Keiran Pedley
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keiranpedley.bsky.social
Keiran Pedley
@keiranpedley.bsky.social
Pollster at Ipsos. Genuine poll Boffin. Expect Spurs polling and politics!!
More from @Ipsos_in_the_UK who would make the better PM?

Among all
Burnham 25%
Starmer 20%
No different / neither 38%

Among 2024 Labour voters
Burnham 29%
Starmer 41%
No different / neither 21%
September 25, 2025 at 3:23 PM
More from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Favourability towards Andy Burnham and Keir Starmer among 2024 Labour voters

Burnham
Favourable 49%
Unfavourable 12%
Net +37

Starmer
Favourable 44%
Unfavourable 31%
Net +13
September 25, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Reposted by Keiran Pedley
@keiranpedley.bsky.social & @camerongarrett.bsky.social will dig into all this (and more) at the conference later this week. If you’re there and want to talk polling, drop them a message ☕
September 3, 2025 at 7:58 AM
And Starmer’s record on this heavily criticised.

42% think his govt is doing a worse job on immigration than the previous Conservative govt. 23% say it is doing a better job.

Trend is moving in the wrong direction for Labour
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Perception is rising numbers likely key here. @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows two thirds think small boat crossings increasing - almost half say increasing a lot.
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
How does salience of immigration as an issue compare to past waves?

48% not as high as record in Sept 15 (pre Brexit)

…but let’s not kid ourselves, concern is high and general trend is up. Unclear where the peak is.
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Unsurprisingly Immigration most important to Reform UK voters. 84% of this group say it’s an important issue.

What is notable is that growing importance is more driven by increase among Labour & Conservative supporters!

Wrong to say it’s just an issue for Reform supporters.
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Doh yes it should. Will get that fixed!
August 22, 2025 at 1:16 PM
Continued…

- Potential support grows when presented as Left / Greens alliance.
Could this be a modern day libs / SDO alliance to shake up British politics?

- But doubts over credibility / affordability of platform need to be addressed / could limit actual votes
August 20, 2025 at 4:34 PM