Owen Davis
@odavis.bsky.social
Senior economist at the New York City Independent Budget Office. Interests: Aging, work, public policy, technology.
Reposted by Owen Davis
Thanks to @jdlahart.bsky.social at @wsj.com for chatting with me about the tough job market for youngsters. In the end, a lot of the problem is just a big cyclical one: hiring is weak. That hurts people looking for jobs, who tend to be younger than average.
www.wsj.com/economy/jobs...
www.wsj.com/economy/jobs...
Young Graduates Are Facing an Employment Crisis
Slow hiring is especially daunting for those just starting out. “Right now, I’m pretending employment doesn’t exist,” says a recent college graduate.
www.wsj.com
June 18, 2025 at 12:51 AM
Thanks to @jdlahart.bsky.social at @wsj.com for chatting with me about the tough job market for youngsters. In the end, a lot of the problem is just a big cyclical one: hiring is weak. That hurts people looking for jobs, who tend to be younger than average.
www.wsj.com/economy/jobs...
www.wsj.com/economy/jobs...
My experience is a reasonable reference. I make correct assessments of the world. I am good. My group is a reasonable reference. My group is good. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Toward Parsimony in Bias Research: A Proposed Common Framework of Belief-Consistent Information Processing for a Set of Biases - Aileen Oeberst, Roland Imhoff, 2023
One of the essential insights from psychological research is that people’s information processing is often biased. By now, a number of different biases have bee...
journals.sagepub.com
April 14, 2025 at 12:03 AM
My experience is a reasonable reference. I make correct assessments of the world. I am good. My group is a reasonable reference. My group is good. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
not all lines going down
April 7, 2025 at 2:14 AM
not all lines going down
My friend tells me the idiom "crossed the Rubicon" is overused. What's are the alternatives?
April 4, 2025 at 4:58 PM
My friend tells me the idiom "crossed the Rubicon" is overused. What's are the alternatives?
Great postdoc opportunity here academicjobsonline.org/ajo/program/...
Study the role of worker voice in AI-driven organizational change with the excellent scholars at Cornell's ILR School.
Study the role of worker voice in AI-driven organizational change with the excellent scholars at Cornell's ILR School.
LinkedIn
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
lnkd.in
April 1, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Great postdoc opportunity here academicjobsonline.org/ajo/program/...
Study the role of worker voice in AI-driven organizational change with the excellent scholars at Cornell's ILR School.
Study the role of worker voice in AI-driven organizational change with the excellent scholars at Cornell's ILR School.
I appreciated speaking with @talsmith.bsky.social for his excellent analysis on the question of data vs sentiment in the U.S. economy www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/b...
March 31, 2025 at 4:43 PM
I appreciated speaking with @talsmith.bsky.social for his excellent analysis on the question of data vs sentiment in the U.S. economy www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/b...
Reposted by Owen Davis
For Equal Pay Day 2025, we looked at Glassdoor ratings & found women rate their employee satisfaction 3.5% lower than men. While this gap is present in satisfaction w/ compensation & benefits (-3.6%), other factors like senior mgmt (-3.4%) and career opportunities (-3%) also show a gap as well.
March 25, 2025 at 2:07 PM
For Equal Pay Day 2025, we looked at Glassdoor ratings & found women rate their employee satisfaction 3.5% lower than men. While this gap is present in satisfaction w/ compensation & benefits (-3.6%), other factors like senior mgmt (-3.4%) and career opportunities (-3%) also show a gap as well.
Just heard someone cite this stat as something to the effect of "ChatGPT is wrong 60% of the time" which is wrong and not what the CJR study found. CJR found that AI search tools got *news citations* wrong that often. That's bad, but it's not the same as genAI getting facts wrong generally.
Columbia Journalism Review tested eight generative AI search tools and found their answers were wrong 60% of the time, and the paid ones actually fared worse than the free ones.
Meanwhile, millions of people trust the way they present total bullshit with confident language.
Meanwhile, millions of people trust the way they present total bullshit with confident language.
AI search engines cite incorrect sources at an alarming 60% rate, study says
CJR study shows AI search services misinform users and ignore publisher exclusion requests.
arstechnica.com
March 25, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Just heard someone cite this stat as something to the effect of "ChatGPT is wrong 60% of the time" which is wrong and not what the CJR study found. CJR found that AI search tools got *news citations* wrong that often. That's bad, but it's not the same as genAI getting facts wrong generally.
I like this addition to the abundance discourse from @dsquareddigest.bsky.social. It's only natural that things take longer to build over time (how much longer is a different question) backofmind.substack.com/p/cybernetic...
March 19, 2025 at 2:05 PM
I like this addition to the abundance discourse from @dsquareddigest.bsky.social. It's only natural that things take longer to build over time (how much longer is a different question) backofmind.substack.com/p/cybernetic...
Reposted by Owen Davis
NEW: The Census Bureau hasn't been recruiting and retaining enough interviewers for three key surveys, including the source of the monthly job report, and lacks a plan for building up a field representative staff, the bureau's internal watchdog, Commerce OIG, finds
www.oig.doc.gov/wp-content/O...
www.oig.doc.gov/wp-content/O...
March 15, 2025 at 1:01 AM
NEW: The Census Bureau hasn't been recruiting and retaining enough interviewers for three key surveys, including the source of the monthly job report, and lacks a plan for building up a field representative staff, the bureau's internal watchdog, Commerce OIG, finds
www.oig.doc.gov/wp-content/O...
www.oig.doc.gov/wp-content/O...
McDonald's is looking to implement a “generative AI virtual manager” www.wsj.com/articles/mcd...
McDonald’s Gives Its Restaurants an AI Makeover
The fast-food giant’s new initiative uses artificial intelligence to target order accuracy and help restaurants detect equipment issues before they fail.
www.wsj.com
March 12, 2025 at 1:19 PM
McDonald's is looking to implement a “generative AI virtual manager” www.wsj.com/articles/mcd...
Reposted by Owen Davis
Last thing. BLS does amazing work to create timely, accurate info about America's working families & employers, a huge public good. They are there for us & we need to show up for them.
If you are a labor researcher or care about employment, follow & join Friends of BLS.
www.friendsofbls.org/join
If you are a labor researcher or care about employment, follow & join Friends of BLS.
www.friendsofbls.org/join
Join — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
www.friendsofbls.org
March 7, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Last thing. BLS does amazing work to create timely, accurate info about America's working families & employers, a huge public good. They are there for us & we need to show up for them.
If you are a labor researcher or care about employment, follow & join Friends of BLS.
www.friendsofbls.org/join
If you are a labor researcher or care about employment, follow & join Friends of BLS.
www.friendsofbls.org/join
Really odd trend over time. Falling pre-GFC but rising into 2020, big COVID dip then back up. Are we just resuming a secular post-2010 trend? Have lending standards gradually shifted over time (and not just with biz cycles)?
(Bloomberg) - Car owners are missing their monthly payments at the highest rate in more than 30 years.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
March 7, 2025 at 3:39 AM
Really odd trend over time. Falling pre-GFC but rising into 2020, big COVID dip then back up. Are we just resuming a secular post-2010 trend? Have lending standards gradually shifted over time (and not just with biz cycles)?
Reposted by Owen Davis
Sloan Foundation announced a program to support postdocs in philosophy, sociology, and metascience who want to understand how AI will affect science.
Pass it along to anyone who might be interested, the Institute for Complex Social Dynamics might be interested in hosting
sloan.org/programs/dig...
Pass it along to anyone who might be interested, the Institute for Complex Social Dynamics might be interested in hosting
sloan.org/programs/dig...
Call for submissions: Metascience and AI postdoctoral fellowship | Alfred P. Sloan Foundation
Our mission is to make the world a better place through the advancement of scientific knowledge.
sloan.org
March 7, 2025 at 12:27 AM
Sloan Foundation announced a program to support postdocs in philosophy, sociology, and metascience who want to understand how AI will affect science.
Pass it along to anyone who might be interested, the Institute for Complex Social Dynamics might be interested in hosting
sloan.org/programs/dig...
Pass it along to anyone who might be interested, the Institute for Complex Social Dynamics might be interested in hosting
sloan.org/programs/dig...
Reposted by Owen Davis
40% of students who start college don't finish. Some high schools that once pushed "college for all" are grappling with that reality, and providing teens with more career-focused learning.
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/u...
Some Schools Rethink “College For All”
The idea that every student should aim for a four-year college motivated a bipartisan movement for decades. Now even enthusiastic promoters of the idea are reconsidering it.
www.nytimes.com
March 6, 2025 at 8:01 PM
40% of students who start college don't finish. Some high schools that once pushed "college for all" are grappling with that reality, and providing teens with more career-focused learning.
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/u...
Reposted by Owen Davis
Cool new opportunity @equitablegrowth.bsky.social
#FundSocSci #EconSky #Sociology #PolicySky #EduSky
equitablegrowth.applicantpro.com/jobs/3632377
#FundSocSci #EconSky #Sociology #PolicySky #EduSky
equitablegrowth.applicantpro.com/jobs/3632377
March 6, 2025 at 3:29 PM
March 6, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Not a good trend. Wonder if this is also showing up in IRS admin data www.wsj.com/personal-fin...
March 6, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Not a good trend. Wonder if this is also showing up in IRS admin data www.wsj.com/personal-fin...
Reposted by Owen Davis
List of CDC information that appears to have been taken down so far:
1. CDC Atlas
2. CDC Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System
3. HRSA Target
4. Language removed for LGBT work
5. CDC Social Vulnerability Index
1. CDC Atlas
2. CDC Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System
3. HRSA Target
4. Language removed for LGBT work
5. CDC Social Vulnerability Index
January 31, 2025 at 6:03 PM
List of CDC information that appears to have been taken down so far:
1. CDC Atlas
2. CDC Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System
3. HRSA Target
4. Language removed for LGBT work
5. CDC Social Vulnerability Index
1. CDC Atlas
2. CDC Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System
3. HRSA Target
4. Language removed for LGBT work
5. CDC Social Vulnerability Index
Reposted by Owen Davis
It’s official: all funding requests made on Tuesday by postdocs for their salaries have been unilaterally rejected by NSF.
January 30, 2025 at 7:51 PM
It’s official: all funding requests made on Tuesday by postdocs for their salaries have been unilaterally rejected by NSF.
Parental support for permitting their children "to misrepresent something about their identity … to qualify for additional resources or initiatives (e.g., scholarships, affirmative action).” Goes up with income, but only among those who believe in upward mobility! papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
January 28, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Parental support for permitting their children "to misrepresent something about their identity … to qualify for additional resources or initiatives (e.g., scholarships, affirmative action).” Goes up with income, but only among those who believe in upward mobility! papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Fun Baffler piece about AI advances in HR tech. This is a new one for me
thebaffler.com/outbursts/hi...
thebaffler.com/outbursts/hi...
January 24, 2025 at 9:33 PM
Fun Baffler piece about AI advances in HR tech. This is a new one for me
thebaffler.com/outbursts/hi...
thebaffler.com/outbursts/hi...
Reposted by Owen Davis
Featured in the latest Bulletin on Retirment and Disability: "Health Inequality and Economic Disparities by Race, Ethnicity, and Gender"
https://www.nber.org/brd/20244/health-inequality-and-economic-disparities-race-ethnicity-and-gender
https://www.nber.org/brd/20244/health-inequality-and-economic-disparities-race-ethnicity-and-gender
January 17, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Featured in the latest Bulletin on Retirment and Disability: "Health Inequality and Economic Disparities by Race, Ethnicity, and Gender"
https://www.nber.org/brd/20244/health-inequality-and-economic-disparities-race-ethnicity-and-gender
https://www.nber.org/brd/20244/health-inequality-and-economic-disparities-race-ethnicity-and-gender
They don’t name em like they used to
January 17, 2025 at 12:29 AM
They don’t name em like they used to