Eddie
@eddiewash.bsky.social
Reposted by Eddie
Sarah Stillman investigates a widespread crisis of deaths by starvation in America’s county jails. Most of the victims she identified had been arrested in the midst of a mental-health crisis, often on petty charges tied to their psychiatric distress.
Starved in Jail
Why are incarcerated people dying from lack of food or water, even as private companies are paid millions for their care?
nyer.cm
July 7, 2025 at 4:01 PM
Sarah Stillman investigates a widespread crisis of deaths by starvation in America’s county jails. Most of the victims she identified had been arrested in the midst of a mental-health crisis, often on petty charges tied to their psychiatric distress.
Reposted by Eddie
“Elise Stefanik and several of her Republican colleagues used antisemitism as a pretext to humiliate the presidents of elite universities. Later, the Trump administration took up the mantle, using the charge of antisemitism as a cudgel against higher education
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/o...
Opinion | The Attacks on Zohran Mamdani Show That We Need a New Understanding of Antisemitism
www.nytimes.com
July 2, 2025 at 10:29 AM
“Elise Stefanik and several of her Republican colleagues used antisemitism as a pretext to humiliate the presidents of elite universities. Later, the Trump administration took up the mantle, using the charge of antisemitism as a cudgel against higher education
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/o...
Reposted by Eddie
Shifts to Trump from 2020-24 are not just a story about the youngest voters or about the youngest men.
They are a story about shifts among *men and women* who are *under 40*.
1,000 takes on the youngest men. Virtually zero on everyone else.
They are a story about shifts among *men and women* who are *under 40*.
1,000 takes on the youngest men. Virtually zero on everyone else.
April 19, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Shifts to Trump from 2020-24 are not just a story about the youngest voters or about the youngest men.
They are a story about shifts among *men and women* who are *under 40*.
1,000 takes on the youngest men. Virtually zero on everyone else.
They are a story about shifts among *men and women* who are *under 40*.
1,000 takes on the youngest men. Virtually zero on everyone else.
Reposted by Eddie
Some strategists think advocating for immigrant rights will backfire on Dems
But this @goodauth.bsky.social piece explains why the unpopularity of wrongful detentions is particularly poised to produce a thermostatic backlash against Trump's immigration policies
goodauthority.org/news/why-dem...
But this @goodauth.bsky.social piece explains why the unpopularity of wrongful detentions is particularly poised to produce a thermostatic backlash against Trump's immigration policies
goodauthority.org/news/why-dem...
April 21, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Some strategists think advocating for immigrant rights will backfire on Dems
But this @goodauth.bsky.social piece explains why the unpopularity of wrongful detentions is particularly poised to produce a thermostatic backlash against Trump's immigration policies
goodauthority.org/news/why-dem...
But this @goodauth.bsky.social piece explains why the unpopularity of wrongful detentions is particularly poised to produce a thermostatic backlash against Trump's immigration policies
goodauthority.org/news/why-dem...
Reposted by Eddie
.@adambonica.bsky.social & I have been looking at whether moderates perform better in general elections. We updated w/ more recent data
Here are the RDD results (excluding the imbalanced period)
If there ever was an extremism penalty, there isn't now (if anything extremists do better)
Here are the RDD results (excluding the imbalanced period)
If there ever was an extremism penalty, there isn't now (if anything extremists do better)
March 6, 2025 at 9:59 PM
.@adambonica.bsky.social & I have been looking at whether moderates perform better in general elections. We updated w/ more recent data
Here are the RDD results (excluding the imbalanced period)
If there ever was an extremism penalty, there isn't now (if anything extremists do better)
Here are the RDD results (excluding the imbalanced period)
If there ever was an extremism penalty, there isn't now (if anything extremists do better)
Reposted by Eddie
There used to be a bipartisan consensus that rejected traditional gender roles.
Not anymore. Republican men *and* women increasingly endorse traditional roles.
Here's a 🧵 based on a new New York Times
piece by @tesler.bsky.social, Colette Marcellin, and me.
Not anymore. Republican men *and* women increasingly endorse traditional roles.
Here's a 🧵 based on a new New York Times
piece by @tesler.bsky.social, Colette Marcellin, and me.
February 28, 2025 at 3:16 PM
There used to be a bipartisan consensus that rejected traditional gender roles.
Not anymore. Republican men *and* women increasingly endorse traditional roles.
Here's a 🧵 based on a new New York Times
piece by @tesler.bsky.social, Colette Marcellin, and me.
Not anymore. Republican men *and* women increasingly endorse traditional roles.
Here's a 🧵 based on a new New York Times
piece by @tesler.bsky.social, Colette Marcellin, and me.
Reposted by Eddie
From @johnsides.bsky.social and @tesler.bsky.social and Colette Marcellin in NYT Opinion.
Opinion | Republican Men and Women Are Changing Their Minds About How Women Should Behave
The men and women of the G.O.P. are changing their minds about how men and women should behave.
www.nytimes.com
March 3, 2025 at 6:58 PM
From @johnsides.bsky.social and @tesler.bsky.social and Colette Marcellin in NYT Opinion.
Reposted by Eddie
So what really determined the 2024 U.S. presidential elections? 🎧
Listen as Danny Hayes and John Sides talk about what we have learned since last November.
goodauthority.org/news/so-what...
Listen as Danny Hayes and John Sides talk about what we have learned since last November.
goodauthority.org/news/so-what...
So what really determined the 2024 U.S. presidential elections? 🎧
In our latest Good Authority podcast, political scientists Danny Hayes and John Sides break down the key factors that likely shaped the outcome—and which explanations are overhyped. In our latest Good...
goodauthority.org
February 6, 2025 at 12:46 AM
So what really determined the 2024 U.S. presidential elections? 🎧
Listen as Danny Hayes and John Sides talk about what we have learned since last November.
goodauthority.org/news/so-what...
Listen as Danny Hayes and John Sides talk about what we have learned since last November.
goodauthority.org/news/so-what...
Reposted by Eddie
December 9, 2024 at 5:42 PM
Reposted by Eddie
After the election, people attributed Trump's victory to local conditions -- high cost of living, increases in immigration, poor city governance.
In fact, local conditions didn't matter that much. At @goodauth.bsky.social, I run through the data and explain why.
goodauthority.org/news/local-p...
In fact, local conditions didn't matter that much. At @goodauth.bsky.social, I run through the data and explain why.
goodauthority.org/news/local-p...
Local politics don't explain Trump's gains across many U.S. cities.
Local politics and local issues don't explain Trump's 2024 gains across America, including urban areas. Here's what really happened.
goodauthority.org
December 12, 2024 at 7:06 PM
After the election, people attributed Trump's victory to local conditions -- high cost of living, increases in immigration, poor city governance.
In fact, local conditions didn't matter that much. At @goodauth.bsky.social, I run through the data and explain why.
goodauthority.org/news/local-p...
In fact, local conditions didn't matter that much. At @goodauth.bsky.social, I run through the data and explain why.
goodauthority.org/news/local-p...
Reposted by Eddie
Not a mandate.
I don't care how many times they say it, he didn't even win a majority of the popular vote & barely more than his opponent. A win, sure. But a narrow one.
This bluster is meant to bowl over opposition, but the reality is that they have a thin margin that they'll inevitably lose.
I don't care how many times they say it, he didn't even win a majority of the popular vote & barely more than his opponent. A win, sure. But a narrow one.
This bluster is meant to bowl over opposition, but the reality is that they have a thin margin that they'll inevitably lose.
Tom Homan: "If I gotta send twice as many officers to LA because we're not getting any assistance, then that's what we're going to do. We got a mandate. President Trump is serious about this. I'm serious about it. This is gonna happen with or without you."
November 22, 2024 at 11:14 PM
Not a mandate.
I don't care how many times they say it, he didn't even win a majority of the popular vote & barely more than his opponent. A win, sure. But a narrow one.
This bluster is meant to bowl over opposition, but the reality is that they have a thin margin that they'll inevitably lose.
I don't care how many times they say it, he didn't even win a majority of the popular vote & barely more than his opponent. A win, sure. But a narrow one.
This bluster is meant to bowl over opposition, but the reality is that they have a thin margin that they'll inevitably lose.
Reposted by Eddie
And the share of Republicans who say the economy is getting worse is down 30-points since election.
today.yougov.com/topics/econo...
today.yougov.com/topics/econo...
November 21, 2024 at 7:38 PM
And the share of Republicans who say the economy is getting worse is down 30-points since election.
today.yougov.com/topics/econo...
today.yougov.com/topics/econo...
Reposted by Eddie
The share of Republicans who say that they’re worse off financially than they were a year ago is already down 15-points since the election.
November 20, 2024 at 3:56 PM
The share of Republicans who say that they’re worse off financially than they were a year ago is already down 15-points since the election.
Reposted by Eddie
A new piece from me @goodauth.bsky.social: How to think about the “racial realignment” in US politics.
Two key points:
1 ) GOP gains among Black and Latino voters are not about gender or the “working class.” They are about IDENTITY and IDEOLOGY.
goodauthority.org/news/electio...
Two key points:
1 ) GOP gains among Black and Latino voters are not about gender or the “working class.” They are about IDENTITY and IDEOLOGY.
goodauthority.org/news/electio...
The 2024 election story is more complex than "racial realignment."
Does the GOP now have a multiethnic coalition? It's complicated, because "realignment" means different things to different people.
goodauthority.org
November 18, 2024 at 3:01 PM
A new piece from me @goodauth.bsky.social: How to think about the “racial realignment” in US politics.
Two key points:
1 ) GOP gains among Black and Latino voters are not about gender or the “working class.” They are about IDENTITY and IDEOLOGY.
goodauthority.org/news/electio...
Two key points:
1 ) GOP gains among Black and Latino voters are not about gender or the “working class.” They are about IDENTITY and IDEOLOGY.
goodauthority.org/news/electio...
Reposted by Eddie
Maybe its ok to cut 75% of federal employees because there are so many of them? No.
We have about the same number of feds as we had in the 1960s. As a percentage of the population, they are at historical lows. (We actually need more employees, esp. younger employees, but good luck recruiting them).
We have about the same number of feds as we had in the 1960s. As a percentage of the population, they are at historical lows. (We actually need more employees, esp. younger employees, but good luck recruiting them).
November 16, 2024 at 6:57 PM
Maybe its ok to cut 75% of federal employees because there are so many of them? No.
We have about the same number of feds as we had in the 1960s. As a percentage of the population, they are at historical lows. (We actually need more employees, esp. younger employees, but good luck recruiting them).
We have about the same number of feds as we had in the 1960s. As a percentage of the population, they are at historical lows. (We actually need more employees, esp. younger employees, but good luck recruiting them).
Reposted by Eddie
For the next time someone attempts to equate ‘the South’ with the Confederacy. 🗃️
From Jonathan Lande’s new book, Freedom Soldiers.
From Jonathan Lande’s new book, Freedom Soldiers.
November 11, 2024 at 7:42 PM
For the next time someone attempts to equate ‘the South’ with the Confederacy. 🗃️
From Jonathan Lande’s new book, Freedom Soldiers.
From Jonathan Lande’s new book, Freedom Soldiers.
Reposted by Eddie
Promise I'll stop posting about this soon. But two things true
1) attitudes about race and immigration best separate Trump vs HRC, Biden, & Harris voters, including voters of color. Economic attitudes & real wage changes don't
2) calling people racist/sexist etc is bad politics
1) attitudes about race and immigration best separate Trump vs HRC, Biden, & Harris voters, including voters of color. Economic attitudes & real wage changes don't
2) calling people racist/sexist etc is bad politics
November 8, 2024 at 6:47 PM
Promise I'll stop posting about this soon. But two things true
1) attitudes about race and immigration best separate Trump vs HRC, Biden, & Harris voters, including voters of color. Economic attitudes & real wage changes don't
2) calling people racist/sexist etc is bad politics
1) attitudes about race and immigration best separate Trump vs HRC, Biden, & Harris voters, including voters of color. Economic attitudes & real wage changes don't
2) calling people racist/sexist etc is bad politics
Reposted by Eddie
Got mad enough about this that I turned this thread into a blog.
Kamala Harris did not engage in overt identity politics.
Donald Trump did. It probably helped him.
And yet, pundits like Weiss, Stephens & Dowd treat identity politics *only* as a failed Dem tactic.
open.substack.com/pub/donmoyni...
Kamala Harris did not engage in overt identity politics.
Donald Trump did. It probably helped him.
And yet, pundits like Weiss, Stephens & Dowd treat identity politics *only* as a failed Dem tactic.
open.substack.com/pub/donmoyni...
November 10, 2024 at 2:45 PM
Got mad enough about this that I turned this thread into a blog.
Kamala Harris did not engage in overt identity politics.
Donald Trump did. It probably helped him.
And yet, pundits like Weiss, Stephens & Dowd treat identity politics *only* as a failed Dem tactic.
open.substack.com/pub/donmoyni...
Kamala Harris did not engage in overt identity politics.
Donald Trump did. It probably helped him.
And yet, pundits like Weiss, Stephens & Dowd treat identity politics *only* as a failed Dem tactic.
open.substack.com/pub/donmoyni...
Reposted by Eddie
New piece from @tesler.bsky.social and me at @goodauth.bsky.social. It makes a point that I think is central to American politics but underappreciated or even ignored.
We are less polarized by race, but MORE polarized ABOUT race.
goodauthority.org/news/america...
We are less polarized by race, but MORE polarized ABOUT race.
goodauthority.org/news/america...
America is less polarized by race – but more polarized about race
In 2020, Trump gained votes from Black, Latino, and Asian voters who thought racial problems were rare and isolated.
goodauthority.org
April 3, 2024 at 10:40 AM
New piece from @tesler.bsky.social and me at @goodauth.bsky.social. It makes a point that I think is central to American politics but underappreciated or even ignored.
We are less polarized by race, but MORE polarized ABOUT race.
goodauthority.org/news/america...
We are less polarized by race, but MORE polarized ABOUT race.
goodauthority.org/news/america...
Reposted by Eddie
People *really* hate inflation!
Though it’s also notable that most countries seeing political reversals this year have also had record high immigration, and parties on the right have made big gains.
Economic upheaval + social upheaval = 2024 election results.
Though it’s also notable that most countries seeing political reversals this year have also had record high immigration, and parties on the right have made big gains.
Economic upheaval + social upheaval = 2024 election results.
November 7, 2024 at 11:34 AM
People *really* hate inflation!
Though it’s also notable that most countries seeing political reversals this year have also had record high immigration, and parties on the right have made big gains.
Economic upheaval + social upheaval = 2024 election results.
Though it’s also notable that most countries seeing political reversals this year have also had record high immigration, and parties on the right have made big gains.
Economic upheaval + social upheaval = 2024 election results.
Reposted by Eddie
We’re going to hear lots of stories about which people, policies and rhetoric are to blame for the Democrats’ defeat.
Some of those stories may even be true!
But an underrated factor is that 2024 was an absolutely horrendous year for incumbents around the world 👇 
Some of those stories may even be true!
But an underrated factor is that 2024 was an absolutely horrendous year for incumbents around the world 👇 
November 7, 2024 at 11:33 AM
We’re going to hear lots of stories about which people, policies and rhetoric are to blame for the Democrats’ defeat.
Some of those stories may even be true!
But an underrated factor is that 2024 was an absolutely horrendous year for incumbents around the world 👇 
Some of those stories may even be true!
But an underrated factor is that 2024 was an absolutely horrendous year for incumbents around the world 👇