Lauren Gilbert
@lgilbert.co
researcher, writer, projects georg. currently: horizon scanning @ renaissance philanthropy; writer, laurenpolicy.com. formerly: open phil, qi, ucsd, caltech, etc.
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
"Migrants are also likely to be net fiscal contributors. Far from draining our welfare system, migrants are supporting the British state’s solvency."
🖊️ Lauren Gilbert argues that lower migration is bad news for the UK economy
https://ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migration-is-bad-news-for-the-uk-economy/
🖊️ Lauren Gilbert argues that lower migration is bad news for the UK economy
https://ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migration-is-bad-news-for-the-uk-economy/
Lower migration is bad news for the UK economy - UK in a changing Europe
Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out, and that the recent collapse in immigration will harm the UK's economic prospects.
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 8, 2025 at 9:30 AM
"Migrants are also likely to be net fiscal contributors. Far from draining our welfare system, migrants are supporting the British state’s solvency."
🖊️ Lauren Gilbert argues that lower migration is bad news for the UK economy
https://ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migration-is-bad-news-for-the-uk-economy/
🖊️ Lauren Gilbert argues that lower migration is bad news for the UK economy
https://ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migration-is-bad-news-for-the-uk-economy/
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
One analytical model shows that, as of November 5th, the dismantling of U.S.A.I.D. has already caused the deaths of 600,000 people, two-thirds of them children. https://newyorkermag.visitlink.me/jUzNSc
The Shutdown of U.S.A.I.D. Has Already Killed Hundreds of Thousands
The short documentary “Rovina’s Choice” tells the story of what goes when aid goes.
newyorkermag.visitlink.me
November 6, 2025 at 9:00 PM
One analytical model shows that, as of November 5th, the dismantling of U.S.A.I.D. has already caused the deaths of 600,000 people, two-thirds of them children. https://newyorkermag.visitlink.me/jUzNSc
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
'there is simply no sign of a fiscal catastrophe from the “Boriswave"...this would seem to suggest that the recent collapse in immigration will harm Britain’s finances..' @lgilbert.co for @ukandeu.bsky.social on the economics of immigration ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Lower migration is bad news for the UK economy - UK in a changing Europe
Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out, and that the recent collapse in immigration will harm the UK's economic p...
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 7, 2025 at 6:39 PM
'there is simply no sign of a fiscal catastrophe from the “Boriswave"...this would seem to suggest that the recent collapse in immigration will harm Britain’s finances..' @lgilbert.co for @ukandeu.bsky.social on the economics of immigration ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
ironically I did final edits on this piece while dealing with some Visa Issues
"Far from draining our welfare system, migrants are supporting the British state’s solvency."
New analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
New analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
November 7, 2025 at 8:38 AM
ironically I did final edits on this piece while dealing with some Visa Issues
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
Important, timely, analysis by @lgilbert.co debunking the commonly used line that "migrants are a burden". Shows that migrants are overwhelmingly bet fiscal contributors. Basically, you target migration, you crash the country.
"Home Office data suggests that recent immigrants are more likely to be working than British nationals and make higher wages than them."
✍️ Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out,
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
✍️ Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out,
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Lower migration is bad news for the UK economy - UK in a changing Europe
Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out, and that the recent collapse in immigration will harm the UK's economic p...
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 7, 2025 at 8:23 AM
Important, timely, analysis by @lgilbert.co debunking the commonly used line that "migrants are a burden". Shows that migrants are overwhelmingly bet fiscal contributors. Basically, you target migration, you crash the country.
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
"Far from draining our welfare system, migrants are supporting the British state’s solvency."
New analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
New analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
November 7, 2025 at 8:17 AM
"Far from draining our welfare system, migrants are supporting the British state’s solvency."
New analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
New analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
"Home Office data suggests that recent immigrants are more likely to be working than British nationals and make higher wages than them."
✍️ Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out,
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
✍️ Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out,
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Lower migration is bad news for the UK economy - UK in a changing Europe
Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out, and that the recent collapse in immigration will harm the UK's economic p...
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 6, 2025 at 4:52 PM
"Home Office data suggests that recent immigrants are more likely to be working than British nationals and make higher wages than them."
✍️ Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out,
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
✍️ Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out,
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
"There is simply no sign of a fiscal catastrophe from the 'Boriswave'. Recent migrants are very likely to be employed, paying tax and seem to be contributing to British society..it will help, rather than hurt, Britain’s fiscal position."
Analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Lower migration is bad news for the UK economy - UK in a changing Europe
Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out, and that the recent collapse in immigration will harm the UK's economic p...
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 6, 2025 at 4:00 PM
"There is simply no sign of a fiscal catastrophe from the 'Boriswave'. Recent migrants are very likely to be employed, paying tax and seem to be contributing to British society..it will help, rather than hurt, Britain’s fiscal position."
Analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Analysis by @lgilbert.co
ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
I have a new blog post out with The UK In A Changing Europe on how lower migration will be bad for the UK economy: ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Lower migration is bad news for the UK economy - UK in a changing Europe
Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out, and that the recent collapse in immigration will harm the UK's economic p...
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 6, 2025 at 3:30 PM
I have a new blog post out with The UK In A Changing Europe on how lower migration will be bad for the UK economy: ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
Another kind of science brain gain from immigration: Ito, et al show Colombian scientists abroad are connectors between researchers in those countries and in Colombia for the long term
voxdev.org/topic/migrat...
cc @mushfiq-econ.bsky.social @lgilbert.co
voxdev.org/topic/migrat...
cc @mushfiq-econ.bsky.social @lgilbert.co
October 24, 2025 at 12:11 PM
Another kind of science brain gain from immigration: Ito, et al show Colombian scientists abroad are connectors between researchers in those countries and in Colombia for the long term
voxdev.org/topic/migrat...
cc @mushfiq-econ.bsky.social @lgilbert.co
voxdev.org/topic/migrat...
cc @mushfiq-econ.bsky.social @lgilbert.co
Particularly in rich countries, people often assume that once a migrant arrives, they are likely to stay for life. This is not true. Many migrants move to another country only temporarily.
On Substack, I explore what we know about return migration: www.laurenpolicy.com/p/return-mig...
On Substack, I explore what we know about return migration: www.laurenpolicy.com/p/return-mig...
Return Migration
Particularly in rich countries, people often assume that once a migrant arrives, they are likely to stay for life. This is not true. Many migrants move to another country only temporarily and return t...
www.laurenpolicy.com
October 24, 2025 at 10:05 AM
Particularly in rich countries, people often assume that once a migrant arrives, they are likely to stay for life. This is not true. Many migrants move to another country only temporarily.
On Substack, I explore what we know about return migration: www.laurenpolicy.com/p/return-mig...
On Substack, I explore what we know about return migration: www.laurenpolicy.com/p/return-mig...
immigrant life is… not always the easiest.
Queuing to board 11 hour flight to the UK, dad calls and asks if he should go to the emergency room because he’s having chest pain.
He lives a five hour flight from where I am now, a seven hour flight from where I will be soon.
Queuing to board 11 hour flight to the UK, dad calls and asks if he should go to the emergency room because he’s having chest pain.
He lives a five hour flight from where I am now, a seven hour flight from where I will be soon.
October 19, 2025 at 10:36 PM
immigrant life is… not always the easiest.
Queuing to board 11 hour flight to the UK, dad calls and asks if he should go to the emergency room because he’s having chest pain.
He lives a five hour flight from where I am now, a seven hour flight from where I will be soon.
Queuing to board 11 hour flight to the UK, dad calls and asks if he should go to the emergency room because he’s having chest pain.
He lives a five hour flight from where I am now, a seven hour flight from where I will be soon.
I am on a tram with @juliamurdza.bsky.social that has broken down
she is discussing the merits of this particular tram car model with a man
she is discussing the merits of this particular tram car model with a man
October 13, 2025 at 11:21 PM
I am on a tram with @juliamurdza.bsky.social that has broken down
she is discussing the merits of this particular tram car model with a man
she is discussing the merits of this particular tram car model with a man
@juliamurdza.bsky.social and I clean up OK!
October 12, 2025 at 4:23 PM
@juliamurdza.bsky.social and I clean up OK!
I wrote about some metascience events I think should exist: www.laurenpolicy.com/p/two-metasc...
Two (Meta)science Conferences I Think Should Exist
I go to a lot of conferences. I even go to a reasonable number of conferences on the science of science. I think there are two conferences that should exist and do not.
www.laurenpolicy.com
October 7, 2025 at 9:34 AM
I wrote about some metascience events I think should exist: www.laurenpolicy.com/p/two-metasc...
1) Only ~75% of British citizens are in work. Do we want to punish people for studying, having children, or doing care work?
2) On that point, SSP and maternity leave are benefits...
3) Why should people have to volunteer? Isn't the point that volunteering is voluntary?
2) On that point, SSP and maternity leave are benefits...
3) Why should people have to volunteer? Isn't the point that volunteering is voluntary?
Mahmood says she will introduce new conditions for indefinite leave to remain:
Lived here 10 years not 5
Being in work
Not taking a penny in benefits
No criminal record
Giving back to community eg volunteering
Lived here 10 years not 5
Being in work
Not taking a penny in benefits
No criminal record
Giving back to community eg volunteering
September 29, 2025 at 3:22 PM
1) Only ~75% of British citizens are in work. Do we want to punish people for studying, having children, or doing care work?
2) On that point, SSP and maternity leave are benefits...
3) Why should people have to volunteer? Isn't the point that volunteering is voluntary?
2) On that point, SSP and maternity leave are benefits...
3) Why should people have to volunteer? Isn't the point that volunteering is voluntary?
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
The @thetimes.com & @rcolvile.bsky.social have *finally* amended the CPS's entirely fictional £234 billion figure.
archive.ph/vtfZe
archive.ph/vtfZe
September 23, 2025 at 8:45 PM
The @thetimes.com & @rcolvile.bsky.social have *finally* amended the CPS's entirely fictional £234 billion figure.
archive.ph/vtfZe
archive.ph/vtfZe
I wrote up a proposal to increase replication capacity while evaluating the reliability of federally-funded science: www.laurenpolicy.com/p/r-randomiz...
R³: Randomized Replication Residency
A proposal to determine the reliability of federally funded science while building out replication capacity
www.laurenpolicy.com
September 23, 2025 at 9:12 AM
I wrote up a proposal to increase replication capacity while evaluating the reliability of federally-funded science: www.laurenpolicy.com/p/r-randomiz...
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
Good to see CPS publicly retracting their nonsense numbers here.
I explained their errors to them when they first published, and wrote it up here - they simply didn't understand what the OBR was saying.
docs.google.com/document/d/e...
I explained their errors to them when they first published, and wrote it up here - they simply didn't understand what the OBR was saying.
docs.google.com/document/d/e...
September 22, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Good to see CPS publicly retracting their nonsense numbers here.
I explained their errors to them when they first published, and wrote it up here - they simply didn't understand what the OBR was saying.
docs.google.com/document/d/e...
I explained their errors to them when they first published, and wrote it up here - they simply didn't understand what the OBR was saying.
docs.google.com/document/d/e...
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
as for wages, we see reasonably rapid wage growth among recent arrivals (as migrants progress, and low-earning students return home).
Nothing here at all to back up Farage's claims
Nothing here at all to back up Farage's claims
September 22, 2025 at 12:45 PM
as for wages, we see reasonably rapid wage growth among recent arrivals (as migrants progress, and low-earning students return home).
Nothing here at all to back up Farage's claims
Nothing here at all to back up Farage's claims
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
Putting all this together, @lgilbert.co find the following.
It's not that Farage is (just) exaggerating/overstating - he is simply lying about migrants, jobs, wages and benefits.
Media should be very clear about this.
www.laurenpolicy.com/p/are-recent...
It's not that Farage is (just) exaggerating/overstating - he is simply lying about migrants, jobs, wages and benefits.
Media should be very clear about this.
www.laurenpolicy.com/p/are-recent...
September 22, 2025 at 12:47 PM
Putting all this together, @lgilbert.co find the following.
It's not that Farage is (just) exaggerating/overstating - he is simply lying about migrants, jobs, wages and benefits.
Media should be very clear about this.
www.laurenpolicy.com/p/are-recent...
It's not that Farage is (just) exaggerating/overstating - he is simply lying about migrants, jobs, wages and benefits.
Media should be very clear about this.
www.laurenpolicy.com/p/are-recent...
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
Good summary of the H-1B situation by @sampeak.bsky.social
September 21, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Good summary of the H-1B situation by @sampeak.bsky.social
your periodic reminder that immigrants also consume goods and services
September 21, 2025 at 5:45 PM
your periodic reminder that immigrants also consume goods and services
A friend asked me if the new H-1B visa fee will act as a de facto salary filter. I think it will not, and also that it's an incredibly bad idea: www.laurenpolicy.com/p/the-new-h-...
The New H-1B Visa Fee
As you may have read, President Trump announced last night that the issuance of a H-1B visa will now come with a $100,000 fee. This is up from around $3,400, a 25x increase.
www.laurenpolicy.com
September 20, 2025 at 11:13 PM
A friend asked me if the new H-1B visa fee will act as a de facto salary filter. I think it will not, and also that it's an incredibly bad idea: www.laurenpolicy.com/p/the-new-h-...
Sam Enright has a post for Progress Ireland on how Ireland could become the world leader in replications.
How can science get more replications?
Smart incentives to fix structural failures.
progressireland.substack.com
September 17, 2025 at 8:24 PM
Sam Enright has a post for Progress Ireland on how Ireland could become the world leader in replications.