Election Yard
@electionyard.com
Election commentary, sans sleeves. Voting is (still) awesome.
Reposted by Election Yard
Tennessee 7th Congressional District with >95% in:
- 🔴 ☑️ Matt Van Epps (R) - 93,536 (53.9%)
- 🔵 Aftyn Behn (D) - 78,080 (45.0%)
- 🔴 ☑️ Matt Van Epps (R) - 93,536 (53.9%)
- 🔵 Aftyn Behn (D) - 78,080 (45.0%)
December 3, 2025 at 2:53 AM
Tennessee 7th Congressional District with >95% in:
- 🔴 ☑️ Matt Van Epps (R) - 93,536 (53.9%)
- 🔵 Aftyn Behn (D) - 78,080 (45.0%)
- 🔴 ☑️ Matt Van Epps (R) - 93,536 (53.9%)
- 🔵 Aftyn Behn (D) - 78,080 (45.0%)
Every county that's done in TN-07 shifted bluer. Davidson came out for Behn, but she needed a bigger overperformance in the other sizable counties near Nashville. Was always going to be tough for Behn to win but the fact that this turned out to be an interesting race might be worth something.
December 3, 2025 at 2:49 AM
Every county that's done in TN-07 shifted bluer. Davidson came out for Behn, but she needed a bigger overperformance in the other sizable counties near Nashville. Was always going to be tough for Behn to win but the fact that this turned out to be an interesting race might be worth something.
Reposted by Election Yard
JUST IN: Democrats have flipped the mayor's office in Roswell, Georgia, in tonight's runoff.
GOP Mayor Kurt Wilson conceded earlier tonight to Mary Robichaux, the Dem challenging him.
(This is a city in the Atlanta suburbs, the 9th most populous city in Georgia.)
GOP Mayor Kurt Wilson conceded earlier tonight to Mary Robichaux, the Dem challenging him.
(This is a city in the Atlanta suburbs, the 9th most populous city in Georgia.)
December 3, 2025 at 2:30 AM
JUST IN: Democrats have flipped the mayor's office in Roswell, Georgia, in tonight's runoff.
GOP Mayor Kurt Wilson conceded earlier tonight to Mary Robichaux, the Dem challenging him.
(This is a city in the Atlanta suburbs, the 9th most populous city in Georgia.)
GOP Mayor Kurt Wilson conceded earlier tonight to Mary Robichaux, the Dem challenging him.
(This is a city in the Atlanta suburbs, the 9th most populous city in Georgia.)
Davidson County (Nashville) now all in and it's a D+25 shift from last year. A huge individual result for Behn but not enough tonight.
December 3, 2025 at 2:30 AM
Davidson County (Nashville) now all in and it's a D+25 shift from last year. A huge individual result for Behn but not enough tonight.
Prior to the election, I would have put Van Epps on around 52% of the final vote so this won't be that far off. We're just watching the margins now.
December 3, 2025 at 2:28 AM
Prior to the election, I would have put Van Epps on around 52% of the final vote so this won't be that far off. We're just watching the margins now.
Dickson County is now about all in, Dem shift +12. Not enough for her to win obviously but it's been the trend in other counties.
December 3, 2025 at 2:23 AM
Dickson County is now about all in, Dem shift +12. Not enough for her to win obviously but it's been the trend in other counties.
Reposted by Election Yard
Some similarity to Jon Ossoff's defeat in 2017, in terms of attention given to a special election.
www.nytimes.com/elections/re...
www.nytimes.com/elections/re...
December 3, 2025 at 2:18 AM
Some similarity to Jon Ossoff's defeat in 2017, in terms of attention given to a special election.
www.nytimes.com/elections/re...
www.nytimes.com/elections/re...
NYT is putting Van Epps at about 53% when it's all done. Sounds about right. Green got 59.5% in 2024.
If nothing else for Behn, she made it a lot closer and she's winning Davidson by 65 points with 71% reporting.
If nothing else for Behn, she made it a lot closer and she's winning Davidson by 65 points with 71% reporting.
December 3, 2025 at 2:18 AM
NYT is putting Van Epps at about 53% when it's all done. Sounds about right. Green got 59.5% in 2024.
If nothing else for Behn, she made it a lot closer and she's winning Davidson by 65 points with 71% reporting.
If nothing else for Behn, she made it a lot closer and she's winning Davidson by 65 points with 71% reporting.
Shifts from 2024 in those counties which are about done (NYT):
Wayne: D+6.9
Benton: D+8.8
Decatur: D+9.3
Houston: D+12
Perry: D+15
Wayne: D+6.9
Benton: D+8.8
Decatur: D+9.3
Houston: D+12
Perry: D+15
December 3, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Shifts from 2024 in those counties which are about done (NYT):
Wayne: D+6.9
Benton: D+8.8
Decatur: D+9.3
Houston: D+12
Perry: D+15
Wayne: D+6.9
Benton: D+8.8
Decatur: D+9.3
Houston: D+12
Perry: D+15
I would like to see the E-Day numbers out of Davidson but as it stands now I think Van Epps probably has it.
December 3, 2025 at 2:03 AM
I would like to see the E-Day numbers out of Davidson but as it stands now I think Van Epps probably has it.
TN-07 is tracking for a Van Epps win in maybe the mid-single digits if he's lucky. Nowhere near the 21% the GOP won by a year ago.
December 3, 2025 at 1:56 AM
TN-07 is tracking for a Van Epps win in maybe the mid-single digits if he's lucky. Nowhere near the 21% the GOP won by a year ago.
Reposted by Election Yard
Ds don't seem to be getting what they need out of Nashville. But if the margin lands at R+3, that's a D+19 shift from 2024 -- we're not talking a wave, we're talking tsunami
again @gelliottmorris.com says behn still has a chance but damn 3 points in this district is 🦇💩
December 3, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Ds don't seem to be getting what they need out of Nashville. But if the margin lands at R+3, that's a D+19 shift from 2024 -- we're not talking a wave, we're talking tsunami
Now we need to know what the hell is happening in Williamson County. Last piece to the puzzle and Behn needs a big overperformance there.
December 3, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Now we need to know what the hell is happening in Williamson County. Last piece to the puzzle and Behn needs a big overperformance there.
At this point, very safe to say Behn is going to massively overperform the 2024 Dem results in TN-07. Not convinced she wins, but it's going to be close.
December 3, 2025 at 1:38 AM
At this point, very safe to say Behn is going to massively overperform the 2024 Dem results in TN-07. Not convinced she wins, but it's going to be close.
Davidson finally drops its EV and Aftyn Behn is in the lead for now. Winning the county 85% to 15%. Great number for her.
December 3, 2025 at 1:35 AM
Davidson finally drops its EV and Aftyn Behn is in the lead for now. Winning the county 85% to 15%. Great number for her.
In other news, it looks like Jim McGreevey is going down in flames in Jersey
December 3, 2025 at 1:26 AM
In other news, it looks like Jim McGreevey is going down in flames in Jersey
Just waiting for the first big Davidson drop.
December 3, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Just waiting for the first big Davidson drop.
Reposted by Election Yard
It's very early, but the first live estimate is R +2.9, which would be almost a 20-point overperformance by the Democrat Behn.
December 3, 2025 at 1:14 AM
It's very early, but the first live estimate is R +2.9, which would be almost a 20-point overperformance by the Democrat Behn.
TN-07: Votes are coming in. Most of the counties on the board so far are heavily red counties farther from Nashville.
December 3, 2025 at 1:11 AM
TN-07: Votes are coming in. Most of the counties on the board so far are heavily red counties farther from Nashville.
Polls are CLOSED in TN-07. Let's do this thing, last big special election of the year.
December 3, 2025 at 1:00 AM
Polls are CLOSED in TN-07. Let's do this thing, last big special election of the year.
Election night has begun
Roswell, Georgia Mayor - Current Results
- 🔵 Mary Robichaux (D-Aligned) - 5,223 (58.4%)
- 🔴 Kurt Wilson (R-Aligned) - 3,726 (41.6%)
- 🔵 Mary Robichaux (D-Aligned) - 5,223 (58.4%)
- 🔴 Kurt Wilson (R-Aligned) - 3,726 (41.6%)
December 3, 2025 at 12:32 AM
Election night has begun
Reposted by Election Yard
Representative Ayanna Pressley of Boston will run for re-election to the House next year, forgoing a run for Senate and a challenge to incumbent Senator Ed Markey.
Pressley won’t challenge Markey, will run for re-election - The Boston Globe
Nationally known and well-liked among progressives, Representative Pressley was seen as a strong contender for the Senate seat.
trib.al
December 2, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Representative Ayanna Pressley of Boston will run for re-election to the House next year, forgoing a run for Senate and a challenge to incumbent Senator Ed Markey.
Reposted by Election Yard
ESPN host Paul Finebaum decides to stick to sports.
Paul Finebaum will not run for Tuberville’s US Senate seat
"It’s time for me to devote my full attention to something everyone in Alabama can agree upon - our love of college football.”
www.al.com
December 2, 2025 at 6:41 PM
ESPN host Paul Finebaum decides to stick to sports.
Reposted by Election Yard
Jersey City voters, it’s time to vote again! 🔁🗳️
TODAY, December 2, is your Runoff Election Day for mayor and seven city council seats. Here's what you need to know:
⏰ Polls are open until 8 PM
🪪 First-time voters may need to show photo ID
📍 Find your polling place at weall.vote/newjersey
TODAY, December 2, is your Runoff Election Day for mayor and seven city council seats. Here's what you need to know:
⏰ Polls are open until 8 PM
🪪 First-time voters may need to show photo ID
📍 Find your polling place at weall.vote/newjersey
NJ DOS - Division of Elections
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WeAll.Vote
December 2, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Jersey City voters, it’s time to vote again! 🔁🗳️
TODAY, December 2, is your Runoff Election Day for mayor and seven city council seats. Here's what you need to know:
⏰ Polls are open until 8 PM
🪪 First-time voters may need to show photo ID
📍 Find your polling place at weall.vote/newjersey
TODAY, December 2, is your Runoff Election Day for mayor and seven city council seats. Here's what you need to know:
⏰ Polls are open until 8 PM
🪪 First-time voters may need to show photo ID
📍 Find your polling place at weall.vote/newjersey
Today's the big day in Tennessee's 7th. Polls are open until 7pm Central.
December 2, 2025 at 1:18 PM
Today's the big day in Tennessee's 7th. Polls are open until 7pm Central.