Keiran Pedley
@keiranpedley.bsky.social
Pollster at Ipsos. Genuine poll Boffin. Expect Spurs polling and politics!!
New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Keir Starmer is the most unpopular PM in the history of Ipsos polling.
Net satisfaction with PM -66
Meanwhile Reform lead at 12.
Reform 34
Labour 22
Conservatives 14 (record low)
Lib Dems 12
Greens 12
Keir Starmer is the most unpopular PM in the history of Ipsos polling.
Net satisfaction with PM -66
Meanwhile Reform lead at 12.
Reform 34
Labour 22
Conservatives 14 (record low)
Lib Dems 12
Greens 12
September 27, 2025 at 7:43 PM
New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Keir Starmer is the most unpopular PM in the history of Ipsos polling.
Net satisfaction with PM -66
Meanwhile Reform lead at 12.
Reform 34
Labour 22
Conservatives 14 (record low)
Lib Dems 12
Greens 12
Keir Starmer is the most unpopular PM in the history of Ipsos polling.
Net satisfaction with PM -66
Meanwhile Reform lead at 12.
Reform 34
Labour 22
Conservatives 14 (record low)
Lib Dems 12
Greens 12
NEW from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
what do the public think of Andy Burnham vs Keir Starmer
Burnham
Favourable 29%
Unfavourable 20%
Net +9
Starmer
Favourable 21%
Unfavourable 54%
Net -33
what do the public think of Andy Burnham vs Keir Starmer
Burnham
Favourable 29%
Unfavourable 20%
Net +9
Starmer
Favourable 21%
Unfavourable 54%
Net -33
September 25, 2025 at 3:23 PM
NEW from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
what do the public think of Andy Burnham vs Keir Starmer
Burnham
Favourable 29%
Unfavourable 20%
Net +9
Starmer
Favourable 21%
Unfavourable 54%
Net -33
what do the public think of Andy Burnham vs Keir Starmer
Burnham
Favourable 29%
Unfavourable 20%
Net +9
Starmer
Favourable 21%
Unfavourable 54%
Net -33
As the U.K. prepares to recognise a Palestinian state @Ipsos_in_the_UK polling suggests
- 44% support this decision
- 13% oppose.
With the rest neutral or not giving an opinion.
- 44% support this decision
- 13% oppose.
With the rest neutral or not giving an opinion.
September 17, 2025 at 8:03 PM
As the U.K. prepares to recognise a Palestinian state @Ipsos_in_the_UK polling suggests
- 44% support this decision
- 13% oppose.
With the rest neutral or not giving an opinion.
- 44% support this decision
- 13% oppose.
With the rest neutral or not giving an opinion.
It’s the Trump state visit. But what do the British public think?
Britain needs a leader like Trump: 29%
Britain does not need a leader like Trump 62%
Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Britain needs a leader like Trump: 29%
Britain does not need a leader like Trump 62%
Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
September 17, 2025 at 12:54 PM
It’s the Trump state visit. But what do the British public think?
Britain needs a leader like Trump: 29%
Britain does not need a leader like Trump 62%
Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Britain needs a leader like Trump: 29%
Britain does not need a leader like Trump 62%
Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Reposted by Keiran Pedley
British economic sentiment is following the US in becoming an increasingly partisan signal.
There has been a red-blue sentiment gap for decades, but it’s widening (data: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social / @keiranpedley.bsky.social)
There has been a red-blue sentiment gap for decades, but it’s widening (data: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social / @keiranpedley.bsky.social)
September 9, 2025 at 4:13 PM
British economic sentiment is following the US in becoming an increasingly partisan signal.
There has been a red-blue sentiment gap for decades, but it’s widening (data: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social / @keiranpedley.bsky.social)
There has been a red-blue sentiment gap for decades, but it’s widening (data: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social / @keiranpedley.bsky.social)
Really great article from new left party from @siennarodgers.bsky.social
www.politicshome.com/news/article...
www.politicshome.com/news/article...
Inside The Founding Of Jeremy Corbyn's New Party: 'End This Horrible Power Struggle'
The trials and tribulations of founding a new party on the left. Can they unite? What challenges lie ahead? Sienna Rodgers reports
www.politicshome.com
September 7, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Really great article from new left party from @siennarodgers.bsky.social
www.politicshome.com/news/article...
www.politicshome.com/news/article...
Reposted by Keiran Pedley
@keiranpedley.bsky.social & @camerongarrett.bsky.social will dig into all this (and more) at the conference later this week. If you’re there and want to talk polling, drop them a message ☕
September 3, 2025 at 7:58 AM
@keiranpedley.bsky.social & @camerongarrett.bsky.social will dig into all this (and more) at the conference later this week. If you’re there and want to talk polling, drop them a message ☕
My gut says as long as immigration and asylum are the number one issue for the public then Reform wins the next election comfortably. Labour simply won’t win a political arms race on that subject. Question is can they move tue conversation on?
August 27, 2025 at 9:10 AM
My gut says as long as immigration and asylum are the number one issue for the public then Reform wins the next election comfortably. Labour simply won’t win a political arms race on that subject. Question is can they move tue conversation on?
Rewatching Derry girls. What a wonderful show. Clinton episode really hits home. Politics can be a depressing, soul sucking thing at times. But sometimes it works. Sometimes things really do get better. And that’s great.
August 25, 2025 at 7:00 PM
Rewatching Derry girls. What a wonderful show. Clinton episode really hits home. Politics can be a depressing, soul sucking thing at times. But sometimes it works. Sometimes things really do get better. And that’s great.
Reposted by Keiran Pedley
🚨 New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Our issues index shows immigration the number one issue for the public - with importance growing 🚨
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
🚨 New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Our issues index shows immigration the number one issue for the public - with importance growing 🚨
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
🚨 New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Our issues index shows immigration the number one issue for the public - with importance growing 🚨
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
🚨 New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Our issues index shows immigration the number one issue for the public - with importance growing 🚨
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
Reposted by Keiran Pedley
🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
August 20, 2025 at 4:34 PM
🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
August 20, 2025 at 4:34 PM
🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
August 20, 2025 at 4:33 PM
🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
Why are Reform going big on crime?
@ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows its the one Labour mission where the public think Reform would do the best job
@ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows its the one Labour mission where the public think Reform would do the best job
August 4, 2025 at 12:55 PM
Why are Reform going big on crime?
@ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows its the one Labour mission where the public think Reform would do the best job
@ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows its the one Labour mission where the public think Reform would do the best job
The most important thing any new left wing party could do is have a simple name. None of this united socialist workers of great britain yadda yadda nonsense. Something clean. The new left party or similar. Does what it says on the tin. See Brexit party for details.
July 31, 2025 at 10:12 AM
The most important thing any new left wing party could do is have a simple name. None of this united socialist workers of great britain yadda yadda nonsense. Something clean. The new left party or similar. Does what it says on the tin. See Brexit party for details.
Find my views on this new Corbyn / Sultana left wing party evolving a bit. Think it could do pretty well - especially under FPTP which rewards a geopgraphical concentration of votes. Headache for Labour that should be taken seriously.
July 31, 2025 at 10:10 AM
Find my views on this new Corbyn / Sultana left wing party evolving a bit. Think it could do pretty well - especially under FPTP which rewards a geopgraphical concentration of votes. Headache for Labour that should be taken seriously.
If a priority for a new left party is some kind of alliance or pact with the Greens then why is there a need for a new party at all? Why not just join the Greens / create a new combined entity?
July 30, 2025 at 10:30 AM
If a priority for a new left party is some kind of alliance or pact with the Greens then why is there a need for a new party at all? Why not just join the Greens / create a new combined entity?
New @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social shows sharp drop in support for junior doctors striking
July 13, 2025 at 12:11 PM
New @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social shows sharp drop in support for junior doctors striking
Lots of talk of further Tory to Reform UK defections.
If I was Reform i'd be very wary about being seen as a reincaranation of the Conservative Party.
If I was Reform i'd be very wary about being seen as a reincaranation of the Conservative Party.
July 10, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Lots of talk of further Tory to Reform UK defections.
If I was Reform i'd be very wary about being seen as a reincaranation of the Conservative Party.
If I was Reform i'd be very wary about being seen as a reincaranation of the Conservative Party.
Reposted by Keiran Pedley
New piece from me for @politicshome.bsky.social
Keir Starmer needs to answer one big question - what is he for?
I take a deep dive into which direction @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data suggests Labour should take ✍️🧵
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
Keir Starmer needs to answer one big question - what is he for?
I take a deep dive into which direction @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data suggests Labour should take ✍️🧵
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
Keir Starmer still needs to answer one big question – what is he for?
As Labour marks a year in office, divisions over welfare policy and dire poll ratings mean the party is not in a celebratory mood.
www.politicshome.com
July 4, 2025 at 12:27 PM
New piece from me for @politicshome.bsky.social
Keir Starmer needs to answer one big question - what is he for?
I take a deep dive into which direction @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data suggests Labour should take ✍️🧵
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
Keir Starmer needs to answer one big question - what is he for?
I take a deep dive into which direction @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data suggests Labour should take ✍️🧵
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
In my piece for @politicshome.bsky.social
today I explain how @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
data shows there is a case for Labour targeting Refom leaning Labour voters on immigration / welfare & a case for targeting younger progressives.
Starmer may reject the premise of choosing but it’s risky
today I explain how @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
data shows there is a case for Labour targeting Refom leaning Labour voters on immigration / welfare & a case for targeting younger progressives.
Starmer may reject the premise of choosing but it’s risky
July 4, 2025 at 1:05 PM
In my piece for @politicshome.bsky.social
today I explain how @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
data shows there is a case for Labour targeting Refom leaning Labour voters on immigration / welfare & a case for targeting younger progressives.
Starmer may reject the premise of choosing but it’s risky
today I explain how @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
data shows there is a case for Labour targeting Refom leaning Labour voters on immigration / welfare & a case for targeting younger progressives.
Starmer may reject the premise of choosing but it’s risky
New piece from me for @politicshome.bsky.social
Keir Starmer needs to answer one big question - what is he for?
I take a deep dive into which direction @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data suggests Labour should take ✍️🧵
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
Keir Starmer needs to answer one big question - what is he for?
I take a deep dive into which direction @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data suggests Labour should take ✍️🧵
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
Keir Starmer still needs to answer one big question – what is he for?
As Labour marks a year in office, divisions over welfare policy and dire poll ratings mean the party is not in a celebratory mood.
www.politicshome.com
July 4, 2025 at 12:27 PM
New piece from me for @politicshome.bsky.social
Keir Starmer needs to answer one big question - what is he for?
I take a deep dive into which direction @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data suggests Labour should take ✍️🧵
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
Keir Starmer needs to answer one big question - what is he for?
I take a deep dive into which direction @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data suggests Labour should take ✍️🧵
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
New @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling for @skynewsrss.bsky.social shows 6 in 10 doubt Keir Starmer’s ability to unite Labour under his leadership and only one in four think it likely he wins the next election.
news.sky.com/story/just-2...
news.sky.com/story/just-2...
Just 25% of public think Sir Keir Starmer will win next election - with welfare row partly to blame
A poll by Ipsos, shared with Sky News, shows 63% do not feel confident the government is running the country efficiently - a similar verdict given to Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak.
news.sky.com
July 2, 2025 at 4:34 PM
New @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling for @skynewsrss.bsky.social shows 6 in 10 doubt Keir Starmer’s ability to unite Labour under his leadership and only one in four think it likely he wins the next election.
news.sky.com/story/just-2...
news.sky.com/story/just-2...
How likely is Keir Starmer to turn poor poll ratings around?
Re-upping my piece for @politicshome from December looking at what historic @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling tells us about how past PMs did (and didnt) recover
www.politicshome.com/thehouse/art...
Re-upping my piece for @politicshome from December looking at what historic @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling tells us about how past PMs did (and didnt) recover
www.politicshome.com/thehouse/art...
Starmer’s honeymoon in office was short-lived – but how does it compare to past PMs?
Having won a historic landslide general election victory in July, it is fair to say that Labour’s honeymoon in office has been short-lived.
www.politicshome.com
June 26, 2025 at 1:44 PM
How likely is Keir Starmer to turn poor poll ratings around?
Re-upping my piece for @politicshome from December looking at what historic @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling tells us about how past PMs did (and didnt) recover
www.politicshome.com/thehouse/art...
Re-upping my piece for @politicshome from December looking at what historic @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling tells us about how past PMs did (and didnt) recover
www.politicshome.com/thehouse/art...