Owen Davis
@odavis.bsky.social
Senior economist at the New York City Independent Budget Office. Interests: Aging, work, public policy, technology.
not all lines going down
April 7, 2025 at 2:14 AM
not all lines going down
I appreciated speaking with @talsmith.bsky.social for his excellent analysis on the question of data vs sentiment in the U.S. economy www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/b...
March 31, 2025 at 4:43 PM
I appreciated speaking with @talsmith.bsky.social for his excellent analysis on the question of data vs sentiment in the U.S. economy www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/b...
I like this addition to the abundance discourse from @dsquareddigest.bsky.social. It's only natural that things take longer to build over time (how much longer is a different question) backofmind.substack.com/p/cybernetic...
March 19, 2025 at 2:05 PM
I like this addition to the abundance discourse from @dsquareddigest.bsky.social. It's only natural that things take longer to build over time (how much longer is a different question) backofmind.substack.com/p/cybernetic...
March 6, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Not a good trend. Wonder if this is also showing up in IRS admin data www.wsj.com/personal-fin...
March 6, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Not a good trend. Wonder if this is also showing up in IRS admin data www.wsj.com/personal-fin...
Parental support for permitting their children "to misrepresent something about their identity … to qualify for additional resources or initiatives (e.g., scholarships, affirmative action).” Goes up with income, but only among those who believe in upward mobility! papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
January 28, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Parental support for permitting their children "to misrepresent something about their identity … to qualify for additional resources or initiatives (e.g., scholarships, affirmative action).” Goes up with income, but only among those who believe in upward mobility! papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Fun Baffler piece about AI advances in HR tech. This is a new one for me
thebaffler.com/outbursts/hi...
thebaffler.com/outbursts/hi...
January 24, 2025 at 9:33 PM
Fun Baffler piece about AI advances in HR tech. This is a new one for me
thebaffler.com/outbursts/hi...
thebaffler.com/outbursts/hi...
They don’t name em like they used to
January 17, 2025 at 12:29 AM
They don’t name em like they used to
They discuss some possible mechanisms here, short-staffing among them. They claim their results are consistent with work intensification leading to injuries but I don't think they can say whether that's due to short-staffing or employers trying to get more bang for their buck (so to speak)
January 16, 2025 at 9:37 PM
They discuss some possible mechanisms here, short-staffing among them. They claim their results are consistent with work intensification leading to injuries but I don't think they can say whether that's due to short-staffing or employers trying to get more bang for their buck (so to speak)
For the first time since 2014, wage growth* is faster for highest-paid workers than the lowest-paid workers.
* according to the Atlanta Fed wage growth measure
* according to the Atlanta Fed wage growth measure
January 16, 2025 at 1:01 PM
For the first time since 2014, wage growth* is faster for highest-paid workers than the lowest-paid workers.
* according to the Atlanta Fed wage growth measure
* according to the Atlanta Fed wage growth measure
Minimum wage hikes appear to lead to more workplace injuries, possibly because employers push workers harder. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
January 16, 2025 at 12:58 PM
Minimum wage hikes appear to lead to more workplace injuries, possibly because employers push workers harder. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Among Republicans, the median expected change in prices over the the next year is ~0% www.briefingbook.info/p/digging-in...
January 13, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Among Republicans, the median expected change in prices over the the next year is ~0% www.briefingbook.info/p/digging-in...
Evidence that post-Dobbs abortion bans spurred significant interstate migration www.nber.org/papers/w3332...
January 6, 2025 at 12:54 PM
Evidence that post-Dobbs abortion bans spurred significant interstate migration www.nber.org/papers/w3332...
what's up with "learnings"?
January 4, 2025 at 3:19 PM
what's up with "learnings"?
Generative AI is driving major unmeasured productivity improvements in dream analysis and D&D assets.anthropic.com/m/7e1ab885d1...
December 13, 2024 at 2:15 PM
Generative AI is driving major unmeasured productivity improvements in dream analysis and D&D assets.anthropic.com/m/7e1ab885d1...
a technological innovation affecting the human information ecosystem spurs irrational violence link.springer.com/article/10.1...
December 10, 2024 at 9:44 PM
a technological innovation affecting the human information ecosystem spurs irrational violence link.springer.com/article/10.1...
A good chunk of this trend is demographic change. Old people move less and the population got older. Tho still, significant declines in mobility within age groups. www.jchs.harvard.edu/blog/who-is-...
December 10, 2024 at 7:41 PM
A good chunk of this trend is demographic change. Old people move less and the population got older. Tho still, significant declines in mobility within age groups. www.jchs.harvard.edu/blog/who-is-...
What explains the gender gap in genAI usage? (Note that this gap seems to hold when adjusting for occupation etc)
www.hbs.edu/ris/Publicat...
www.hbs.edu/ris/Publicat...
December 9, 2024 at 6:12 PM
What explains the gender gap in genAI usage? (Note that this gap seems to hold when adjusting for occupation etc)
www.hbs.edu/ris/Publicat...
www.hbs.edu/ris/Publicat...
Appreciate this from @himself.bsky.social on the likely effects of LLMs on management. Also the characterization of LLMs as "automating the creation and remixing of summarizations of textual culture"! www.programmablemutter.com/p/the-manage...
December 9, 2024 at 2:28 PM
Appreciate this from @himself.bsky.social on the likely effects of LLMs on management. Also the characterization of LLMs as "automating the creation and remixing of summarizations of textual culture"! www.programmablemutter.com/p/the-manage...
December 6, 2024 at 9:27 PM
Why does a guaranteed income (pilot) make people appreciate the importance of work more? Could make them consider others who they imagine to be more wasteful. Increases the salience of work ethic?
December 2, 2024 at 3:53 PM
Why does a guaranteed income (pilot) make people appreciate the importance of work more? Could make them consider others who they imagine to be more wasteful. Increases the salience of work ethic?
Lots of interesting details in the newest working paper out of the big Open Research guaranteed income pilot. This one especially: cash recipients have *greater* assessment of intrinsic importance of work www.nber.org/system/files...
December 2, 2024 at 3:49 PM
Lots of interesting details in the newest working paper out of the big Open Research guaranteed income pilot. This one especially: cash recipients have *greater* assessment of intrinsic importance of work www.nber.org/system/files...
Interesting new working paper, "AI Adoption and the Demand for Managerial Expertise," which connects AI adoption to higher firm-level demand for managerial skills and job openings. www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/zn2ot...
November 25, 2024 at 3:44 PM
Interesting new working paper, "AI Adoption and the Demand for Managerial Expertise," which connects AI adoption to higher firm-level demand for managerial skills and job openings. www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/zn2ot...
By this test, a skilled art forger copying Bruegels is equal in merit to Bruegel
November 21, 2024 at 1:09 PM
By this test, a skilled art forger copying Bruegels is equal in merit to Bruegel