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martin012.bsky.social
@martin012.bsky.social
13 followers 2 following 290 posts
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marcelias.bsky.social
The purpose of these tariffs is to be able to lift them to those who bow down to him and sacrifice their dignity. That is what he did to the GOP, the billionaires, and is doing now to Big Law. Those who stand up will be punished, those who bend a knee and humiliate themselves will be rewarded.
April 3, 2025 at 10:54 PM
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anneapplebaum.bsky.social
If the US had continued to support Ukraine, we may have been months away from the end of the war. The Russians would not have been able to continue to fight for much longer. They were making almost no progress, taking huge casualties.
March 5, 2025 at 3:19 PM
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kevinmkruse.bsky.social
Congrats to everyone who insisted they were better off four years ago -- you made it right back to the safety and security of "early COVID pandemic"
cullenhendrix.bsky.social Cullen Hendrix @cullenhendrix.bsky.social · Feb 16
There you have it. The Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (www.policyuncertainty.com) just hit an all-time high, surpassing its previous high from May 2020 - the teeth of the #COVID pandemic.

Consequences: worse investment climate, higher risk premia, (likely) higher interest rates...
We (the original researchers, not the poster) develop a new index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) based on newspaper coverage frequency. Several types of evidence – including human readings of 12,000 newspaper articles – indicate that our index proxies for movements in policy-related economic uncertainty. Our US index spikes near tight presidential elections, Gulf Wars I and II, the 9/11 attacks, the failure of Lehman Brothers, the 2011 debt-ceiling dispute and other major battles over fiscal policy. Using firm-level data, we find that policy uncertainty is associated with greater stock price volatility and reduced investment and employment in policy-sensitive sectors like defense, healthcare, finance and infrastructure construction. At the macro level, innovations in policy uncertainty foreshadow declines in investment, output, and employment in the United States and, in a panel VAR setting, for 12 major economies. Extending our US index back to 1900, EPU rose dramatically in the 1930s (from late 1931) and has drifted upwards since the 1960s. The index for January 2025 reached its highest point of any time since the mid 1990s, when the primary index begins. It's higher than during the worst months of the pandemic, when global trade and economic activity slowed abruptly, causing a massive global recession. Greater policy uncertainty, or the degree to which markets and expert forecasters disagree about the likely trajectory of the economy, is known to delay investment and hiring (Bernanke 1983), reductions in spending by households and firms, and constrained credit, with more adverse effects for developing countries. The Economic Policy Uncertainty Index measures the degree to which businesses, investors, and economic forecasters are uncertain about government policies related to fiscal and monetary policy, trade policy, and regulation. Link for data: https://www.policyuncertainty.com/.
February 16, 2025 at 3:43 PM
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stossel.bsky.social
"On January 7, [2021], The Atlantic’s David A. Graham offered a warning that proved prescient: 'Remember what yesterday’s attempted coup at the U.S. Capitol was like,' he wrote. 'Very soon, someone might try to convince you that it was different.'"

www.theatlantic.com/technology/a...
The Internet Is Worse Than a Brainwashing Machine
A rationale is always just a scroll or a click away.
www.theatlantic.com
January 6, 2025 at 2:27 PM