Keiran Pedley
@keiranpedley.bsky.social
Pollster at Ipsos. Genuine poll Boffin. Expect Spurs polling and politics!!
New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Keir Starmer is the most unpopular PM in the history of Ipsos polling.
Net satisfaction with PM -66
Meanwhile Reform lead at 12.
Reform 34
Labour 22
Conservatives 14 (record low)
Lib Dems 12
Greens 12
Keir Starmer is the most unpopular PM in the history of Ipsos polling.
Net satisfaction with PM -66
Meanwhile Reform lead at 12.
Reform 34
Labour 22
Conservatives 14 (record low)
Lib Dems 12
Greens 12
September 27, 2025 at 7:43 PM
New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Keir Starmer is the most unpopular PM in the history of Ipsos polling.
Net satisfaction with PM -66
Meanwhile Reform lead at 12.
Reform 34
Labour 22
Conservatives 14 (record low)
Lib Dems 12
Greens 12
Keir Starmer is the most unpopular PM in the history of Ipsos polling.
Net satisfaction with PM -66
Meanwhile Reform lead at 12.
Reform 34
Labour 22
Conservatives 14 (record low)
Lib Dems 12
Greens 12
More from @Ipsos_in_the_UK who would make the better PM?
Among all
Burnham 25%
Starmer 20%
No different / neither 38%
Among 2024 Labour voters
Burnham 29%
Starmer 41%
No different / neither 21%
Among all
Burnham 25%
Starmer 20%
No different / neither 38%
Among 2024 Labour voters
Burnham 29%
Starmer 41%
No different / neither 21%
September 25, 2025 at 3:23 PM
More from @Ipsos_in_the_UK who would make the better PM?
Among all
Burnham 25%
Starmer 20%
No different / neither 38%
Among 2024 Labour voters
Burnham 29%
Starmer 41%
No different / neither 21%
Among all
Burnham 25%
Starmer 20%
No different / neither 38%
Among 2024 Labour voters
Burnham 29%
Starmer 41%
No different / neither 21%
More from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Favourability towards Andy Burnham and Keir Starmer among 2024 Labour voters
Burnham
Favourable 49%
Unfavourable 12%
Net +37
Starmer
Favourable 44%
Unfavourable 31%
Net +13
Favourability towards Andy Burnham and Keir Starmer among 2024 Labour voters
Burnham
Favourable 49%
Unfavourable 12%
Net +37
Starmer
Favourable 44%
Unfavourable 31%
Net +13
September 25, 2025 at 3:23 PM
More from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Favourability towards Andy Burnham and Keir Starmer among 2024 Labour voters
Burnham
Favourable 49%
Unfavourable 12%
Net +37
Starmer
Favourable 44%
Unfavourable 31%
Net +13
Favourability towards Andy Burnham and Keir Starmer among 2024 Labour voters
Burnham
Favourable 49%
Unfavourable 12%
Net +37
Starmer
Favourable 44%
Unfavourable 31%
Net +13
NEW from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
what do the public think of Andy Burnham vs Keir Starmer
Burnham
Favourable 29%
Unfavourable 20%
Net +9
Starmer
Favourable 21%
Unfavourable 54%
Net -33
what do the public think of Andy Burnham vs Keir Starmer
Burnham
Favourable 29%
Unfavourable 20%
Net +9
Starmer
Favourable 21%
Unfavourable 54%
Net -33
September 25, 2025 at 3:23 PM
NEW from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
what do the public think of Andy Burnham vs Keir Starmer
Burnham
Favourable 29%
Unfavourable 20%
Net +9
Starmer
Favourable 21%
Unfavourable 54%
Net -33
what do the public think of Andy Burnham vs Keir Starmer
Burnham
Favourable 29%
Unfavourable 20%
Net +9
Starmer
Favourable 21%
Unfavourable 54%
Net -33
As the U.K. prepares to recognise a Palestinian state @Ipsos_in_the_UK polling suggests
- 44% support this decision
- 13% oppose.
With the rest neutral or not giving an opinion.
- 44% support this decision
- 13% oppose.
With the rest neutral or not giving an opinion.
September 17, 2025 at 8:03 PM
As the U.K. prepares to recognise a Palestinian state @Ipsos_in_the_UK polling suggests
- 44% support this decision
- 13% oppose.
With the rest neutral or not giving an opinion.
- 44% support this decision
- 13% oppose.
With the rest neutral or not giving an opinion.
It’s the Trump state visit. But what do the British public think?
Britain needs a leader like Trump: 29%
Britain does not need a leader like Trump 62%
Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Britain needs a leader like Trump: 29%
Britain does not need a leader like Trump 62%
Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
September 17, 2025 at 12:54 PM
It’s the Trump state visit. But what do the British public think?
Britain needs a leader like Trump: 29%
Britain does not need a leader like Trump 62%
Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Britain needs a leader like Trump: 29%
Britain does not need a leader like Trump 62%
Source: @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
My gut says as long as immigration and asylum are the number one issue for the public then Reform wins the next election comfortably. Labour simply won’t win a political arms race on that subject. Question is can they move tue conversation on?
August 27, 2025 at 9:10 AM
My gut says as long as immigration and asylum are the number one issue for the public then Reform wins the next election comfortably. Labour simply won’t win a political arms race on that subject. Question is can they move tue conversation on?
And Starmer’s record on this heavily criticised.
42% think his govt is doing a worse job on immigration than the previous Conservative govt. 23% say it is doing a better job.
Trend is moving in the wrong direction for Labour
42% think his govt is doing a worse job on immigration than the previous Conservative govt. 23% say it is doing a better job.
Trend is moving in the wrong direction for Labour
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
And Starmer’s record on this heavily criticised.
42% think his govt is doing a worse job on immigration than the previous Conservative govt. 23% say it is doing a better job.
Trend is moving in the wrong direction for Labour
42% think his govt is doing a worse job on immigration than the previous Conservative govt. 23% say it is doing a better job.
Trend is moving in the wrong direction for Labour
Perception is rising numbers likely key here. @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows two thirds think small boat crossings increasing - almost half say increasing a lot.
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Perception is rising numbers likely key here. @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows two thirds think small boat crossings increasing - almost half say increasing a lot.
How does salience of immigration as an issue compare to past waves?
48% not as high as record in Sept 15 (pre Brexit)
…but let’s not kid ourselves, concern is high and general trend is up. Unclear where the peak is.
48% not as high as record in Sept 15 (pre Brexit)
…but let’s not kid ourselves, concern is high and general trend is up. Unclear where the peak is.
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
How does salience of immigration as an issue compare to past waves?
48% not as high as record in Sept 15 (pre Brexit)
…but let’s not kid ourselves, concern is high and general trend is up. Unclear where the peak is.
48% not as high as record in Sept 15 (pre Brexit)
…but let’s not kid ourselves, concern is high and general trend is up. Unclear where the peak is.
Unsurprisingly Immigration most important to Reform UK voters. 84% of this group say it’s an important issue.
What is notable is that growing importance is more driven by increase among Labour & Conservative supporters!
Wrong to say it’s just an issue for Reform supporters.
What is notable is that growing importance is more driven by increase among Labour & Conservative supporters!
Wrong to say it’s just an issue for Reform supporters.
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Unsurprisingly Immigration most important to Reform UK voters. 84% of this group say it’s an important issue.
What is notable is that growing importance is more driven by increase among Labour & Conservative supporters!
Wrong to say it’s just an issue for Reform supporters.
What is notable is that growing importance is more driven by increase among Labour & Conservative supporters!
Wrong to say it’s just an issue for Reform supporters.
🚨 New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Our issues index shows immigration the number one issue for the public - with importance growing 🚨
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
August 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
🚨 New from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social Our issues index shows immigration the number one issue for the public - with importance growing 🚨
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
48% say immigration number one issue - up 8 pts from last month
There’s more (short 🧵)
6/ When presented with the concept of a New left party / Green alliance or pact 3 in 10 Brits say they’d consider voting for it (more than the 1/5 considering the new left party alone)
This includes a majority of those aged under 35 and almost half of 2024 Labour voters.
This includes a majority of those aged under 35 and almost half of 2024 Labour voters.
August 20, 2025 at 4:34 PM
6/ When presented with the concept of a New left party / Green alliance or pact 3 in 10 Brits say they’d consider voting for it (more than the 1/5 considering the new left party alone)
This includes a majority of those aged under 35 and almost half of 2024 Labour voters.
This includes a majority of those aged under 35 and almost half of 2024 Labour voters.
5/ What about the Greens though? First chart indicated a fair bit of crossover in terms of appeal for new left party / Greens.
Should there be a pact?
3 in 4 considerers of new left party say yes. As do 6 in 10 Greens…
What does that mean…
Should there be a pact?
3 in 4 considerers of new left party say yes. As do 6 in 10 Greens…
What does that mean…
August 20, 2025 at 4:34 PM
5/ What about the Greens though? First chart indicated a fair bit of crossover in terms of appeal for new left party / Greens.
Should there be a pact?
3 in 4 considerers of new left party say yes. As do 6 in 10 Greens…
What does that mean…
Should there be a pact?
3 in 4 considerers of new left party say yes. As do 6 in 10 Greens…
What does that mean…
4/ However, despite large numbers thinking the platform represents positive change, significant doubt exists over when the platform is deliverable,
6 in 10 doubt platform is affordable or would be delivered competently by Corbyn / Sultana party.
6 in 10 doubt platform is affordable or would be delivered competently by Corbyn / Sultana party.
August 20, 2025 at 4:34 PM
4/ However, despite large numbers thinking the platform represents positive change, significant doubt exists over when the platform is deliverable,
6 in 10 doubt platform is affordable or would be delivered competently by Corbyn / Sultana party.
6 in 10 doubt platform is affordable or would be delivered competently by Corbyn / Sultana party.
3/ Interestingly, almost half of Brits (47%) think new left wing party’s platforms represents ‘positive change’. Just 19% say negative.
This includes 7 in 10 of those aged under 35!
This includes 7 in 10 of those aged under 35!
August 20, 2025 at 4:34 PM
3/ Interestingly, almost half of Brits (47%) think new left wing party’s platforms represents ‘positive change’. Just 19% say negative.
This includes 7 in 10 of those aged under 35!
This includes 7 in 10 of those aged under 35!
2/ What parts of the new party’s platform appeal most?
Among those considering the party preventing further privatisation in the NHS, taxing the rich, public ownership of key industries, rent controls and universal free services most appealing parts of potential platform.
Among those considering the party preventing further privatisation in the NHS, taxing the rich, public ownership of key industries, rent controls and universal free services most appealing parts of potential platform.
August 20, 2025 at 4:34 PM
2/ What parts of the new party’s platform appeal most?
Among those considering the party preventing further privatisation in the NHS, taxing the rich, public ownership of key industries, rent controls and universal free services most appealing parts of potential platform.
Among those considering the party preventing further privatisation in the NHS, taxing the rich, public ownership of key industries, rent controls and universal free services most appealing parts of potential platform.
1/ At a basic level 1 in 5 would ‘consider’ voting for new Corbyn / Sultana party.
This increases to 1 in 3 of those aged under 35
And 1 in 3 Labour voters from last year
Are plus more than 4 in 10 Green voters (more on that later)
This increases to 1 in 3 of those aged under 35
And 1 in 3 Labour voters from last year
Are plus more than 4 in 10 Green voters (more on that later)
August 20, 2025 at 4:34 PM
1/ At a basic level 1 in 5 would ‘consider’ voting for new Corbyn / Sultana party.
This increases to 1 in 3 of those aged under 35
And 1 in 3 Labour voters from last year
Are plus more than 4 in 10 Green voters (more on that later)
This increases to 1 in 3 of those aged under 35
And 1 in 3 Labour voters from last year
Are plus more than 4 in 10 Green voters (more on that later)
🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
August 20, 2025 at 4:34 PM
🚨 1 in 5 Brits say they’d consider voting for new left wing party - including 1 in 3 aged under 35 🚨
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
New deep dive polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
looks at how much appeal new Corbyn / Sultana party might have.
I think potentially quite a lot but let’s deep dive 🧵
6/ When presented with the concept of a New left party / Green alliance or pact 3 in 10 Brits say they’d consider voting for it (more than the 1/5 considering the new left party alone)
This includes a majority of those aged under 35 and almost half of 2024 Labour voters.
This includes a majority of those aged under 35 and almost half of 2024 Labour voters.
August 20, 2025 at 4:33 PM
6/ When presented with the concept of a New left party / Green alliance or pact 3 in 10 Brits say they’d consider voting for it (more than the 1/5 considering the new left party alone)
This includes a majority of those aged under 35 and almost half of 2024 Labour voters.
This includes a majority of those aged under 35 and almost half of 2024 Labour voters.
5/ What about the Greens though? First chart indicated a fair bit of crossover in terms of appeal for new left party / Greens.
Should there be a pact?
3 in 4 considerers of new left party say yes. As do 6 in 10 Greens…
What does that mean…
Should there be a pact?
3 in 4 considerers of new left party say yes. As do 6 in 10 Greens…
What does that mean…
August 20, 2025 at 4:33 PM
5/ What about the Greens though? First chart indicated a fair bit of crossover in terms of appeal for new left party / Greens.
Should there be a pact?
3 in 4 considerers of new left party say yes. As do 6 in 10 Greens…
What does that mean…
Should there be a pact?
3 in 4 considerers of new left party say yes. As do 6 in 10 Greens…
What does that mean…
4/ However, despite large numbers thinking the platform represents positive change, significant doubt exists over when the platform is deliverable,
6 in 10 doubt platform is affordable or would be delivered competently by Corbyn / Sultana party.
6 in 10 doubt platform is affordable or would be delivered competently by Corbyn / Sultana party.
August 20, 2025 at 4:33 PM
4/ However, despite large numbers thinking the platform represents positive change, significant doubt exists over when the platform is deliverable,
6 in 10 doubt platform is affordable or would be delivered competently by Corbyn / Sultana party.
6 in 10 doubt platform is affordable or would be delivered competently by Corbyn / Sultana party.
3/ Interestingly, almost half of Brits (47%) think new left wing party’s platforms represents ‘positive change’. Just 19% say negative.
This includes 7 in 10 of those aged under 35!
This includes 7 in 10 of those aged under 35!
August 20, 2025 at 4:33 PM
3/ Interestingly, almost half of Brits (47%) think new left wing party’s platforms represents ‘positive change’. Just 19% say negative.
This includes 7 in 10 of those aged under 35!
This includes 7 in 10 of those aged under 35!
2/ What parts of the new party’s platform appeal most?
Among those considering the party preventing further privatisation in the NHS, taxing the rich, public ownership of key industries, rent controls and universal free services most appealing parts of potential platform.
Among those considering the party preventing further privatisation in the NHS, taxing the rich, public ownership of key industries, rent controls and universal free services most appealing parts of potential platform.
August 20, 2025 at 4:33 PM
2/ What parts of the new party’s platform appeal most?
Among those considering the party preventing further privatisation in the NHS, taxing the rich, public ownership of key industries, rent controls and universal free services most appealing parts of potential platform.
Among those considering the party preventing further privatisation in the NHS, taxing the rich, public ownership of key industries, rent controls and universal free services most appealing parts of potential platform.
1/ At a basic level 1 in 5 would ‘consider’ voting for new Corbyn / Sultana party.
This increases to 1 in 3 of those aged under 35
And 1 in 3 Labour voters from last year
Are plus more than 4 in 10 Green voters (more on that later)
This increases to 1 in 3 of those aged under 35
And 1 in 3 Labour voters from last year
Are plus more than 4 in 10 Green voters (more on that later)
August 20, 2025 at 4:33 PM
1/ At a basic level 1 in 5 would ‘consider’ voting for new Corbyn / Sultana party.
This increases to 1 in 3 of those aged under 35
And 1 in 3 Labour voters from last year
Are plus more than 4 in 10 Green voters (more on that later)
This increases to 1 in 3 of those aged under 35
And 1 in 3 Labour voters from last year
Are plus more than 4 in 10 Green voters (more on that later)