Manuel Granwehr
@manuelgranwehr.bsky.social
Master student in political science at Uni Zurich | Interested in big picture politics, society as a system and democratic reform
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
Also this notion that still persists that state owned companies are somehow inherently better to passengers, somehow fairer
Look at SNCF!
It's 100% state owned, and outright passenger hostile!
OK, the profit goes back to the state, but it's not as if it provides a passenger friendly outcome!
Look at SNCF!
It's 100% state owned, and outright passenger hostile!
OK, the profit goes back to the state, but it's not as if it provides a passenger friendly outcome!
December 2, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Also this notion that still persists that state owned companies are somehow inherently better to passengers, somehow fairer
Look at SNCF!
It's 100% state owned, and outright passenger hostile!
OK, the profit goes back to the state, but it's not as if it provides a passenger friendly outcome!
Look at SNCF!
It's 100% state owned, and outright passenger hostile!
OK, the profit goes back to the state, but it's not as if it provides a passenger friendly outcome!
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
Le Monde has published an interview with French ICC judge Nicolas Guillou about the practicalities of being sanctioned by the US and the failure of states to stand up to this assault on the rule of law.
www.lemonde.fr/internationa...
A thread with some quotations:
www.lemonde.fr/internationa...
A thread with some quotations:
La vie de Nicolas Guillou, juge français de la CPI sous sanctions des Etats-Unis : « Vous êtes interdit bancaire sur une bonne partie de la planète »
Six juges et trois procureurs de la Cour pénale internationale ont été placés sous sanctions par l’administration Trump. Dans un entretien au « Monde », le magistrat raconte le poids de ces mesures su...
www.lemonde.fr
November 20, 2025 at 10:23 PM
Le Monde has published an interview with French ICC judge Nicolas Guillou about the practicalities of being sanctioned by the US and the failure of states to stand up to this assault on the rule of law.
www.lemonde.fr/internationa...
A thread with some quotations:
www.lemonde.fr/internationa...
A thread with some quotations:
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
What happens when radical right-wing populist parties are in government? In our op-ed, we summarize some key polisky findings: normalization, curtailed civil liberties, weaker economic performance, greater inequality, and an overall threat to democracy itself www.derbund.ch/adrian-vatte...
September 4, 2024 at 7:35 AM
What happens when radical right-wing populist parties are in government? In our op-ed, we summarize some key polisky findings: normalization, curtailed civil liberties, weaker economic performance, greater inequality, and an overall threat to democracy itself www.derbund.ch/adrian-vatte...
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
Is collective decision making slowly re-emerging in the CCP?
Purges and Power: Is China Quietly Rebalancing Its Command Structure?
Is collective decision making slowly re-emerging in the CCP?
buff.ly
November 18, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Is collective decision making slowly re-emerging in the CCP?
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
With the ending of permanent asylum, taxes on foreign students, two U-turns on income tax, a refusal to listen to business concerns about hiring costs, again I ask ‘who are Labour for?’ What is the vision underlying all these choices other than responding to last week’s polls?
November 15, 2025 at 10:36 AM
With the ending of permanent asylum, taxes on foreign students, two U-turns on income tax, a refusal to listen to business concerns about hiring costs, again I ask ‘who are Labour for?’ What is the vision underlying all these choices other than responding to last week’s polls?
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
The issue here is a shift to a kind of post-Blair/post-Corbyn pragmatism situated in an ideological space of "markets where they work best/the state where it works best" requires an underlying vision of what an ideal balance between state power and market forces should be within a European society.
Dan Neidle produces incredibly high quality and thought provoking work on tax *for free*! It has never been easier to be an an intellectually alive pro-enterprise, pro-state party.
November 14, 2025 at 4:19 PM
The issue here is a shift to a kind of post-Blair/post-Corbyn pragmatism situated in an ideological space of "markets where they work best/the state where it works best" requires an underlying vision of what an ideal balance between state power and market forces should be within a European society.
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
the PRC's perennial problem is that a big corruption crackdown does nothing to alter the dynamics (opaqueness, hierarchy, lack of any outside audit) that creates corruption in the party or the PLA to begin with, so we see this endless cycle.
October 19, 2025 at 5:12 PM
the PRC's perennial problem is that a big corruption crackdown does nothing to alter the dynamics (opaqueness, hierarchy, lack of any outside audit) that creates corruption in the party or the PLA to begin with, so we see this endless cycle.
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
So pretty much everyone here was already purged or disappeared in the last year; this is just the official confirmation.
So I’ve been busy with a ton of other stuff, but basically, China just purged, basically all, of the senior leadership of the military - He Weidong was CMC Vice Chair, Miao Hua was head of the political department. Seeing some stuff about key branch leadership also going.
x.com/ifenglobal/s...
x.com/ifenglobal/s...
October 19, 2025 at 4:23 AM
So pretty much everyone here was already purged or disappeared in the last year; this is just the official confirmation.
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
Psephologist Sir John Curtice told a Demos-sponsored event at the Conservative Party conference fringe that the Lib Dems “will almost undoubtedly win more seats” than the Tories at the next GE.
“The LD vote is now more geographically concentrated than your vote.”
“The LD vote is now more geographically concentrated than your vote.”
October 7, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Psephologist Sir John Curtice told a Demos-sponsored event at the Conservative Party conference fringe that the Lib Dems “will almost undoubtedly win more seats” than the Tories at the next GE.
“The LD vote is now more geographically concentrated than your vote.”
“The LD vote is now more geographically concentrated than your vote.”
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
German asylum claims have halved in the last year. Nothing to do with border theatre; everything to do with developments outside the EU that hardly ever play a role in European countries' domestic migration debates. Still, take the win if it allows you to change the subject.
There are good reasons to think the number of small boat crossings may fall in the next couple of years - and it will have little to do with whatever has been announced at party conferences
Europe’s astonishing drop in illegal migration
economist.com/internationa...
Europe’s astonishing drop in illegal migration
economist.com/internationa...
October 2, 2025 at 9:33 AM
German asylum claims have halved in the last year. Nothing to do with border theatre; everything to do with developments outside the EU that hardly ever play a role in European countries' domestic migration debates. Still, take the win if it allows you to change the subject.
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
regrettably if you try to point this out online you'll get yelled out by 79208 journalists going OH SO YOU WANT JOURNALISTS TO STARVE??? even if you're, say, a journalist yourself, and point out that while there are clearly no easy answers, the status quo isn't exactly working for society
September 29, 2025 at 7:56 AM
regrettably if you try to point this out online you'll get yelled out by 79208 journalists going OH SO YOU WANT JOURNALISTS TO STARVE??? even if you're, say, a journalist yourself, and point out that while there are clearly no easy answers, the status quo isn't exactly working for society
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
If true, we might as well bury the concept of rule of law conditionality. The EU cannot keep letting itself be blackmailed by Orbán into unfreezing funds withheld over rule of law violations in exchange for lifting his veto, unless it truly wants to lose all credibility as a guardian of EU values
September 19, 2025 at 12:51 PM
If true, we might as well bury the concept of rule of law conditionality. The EU cannot keep letting itself be blackmailed by Orbán into unfreezing funds withheld over rule of law violations in exchange for lifting his veto, unless it truly wants to lose all credibility as a guardian of EU values
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
No, China isn't an existential threat to the international order
Steven Langendonk and I weigh in on China's goals for global governance and plea for sobriety
thediplomat.com/2025/09/what...
Steven Langendonk and I weigh in on China's goals for global governance and plea for sobriety
thediplomat.com/2025/09/what...
What China Wants With Global Governance
While increasingly widespread, the view of China as an existential challenge to the current world order reflects political alarmism more than sober analysis.
thediplomat.com
September 16, 2025 at 10:59 AM
No, China isn't an existential threat to the international order
Steven Langendonk and I weigh in on China's goals for global governance and plea for sobriety
thediplomat.com/2025/09/what...
Steven Langendonk and I weigh in on China's goals for global governance and plea for sobriety
thediplomat.com/2025/09/what...
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
This is the whole thing right here. All these tired fights about whether Dems should moderate are ways of dancing around the real problem, which is the that political parties no longer have any mass constituency.
In many countries, (esp. white, male) workers increasingly vote for radical right parties. Still, a sole focus on right-wing ideology only captures a narrow part of working class consciousness. Most workers, including many right-wing voters, are politically demobilized and distant from all politics.
September 17, 2025 at 3:16 PM
This is the whole thing right here. All these tired fights about whether Dems should moderate are ways of dancing around the real problem, which is the that political parties no longer have any mass constituency.
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
In terms of political representation, workers critique forms of political inequality and political exclusion: Politicians, as part of the upper class, only serve the upper class; and politics is a self-referential sphere closed to non-experts.
September 9, 2025 at 2:48 PM
In terms of political representation, workers critique forms of political inequality and political exclusion: Politicians, as part of the upper class, only serve the upper class; and politics is a self-referential sphere closed to non-experts.
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
I somehow missed that there is new evidence for life on Mars. Here‘s an explainer by the wonderful Hank Green.
m.youtube.com/watch?v=iWuF...
m.youtube.com/watch?v=iWuF...
This Might Actually be Happening
YouTube video by vlogbrothers
m.youtube.com
September 17, 2025 at 3:02 PM
I somehow missed that there is new evidence for life on Mars. Here‘s an explainer by the wonderful Hank Green.
m.youtube.com/watch?v=iWuF...
m.youtube.com/watch?v=iWuF...
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
Yulia Navalnaya says foreign tests show her husband was poisoned reut.rs/4mqWzj7
Yulia Navalnaya says foreign tests show her husband was poisoned
Yulia Navalnaya, the wife of late Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, said that foreign laboratory tests on biological samples obtained from her husband showed that he was poisoned.
reut.rs
September 17, 2025 at 9:00 AM
Yulia Navalnaya says foreign tests show her husband was poisoned reut.rs/4mqWzj7
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
It's shocking how much consensus there is amongst tax policy wonks and economists of Left and Right on the tax reforms the UK needs to boost growth & make the tax system fairer
More shocking: they're reforms that are never mentioned by any politicians
buff.ly/rTfNmFC
More shocking: they're reforms that are never mentioned by any politicians
buff.ly/rTfNmFC
Stop talking about wealth taxes — make these reforms instead
Any sane discussion of changes that both right and left could agree on is being crowded out by tax populism
buff.ly
September 13, 2025 at 7:35 AM
It's shocking how much consensus there is amongst tax policy wonks and economists of Left and Right on the tax reforms the UK needs to boost growth & make the tax system fairer
More shocking: they're reforms that are never mentioned by any politicians
buff.ly/rTfNmFC
More shocking: they're reforms that are never mentioned by any politicians
buff.ly/rTfNmFC
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
If you've been using a 📌 emoji to bookmark posts, @rafael.my and @samuel.bsky.team cooked up a special tool you can use to migrate them to your Saved Posts.
Try it here: pin2saved.vercel.app
Try it here: pin2saved.vercel.app
pin2saved for Bluesky
Migrate your Bluesky 📌 replies to saved posts.
pin2saved.vercel.app
September 8, 2025 at 6:24 PM
If you've been using a 📌 emoji to bookmark posts, @rafael.my and @samuel.bsky.team cooked up a special tool you can use to migrate them to your Saved Posts.
Try it here: pin2saved.vercel.app
Try it here: pin2saved.vercel.app
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
v1.108 is rolling out today 🚚
Now live, at long last: Bookmarks, aka Saved Posts. For all those posts you'll definitely plan to come back to!
Update the app and give it a try. The button is right down there 👇
Now live, at long last: Bookmarks, aka Saved Posts. For all those posts you'll definitely plan to come back to!
Update the app and give it a try. The button is right down there 👇
September 8, 2025 at 6:24 PM
v1.108 is rolling out today 🚚
Now live, at long last: Bookmarks, aka Saved Posts. For all those posts you'll definitely plan to come back to!
Update the app and give it a try. The button is right down there 👇
Now live, at long last: Bookmarks, aka Saved Posts. For all those posts you'll definitely plan to come back to!
Update the app and give it a try. The button is right down there 👇
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
also that allowing the debate on regulation to be dominated by 'we must worship the coming machine god/cripple the coming machine god' guys is useless and counterproductive, and that the actual regulatory steps should be tackling stuff like 'how do we stop old people from being conned'
August 14, 2025 at 7:18 PM
also that allowing the debate on regulation to be dominated by 'we must worship the coming machine god/cripple the coming machine god' guys is useless and counterproductive, and that the actual regulatory steps should be tackling stuff like 'how do we stop old people from being conned'
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
My best prediction for where we'll be in a few decades is less totalitarian dictatorship and more Latin American republic; governments are weak and dysfunctional, but also corrupt and authoritarian.
I must be a broken clock because I am once again asking people to understand that a state dictatorship need not be efficient in its domination. It simply needs to project it and get a majority of civil society to go along with it. A dictatorship can be a circus but you’re still participating in it.
Trump mentions NYC, Baltimore, and Oakland, says "they're so far gone," and adds, "this will go further. We'll starting very strongly with DC."
August 11, 2025 at 3:08 PM
My best prediction for where we'll be in a few decades is less totalitarian dictatorship and more Latin American republic; governments are weak and dysfunctional, but also corrupt and authoritarian.
Reposted by Manuel Granwehr
Not so much an indictment of issue polling as it is (rightly) of feckless leadership and trend-following pundits that only elevate numbers that confirm their priors. I’d like to see people simultaneously argue both for measurement and against the Yglesias theory of politics and public opinion
Ganz killing it here, combining a critical methodological perspective on how polling is done with fundamental political theory about what politics is & what it involves:
August 6, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Not so much an indictment of issue polling as it is (rightly) of feckless leadership and trend-following pundits that only elevate numbers that confirm their priors. I’d like to see people simultaneously argue both for measurement and against the Yglesias theory of politics and public opinion