justin key canfil
@jcanfil.bsky.social
Assistant Prof @CarnegieMellon & VF @Princeton ■ Fmr @BelferCenter @CFR ■ PhD @Columbia ■ science & tech competition, law, 美中关系
Reposted by justin key canfil
My latest publication, and my first published under my @newamerica.org affiliation: “The Nonproliferation Implications of the Spread of Emerging Technologies” with commentary by @jamiewithorne.bsky.social @lrand11.bsky.social @julesgeorge.bsky.social @jcanfil.bsky.social
Nuclear Nonproliferation and Emerging Technologies
issforum.org/policy-round...
issforum.org/policy-round...
H-Diplo|RJISSF Policy Forum on Nuclear Nonproliferation and Emerging Technologies
18 July 2025 | PDF: https://issforum.org/to/jrt16-P1 | Website: rjissf.org | X: @HDiplo Editor: Diane Labrosse Commissioning Editor: Jennifer L. Erickson Production Editor: Christopher Ball Pre…
issforum.org
September 11, 2025 at 7:02 PM
My latest publication, and my first published under my @newamerica.org affiliation: “The Nonproliferation Implications of the Spread of Emerging Technologies” with commentary by @jamiewithorne.bsky.social @lrand11.bsky.social @julesgeorge.bsky.social @jcanfil.bsky.social
Reposted by justin key canfil
China knows an own-goal when it sees one. www.newsweek.com/harvard-hkus...
Chinese college gives Harvard international students "unconditional offers"
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology said it would be opening its doors to Harvard students "amid global academic shifts."
www.newsweek.com
May 24, 2025 at 12:11 AM
China knows an own-goal when it sees one. www.newsweek.com/harvard-hkus...
Reposted by justin key canfil
New Publication Alert: "Innovation and Interdependence:
Evidence from Gene-Editing Technology" is now out in
@isq-jrnl.bsky.social. Check out this cool paper by
@cobrienudry.bsky.social and Tyler Pratt.
doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Evidence from Gene-Editing Technology" is now out in
@isq-jrnl.bsky.social. Check out this cool paper by
@cobrienudry.bsky.social and Tyler Pratt.
doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
April 28, 2025 at 11:57 PM
New Publication Alert: "Innovation and Interdependence:
Evidence from Gene-Editing Technology" is now out in
@isq-jrnl.bsky.social. Check out this cool paper by
@cobrienudry.bsky.social and Tyler Pratt.
doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Evidence from Gene-Editing Technology" is now out in
@isq-jrnl.bsky.social. Check out this cool paper by
@cobrienudry.bsky.social and Tyler Pratt.
doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Reposted by justin key canfil
Serving with honor doesn’t always mean everyone does. Two Army veterans discuss serving under a commander convicted and later pardoned for war crimes in Afghanistan and the lasting impact of those events. warontherocks.com/episode/sold...
April 18, 2025 at 5:00 AM
Serving with honor doesn’t always mean everyone does. Two Army veterans discuss serving under a commander convicted and later pardoned for war crimes in Afghanistan and the lasting impact of those events. warontherocks.com/episode/sold...
Reposted by justin key canfil
Just published on APSR First View: "How Cases Speak to One Another: Using Translation to Rethink Generalization in Political Science Research" by Erica Simmons and Nicholas Rush Smith. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
April 3, 2025 at 6:18 PM
Just published on APSR First View: "How Cases Speak to One Another: Using Translation to Rethink Generalization in Political Science Research" by Erica Simmons and Nicholas Rush Smith. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by justin key canfil
The NASA office of technology, policy and strategy as well as the office of the chief scientist are both being shut down, and its overall science budget may be slashed by as much as 50%.
March 10, 2025 at 4:16 PM
The NASA office of technology, policy and strategy as well as the office of the chief scientist are both being shut down, and its overall science budget may be slashed by as much as 50%.
Reposted by justin key canfil
Gutting the Minerva program means the loss of one of our last funding sources for long-term, risky, ambitious data collection on political violence. Almost impossible to replace with other sources (though we should try). Not even penny-wise, just foolish. This makes us dumber and less safe
Pentagon guts national security program that harnessed social science
Dozens of U.S. academics lose grants from Minerva program for studies related to terrorism, drug trafficking, and other threats
www.science.org
March 3, 2025 at 12:34 PM
Gutting the Minerva program means the loss of one of our last funding sources for long-term, risky, ambitious data collection on political violence. Almost impossible to replace with other sources (though we should try). Not even penny-wise, just foolish. This makes us dumber and less safe
Reposted by justin key canfil
Great read on the US Replicator programmes which aims to do military acquisition differently and address the dominance of China on drones.
Europe needs a Replicator - and a Kathleen Hicks!
www.defensenews.com/pentagon/202...
Europe needs a Replicator - and a Kathleen Hicks!
www.defensenews.com/pentagon/202...
The Pentagon’s ‘Replicator’ drone bonanza faces an uncertain future
At stake is the military's ability to adjust to the future of war and compete with China, its main rival.
www.defensenews.com
January 16, 2025 at 8:18 AM
Great read on the US Replicator programmes which aims to do military acquisition differently and address the dominance of China on drones.
Europe needs a Replicator - and a Kathleen Hicks!
www.defensenews.com/pentagon/202...
Europe needs a Replicator - and a Kathleen Hicks!
www.defensenews.com/pentagon/202...
PSA for PhD/PhD-bound students! Interested in 🇨🇳 politics/foreign policy? NBR is offering generous fellowships ($40-50k) to set aside an entire year for Chinese language improvement. Info session Dec 12. US citizens/PRs only. www.nbr.org/chinese-lang...
Chinese Language Fellowship Program | The National Bureau of Asian Research (NBR)
www.nbr.org
December 9, 2024 at 9:59 PM
PSA for PhD/PhD-bound students! Interested in 🇨🇳 politics/foreign policy? NBR is offering generous fellowships ($40-50k) to set aside an entire year for Chinese language improvement. Info session Dec 12. US citizens/PRs only. www.nbr.org/chinese-lang...
Reposted by justin key canfil
If you need a refresher on tariffs, @cfr.org's got you. What are tariffs, who uses them, who pays? www.cfr.org/backgrounder...
What Are Tariffs?
U.S. Presidents Trump and Biden have both turned to tariffs to support local industries amid economic confrontation with China. Here’s how these taxes work and how they’ve been used historically.
www.cfr.org
November 26, 2024 at 2:05 AM
If you need a refresher on tariffs, @cfr.org's got you. What are tariffs, who uses them, who pays? www.cfr.org/backgrounder...
Reposted by justin key canfil
#FirstView: UCSDPoliSci's Michael Joseph and Michael Poznansky ask why some of the most radical innovations of the last century came from orgs shrouded in secrecy.
The findings have important implications for debates about tech, innovation, and US-China rivalry.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
The findings have important implications for debates about tech, innovation, and US-China rivalry.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Secret Innovation | International Organization | Cambridge Core
Secret Innovation
www.cambridge.org
November 21, 2024 at 7:05 PM
#FirstView: UCSDPoliSci's Michael Joseph and Michael Poznansky ask why some of the most radical innovations of the last century came from orgs shrouded in secrecy.
The findings have important implications for debates about tech, innovation, and US-China rivalry.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
The findings have important implications for debates about tech, innovation, and US-China rivalry.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
“I’d have to say the Chinese have matched, or exceeded, what we can do — and we didn’t see this one coming.” Quite a statement about Salt Typhoon.
www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/u...
www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/u...
Emerging Details of Chinese Hack Leave U.S. Officials Increasingly Concerned
Leaders of the big telecommunications companies were summoned to the White House to discuss strategies for overhauling the security of the nation’s telecommunications networks amid growing alarm at th...
www.nytimes.com
November 23, 2024 at 5:22 PM
“I’d have to say the Chinese have matched, or exceeded, what we can do — and we didn’t see this one coming.” Quite a statement about Salt Typhoon.
www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/u...
www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/u...
Reposted by justin key canfil
Read this great new story about weather weapons and weather control.
By @jcanfil.bsky.social
In @thebulletin.org
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
#climatechange #cloudseeding @jessimckenzi.bsky.social
By @jcanfil.bsky.social
In @thebulletin.org
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
#climatechange #cloudseeding @jessimckenzi.bsky.social
Can they control the weather? How the secretive history of weather weapons fuels conspiracy theories
Policymakers should be more transparent about the limits, context, and actual potential of weather control so that citizens can make informed decisions about how to manage the coming consequences of c...
thebulletin.org
November 22, 2024 at 6:00 PM
Read this great new story about weather weapons and weather control.
By @jcanfil.bsky.social
In @thebulletin.org
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
#climatechange #cloudseeding @jessimckenzi.bsky.social
By @jcanfil.bsky.social
In @thebulletin.org
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
#climatechange #cloudseeding @jessimckenzi.bsky.social
Reposted by justin key canfil
Can they control the weather? How the secretive history of weather weapons fuels conspiracy theories
Fascinating article by @jcanfil.bsky.social @thebulletin.org
Traces contemporary conspiracy theories about weather control back to real history of weather weapons
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
Fascinating article by @jcanfil.bsky.social @thebulletin.org
Traces contemporary conspiracy theories about weather control back to real history of weather weapons
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
Can they control the weather? How the secretive history of weather weapons fuels conspiracy theories
Policymakers should be more transparent about the limits, context, and actual potential of weather control so that citizens can make informed decisions about how to manage the coming consequences of c...
thebulletin.org
November 22, 2024 at 5:26 PM
Can they control the weather? How the secretive history of weather weapons fuels conspiracy theories
Fascinating article by @jcanfil.bsky.social @thebulletin.org
Traces contemporary conspiracy theories about weather control back to real history of weather weapons
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
Fascinating article by @jcanfil.bsky.social @thebulletin.org
Traces contemporary conspiracy theories about weather control back to real history of weather weapons
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
Happy that my article on hurricane weapons is finally online @thebulletin.org.
No, we can’t control the weather—but not for lack of trying:
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
No, we can’t control the weather—but not for lack of trying:
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
Can they control the weather? How the secretive history of weather weapons fuels conspiracy theories
Policymakers should be more transparent about the limits, context, and actual potential of weather control so that citizens can make informed decisions about how to manage the coming consequences of c...
thebulletin.org
November 22, 2024 at 5:26 PM
Happy that my article on hurricane weapons is finally online @thebulletin.org.
No, we can’t control the weather—but not for lack of trying:
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
No, we can’t control the weather—but not for lack of trying:
thebulletin.org/2024/11/can-...
Reposted by justin key canfil
Also known as the Drone Anti-Submarine Helicopter (DASH), the only nuclear-armed unmanned aerial vehicle. Operational range was about 35 miles and flight endurance was approximately 2 hours. The yield of the B57 bomb was about 5 kilotons.
Remember when we had nuclear armed drones!
Gyrodyne QH-50 Drone with B57 Nuclear Bomb
Anti-Submarine Operations
Gyrodyne QH-50 Drone with B57 Nuclear Bomb
Anti-Submarine Operations
November 21, 2024 at 7:49 AM
Also known as the Drone Anti-Submarine Helicopter (DASH), the only nuclear-armed unmanned aerial vehicle. Operational range was about 35 miles and flight endurance was approximately 2 hours. The yield of the B57 bomb was about 5 kilotons.
Reposted by justin key canfil
Tonight in 1983, more than 100 million Americans saw multiple thermonuclear weapons destroy Kansas City, Missouri, in “The Day After” on ABC. A.C. Nielsen Company reported that 62 percent of television sets that night were tuned to the film. I watched in my packed college dorm lounge. How about you?
November 20, 2024 at 3:55 PM
Tonight in 1983, more than 100 million Americans saw multiple thermonuclear weapons destroy Kansas City, Missouri, in “The Day After” on ABC. A.C. Nielsen Company reported that 62 percent of television sets that night were tuned to the film. I watched in my packed college dorm lounge. How about you?
Reposted by justin key canfil
"Power Rules: Practical Statistical Power Calculations"
Among other things, I write about how researchers might use pilot data to inform power calculations.
Feedback welcomed!
www.carlislerainey.com/power-rules/...
Among other things, I write about how researchers might use pilot data to inform power calculations.
Feedback welcomed!
www.carlislerainey.com/power-rules/...
November 17, 2024 at 9:15 PM
"Power Rules: Practical Statistical Power Calculations"
Among other things, I write about how researchers might use pilot data to inform power calculations.
Feedback welcomed!
www.carlislerainey.com/power-rules/...
Among other things, I write about how researchers might use pilot data to inform power calculations.
Feedback welcomed!
www.carlislerainey.com/power-rules/...
Reposted by justin key canfil
New #dataset on International #Cyber Expression out in Journal of Peace Research. @jcanfil.bsky.social collects >34K official government statements on cyberspace. I love this figure showing that the state focus has shifted.
January 18, 2024 at 12:54 AM
New #dataset on International #Cyber Expression out in Journal of Peace Research. @jcanfil.bsky.social collects >34K official government statements on cyberspace. I love this figure showing that the state focus has shifted.
Reposted by justin key canfil
Sputnik was 66 years ago today. I curated a set of about a dozen original Soviet archival sources (translated!) on the origins of the world's first satellite, hosted by The Wilson Center in Washington, DC: www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/ne... #histsci #histtech
New Sources on Sputnik
Documents added to DigitalArchive.org provide a look at the origins of Sputnik, the first Soviet satellite.
www.wilsoncenter.org
October 4, 2023 at 9:15 PM
Sputnik was 66 years ago today. I curated a set of about a dozen original Soviet archival sources (translated!) on the origins of the world's first satellite, hosted by The Wilson Center in Washington, DC: www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/ne... #histsci #histtech
Reposted by justin key canfil
Today in 1966, the Soviet Union detonated a 30-kiloton nuclear device 5,026 feet underground to successfully extinguish a natural gas fire that had raged out of control for nearly three years in the Urta-Bulak gas field in the Uzbek Soviet Socialist Republic.
USSR used nuclear bombs to stop gas well blowouts
In September, 1966 the former Soviet Union suffered blowouts on five natural gas (methane) wells and despite their best efforts, including hydraulic fracturi...
www.youtube.com
September 30, 2023 at 2:26 PM
Today in 1966, the Soviet Union detonated a 30-kiloton nuclear device 5,026 feet underground to successfully extinguish a natural gas fire that had raged out of control for nearly three years in the Urta-Bulak gas field in the Uzbek Soviet Socialist Republic.
Hi polisky - Carnegie Mellon is hiring in IR/security! Junior/senior lines. Apply by 10/23. Happy to answer questions apply.interfolio.com/132453
September 20, 2023 at 2:03 PM
Hi polisky - Carnegie Mellon is hiring in IR/security! Junior/senior lines. Apply by 10/23. Happy to answer questions apply.interfolio.com/132453
@profmusgrave.bsky.social please add me to polisky?
September 20, 2023 at 1:57 PM
@profmusgrave.bsky.social please add me to polisky?