Robert Hoskins
hoski67.bsky.social
Robert Hoskins
@hoski67.bsky.social
WW2 Geek, Weegie, Former Lecturer,❤️Family, Friends, Peaty Malts, Celtic🍀 Labour🌹 UK, Loathe Scottish Nationalism - a toxic ideology, Broadstairsphile.
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
Week26 on the #SubPollSeries and I think we can confirm that we are looking at the Reform vote in Scotland on the way back down.

Labour have taken back 2nd place in Scotland as they and the SNP have benefitted from the collapse of the Tories and fall of Reform.

The media are missing this change.
June 25, 2025 at 7:46 AM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
Farage has largely captured the electorate receptive to right-populism, and has correctly calculated that the fertile ground for further expansion of the Reform vote is left-populism.

He's seeking to bridge two populist agendas driven by the same underlying anger.
Nigel Farage: Reform UK want to make it easier for people to have children
Reform leader backs lifting the two-child benefit cap and introducing more generous tax breaks for married people.
www.bbc.co.uk
May 27, 2025 at 1:53 PM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
Farage claimed in his speech today that he would raise £65 *billion* by cutting climate policies, DEI schemes, and ‘Quangos’.

He’s not running a serious operation and every political journalist in the country has a public duty to shout that from the rooftops
May 27, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
❗️Apparently, Ukraine will receive Taurus missiles.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz Merz said that Germany, France, Great Britain and the United States have lifted range restrictions on military supplies to Ukraine - Kyiv can attack positions throughout Russia with long-range weapons.
May 26, 2025 at 12:00 PM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
❗️🇩🇪German intelligence agency classifies far-right Alternative for Germany party as extremist — Reuters

Germany's domestic intelligence agency on Friday classified the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) as an extremist organization that threatens democracy,
May 2, 2025 at 9:32 AM
2 X 🌹🚩👍
May 1, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
And there it is. Trump comes out in favor of codifying Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea and blames Zelenskyy for Putin’s aggression.
April 23, 2025 at 4:04 PM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
Ive been working overnight on the paper "The relationship between birth cohort and secessionism in Scotland."

www.centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk/is-scottish-...

The one that was splashed across the National overnight. There are a few problems with the analysis, which I can go into later. BUT..
Is Scottish independence inevitable? The relationship between birth cohort and secessionism in Scotland.
At the heart of the debate over the relationship between age and support for Scotland seceding from the United Kingdom is a key question: do Scots become less likely to support secession as they age, ...
www.centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk
April 22, 2025 at 9:33 AM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
Some good points in here. One thing I would add: the upper echelons of the SNP are filled with people whose political opinions were formed when they were teenagers, and have remained fixed ever since. They assume that everyone else is like that too, which is a grave error.
April 18, 2025 at 7:33 PM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
Well now.

Having looked further at the FON sub polling for Scotland against the full #SubPollSeries I was able to update the data for the latest UK FON poll thus giving a perfect timing alignment.

It shows an 11% bias for indy supporting parties.

A huge exaggeration in Others and Greens.
April 18, 2025 at 10:10 AM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
Latest data on births in Scotland (to Feb this year) shows us continuing to decline badly. We are recording the lowest number of births in Scotland since records began and it's getting worse.

But don't worry because no one wants to talk about it, so it's all good.
April 14, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
OK you lovely people it's #SubPollSeries for Week 15.

With Reform flat and the SNP and Labour both falling backwards it's the Liberal Democrats (remember them) that seem to be benefitting. This is leading to another tightening of the race for second place.

Indyref voting is flat, flat, flat.
April 9, 2025 at 11:24 AM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
What, what, what? You want the updated #SubPollSeries for Week 13?

Well look no further!

The data helps show the fall from peak Reform (so far) and the SNP falling back again with the Tories, Greens and Labour benefitting.
March 28, 2025 at 6:38 AM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
🚨BREAKING:

All elected officials found guilty in the Rassemblement National embezzlement trial, including Marine Le Pen, have been sentenced to ineligibility in political life.
🚨 BREAKING: Far-right leader Marine Le Pen and eight MEPs were found guilty of embezzlement of public funds

The sentences will be detailed individually, but are not yet known, but Le Pen now risks being banned from political life and the potential end of her political career.
March 31, 2025 at 9:54 AM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
❗️ The 🇪🇺EU has no plans to lift sanctions on 🇷🇺Russia or allow its reconnection to SWIFT.
March 27, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
Week 12 of the #SubPollSeries sees the further fall of Reform from their high point in week 10. The rarity of normal Scottish polling means that few haven noticed this peak and are instead talking about the rise of reform. However the reality is somewhat more nuanced.
March 20, 2025 at 6:53 AM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
Kind of shocking that most of the media in the US - and the UK - don’t seem to have spotted what is going on, or at least aren’t taking it seriously.
To preserve democracy our Founders set up 3 separate branches of government – the Executive, the Legislature & the Judiciary.
Two are already corrupted. The last pillar standing is the Judiciary - the rule of Law. Trump is now intent on rendering it powerless so that he will have unfettered power
March 24, 2025 at 5:43 AM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
"Our nuclear deterrent is self-sufficient, French from start to finish. Ever since 64 it has helped keep Europe safe and peaceful. However, after Merz's historic call, I have decided to open up discussion on using it to protect our allies throughout Europe." — Macron. #StandWithUkraine #EuropeanArmy
March 5, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
For the umpteenth time: No way should our allies share their intelligence with us. No fucking way. Trump can’t be trusted with our allies’ intelligence. He’s not on their side. He’s on Putin’s side. www.mediaite.com/tv/cia-direc...
CIA Director Reveals U.S. Has Cut Off Intelligence Support to Ukraine After Trump-Zelensky Clash
Ratcliffe revealed Trump halted intelligence support as part of his decision to withhold military aid to Ukraine following last week’s Oval Office confrontation.
www.mediaite.com
March 5, 2025 at 5:29 PM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
❗️We are currently producing about a third of the weapons we need, our goal is at least 50 percent, - 🇺🇦Ukrainian Prime Minister Shmyhal
March 4, 2025 at 11:13 AM
Reposted by Robert Hoskins
❗️🇫🇷French President Emmanuel Macron said he was ready to start discussing a “nuclear deterrent” for 🇪🇺Europe, speculating that France could use its arsenal of nuclear weapons to protect other European countries from 🇷🇺Russia.
March 1, 2025 at 9:07 PM
Bezos has just trashed the legacy of Bob Woodward & Carl Bernstein
Jeff Bezos will be censoring progressive opinions at the Washington Post. He says so himself today.

So ditch the Post and support independent journalism:

Zeteo.com/subscribe
February 26, 2025 at 10:37 PM