John Felix
@nedsnow2019.bsky.social
Tracking russian Mod claims of Ukr losses.
Love:
playing Metro, Stalker, Witcher, Dishonored, Hoi4;
Taylor Swift;
Jane Austen, Sapkowski and Tolkien
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1U1kZiRglakIO_rfyYaR2cNaD2DUNCGKWv60iDPspgFs/edit?usp=sharing
Love:
playing Metro, Stalker, Witcher, Dishonored, Hoi4;
Taylor Swift;
Jane Austen, Sapkowski and Tolkien
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1U1kZiRglakIO_rfyYaR2cNaD2DUNCGKWv60iDPspgFs/edit?usp=sharing
The same, but the daily average for each week.
July 7, 2025 at 7:29 PM
The same, but the daily average for each week.
And a graph with the daily average, for each month, of the amount of regions where an LR OWA Ukrainian UAVs was claimed to be intercepted over
July 7, 2025 at 7:29 PM
And a graph with the daily average, for each month, of the amount of regions where an LR OWA Ukrainian UAVs was claimed to be intercepted over
Been away from Bluesky for a while.
Another graph of the russian interception claims of Ukrainian Long-Range OWA UAVs, on a yearly quarter basis, showcasing the total claimed on each quarter, as of each day of said quarter.
Q3 2025 is off to a great start, but I feel it will stagnate for a few days.
Another graph of the russian interception claims of Ukrainian Long-Range OWA UAVs, on a yearly quarter basis, showcasing the total claimed on each quarter, as of each day of said quarter.
Q3 2025 is off to a great start, but I feel it will stagnate for a few days.
July 7, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Been away from Bluesky for a while.
Another graph of the russian interception claims of Ukrainian Long-Range OWA UAVs, on a yearly quarter basis, showcasing the total claimed on each quarter, as of each day of said quarter.
Q3 2025 is off to a great start, but I feel it will stagnate for a few days.
Another graph of the russian interception claims of Ukrainian Long-Range OWA UAVs, on a yearly quarter basis, showcasing the total claimed on each quarter, as of each day of said quarter.
Q3 2025 is off to a great start, but I feel it will stagnate for a few days.
And the weekly claims since January 2023.
By caliber, I forgot to mention, including other calibers, that include 100mm, some AA calibers being used in the artillery role, and few heavy SP mortars.
By caliber, I forgot to mention, including other calibers, that include 100mm, some AA calibers being used in the artillery role, and few heavy SP mortars.
February 4, 2025 at 1:53 PM
And the weekly claims since January 2023.
By caliber, I forgot to mention, including other calibers, that include 100mm, some AA calibers being used in the artillery role, and few heavy SP mortars.
By caliber, I forgot to mention, including other calibers, that include 100mm, some AA calibers being used in the artillery role, and few heavy SP mortars.
Also, here's the weekly average for each month since January 2023.
February 4, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Also, here's the weekly average for each month since January 2023.
And with the end of January, russian claims of Ukrainian artillery remain strange. The % of NATO calibers claimed destroyed has steadily decreased from October 2024 onwards. On January 2025, they represented less than 18% of the claimed howitzers. For a time I thought russian
February 4, 2025 at 1:51 PM
And with the end of January, russian claims of Ukrainian artillery remain strange. The % of NATO calibers claimed destroyed has steadily decreased from October 2024 onwards. On January 2025, they represented less than 18% of the claimed howitzers. For a time I thought russian
And a breakdown by region
February 1, 2025 at 12:52 AM
And a breakdown by region
Also, in 2024, Ukraine claimed to produce 7k LRUAVs, and russia claimed to intercept 8k LRUAVs.
Also, here's a graph with the overall russian UAV claims (blue), and, in red, those which were LR-UAVs claims over rus territory, Azov and Black Seas, and temporarily occupied Crimea
Also, here's a graph with the overall russian UAV claims (blue), and, in red, those which were LR-UAVs claims over rus territory, Azov and Black Seas, and temporarily occupied Crimea
February 1, 2025 at 12:51 AM
Also, in 2024, Ukraine claimed to produce 7k LRUAVs, and russia claimed to intercept 8k LRUAVs.
Also, here's a graph with the overall russian UAV claims (blue), and, in red, those which were LR-UAVs claims over rus territory, Azov and Black Seas, and temporarily occupied Crimea
Also, here's a graph with the overall russian UAV claims (blue), and, in red, those which were LR-UAVs claims over rus territory, Azov and Black Seas, and temporarily occupied Crimea
And January has broken the record, with 1314 claimed interceptions of Ukrainian Long-Range UAVs.
If we take these numbers at least as having some resemblance with the number of LRUAVs Ukraine has used in these attacks, we can expect for them to keep on rising. Ukraine expects to
If we take these numbers at least as having some resemblance with the number of LRUAVs Ukraine has used in these attacks, we can expect for them to keep on rising. Ukraine expects to
February 1, 2025 at 12:51 AM
And January has broken the record, with 1314 claimed interceptions of Ukrainian Long-Range UAVs.
If we take these numbers at least as having some resemblance with the number of LRUAVs Ukraine has used in these attacks, we can expect for them to keep on rising. Ukraine expects to
If we take these numbers at least as having some resemblance with the number of LRUAVs Ukraine has used in these attacks, we can expect for them to keep on rising. Ukraine expects to
russia now claims Ukraine has lost in each of the past 6 months more 50k KIA and WIA.
Based on russian daily reports, it's actually 66845 for August, 71200 for September, 69540 for October, 60805 for November, 56980 for December and 54120 for January 2025. Given russia claims Ukraine only managed to
Based on russian daily reports, it's actually 66845 for August, 71200 for September, 69540 for October, 60805 for November, 56980 for December and 54120 for January 2025. Given russia claims Ukraine only managed to
January 30, 2025 at 8:07 PM
russia now claims Ukraine has lost in each of the past 6 months more 50k KIA and WIA.
Based on russian daily reports, it's actually 66845 for August, 71200 for September, 69540 for October, 60805 for November, 56980 for December and 54120 for January 2025. Given russia claims Ukraine only managed to
Based on russian daily reports, it's actually 66845 for August, 71200 for September, 69540 for October, 60805 for November, 56980 for December and 54120 for January 2025. Given russia claims Ukraine only managed to
russia's weapons are so good and available in so much quantity, that the russian MoD decides to let us know some of their units captured a US M240 MG, fixed it, and intend to use it in combat.
How is this a flex?
How is this a flex?
January 24, 2025 at 2:20 PM
russia's weapons are so good and available in so much quantity, that the russian MoD decides to let us know some of their units captured a US M240 MG, fixed it, and intend to use it in combat.
How is this a flex?
How is this a flex?
Another russian MoD easily debunked lie. Using a captured Ukrainian soldier, they claim the 23rd Engineering Regiment has been disbanded, and it's troops sent to fight in Kursk (presumably as regular infantry).
Meanwhile, the unit's FB page is active, and they seem to be nowhere near Kursk
Meanwhile, the unit's FB page is active, and they seem to be nowhere near Kursk
January 23, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Another russian MoD easily debunked lie. Using a captured Ukrainian soldier, they claim the 23rd Engineering Regiment has been disbanded, and it's troops sent to fight in Kursk (presumably as regular infantry).
Meanwhile, the unit's FB page is active, and they seem to be nowhere near Kursk
Meanwhile, the unit's FB page is active, and they seem to be nowhere near Kursk
January 4th 2025, and the overall figures for January 5th 2025.
Today, the Kursk report mentions 340 troops, 4 tanks, 3 IFVs, 4 APCs, 12 ACVs, and 20 cars. rus added to the overall figures, 6 tanks, 4 IFVs, 6 APCs, 43 ACVs,2 HIMARS, 37 cars, 2 SAM launchers, 1200 troops and 5 EWS
Today, the Kursk report mentions 340 troops, 4 tanks, 3 IFVs, 4 APCs, 12 ACVs, and 20 cars. rus added to the overall figures, 6 tanks, 4 IFVs, 6 APCs, 43 ACVs,2 HIMARS, 37 cars, 2 SAM launchers, 1200 troops and 5 EWS
January 5, 2025 at 1:34 PM
January 4th 2025, and the overall figures for January 5th 2025.
Today, the Kursk report mentions 340 troops, 4 tanks, 3 IFVs, 4 APCs, 12 ACVs, and 20 cars. rus added to the overall figures, 6 tanks, 4 IFVs, 6 APCs, 43 ACVs,2 HIMARS, 37 cars, 2 SAM launchers, 1200 troops and 5 EWS
Today, the Kursk report mentions 340 troops, 4 tanks, 3 IFVs, 4 APCs, 12 ACVs, and 20 cars. rus added to the overall figures, 6 tanks, 4 IFVs, 6 APCs, 43 ACVs,2 HIMARS, 37 cars, 2 SAM launchers, 1200 troops and 5 EWS
What did Putin mean when he said:
We are so scared, "horror-horror." Well, "horror." But not "horror-horror-horror."
We are so scared, "horror-horror." Well, "horror." But not "horror-horror-horror."
December 19, 2024 at 11:40 AM
What did Putin mean when he said:
We are so scared, "horror-horror." Well, "horror." But not "horror-horror-horror."
We are so scared, "horror-horror." Well, "horror." But not "horror-horror-horror."
Where is Putin getting his intel?
According to his MoD, russia has destroy 1841 tanks and other armoured vehicles in the Kursk related area. The same MoD claims more than 7k tanks and other AVs across 2023
According to his MoD, russia has destroy 1841 tanks and other armoured vehicles in the Kursk related area. The same MoD claims more than 7k tanks and other AVs across 2023
December 19, 2024 at 11:39 AM
Where is Putin getting his intel?
According to his MoD, russia has destroy 1841 tanks and other armoured vehicles in the Kursk related area. The same MoD claims more than 7k tanks and other AVs across 2023
According to his MoD, russia has destroy 1841 tanks and other armoured vehicles in the Kursk related area. The same MoD claims more than 7k tanks and other AVs across 2023
The graph that I want to share with you is based on the same data. Showcases, out of the monthly sum of the 4 main calibers of howitzers claimed by russia (105, 155, 122 and 152mm), the % each caliber represents out of the total.
And this Graph is one of the many reasons to believe russian artillery
And this Graph is one of the many reasons to believe russian artillery
December 17, 2024 at 11:51 PM
The graph that I want to share with you is based on the same data. Showcases, out of the monthly sum of the 4 main calibers of howitzers claimed by russia (105, 155, 122 and 152mm), the % each caliber represents out of the total.
And this Graph is one of the many reasons to believe russian artillery
And this Graph is one of the many reasons to believe russian artillery
The following 2 Graphs showcases the amount of howitzers, specified by caliber, claimed by russia since the start of 2023 (1st Graph is weekly claims, with the last week being the 1st week of December, and the 2nd Graph is the weekly average of each month)
December 17, 2024 at 11:50 PM
The following 2 Graphs showcases the amount of howitzers, specified by caliber, claimed by russia since the start of 2023 (1st Graph is weekly claims, with the last week being the 1st week of December, and the 2nd Graph is the weekly average of each month)
well cooked. The following graph showcases the weekly average of each month, but specifies the amount of mortars versus the amount of howitzers.
As you can see, while the 1st graph implied an almost continuous rise in the claims, to reach an all-time high in December 2024 (if the remaining weeks
As you can see, while the 1st graph implied an almost continuous rise in the claims, to reach an all-time high in December 2024 (if the remaining weeks
December 17, 2024 at 10:33 PM
well cooked. The following graph showcases the weekly average of each month, but specifies the amount of mortars versus the amount of howitzers.
As you can see, while the 1st graph implied an almost continuous rise in the claims, to reach an all-time high in December 2024 (if the remaining weeks
As you can see, while the 1st graph implied an almost continuous rise in the claims, to reach an all-time high in December 2024 (if the remaining weeks
Mini thread on russian MoD claims of destroyed Ukrainian artillery:
While russian claims have always been highly exaggerated, for the past 6 monts, the artillery figures have reached a breaking point. Or so it seems. The following graph showcases the weekly average of each month.
While russian claims have always been highly exaggerated, for the past 6 monts, the artillery figures have reached a breaking point. Or so it seems. The following graph showcases the weekly average of each month.
December 17, 2024 at 10:29 PM
Mini thread on russian MoD claims of destroyed Ukrainian artillery:
While russian claims have always been highly exaggerated, for the past 6 monts, the artillery figures have reached a breaking point. Or so it seems. The following graph showcases the weekly average of each month.
While russian claims have always been highly exaggerated, for the past 6 monts, the artillery figures have reached a breaking point. Or so it seems. The following graph showcases the weekly average of each month.
also, russian Mod basically admits it's capacity for producing and refitting armoured vehicles has stagnated.
They claim production/refitting of IFVs and APCs has increased 3 fold, compared with 2022.
Meanwhile, in November 2023, Shoigu claimed the same thing.
They claim production/refitting of IFVs and APCs has increased 3 fold, compared with 2022.
Meanwhile, in November 2023, Shoigu claimed the same thing.
December 16, 2024 at 12:44 PM
also, russian Mod basically admits it's capacity for producing and refitting armoured vehicles has stagnated.
They claim production/refitting of IFVs and APCs has increased 3 fold, compared with 2022.
Meanwhile, in November 2023, Shoigu claimed the same thing.
They claim production/refitting of IFVs and APCs has increased 3 fold, compared with 2022.
Meanwhile, in November 2023, Shoigu claimed the same thing.
follow-up to the December 2023 posts where they provided specific figures on what they think the West has provided to Ukraine. I still hope.
Interestingly, they do claim over 58k units of equipment across 2024, while claiming 18k it was foreign made.
So, once again, they indirectly claim Ukraine
Interestingly, they do claim over 58k units of equipment across 2024, while claiming 18k it was foreign made.
So, once again, they indirectly claim Ukraine
December 16, 2024 at 12:03 PM
follow-up to the December 2023 posts where they provided specific figures on what they think the West has provided to Ukraine. I still hope.
Interestingly, they do claim over 58k units of equipment across 2024, while claiming 18k it was foreign made.
So, once again, they indirectly claim Ukraine
Interestingly, they do claim over 58k units of equipment across 2024, while claiming 18k it was foreign made.
So, once again, they indirectly claim Ukraine
Would like to inform mister Belousov that according to the MoD he presides over, in 2024 russia claims to have intercepted 226 ATACMS (plus 13 unspecified ballistic missiles which I count as ATACMS), 80 Storm Shadows/Scalp and 1657 HIMARS rockets.
Unfortunately, the russian MoD did not provide a
Unfortunately, the russian MoD did not provide a
December 16, 2024 at 12:01 PM
Would like to inform mister Belousov that according to the MoD he presides over, in 2024 russia claims to have intercepted 226 ATACMS (plus 13 unspecified ballistic missiles which I count as ATACMS), 80 Storm Shadows/Scalp and 1657 HIMARS rockets.
Unfortunately, the russian MoD did not provide a
Unfortunately, the russian MoD did not provide a
russian MoD claims Ukraine used 6 ATACMS against the Taganrog Airfield. Claim to have intercepted 2 with the Pantsir, and the remaining were supposedly deflected using electronic warfare.
As always, the fragments are a deadly weapon.
I doubt very much EW can have any good effect on them...
As always, the fragments are a deadly weapon.
I doubt very much EW can have any good effect on them...
December 11, 2024 at 3:15 PM
russian MoD claims Ukraine used 6 ATACMS against the Taganrog Airfield. Claim to have intercepted 2 with the Pantsir, and the remaining were supposedly deflected using electronic warfare.
As always, the fragments are a deadly weapon.
I doubt very much EW can have any good effect on them...
As always, the fragments are a deadly weapon.
I doubt very much EW can have any good effect on them...
And something I'm not seeing talked enough.
Zelensky finally clarified that Ukrainian claims of russian soldiers include wounded.
So, out of close to 750k russian losses, some 198k are killed, and 550k wounded
Zelensky finally clarified that Ukrainian claims of russian soldiers include wounded.
So, out of close to 750k russian losses, some 198k are killed, and 550k wounded
December 8, 2024 at 11:18 AM
And something I'm not seeing talked enough.
Zelensky finally clarified that Ukrainian claims of russian soldiers include wounded.
So, out of close to 750k russian losses, some 198k are killed, and 550k wounded
Zelensky finally clarified that Ukrainian claims of russian soldiers include wounded.
So, out of close to 750k russian losses, some 198k are killed, and 550k wounded
The end. Will probably make a thread on reduced russian claims of Ukrainian artillery over the period of the past 2-3 months. While I don't, here's a chart.
Have a good night, folks. Dawn is not far off, and even though some Orcs don't quail under the Sun, dawn is ever the hope of
men. LOTR rules.
Have a good night, folks. Dawn is not far off, and even though some Orcs don't quail under the Sun, dawn is ever the hope of
men. LOTR rules.
November 30, 2024 at 10:02 PM
The end. Will probably make a thread on reduced russian claims of Ukrainian artillery over the period of the past 2-3 months. While I don't, here's a chart.
Have a good night, folks. Dawn is not far off, and even though some Orcs don't quail under the Sun, dawn is ever the hope of
men. LOTR rules.
Have a good night, folks. Dawn is not far off, and even though some Orcs don't quail under the Sun, dawn is ever the hope of
men. LOTR rules.