georgeelliot19.bsky.social
@georgeelliot19.bsky.social
Reposted
"This translates to existential risks for billions of people. Not far in the future, but within the next few years for extreme events, and within decades for tipping points"
"Warming is going to exceed 1.5°C. We are heading into “overshoot” within the next few years. The world is going to become more turbulent and more dangerous. So, what comes after failure?" Some thoughts from Johan Rockstrom & me 10 years after Paris Agreement.

theconversation.com/the-world-lo...
The world lost the climate gamble. Now it faces a dangerous new reality
The world bet on collective but voluntary action to keep global warming at a safe level.
theconversation.com
November 22, 2025 at 10:25 AM
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I will write more about this later, for now just to say our paper has been published today. 10 years after Paris Agreement we can conclusively say we have failed to limit warming to well below 2°C. What next?

www.cell.com/one-earth/ab...
Living beyond limits: Consequences of missing the decisive decade for preserving our planet’s life-supporting systems
Humanity has pushed Earth’s life-supporting systems to the brink, accelerated by our failures over the past decade. Our only way to limit the duration and magnitude of temperature overshoot is rapid, ...
www.cell.com
November 17, 2025 at 8:34 AM
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Today is a good day to remember, and to say, that the #MeToo movement was right, and was righteous, and has been vindicated over and over again. There was no overreach. There was no excess. There was no they-went-too-far.

So much work remains to be done.
November 12, 2025 at 11:16 PM
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The large increase from 2018-2021 was driven by #Climate activism.

Lesson: The widespread mobilisation of the climate emergency movement ( @fridaysforfuture.bsky.social @xrglobal.bsky.social, @sunrisemvmt.bsky.social @endegelaende.bsky.social ) was crucial for creating political salience
Look at storytelling in the news media about climate change over the last 25 years. Online vs print
November 14, 2025 at 1:56 AM
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pretty funny in retrospect that QAnon hinged on the idea that powerful elites at the highest levels of government were smart enough to talk in code when sending emails to each other about their despicable crimes
November 12, 2025 at 10:08 PM
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This is an important point but is widely exaggerated. Need to consider energy transition from a *dynamic net energy* perspective. Need to consider the portion of final energy consumed by energy system itself (ie the upfront energy costs of decarbonization and electrification).
No we don’t have to replace all fossil primary energy.

We only have to replace the useful energy with clean energy using much more efficient technologies.

We don’t need to replace the wasted fossil energy. We can avoid the inefficiency in the first place.
October 27, 2025 at 7:54 PM
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October 12, 2025 at 6:16 PM
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The free speech activist who built a list of professors he worked to get fired for their speech must be celebrated for his support of free speech, and anyone who quotes his speech accurately in context will be fired and/or face state punishment by the champions of free speech, do I have that right?
September 15, 2025 at 2:43 PM
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Feel free to continue arguing over the shooter's motives, but please understand that *it doesn't matter*.

There's a organized political movement that plans to suppress, arrest, or kill its political opposition. It it seeking pretexts. Anything will do. If it's not this, it'll be something else.
September 15, 2025 at 8:49 PM
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A global minimum tax on the ultrarich could change planetary politics. Right now South Africa, Chile, France, and Spain are pushing for it
France could raise around €20 billion per year from this tax

That’s half of the €40B the government is looking for this year

Globally? $302–377 billion could be raised—every year

From the ultra-rich. Who currently pay very little.

gabriel-zucman.eu/files/report...
July 8, 2025 at 1:12 AM