Orlane Jadeau
@ojadeau.bsky.social
PhD candidate at uniNeuchatel: #migration, #bureaucratic discrimination, #welfare policies.
Former #humanitarian #research at REACH Initiatives.
View are my own.
Former #humanitarian #research at REACH Initiatives.
View are my own.
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
regardez ce ciné tract des étudiants et étudiantes de Poitiers en grève et occupation, contre les désastreuses coupes dans l'enseignement supérieur et la recherche
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICWg...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICWg...
Cinétract #002 : Mobilisons nous ! - Ciné Luttes Poitiers - 14/02/2025
YouTube video by Ciné Luttes
www.youtube.com
February 21, 2025 at 2:33 PM
regardez ce ciné tract des étudiants et étudiantes de Poitiers en grève et occupation, contre les désastreuses coupes dans l'enseignement supérieur et la recherche
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICWg...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICWg...
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Parties often change their policy positions, but what do citizens actually think about party policy change? In our new EJPRjournal article, @rdassonneville.bsky.social and I study party policy change acceptance among citizens in 5 countries (🇩🇪🇳🇱🇵🇱🇪🇸🇬🇧)
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... 1/n
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... 1/n
Who accepts party policy change? The individual‐level drivers of attitudes towards party repositioning
Experimental research has shown that political parties often, but not always, suffer reputational costs when they change their policy positions. Yet, it is not clear who accepts and who rejects party....
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
February 7, 2025 at 7:21 AM
Parties often change their policy positions, but what do citizens actually think about party policy change? In our new EJPRjournal article, @rdassonneville.bsky.social and I study party policy change acceptance among citizens in 5 countries (🇩🇪🇳🇱🇵🇱🇪🇸🇬🇧)
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... 1/n
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... 1/n
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Writing a new paper + accompanying mini Quarto book with basic overview of conjoint experiments across polisci and marketing + #rstats code, and it's pretty neat so far—hopefully it'll be useful to the broader world!
December 30, 2024 at 9:57 PM
Writing a new paper + accompanying mini Quarto book with basic overview of conjoint experiments across polisci and marketing + #rstats code, and it's pretty neat so far—hopefully it'll be useful to the broader world!
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Online first: "A class of their own: parliamentarians are less likely to be perceived as working class" by @danjdevine.bsky.social @turnbulldugarte.com & Matt Ryan
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
#polisky
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
#polisky
January 15, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Online first: "A class of their own: parliamentarians are less likely to be perceived as working class" by @danjdevine.bsky.social @turnbulldugarte.com & Matt Ryan
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
#polisky
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
#polisky
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
I just posted a new notebook:
Causal Inference with the 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚗𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚏𝚏𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚜 📦 for #Rstats. It introduces the idea of G-Computation and tries to demystify the differences between ATE, ATT, and ATU.
This is a first draft and I would looove any feedback!
marginaleffects.com/chapters/gco...
Causal Inference with the 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚗𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚏𝚏𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚜 📦 for #Rstats. It introduces the idea of G-Computation and tries to demystify the differences between ATE, ATT, and ATU.
This is a first draft and I would looove any feedback!
marginaleffects.com/chapters/gco...
8 Causal inference with G-computation – Model to Meaning
marginaleffects.com
February 1, 2025 at 5:58 PM
I just posted a new notebook:
Causal Inference with the 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚗𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚏𝚏𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚜 📦 for #Rstats. It introduces the idea of G-Computation and tries to demystify the differences between ATE, ATT, and ATU.
This is a first draft and I would looove any feedback!
marginaleffects.com/chapters/gco...
Causal Inference with the 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚗𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚏𝚏𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚜 📦 for #Rstats. It introduces the idea of G-Computation and tries to demystify the differences between ATE, ATT, and ATU.
This is a first draft and I would looove any feedback!
marginaleffects.com/chapters/gco...
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
À Mayotte, le préfet vient de prendre un arrêté "restreignant la vente de tôles aux particuliers sur présentation d'un justificatif d'identité et d'un justificatif de domicile ".
La classe, la grande grande classe.
www.francetvinfo.fr/meteo/cyclon...
La classe, la grande grande classe.
www.francetvinfo.fr/meteo/cyclon...
Bidonvilles à Mayotte : le préfet prend un arrêté pour restreindre la vente de tôles bac acier
Le Premier ministre avait promis de prendre des mesures pour empêcher la reconstruction des bidonvilles à Mayotte, après le passage du cyclone Chido.
www.francetvinfo.fr
January 3, 2025 at 1:33 PM
À Mayotte, le préfet vient de prendre un arrêté "restreignant la vente de tôles aux particuliers sur présentation d'un justificatif d'identité et d'un justificatif de domicile ".
La classe, la grande grande classe.
www.francetvinfo.fr/meteo/cyclon...
La classe, la grande grande classe.
www.francetvinfo.fr/meteo/cyclon...
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Empathic concern vs. Perspective-taking have opposite effects on affective polarization. @jepsjournal.bsky.social
Empathic Concern and Perspective-Taking Have Opposite Effects on Affective Polarization | Journal of Experimental Political Science | Cambridge Core
Empathic Concern and Perspective-Taking Have Opposite Effects on Affective Polarization
www.cambridge.org
December 18, 2024 at 11:44 PM
Empathic concern vs. Perspective-taking have opposite effects on affective polarization. @jepsjournal.bsky.social
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
À #Mamoudzou, chef-lieu de Mayotte, le quartier informel de Kaweni, "rasé de la carte, pulvérisé" écrit Le Monde. "Le plus grand bidonville de France a disparu avec ses habitants".
Sur 20 000 habitants estimés, seuls 5 000 ont rejoint les abris de la préfecture avant le cyclone
Sur 20 000 habitants estimés, seuls 5 000 ont rejoint les abris de la préfecture avant le cyclone
December 16, 2024 at 10:33 PM
À #Mamoudzou, chef-lieu de Mayotte, le quartier informel de Kaweni, "rasé de la carte, pulvérisé" écrit Le Monde. "Le plus grand bidonville de France a disparu avec ses habitants".
Sur 20 000 habitants estimés, seuls 5 000 ont rejoint les abris de la préfecture avant le cyclone
Sur 20 000 habitants estimés, seuls 5 000 ont rejoint les abris de la préfecture avant le cyclone
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Présentation aujourd’hui en séminaire de Catégoriser, lexique de la construction sociale des différences, sous la direction de Marlène Bouvet, Florent Chossière, Marine Duc et Estelle Fisson
December 13, 2024 at 6:27 PM
Présentation aujourd’hui en séminaire de Catégoriser, lexique de la construction sociale des différences, sous la direction de Marlène Bouvet, Florent Chossière, Marine Duc et Estelle Fisson
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
What happened to male soliders' performance when women were integrated into combat units in the U.S.?
Nothing.
But what happened to male soliders' *perception* of workplace quality when women were integrated into combat units?
Men started *thinking* that workplace quality had declined.
Nothing.
But what happened to male soliders' *perception* of workplace quality when women were integrated into combat units?
Men started *thinking* that workplace quality had declined.
December 9, 2024 at 3:21 PM
What happened to male soliders' performance when women were integrated into combat units in the U.S.?
Nothing.
But what happened to male soliders' *perception* of workplace quality when women were integrated into combat units?
Men started *thinking* that workplace quality had declined.
Nothing.
But what happened to male soliders' *perception* of workplace quality when women were integrated into combat units?
Men started *thinking* that workplace quality had declined.
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Just published on APSR First View: "The Free Movement of People and the Success of Far-Right Parties: Evidence from Switzerland’s Border Liberalization" by Ala Alrababah, Andreas Beerli, Dominik Hangartner, and Dalston Ward. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
December 4, 2024 at 3:41 PM
Just published on APSR First View: "The Free Movement of People and the Success of Far-Right Parties: Evidence from Switzerland’s Border Liberalization" by Ala Alrababah, Andreas Beerli, Dominik Hangartner, and Dalston Ward. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
C'est absolument la catastrophe dans les universités
je vous explique (rapidement)
la loi de programmation budgétaire mise au vote la semaine prochaine prévoit un transfert de charges de l'Etat vers les universités
je vous explique (rapidement)
la loi de programmation budgétaire mise au vote la semaine prochaine prévoit un transfert de charges de l'Etat vers les universités
a close up of a red light that says alert
ALT: a close up of a red light that says alert
media.tenor.com
November 29, 2024 at 8:48 AM
C'est absolument la catastrophe dans les universités
je vous explique (rapidement)
la loi de programmation budgétaire mise au vote la semaine prochaine prévoit un transfert de charges de l'Etat vers les universités
je vous explique (rapidement)
la loi de programmation budgétaire mise au vote la semaine prochaine prévoit un transfert de charges de l'Etat vers les universités
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Aujourd’hui plus de 60% des enseignants à l’université sont des vacataires payé.es moins que le smic horaire quand on comptabilise les préparations et corrections. Thread ⬇️ @juliengossa.cpesr.fr @brigpourquoi.bsky.social @herpsonc.cpesr.fr
April 11, 2024 at 12:56 PM
Aujourd’hui plus de 60% des enseignants à l’université sont des vacataires payé.es moins que le smic horaire quand on comptabilise les préparations et corrections. Thread ⬇️ @juliengossa.cpesr.fr @brigpourquoi.bsky.social @herpsonc.cpesr.fr
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
(1/5) Very excited to announce the publication of Bayesian Models of Cognition: Reverse Engineering the Mind. More than a decade in the making, it's a big (600+ pages) beautiful book covering both the basics and recent work: mitpress.mit.edu/978026204941...
November 19, 2024 at 9:33 PM
(1/5) Very excited to announce the publication of Bayesian Models of Cognition: Reverse Engineering the Mind. More than a decade in the making, it's a big (600+ pages) beautiful book covering both the basics and recent work: mitpress.mit.edu/978026204941...
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
To celebrate the publication of our HANDBOOK OF COMPARATIVE POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS and our awesome contributors, I’m kicking off a pre-holiday challenge: every day, I’ll share a short intro to one of its chapters.
This is also an opportunity to connect with new colleagues, so please feel free to 📌!
This is also an opportunity to connect with new colleagues, so please feel free to 📌!
Happy book publication day—thrilled that our HANDBOOK OF COMPARATIVE POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS is now officially published!
It features 31 chapters authored by 50+ leading authorities. We hope that it will contribute to the (re-)emergent study of institutions, a founding pillar of polisky econsky
It features 31 chapters authored by 50+ leading authorities. We hope that it will contribute to the (re-)emergent study of institutions, a founding pillar of polisky econsky
November 18, 2024 at 2:22 PM
To celebrate the publication of our HANDBOOK OF COMPARATIVE POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS and our awesome contributors, I’m kicking off a pre-holiday challenge: every day, I’ll share a short intro to one of its chapters.
This is also an opportunity to connect with new colleagues, so please feel free to 📌!
This is also an opportunity to connect with new colleagues, so please feel free to 📌!
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Parcoursup et Mon master dans l’éducation, Foncier Innovant du côté de l’administration fiscale, algorithmes utilisés par la CAF pour détecter les indus… Next a discuté avec les créatrices de l'Observatoire des algorithmes publics :
next.ink/158286/inter...
#tech #ia
next.ink/158286/inter...
#tech #ia
[Interview] Efficacité, coût des algorithmes publics : les administrations manquent de transparence - Next
Avec l’Observatoire des algorithmes de services publics, des expertes du sujet cherchent à mieux comprendre comment l’administration s’empare de l’IA et à ouvrir le débat sur l’usage de ces technologi...
next.ink
November 18, 2024 at 5:08 PM
Parcoursup et Mon master dans l’éducation, Foncier Innovant du côté de l’administration fiscale, algorithmes utilisés par la CAF pour détecter les indus… Next a discuté avec les créatrices de l'Observatoire des algorithmes publics :
next.ink/158286/inter...
#tech #ia
next.ink/158286/inter...
#tech #ia
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Cool looking article www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Migration communication campaigns: towards a research agenda and open database
Every year, government agencies, international organisations, and civil society associations produce public communications campaigns designed to inform, persuade, and motivate behaviour regarding n...
www.tandfonline.com
November 12, 2024 at 10:49 AM
Cool looking article www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
When politicians' motivation is framed in line with feminine traits—as a public service rather than a struggle for power—women consider themselves just as capable as men of participating in politics link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Closing the Gender Gap in Internal Political Efficacy? Gender Roles and the Masculine Ethos of Politics in Spain - Political Behavior
Given women’s gains in employment, education, and economic status, the persistent gender gap in internal political efficacy remains a puzzle for social scientists. We go beyond standard socioeconomic ...
link.springer.com
November 12, 2024 at 7:24 AM
When politicians' motivation is framed in line with feminine traits—as a public service rather than a struggle for power—women consider themselves just as capable as men of participating in politics link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
👇🏼
Never before in its history has humanity built a civilisation that had at its disposal so many different technologies to monitor, measure and predict its own collapse - yet has been so unwilling to do anything about it
November 12, 2024 at 8:04 AM
👇🏼
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Visualize infinite series! Here's a page I made a few years ago, letting you play with convergence and divergence.
www.bewitched.com/demo/taylor/...
www.bewitched.com/demo/taylor/...
Visual Taylor Series
Visualizations of Taylor Series, based
on diagrams from Amie Wilkinson
www.bewitched.com
November 12, 2024 at 2:46 AM
Visualize infinite series! Here's a page I made a few years ago, letting you play with convergence and divergence.
www.bewitched.com/demo/taylor/...
www.bewitched.com/demo/taylor/...
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
A lot of overlap with the ten common statistical mistakes that we discussed here (less emphasis on clinical trials):
elifesciences.org/articles/48175
elifesciences.org/articles/48175
Science Forum: Ten common statistical mistakes to watch out for when writing or reviewing a manuscript
What can authors and reviewers do to keep common statistical mistakes out of the literature?
elifesciences.org
November 12, 2024 at 8:27 AM
A lot of overlap with the ten common statistical mistakes that we discussed here (less emphasis on clinical trials):
elifesciences.org/articles/48175
elifesciences.org/articles/48175
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Tonight's reading is from Jon Kleinberg and Manish Raghavan.
Elegant mathematical modeling to look at what happens when two decision-makers use the same more accurate algorithm instead of different less-accurate ones.
tl;dr — surprisingly, almost paradoxically, bad things.
Elegant mathematical modeling to look at what happens when two decision-makers use the same more accurate algorithm instead of different less-accurate ones.
tl;dr — surprisingly, almost paradoxically, bad things.
Algorithmic monoculture and social welfare | PNAS
As algorithms are increasingly applied to screen applicants for high-stakes decisions
in employment, lending, and other domains, concerns have been...
www.pnas.org
November 9, 2024 at 7:36 AM
Tonight's reading is from Jon Kleinberg and Manish Raghavan.
Elegant mathematical modeling to look at what happens when two decision-makers use the same more accurate algorithm instead of different less-accurate ones.
tl;dr — surprisingly, almost paradoxically, bad things.
Elegant mathematical modeling to look at what happens when two decision-makers use the same more accurate algorithm instead of different less-accurate ones.
tl;dr — surprisingly, almost paradoxically, bad things.
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Another post from the blog archive: a guide to the differences between Bayesian posterior predictions, linear predictions, and the expectation of posterior predictions (epreds) with #rstats and Stan/{brms}. Includes neat downloadable cheatsheet PDFs! www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2022/09...
October 31, 2024 at 4:57 PM
Another post from the blog archive: a guide to the differences between Bayesian posterior predictions, linear predictions, and the expectation of posterior predictions (epreds) with #rstats and Stan/{brms}. Includes neat downloadable cheatsheet PDFs! www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2022/09...
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
With #rstats re-gathering I’m reposting some of my past blog posts, including my most popular one: "Marginalia"
Have you wondered what marginal and conditional effects are? Have you been confused how "marginal" can mean both an integral *and* a slope? Read on for the magic of {marginaleffects}!
Have you wondered what marginal and conditional effects are? Have you been confused how "marginal" can mean both an integral *and* a slope? Read on for the magic of {marginaleffects}!
Marginalia: A guide to figuring out what the heck marginal effects, marginal slopes, average marginal effects, marginal effects at the mean, and all these other marginal things are | Andrew Heiss
Define what marginal effects even are, and then explore the subtle differences between average marginal effects, marginal effects at the mean, and marginal effects at representative values with the ma...
www.andrewheiss.com
October 29, 2024 at 5:47 PM
With #rstats re-gathering I’m reposting some of my past blog posts, including my most popular one: "Marginalia"
Have you wondered what marginal and conditional effects are? Have you been confused how "marginal" can mean both an integral *and* a slope? Read on for the magic of {marginaleffects}!
Have you wondered what marginal and conditional effects are? Have you been confused how "marginal" can mean both an integral *and* a slope? Read on for the magic of {marginaleffects}!