Jean Fisch
@jeanfisch.bsky.social
Analysis, rationalism & objectivity are my sins
I read both in the US and in DE: "we had a pandemic plan, why the hell did we not stick to it ?!?"
I went through both plans: Neither includes any impact sizing on mortality
A plan without impact sizing is not a plan but a Kinder surprise egg: You may like the surprise... or not
I went through both plans: Neither includes any impact sizing on mortality
A plan without impact sizing is not a plan but a Kinder surprise egg: You may like the surprise... or not
November 16, 2025 at 6:03 PM
I read both in the US and in DE: "we had a pandemic plan, why the hell did we not stick to it ?!?"
I went through both plans: Neither includes any impact sizing on mortality
A plan without impact sizing is not a plan but a Kinder surprise egg: You may like the surprise... or not
I went through both plans: Neither includes any impact sizing on mortality
A plan without impact sizing is not a plan but a Kinder surprise egg: You may like the surprise... or not
Sigh... "Could vaccines have caused big excess in England?" is brought up again by a British newspaper
So here is how excess looks like vs expected from pre-pandemic mortality trend once you account for covid, flu & heat
So the answer is known: "No the vaccines could not"
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So here is how excess looks like vs expected from pre-pandemic mortality trend once you account for covid, flu & heat
So the answer is known: "No the vaccines could not"
1/
November 16, 2025 at 8:45 AM
Sigh... "Could vaccines have caused big excess in England?" is brought up again by a British newspaper
So here is how excess looks like vs expected from pre-pandemic mortality trend once you account for covid, flu & heat
So the answer is known: "No the vaccines could not"
1/
So here is how excess looks like vs expected from pre-pandemic mortality trend once you account for covid, flu & heat
So the answer is known: "No the vaccines could not"
1/
I missed this interesting paper: Swedish pharma-surveillance scientists reviewed the 456 reports of suspected fatality post vax in Sweden
They found 10 with clear vaccine link (amounting to the famous X per million also found elsewhere)
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They found 10 with clear vaccine link (amounting to the famous X per million also found elsewhere)
1/
November 14, 2025 at 4:47 PM
I missed this interesting paper: Swedish pharma-surveillance scientists reviewed the 456 reports of suspected fatality post vax in Sweden
They found 10 with clear vaccine link (amounting to the famous X per million also found elsewhere)
1/
They found 10 with clear vaccine link (amounting to the famous X per million also found elsewhere)
1/
Also in Australia, covid cases, ICU and deaths evolve in sync with the expected delay of a week between each state
Interestingly, the "in hospital" data (stopped end of 2023) never showed the "lows" of the other indicators
This smells of significant in-hospital infections
Interestingly, the "in hospital" data (stopped end of 2023) never showed the "lows" of the other indicators
This smells of significant in-hospital infections
November 14, 2025 at 7:07 AM
Also in Australia, covid cases, ICU and deaths evolve in sync with the expected delay of a week between each state
Interestingly, the "in hospital" data (stopped end of 2023) never showed the "lows" of the other indicators
This smells of significant in-hospital infections
Interestingly, the "in hospital" data (stopped end of 2023) never showed the "lows" of the other indicators
This smells of significant in-hospital infections
Covid is now clearly on a downward path in England too
(I remain full of admiration if this were to be the result of dark forces faking the presence of virus: Remember, this requires to phase the peaks with 7 days between cases, admissions and deaths and this across the whole health sector!)
(I remain full of admiration if this were to be the result of dark forces faking the presence of virus: Remember, this requires to phase the peaks with 7 days between cases, admissions and deaths and this across the whole health sector!)
November 13, 2025 at 11:26 AM
Covid is now clearly on a downward path in England too
(I remain full of admiration if this were to be the result of dark forces faking the presence of virus: Remember, this requires to phase the peaks with 7 days between cases, admissions and deaths and this across the whole health sector!)
(I remain full of admiration if this were to be the result of dark forces faking the presence of virus: Remember, this requires to phase the peaks with 7 days between cases, admissions and deaths and this across the whole health sector!)
The illusion of a virus continues to be carried out to perfection in Germany:
- the personnel in the dozens of labs who establish + cases
- the nurses / doctors who report covid cases in hospitals
- the deaths registrars
managed to fake another synchronized downturn of covid
😀
- the personnel in the dozens of labs who establish + cases
- the nurses / doctors who report covid cases in hospitals
- the deaths registrars
managed to fake another synchronized downturn of covid
😀
November 11, 2025 at 12:04 PM
The illusion of a virus continues to be carried out to perfection in Germany:
- the personnel in the dozens of labs who establish + cases
- the nurses / doctors who report covid cases in hospitals
- the deaths registrars
managed to fake another synchronized downturn of covid
😀
- the personnel in the dozens of labs who establish + cases
- the nurses / doctors who report covid cases in hospitals
- the deaths registrars
managed to fake another synchronized downturn of covid
😀
I am perplexed by this major new study of NHS England data among children on multiple accounts
a) It writes "risk is higher 12 months after infx than 4wks after vax" without showing that this comparison is meaningful (ie risk 12m after infx is linked to infx, not vax)
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a) It writes "risk is higher 12 months after infx than 4wks after vax" without showing that this comparison is meaningful (ie risk 12m after infx is linked to infx, not vax)
1/
November 5, 2025 at 10:19 AM
I am perplexed by this major new study of NHS England data among children on multiple accounts
a) It writes "risk is higher 12 months after infx than 4wks after vax" without showing that this comparison is meaningful (ie risk 12m after infx is linked to infx, not vax)
1/
a) It writes "risk is higher 12 months after infx than 4wks after vax" without showing that this comparison is meaningful (ie risk 12m after infx is linked to infx, not vax)
1/
The healthy vaccinee effect runs deeper than we may think
What this full national Danish study shows is that a huge effect remains even after correcting for age, sex, comorbidity, medical visits and place of residence
The "unvaccinated by choice" test less (and die earlier)
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What this full national Danish study shows is that a huge effect remains even after correcting for age, sex, comorbidity, medical visits and place of residence
The "unvaccinated by choice" test less (and die earlier)
1/
November 2, 2025 at 9:47 AM
The healthy vaccinee effect runs deeper than we may think
What this full national Danish study shows is that a huge effect remains even after correcting for age, sex, comorbidity, medical visits and place of residence
The "unvaccinated by choice" test less (and die earlier)
1/
What this full national Danish study shows is that a huge effect remains even after correcting for age, sex, comorbidity, medical visits and place of residence
The "unvaccinated by choice" test less (and die earlier)
1/
This illustrates one of the things I don't understand with much of the "spun" affirmations from vax / pandemic management skeptics
You may get "15 minutes of fame" but the claims will fall apart the moment reality kicks in
www.reuters.com/business/hea...
You may get "15 minutes of fame" but the claims will fall apart the moment reality kicks in
www.reuters.com/business/hea...
www.reuters.com
October 31, 2025 at 7:05 AM
This illustrates one of the things I don't understand with much of the "spun" affirmations from vax / pandemic management skeptics
You may get "15 minutes of fame" but the claims will fall apart the moment reality kicks in
www.reuters.com/business/hea...
You may get "15 minutes of fame" but the claims will fall apart the moment reality kicks in
www.reuters.com/business/hea...
I just see that the Korean study that found higher cancer rates among vaccinated is being reviewed
Some may scream "censorship" but this is as clear a case of something gone wrong (and in good faith) as it gets
In fact one look at the official data would have raised the alarm
1/
Some may scream "censorship" but this is as clear a case of something gone wrong (and in good faith) as it gets
In fact one look at the official data would have raised the alarm
1/
October 26, 2025 at 11:44 AM
I just see that the Korean study that found higher cancer rates among vaccinated is being reviewed
Some may scream "censorship" but this is as clear a case of something gone wrong (and in good faith) as it gets
In fact one look at the official data would have raised the alarm
1/
Some may scream "censorship" but this is as clear a case of something gone wrong (and in good faith) as it gets
In fact one look at the official data would have raised the alarm
1/
The public opinion is always right! (here in the UK)
- Jan 21: it was against reopening schools
- Oct 25: it thinks that school closure did more harm than good
(interestingly, the young believe closing schools did more GOOD than harm / it's the old which are of the opposite opinion)
- Jan 21: it was against reopening schools
- Oct 25: it thinks that school closure did more harm than good
(interestingly, the young believe closing schools did more GOOD than harm / it's the old which are of the opposite opinion)
October 22, 2025 at 11:13 AM
The public opinion is always right! (here in the UK)
- Jan 21: it was against reopening schools
- Oct 25: it thinks that school closure did more harm than good
(interestingly, the young believe closing schools did more GOOD than harm / it's the old which are of the opposite opinion)
- Jan 21: it was against reopening schools
- Oct 25: it thinks that school closure did more harm than good
(interestingly, the young believe closing schools did more GOOD than harm / it's the old which are of the opposite opinion)
Just your regular reminder that UK mortality analysis on young people / external causes based on registrations are MATERIALLY distorted
(look here for suicides: the real trend is flat not growing)
The issue? ONS generally provides death data series based on registrations only
(look here for suicides: the real trend is flat not growing)
The issue? ONS generally provides death data series based on registrations only
October 21, 2025 at 9:48 AM
Just your regular reminder that UK mortality analysis on young people / external causes based on registrations are MATERIALLY distorted
(look here for suicides: the real trend is flat not growing)
The issue? ONS generally provides death data series based on registrations only
(look here for suicides: the real trend is flat not growing)
The issue? ONS generally provides death data series based on registrations only
Cancer patients who had covid jabs before treatment lived considerably longer
It would be beautifully ironic given the frantic efforts to whip up turbo-cancer
But alas, I fear it's simply a reflection of healthy vaccinee bias
www.statnews.com/2025/10/19/m...
It would be beautifully ironic given the frantic efforts to whip up turbo-cancer
But alas, I fear it's simply a reflection of healthy vaccinee bias
www.statnews.com/2025/10/19/m...
mRNA Covid shots may boost the effects of certain cancer treatments, study suggests
The potential reasons that a Covid vaccine would help treat cancer are intriguing.
www.statnews.com
October 20, 2025 at 5:11 AM
Cancer patients who had covid jabs before treatment lived considerably longer
It would be beautifully ironic given the frantic efforts to whip up turbo-cancer
But alas, I fear it's simply a reflection of healthy vaccinee bias
www.statnews.com/2025/10/19/m...
It would be beautifully ironic given the frantic efforts to whip up turbo-cancer
But alas, I fear it's simply a reflection of healthy vaccinee bias
www.statnews.com/2025/10/19/m...
A very interesting read about covid and how men and women react differently to an infection
(lots of "ahas" for me but then I know next to nothing so everything is new!)
(lots of "ahas" for me but then I know next to nothing so everything is new!)
Mechanisms of sex differences in acute and long COVID sequelae in mice
Pre-print. Does this model represent LongCovid or is it an infection model?
www.biorxiv.org/cont...
1/10
Pre-print. Does this model represent LongCovid or is it an infection model?
www.biorxiv.org/cont...
1/10
Mechanisms of sex differences in acute and long COVID sequelae in mice
While males are more likely to suffer severe outcomes during acute COVID-19, a greater proportion of females develop post-acute sequalae of COVID-19 (PASC) despite similar rates of infection. To identify mechanisms of PASC, mice were infected with SARS-CoV-2 and viral, inflammatory, and behavioral outcomes were evaluated through 84 days post infection. Sex differences were not observed in virus replication or persistence of viral RNA in pulmonary or extrapulmonary tissues in acute or PASC phases. Following recovery from infection, female mice exhibited persistent neurocognitive and behavioral impairments, along with greater frequencies of inflammatory myeloid subsets, neuroinflammation, and dysregulated T cell subsets, including Tregs. Sex differences in inflammation and cognitive phenotypes during PASC were mediated by the presence of two X chromosomes. XX animals independent of chromosome Y presented with neuroinflammation and PASC along with infection-induced upregulation of the X-linked genes Xist and Tlr7 that regulate inflammation and chronic disease outcomes.
### Competing Interest Statement
The authors have declared no competing interest.
National Institutes of Health RECOVER administrative supplement to NIH/NIAID, U19AI159822-02S1
Fisher Center Discovery Program
Johns Hopkins Center of Excellence in Influenza Research and Response, BAA 75N93021C00045
NICHD, 5R01HD100298
NIH/NIA, 1R01AG082899
www.biorxiv.org
October 17, 2025 at 2:53 PM
A very interesting read about covid and how men and women react differently to an infection
(lots of "ahas" for me but then I know next to nothing so everything is new!)
(lots of "ahas" for me but then I know next to nothing so everything is new!)
The Dutch Statistics Office updated its dataset of monthly deaths by cause based on death certificates this morning
Here is the devastating impact of turbo cancer for everyone to see
Here is the devastating impact of turbo cancer for everyone to see
October 17, 2025 at 10:42 AM
The Dutch Statistics Office updated its dataset of monthly deaths by cause based on death certificates this morning
Here is the devastating impact of turbo cancer for everyone to see
Here is the devastating impact of turbo cancer for everyone to see
Interesting case on vaccine injuries in Italy: A civil tribunal condemned the Italian State to pay a woman an indemnity of €3k per month after she developed symptoms 1 week after the second dose which eventually led to her to no longer be able to walk
www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2025/10/14/d...
www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2025/10/14/d...
Danni neurologici da vaccino Covid: Tribunale condanna il Ministero a pagare
Il Tribunale di Asti ha riconosciuto il nesso tra vaccino Covid e gravi danni neurologici, condannando il Ministero della Salute a pagare un indennizzo mensile.
www.ilfattoquotidiano.it
October 15, 2025 at 12:18 PM
Interesting case on vaccine injuries in Italy: A civil tribunal condemned the Italian State to pay a woman an indemnity of €3k per month after she developed symptoms 1 week after the second dose which eventually led to her to no longer be able to walk
www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2025/10/14/d...
www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2025/10/14/d...
Today's UK covid inquiry's hearing included something I was not aware so far
A memo of 25/2/20 by UK's advisory group mentions that school closures in South-East Asia show a significant transmission impact
1/
A memo of 25/2/20 by UK's advisory group mentions that school closures in South-East Asia show a significant transmission impact
1/
October 14, 2025 at 11:43 AM
Today's UK covid inquiry's hearing included something I was not aware so far
A memo of 25/2/20 by UK's advisory group mentions that school closures in South-East Asia show a significant transmission impact
1/
A memo of 25/2/20 by UK's advisory group mentions that school closures in South-East Asia show a significant transmission impact
1/
Forget the absolute levels on this chart: Testing levels and focus have changed wildly over time
But the "ups and downs" are a valid information and it shows how, suddenly covid waves
a) became much more in sync (2024)
b) seem to move to an annual pattern (2025) in west Europe
But the "ups and downs" are a valid information and it shows how, suddenly covid waves
a) became much more in sync (2024)
b) seem to move to an annual pattern (2025) in west Europe
October 14, 2025 at 10:50 AM
Forget the absolute levels on this chart: Testing levels and focus have changed wildly over time
But the "ups and downs" are a valid information and it shows how, suddenly covid waves
a) became much more in sync (2024)
b) seem to move to an annual pattern (2025) in west Europe
But the "ups and downs" are a valid information and it shows how, suddenly covid waves
a) became much more in sync (2024)
b) seem to move to an annual pattern (2025) in west Europe
What is funny (in a way) is that five years on, there is still not a basic understanding and agreement on core data about covid(R, IHR, IFR, etc.)
In fact, it is remarkably how little in particular IHR and IFR feature in inquiries yet they are central to any post-mortem analysis
In fact, it is remarkably how little in particular IHR and IFR feature in inquiries yet they are central to any post-mortem analysis
October 13, 2025 at 4:54 PM
What is funny (in a way) is that five years on, there is still not a basic understanding and agreement on core data about covid(R, IHR, IFR, etc.)
In fact, it is remarkably how little in particular IHR and IFR feature in inquiries yet they are central to any post-mortem analysis
In fact, it is remarkably how little in particular IHR and IFR feature in inquiries yet they are central to any post-mortem analysis
This study on rheumatic presentations puzzles me, can someone have a look?
This specialist had a deep look at patients in his surgery and only refers to "time since vaccination" yet I couldn't deduce from his wording that he could exclude infection as cause
Am I wrong?
www.mdpi.com/2076-393X/13...
This specialist had a deep look at patients in his surgery and only refers to "time since vaccination" yet I couldn't deduce from his wording that he could exclude infection as cause
Am I wrong?
www.mdpi.com/2076-393X/13...
www.mdpi.com
October 11, 2025 at 1:24 PM
This study on rheumatic presentations puzzles me, can someone have a look?
This specialist had a deep look at patients in his surgery and only refers to "time since vaccination" yet I couldn't deduce from his wording that he could exclude infection as cause
Am I wrong?
www.mdpi.com/2076-393X/13...
This specialist had a deep look at patients in his surgery and only refers to "time since vaccination" yet I couldn't deduce from his wording that he could exclude infection as cause
Am I wrong?
www.mdpi.com/2076-393X/13...
Can this study conclude that if you take the covid vaccine, you have a 40% reduced risk of hospitalization and 20% reduced risk of ending in ICU?
Alas no ... because It didn't check if the groups "took the covid jab in 24/25" and "did only take the flu jab" are comparable
1/
Alas no ... because It didn't check if the groups "took the covid jab in 24/25" and "did only take the flu jab" are comparable
1/
October 10, 2025 at 6:42 AM
Can this study conclude that if you take the covid vaccine, you have a 40% reduced risk of hospitalization and 20% reduced risk of ending in ICU?
Alas no ... because It didn't check if the groups "took the covid jab in 24/25" and "did only take the flu jab" are comparable
1/
Alas no ... because It didn't check if the groups "took the covid jab in 24/25" and "did only take the flu jab" are comparable
1/
A person was diagnosed with a life-changing heart-condition 3 weeks after her 3rd dose end 2021 and sued her doctor
The German Federal Court of Justice said that this was not permissible because the vaccination was part of a governmental campaign and only the government can be sued
The German Federal Court of Justice said that this was not permissible because the vaccination was part of a governmental campaign and only the government can be sued
October 10, 2025 at 6:40 AM
A person was diagnosed with a life-changing heart-condition 3 weeks after her 3rd dose end 2021 and sued her doctor
The German Federal Court of Justice said that this was not permissible because the vaccination was part of a governmental campaign and only the government can be sued
The German Federal Court of Justice said that this was not permissible because the vaccination was part of a governmental campaign and only the government can be sued
A TV program in France: Glitter, cool hosts, banter-y atmosphere
An attractive presenter reports on new scientific findings: Two pop level studies found a link between cancer and covid vax
Let me blunt: This fake news is caused by scientific journals not properly doing peer-review
An attractive presenter reports on new scientific findings: Two pop level studies found a link between cancer and covid vax
Let me blunt: This fake news is caused by scientific journals not properly doing peer-review
October 8, 2025 at 8:54 AM
A TV program in France: Glitter, cool hosts, banter-y atmosphere
An attractive presenter reports on new scientific findings: Two pop level studies found a link between cancer and covid vax
Let me blunt: This fake news is caused by scientific journals not properly doing peer-review
An attractive presenter reports on new scientific findings: Two pop level studies found a link between cancer and covid vax
Let me blunt: This fake news is caused by scientific journals not properly doing peer-review
This study compared 3 yrs on the cancer rate among women infx / not infx .... in 2020 without a word on the near-100% prob of everybody being infx by 2024
Conclusion? "Covid infx increases HPV linked cancer risk by 30%"
How on earth can that pass any @springernature.com peer-review ?!?
Conclusion? "Covid infx increases HPV linked cancer risk by 30%"
How on earth can that pass any @springernature.com peer-review ?!?
October 8, 2025 at 6:38 AM
This study compared 3 yrs on the cancer rate among women infx / not infx .... in 2020 without a word on the near-100% prob of everybody being infx by 2024
Conclusion? "Covid infx increases HPV linked cancer risk by 30%"
How on earth can that pass any @springernature.com peer-review ?!?
Conclusion? "Covid infx increases HPV linked cancer risk by 30%"
How on earth can that pass any @springernature.com peer-review ?!?
I see this piece by @whippletom.bsky.social only now: It's brilliant, insightful and entertaining!
What is so hard to understand is that
- confounders can be insidiously hidden
- it is often impossible to prove NO association
Uncertainty is life's middle name
www.thetimes.com/article/766f...
What is so hard to understand is that
- confounders can be insidiously hidden
- it is often impossible to prove NO association
Uncertainty is life's middle name
www.thetimes.com/article/766f...
What’s the truth about paracetamol and autism? It can be confounding
Sometimes you need to dig deeper into the data but often it comes down to how you want to interpret it
www.thetimes.com
September 30, 2025 at 1:36 PM
I see this piece by @whippletom.bsky.social only now: It's brilliant, insightful and entertaining!
What is so hard to understand is that
- confounders can be insidiously hidden
- it is often impossible to prove NO association
Uncertainty is life's middle name
www.thetimes.com/article/766f...
What is so hard to understand is that
- confounders can be insidiously hidden
- it is often impossible to prove NO association
Uncertainty is life's middle name
www.thetimes.com/article/766f...