among citizens
buff.ly
October 15, 2025 at 11:02 AM
🆕 Do Respectful Politicians Make Less Polarized Citizens? 🤝
@rtpedersen.bsky.social @julianchr.bsky.social & Niels Bjørn Grund Petersen use survey data to test whether politicians’ positive rhetoric 🗣️ ✅ can reduce #polarization in the same way negative rhetoric 🗣️ ❎ increases it
📖
@rtpedersen.bsky.social @julianchr.bsky.social & Niels Bjørn Grund Petersen use survey data to test whether politicians’ positive rhetoric 🗣️ ✅ can reduce #polarization in the same way negative rhetoric 🗣️ ❎ increases it
📖
Reposted by Osman Suntay
🚨 We have a cool new ESRC PhD studentship opportunity on the topic of political persuasion for someone interested in campaigning, field experiments and/or computational methods @lsegovernment.bsky.social, in collaboration with
@campaign-lab.bsky.social. All info 👇
www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse...
@campaign-lab.bsky.social. All info 👇
www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse...
LSE Collaborative Studentship with Campaign Lab
LSE Collaborative Studentship with Campaign Lab
www.lse.ac.uk
October 6, 2025 at 10:57 AM
🚨 We have a cool new ESRC PhD studentship opportunity on the topic of political persuasion for someone interested in campaigning, field experiments and/or computational methods @lsegovernment.bsky.social, in collaboration with
@campaign-lab.bsky.social. All info 👇
www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse...
@campaign-lab.bsky.social. All info 👇
www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse...
Reposted by Osman Suntay
Me & my very able former colleague and now doctoral candidate Lisa Walter (not on Bluesky yet) just published a new article in @ersjournal.com
We examine how discrimination shapes immigrants and their descendants’ trust in the police in Germany.
👉 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
We examine how discrimination shapes immigrants and their descendants’ trust in the police in Germany.
👉 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Beyond police encounters: everyday racism and trust in the police
Trust in the police is essential for democratic legitimacy, yet it is declining across Western Europe. Immigrants and their descendants, who face disproportionate levels of discrimination, report p...
www.tandfonline.com
October 1, 2025 at 6:45 AM
Me & my very able former colleague and now doctoral candidate Lisa Walter (not on Bluesky yet) just published a new article in @ersjournal.com
We examine how discrimination shapes immigrants and their descendants’ trust in the police in Germany.
👉 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
We examine how discrimination shapes immigrants and their descendants’ trust in the police in Germany.
👉 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Osman Suntay
Excited to share that our article on "Negotiating Difficult Issues with Little Fervour? Why Peace Processes in Territorial Conflicts Tend to Produce Incomplete Outcomes" has now been published by ISQ 🎉
doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Negotiating Difficult Issues with Little Fervour? Why Peace Processes in Territorial Conflicts Tend to Produce Incomplete Outcomes
Abstract. There is widespread consensus in peace research that territorial conflicts are more enduring and difficult to settle than non-territorial conflic
doi.org
October 1, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Excited to share that our article on "Negotiating Difficult Issues with Little Fervour? Why Peace Processes in Territorial Conflicts Tend to Produce Incomplete Outcomes" has now been published by ISQ 🎉
doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Reposted by Osman Suntay
Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. In our new article, @denis-cohen.bsky.social @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that where local rent prices increase more, residents with lower incomes become more likely to support the radical right AfD.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
September 25, 2025 at 5:58 AM
Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. In our new article, @denis-cohen.bsky.social @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that where local rent prices increase more, residents with lower incomes become more likely to support the radical right AfD.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Osman Suntay
📢 Call for Papers for EPSS 2026 conference in Belfast is out: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
We'll feature two sections each Tuesday & Thursday to provide more information about the conference.
🔝 This Thursday: European/EU Politics & Conflict, Violence, and Security
🧵
We'll feature two sections each Tuesday & Thursday to provide more information about the conference.
🔝 This Thursday: European/EU Politics & Conflict, Violence, and Security
🧵
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org
September 25, 2025 at 3:55 PM
📢 Call for Papers for EPSS 2026 conference in Belfast is out: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
We'll feature two sections each Tuesday & Thursday to provide more information about the conference.
🔝 This Thursday: European/EU Politics & Conflict, Violence, and Security
🧵
We'll feature two sections each Tuesday & Thursday to provide more information about the conference.
🔝 This Thursday: European/EU Politics & Conflict, Violence, and Security
🧵
Reposted by Osman Suntay
The week ends with excellent news: the @dfg.de grants the renewal of our research group #RISS "Reconfiguration and Internalization of Social Structure" for a second funding phase!
Thus, more fascinating research ongoing & more jobs opening up at @infer-frankfurt.bsky.social @goetheuni.bsky.social!
Thus, more fascinating research ongoing & more jobs opening up at @infer-frankfurt.bsky.social @goetheuni.bsky.social!
September 26, 2025 at 10:29 AM
The week ends with excellent news: the @dfg.de grants the renewal of our research group #RISS "Reconfiguration and Internalization of Social Structure" for a second funding phase!
Thus, more fascinating research ongoing & more jobs opening up at @infer-frankfurt.bsky.social @goetheuni.bsky.social!
Thus, more fascinating research ongoing & more jobs opening up at @infer-frankfurt.bsky.social @goetheuni.bsky.social!
Reposted by Osman Suntay
Are you interested in political partipation among youth and immigrants? @ aleininger.bsky.social and I edited a special issue for Politics and Governance (@cogitatiopag.bsky.social) - here are 13 new articles! doi.org/10.17645/pag...
April 10, 2025 at 8:47 AM
Are you interested in political partipation among youth and immigrants? @ aleininger.bsky.social and I edited a special issue for Politics and Governance (@cogitatiopag.bsky.social) - here are 13 new articles! doi.org/10.17645/pag...