John Felix
@nedsnow2019.bsky.social
Tracking russian Mod claims of Ukr losses.
Love:
playing Metro, Stalker, Witcher, Dishonored, Hoi4;
Taylor Swift;
Jane Austen, Sapkowski and Tolkien
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1U1kZiRglakIO_rfyYaR2cNaD2DUNCGKWv60iDPspgFs/edit?usp=sharing
Love:
playing Metro, Stalker, Witcher, Dishonored, Hoi4;
Taylor Swift;
Jane Austen, Sapkowski and Tolkien
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1U1kZiRglakIO_rfyYaR2cNaD2DUNCGKWv60iDPspgFs/edit?usp=sharing
Pinned
John Felix
@nedsnow2019.bsky.social
· Nov 19
russian claims of Ukrainian destroyed equipment, daily and total, Plus rus and Ukr MoD claims compared with visually confirmed destroyed losses (for now, just Oryx)
docs.google.com
Tomorrow I'll do a complete thread on the cooked figures provided by the russian MoD. Will focus primarily on the artillery systems (as it is the category russia specifies the most), but will talk a bit of the MRLs, aircraft, rockets, missiles, radars and EWS
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
I believe El Pais may be misinterpreting Albares, which mentioned in a radio interview that Spain had provided in the past year (2024?) 1 billion euros in military aid, and this year (2025) their compromise was to reach a value at least equal to that. No mention of PURL.
❗️Spain will contribute €1 billion to buy U.S. weapons for Ukraine under the PURL program, according to Foreign Minister Albares. The funds will also be used to purchase generators to help Ukraine withstand Russian strikes on its energy grid this winter. A major boost ahead of the cold season.
November 18, 2025 at 1:34 PM
I believe El Pais may be misinterpreting Albares, which mentioned in a radio interview that Spain had provided in the past year (2024?) 1 billion euros in military aid, and this year (2025) their compromise was to reach a value at least equal to that. No mention of PURL.
Reposted by John Felix
Update on German deliveries of loitering munitions: hartpunkt reports that Simon Brünjes, Vice President Sales at Helsing, stated to journalists that Helsing has delivered 1,950 HF-1 loitering munitions to #Ukraine, about half of all HF-1s firmly contracted by Germany.
1/3
1/3
July 10, 2025 at 2:39 PM
Update on German deliveries of loitering munitions: hartpunkt reports that Simon Brünjes, Vice President Sales at Helsing, stated to journalists that Helsing has delivered 1,950 HF-1 loitering munitions to #Ukraine, about half of all HF-1s firmly contracted by Germany.
1/3
1/3
Reposted by John Felix
Couple interesting things related to the death of the Transport Minister…
‼️ Russia: “Former Transport Minister Roman Starovoit was found dead after being fired, the Telegram channels “ 112 ” and Baza , which are close to the security forces, reported”
👀
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/07/07/b...
👀
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/07/07/b...
July 8, 2025 at 12:21 AM
Couple interesting things related to the death of the Transport Minister…
Been away from Bluesky for a while.
Another graph of the russian interception claims of Ukrainian Long-Range OWA UAVs, on a yearly quarter basis, showcasing the total claimed on each quarter, as of each day of said quarter.
Q3 2025 is off to a great start, but I feel it will stagnate for a few days.
Another graph of the russian interception claims of Ukrainian Long-Range OWA UAVs, on a yearly quarter basis, showcasing the total claimed on each quarter, as of each day of said quarter.
Q3 2025 is off to a great start, but I feel it will stagnate for a few days.
July 7, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Been away from Bluesky for a while.
Another graph of the russian interception claims of Ukrainian Long-Range OWA UAVs, on a yearly quarter basis, showcasing the total claimed on each quarter, as of each day of said quarter.
Q3 2025 is off to a great start, but I feel it will stagnate for a few days.
Another graph of the russian interception claims of Ukrainian Long-Range OWA UAVs, on a yearly quarter basis, showcasing the total claimed on each quarter, as of each day of said quarter.
Q3 2025 is off to a great start, but I feel it will stagnate for a few days.
Reposted by John Felix
This would potentially be a very positive move, depending on who replaces Markarova.
Ukraine’s current diplomatic staff have, unfortunately, proven relatively ineffective at engaging with Congress as well as navigating the arms export process, even before Trump took office.
Ukraine’s current diplomatic staff have, unfortunately, proven relatively ineffective at engaging with Congress as well as navigating the arms export process, even before Trump took office.
President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy discussed with US President Donald Trump the replacement of the Ukrainian ambassador to Washington, D.C., Oksana Markarova, Bloomberg reports, citing an unnamed source.
July 7, 2025 at 6:41 PM
This would potentially be a very positive move, depending on who replaces Markarova.
Ukraine’s current diplomatic staff have, unfortunately, proven relatively ineffective at engaging with Congress as well as navigating the arms export process, even before Trump took office.
Ukraine’s current diplomatic staff have, unfortunately, proven relatively ineffective at engaging with Congress as well as navigating the arms export process, even before Trump took office.
Reposted by John Felix
‼️ Russia: “Lavrov: Creation of BRICS currency has never been discussed”
Russia created a prototype banknote at the October BRICS meeting!
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7871401
Russia created a prototype banknote at the October BRICS meeting!
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7871401
July 7, 2025 at 6:48 PM
‼️ Russia: “Lavrov: Creation of BRICS currency has never been discussed”
Russia created a prototype banknote at the October BRICS meeting!
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7871401
Russia created a prototype banknote at the October BRICS meeting!
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7871401
Reposted by John Felix
🧵 — BILD just exclusively published a list of military equipment that the Ukrainian government has requested as military aid from the German government. Military and industry circles have apparently confirmed the existence of the list.
1/12
1/12
July 6, 2025 at 1:47 PM
🧵 — BILD just exclusively published a list of military equipment that the Ukrainian government has requested as military aid from the German government. Military and industry circles have apparently confirmed the existence of the list.
1/12
1/12
Reposted by John Felix
Hi all,
I sent out my latest newsletter earlier today.
I estimate U.S. and European production of ballistic missile interceptors and compare it to Russia’s output of conventional ballistic missiles.
Access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/europes-mi...
Short summary below.
1/7
I sent out my latest newsletter earlier today.
I estimate U.S. and European production of ballistic missile interceptors and compare it to Russia’s output of conventional ballistic missiles.
Access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/europes-mi...
Short summary below.
1/7
Europe's Missile Gap: How Russia Outcompetes Europe in the Conventional Missile Domain
Europe's missile defense efforts are unable to keep pace with Russia’s expanding ballistic missile arsenal
missilematters.substack.com
July 6, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Hi all,
I sent out my latest newsletter earlier today.
I estimate U.S. and European production of ballistic missile interceptors and compare it to Russia’s output of conventional ballistic missiles.
Access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/europes-mi...
Short summary below.
1/7
I sent out my latest newsletter earlier today.
I estimate U.S. and European production of ballistic missile interceptors and compare it to Russia’s output of conventional ballistic missiles.
Access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/europes-mi...
Short summary below.
1/7
Reposted by John Felix
Military aid to Ukraine updated with:
Delivered;
-- All following items have been delivered during 2024 --
- 🇪🇸 12 M113 Armoured Personnel Carriers
- 🇪🇸 53 URO Vamtac Infantry Mobility Vehicles
- 🇪🇸 1 HAWK Medium Range Air Defence Battery
1/2
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Delivered;
-- All following items have been delivered during 2024 --
- 🇪🇸 12 M113 Armoured Personnel Carriers
- 🇪🇸 53 URO Vamtac Infantry Mobility Vehicles
- 🇪🇸 1 HAWK Medium Range Air Defence Battery
1/2
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
July 5, 2025 at 10:04 AM
Military aid to Ukraine updated with:
Delivered;
-- All following items have been delivered during 2024 --
- 🇪🇸 12 M113 Armoured Personnel Carriers
- 🇪🇸 53 URO Vamtac Infantry Mobility Vehicles
- 🇪🇸 1 HAWK Medium Range Air Defence Battery
1/2
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Delivered;
-- All following items have been delivered during 2024 --
- 🇪🇸 12 M113 Armoured Personnel Carriers
- 🇪🇸 53 URO Vamtac Infantry Mobility Vehicles
- 🇪🇸 1 HAWK Medium Range Air Defence Battery
1/2
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Reposted by John Felix
‼️ “US Senators of Both Parties Call for $300 Billion in Russian Assets to Be Seized and Transferred to Ukraine”
Do it. Do it now!
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/24/s...
Do it. Do it now!
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/24/s...
March 24, 2025 at 8:20 PM
‼️ “US Senators of Both Parties Call for $300 Billion in Russian Assets to Be Seized and Transferred to Ukraine”
Do it. Do it now!
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/24/s...
Do it. Do it now!
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/24/s...
Reposted by John Felix
‼️ “The Russian Ministry of Agriculture supported the idea of the Ministry of Industry and Trade to oblige shops and restaurants to include Russian wines in their assortment, securing a 20% share of the total number of names for domestic alcohol.”
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7603669
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7603669
March 24, 2025 at 9:09 PM
‼️ “The Russian Ministry of Agriculture supported the idea of the Ministry of Industry and Trade to oblige shops and restaurants to include Russian wines in their assortment, securing a 20% share of the total number of names for domestic alcohol.”
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7603669
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7603669
Reposted by John Felix
This meeting could have been a memo.
And that memo could have been an email.
And that email could have been an unsecured Signal group-chat with the editor-in-chief of The Atlantic.
And that memo could have been an email.
And that email could have been an unsecured Signal group-chat with the editor-in-chief of The Atlantic.
March 24, 2025 at 9:53 PM
This meeting could have been a memo.
And that memo could have been an email.
And that email could have been an unsecured Signal group-chat with the editor-in-chief of The Atlantic.
And that memo could have been an email.
And that email could have been an unsecured Signal group-chat with the editor-in-chief of The Atlantic.
Reposted by John Felix
Some of statements in article seem…unsubstantiated?
Russia is pumping a ton of propaganda that foreign businesses and investments will return to Russia.
Which makes jumping to conclusions even more dangerous.
Let me explain…
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/20/i...
Russia is pumping a ton of propaganda that foreign businesses and investments will return to Russia.
Which makes jumping to conclusions even more dangerous.
Let me explain…
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/20/i...
March 20, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Some of statements in article seem…unsubstantiated?
Russia is pumping a ton of propaganda that foreign businesses and investments will return to Russia.
Which makes jumping to conclusions even more dangerous.
Let me explain…
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/20/i...
Russia is pumping a ton of propaganda that foreign businesses and investments will return to Russia.
Which makes jumping to conclusions even more dangerous.
Let me explain…
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/20/i...
Reposted by John Felix
‼️ Russia: The Russian Central Bank did not consider any options other than keeping the rate at 21%
🇷🇺: Your choices are: 21.00% or 21.00%! But we can talk about this signal you want to send…
www.interfax.ru/business/101...
🇷🇺: Your choices are: 21.00% or 21.00%! But we can talk about this signal you want to send…
www.interfax.ru/business/101...
March 21, 2025 at 5:52 PM
‼️ Russia: The Russian Central Bank did not consider any options other than keeping the rate at 21%
🇷🇺: Your choices are: 21.00% or 21.00%! But we can talk about this signal you want to send…
www.interfax.ru/business/101...
🇷🇺: Your choices are: 21.00% or 21.00%! But we can talk about this signal you want to send…
www.interfax.ru/business/101...
Reposted by John Felix
‼️ Russia: RSPP Head Alexander Shokhin “predicts key rate reduction no earlier than second half of year”
RSPP = Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs
It’s sometimes called the oligarchs’ union. They reportedly had a closed door meeting with Putin recently.
tass.ru/ekonomika/23...
RSPP = Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs
It’s sometimes called the oligarchs’ union. They reportedly had a closed door meeting with Putin recently.
tass.ru/ekonomika/23...
March 23, 2025 at 1:51 AM
‼️ Russia: RSPP Head Alexander Shokhin “predicts key rate reduction no earlier than second half of year”
RSPP = Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs
It’s sometimes called the oligarchs’ union. They reportedly had a closed door meeting with Putin recently.
tass.ru/ekonomika/23...
RSPP = Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs
It’s sometimes called the oligarchs’ union. They reportedly had a closed door meeting with Putin recently.
tass.ru/ekonomika/23...
Reposted by John Felix
‼️ Russian Railways Update Thread
A long article was released today and we need to talk about it.
A long article was released today and we need to talk about it.
March 14, 2025 at 3:52 PM
‼️ Russian Railways Update Thread
A long article was released today and we need to talk about it.
A long article was released today and we need to talk about it.
Reposted by John Felix
‼️ “Zelensky reported the successful testing and combat use of a new Ukrainian missile with a range of one thousand kilometers”
🇺🇦: 😊 Long Neptune
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/15/z...
🇺🇦: 😊 Long Neptune
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/15/z...
March 15, 2025 at 9:45 PM
‼️ “Zelensky reported the successful testing and combat use of a new Ukrainian missile with a range of one thousand kilometers”
🇺🇦: 😊 Long Neptune
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/15/z...
🇺🇦: 😊 Long Neptune
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/15/z...
Reposted by John Felix
‼️ Russia: “The Ministry of Health reported a disruption in the supply of a drug for cystic fibrosis”
And once again, the problem wasn’t sanctions.
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/15/v...
And once again, the problem wasn’t sanctions.
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/15/v...
March 15, 2025 at 10:27 PM
‼️ Russia: “The Ministry of Health reported a disruption in the supply of a drug for cystic fibrosis”
And once again, the problem wasn’t sanctions.
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/15/v...
And once again, the problem wasn’t sanctions.
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/03/15/v...
Reposted by John Felix
‼️ Russia: “In the vicinity of the Kamchatka volcano Bezymyanny, 167 seismic tremors were recorded.”
✅ Kamchatka
✅ Volcano
POINTS!
www.mk.ru/incident/202...
✅ Kamchatka
✅ Volcano
POINTS!
www.mk.ru/incident/202...
March 16, 2025 at 3:00 AM
‼️ Russia: “In the vicinity of the Kamchatka volcano Bezymyanny, 167 seismic tremors were recorded.”
✅ Kamchatka
✅ Volcano
POINTS!
www.mk.ru/incident/202...
✅ Kamchatka
✅ Volcano
POINTS!
www.mk.ru/incident/202...
Reposted by John Felix
I don’t think my kids believe me
March 16, 2025 at 3:58 AM
I don’t think my kids believe me
Reposted by John Felix
Reposted by John Felix
It's kind of astounding to watch him bluster because of how clear it is that he's emoting at Yemen with missiles rather than engaging in strategy.
'I'm angry, so I can going to toss $2m missiles into $500 hovels until you stop" without any sense of if that will actually make someone stop. 1/
'I'm angry, so I can going to toss $2m missiles into $500 hovels until you stop" without any sense of if that will actually make someone stop. 1/
Pete Hegseth: "I don't -- we don't care what happens in the Yemeni civil war."
March 16, 2025 at 5:42 PM
It's kind of astounding to watch him bluster because of how clear it is that he's emoting at Yemen with missiles rather than engaging in strategy.
'I'm angry, so I can going to toss $2m missiles into $500 hovels until you stop" without any sense of if that will actually make someone stop. 1/
'I'm angry, so I can going to toss $2m missiles into $500 hovels until you stop" without any sense of if that will actually make someone stop. 1/
Reposted by John Felix
‼️ Russia: “Economists disagree on forecasts”
The next Central Bank Meeting is at the end of next week (21 March 2025) so expect lots of discussions.
But wait until you here a statement in this article 👀
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7564065
The next Central Bank Meeting is at the end of next week (21 March 2025) so expect lots of discussions.
But wait until you here a statement in this article 👀
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7564065
March 10, 2025 at 3:44 PM
‼️ Russia: “Economists disagree on forecasts”
The next Central Bank Meeting is at the end of next week (21 March 2025) so expect lots of discussions.
But wait until you here a statement in this article 👀
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7564065
The next Central Bank Meeting is at the end of next week (21 March 2025) so expect lots of discussions.
But wait until you here a statement in this article 👀
www.kommersant.ru/doc/7564065