Dominik Steiger
@dominiksteiger.bsky.social
Interested in politics and policy, science and health, the analogue going digital, and endemic delusion. Views my own.
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Singapore, data until week 44 2025.
Might be over the peak of the H3N2 wave now.
Covid at baseline levels.
Might be over the peak of the H3N2 wave now.
Covid at baseline levels.
November 9, 2025 at 11:43 AM
Singapore, data until week 44 2025.
Might be over the peak of the H3N2 wave now.
Covid at baseline levels.
Might be over the peak of the H3N2 wave now.
Covid at baseline levels.
One might expect a bad influenza season. The unusually early UK epidemic is predominantly composed of H3N2 strain of a subtype that has recently rapidly expanded, possibly having negative impact on VE.
H3N2 is associated with higher morbidity and mortality.
www.ficm.ac.uk/sites/ficm/f...
H3N2 is associated with higher morbidity and mortality.
www.ficm.ac.uk/sites/ficm/f...
November 9, 2025 at 8:00 AM
One might expect a bad influenza season. The unusually early UK epidemic is predominantly composed of H3N2 strain of a subtype that has recently rapidly expanded, possibly having negative impact on VE.
H3N2 is associated with higher morbidity and mortality.
www.ficm.ac.uk/sites/ficm/f...
H3N2 is associated with higher morbidity and mortality.
www.ficm.ac.uk/sites/ficm/f...
Schau an wie hoch die neu im Grippeweb-Wochenbericht angegebene Covid-Inzidenz aus Grippeweb-Plus-Erregerbestimmungen bei ARE-Symptomatik liegt.
Notabene, symptomatisch.
Scheint gut zu meinen Schätzungen für Infektionsinzidenzen in Deutschland zu passen.
Notabene, symptomatisch.
Scheint gut zu meinen Schätzungen für Infektionsinzidenzen in Deutschland zu passen.
November 7, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Schau an wie hoch die neu im Grippeweb-Wochenbericht angegebene Covid-Inzidenz aus Grippeweb-Plus-Erregerbestimmungen bei ARE-Symptomatik liegt.
Notabene, symptomatisch.
Scheint gut zu meinen Schätzungen für Infektionsinzidenzen in Deutschland zu passen.
Notabene, symptomatisch.
Scheint gut zu meinen Schätzungen für Infektionsinzidenzen in Deutschland zu passen.
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Abwärtstrend in den aggregierten Abwasserprävalenzen Schweiz jetzt deutlich sichtbar, korrelierend mit Indikatoren aus Deutschland und Österreich.
Spitze der Welle in den DACH-Ländern war in den ersten Oktoberwochen bei 7-Tage-Infektionsinzidenzen von ~1'500. (Österreich allenfalls etwas höher)
Spitze der Welle in den DACH-Ländern war in den ersten Oktoberwochen bei 7-Tage-Infektionsinzidenzen von ~1'500. (Österreich allenfalls etwas höher)
November 7, 2025 at 8:01 AM
Abwärtstrend in den aggregierten Abwasserprävalenzen Schweiz jetzt deutlich sichtbar, korrelierend mit Indikatoren aus Deutschland und Österreich.
Spitze der Welle in den DACH-Ländern war in den ersten Oktoberwochen bei 7-Tage-Infektionsinzidenzen von ~1'500. (Österreich allenfalls etwas höher)
Spitze der Welle in den DACH-Ländern war in den ersten Oktoberwochen bei 7-Tage-Infektionsinzidenzen von ~1'500. (Österreich allenfalls etwas höher)
Attendance-at-all-cost Britain sliding 'into economic crisis' over £85bn sickness bill
www.bbc.com/news/article...
www.bbc.com/news/article...
Britain sliding 'into economic crisis' over £85bn sickness bill, ex-John Lewis boss warns
The number of people who are out of work for health reasons has grown by 800,000 since 2019.
www.bbc.com
November 7, 2025 at 6:15 AM
Attendance-at-all-cost Britain sliding 'into economic crisis' over £85bn sickness bill
www.bbc.com/news/article...
www.bbc.com/news/article...
From early 2024, I constructed excess mortality expectations based on longterm summer median trends (wks 17-38) and the FSO weekly mortality expectations.
The method works well.
1/3
bsky.app/profile/domi...
The method works well.
1/3
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 6, 2025 at 10:46 AM
From early 2024, I constructed excess mortality expectations based on longterm summer median trends (wks 17-38) and the FSO weekly mortality expectations.
The method works well.
1/3
bsky.app/profile/domi...
The method works well.
1/3
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Schätzung für Zürich aufgrund Kalibrierung der Abwasserprävalenzen Werdhölzli, Daten bis 2. November:
Inzidenz ~900.
Ca. jede 110. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Frohlocket - erste Schätzung unter 1'000 seit 24. August.
Trend 4 gemessene Anlagen: 1→, 3↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Inzidenz ~900.
Ca. jede 110. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Frohlocket - erste Schätzung unter 1'000 seit 24. August.
Trend 4 gemessene Anlagen: 1→, 3↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 5, 2025 at 7:58 PM
Schätzung für Zürich aufgrund Kalibrierung der Abwasserprävalenzen Werdhölzli, Daten bis 2. November:
Inzidenz ~900.
Ca. jede 110. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Frohlocket - erste Schätzung unter 1'000 seit 24. August.
Trend 4 gemessene Anlagen: 1→, 3↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Inzidenz ~900.
Ca. jede 110. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Frohlocket - erste Schätzung unter 1'000 seit 24. August.
Trend 4 gemessene Anlagen: 1→, 3↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland, data until October 26.
I expect that the excess mortality will be coming down, in case Covid prevalences continue to lower, at least until the start of the yearly IAV epidemic.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
I expect that the excess mortality will be coming down, in case Covid prevalences continue to lower, at least until the start of the yearly IAV epidemic.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 4, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland, data until October 26.
I expect that the excess mortality will be coming down, in case Covid prevalences continue to lower, at least until the start of the yearly IAV epidemic.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
I expect that the excess mortality will be coming down, in case Covid prevalences continue to lower, at least until the start of the yearly IAV epidemic.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Australian scientist who alerted world that COVID is airborne wins top science prize
When the WHO falsely claimed in March 2020 that COVID wasn’t airborne, Professor Lidia Morawska took action—organising 239 scientists worldwide to warn about SARS-CoV-2 airborne spread and urge global recognition.
When the WHO falsely claimed in March 2020 that COVID wasn’t airborne, Professor Lidia Morawska took action—organising 239 scientists worldwide to warn about SARS-CoV-2 airborne spread and urge global recognition.
Australian scientist who alerted world that Covid is airborne wins top science prize
Prof Lidia Morawska says recognition of her research comes at a fraught time – an ‘age of anti-science’
www.theguardian.com
November 4, 2025 at 12:02 AM
Australian scientist who alerted world that COVID is airborne wins top science prize
When the WHO falsely claimed in March 2020 that COVID wasn’t airborne, Professor Lidia Morawska took action—organising 239 scientists worldwide to warn about SARS-CoV-2 airborne spread and urge global recognition.
When the WHO falsely claimed in March 2020 that COVID wasn’t airborne, Professor Lidia Morawska took action—organising 239 scientists worldwide to warn about SARS-CoV-2 airborne spread and urge global recognition.
Systematic review in NEJM:
Updated Evidence for Covid-19, RSV, and Influenza Vaccines for 2025–2026.
Conclusion: Ongoing peer-reviewed evidence supports the safety and effectiveness of immunizations against Covid-19, RSV, and influenza during the 2025–2026 season.
www.nejm.org/doi/full/10....
Updated Evidence for Covid-19, RSV, and Influenza Vaccines for 2025–2026.
Conclusion: Ongoing peer-reviewed evidence supports the safety and effectiveness of immunizations against Covid-19, RSV, and influenza during the 2025–2026 season.
www.nejm.org/doi/full/10....
November 1, 2025 at 10:04 AM
Systematic review in NEJM:
Updated Evidence for Covid-19, RSV, and Influenza Vaccines for 2025–2026.
Conclusion: Ongoing peer-reviewed evidence supports the safety and effectiveness of immunizations against Covid-19, RSV, and influenza during the 2025–2026 season.
www.nejm.org/doi/full/10....
Updated Evidence for Covid-19, RSV, and Influenza Vaccines for 2025–2026.
Conclusion: Ongoing peer-reviewed evidence supports the safety and effectiveness of immunizations against Covid-19, RSV, and influenza during the 2025–2026 season.
www.nejm.org/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Meta-analysis of COVID, RSV, flu vaccines for fall provides 'sea of data' showing efficacy, safety www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/met...
Meta-analysis of COVID, RSV, flu vaccines for fall provides 'sea of data' showing efficacy, safety
www.cidrap.umn.edu
October 30, 2025 at 1:38 AM
Meta-analysis of COVID, RSV, flu vaccines for fall provides 'sea of data' showing efficacy, safety www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/met...
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Covid-Inzidenzen Grippeweb RKI fallen die zweite Woche in Folge. Das österreichische bevölkerungsgewichtete Aggregat fällt zum ersten Mal; Wien fällt zum ersten Mal.
Der Gipfel in den DACH-Ländern scheint überschritten.
Links: Kalibrierung Infektionsinzidenzen.
Rechts: Korrelation Metriken.
Der Gipfel in den DACH-Ländern scheint überschritten.
Links: Kalibrierung Infektionsinzidenzen.
Rechts: Korrelation Metriken.
October 31, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Covid-Inzidenzen Grippeweb RKI fallen die zweite Woche in Folge. Das österreichische bevölkerungsgewichtete Aggregat fällt zum ersten Mal; Wien fällt zum ersten Mal.
Der Gipfel in den DACH-Ländern scheint überschritten.
Links: Kalibrierung Infektionsinzidenzen.
Rechts: Korrelation Metriken.
Der Gipfel in den DACH-Ländern scheint überschritten.
Links: Kalibrierung Infektionsinzidenzen.
Rechts: Korrelation Metriken.
UKHSA surveillance week 43, ending Oct 26: Covid falling, influenza and RSV rising.
October 31, 2025 at 9:41 AM
UKHSA surveillance week 43, ending Oct 26: Covid falling, influenza and RSV rising.
In case GISAID does not get its act together, covSPECTRUM also runs on open data containing a lower number of sequences with more restricted geographic coverage.
Open data through the INSDC system (www.insdc.org; ENA, NCBI, DDBJ)
Here is a comparison for XFG*
Open data through the INSDC system (www.insdc.org; ENA, NCBI, DDBJ)
Here is a comparison for XFG*
October 31, 2025 at 7:08 AM
In case GISAID does not get its act together, covSPECTRUM also runs on open data containing a lower number of sequences with more restricted geographic coverage.
Open data through the INSDC system (www.insdc.org; ENA, NCBI, DDBJ)
Here is a comparison for XFG*
Open data through the INSDC system (www.insdc.org; ENA, NCBI, DDBJ)
Here is a comparison for XFG*
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
GISAID is now blocking genomic sequencing access to critical resources like Nextstrain, Covspectrum, Outbreak-info, & others.
This makes us less safe, as live tracking of viral evolution remains critical for assessment of emerging threats. This needs to be escalated.
This makes us less safe, as live tracking of viral evolution remains critical for assessment of emerging threats. This needs to be escalated.
Bad. No justification, no communication, no standard procedures for making changes—just arbitrary pronouncements cutting off access to some of the most valuable resources we have.
And now NextStrain as well.
Next up, will GISAID start charging open-source community tools to have access?
That would completely shaft users who contributed to GISAID, where we never agreed to that and assumed GISAID would be good custodians of the data we contributed. They're not.
Next up, will GISAID start charging open-source community tools to have access?
That would completely shaft users who contributed to GISAID, where we never agreed to that and assumed GISAID would be good custodians of the data we contributed. They're not.
October 30, 2025 at 10:53 PM
GISAID is now blocking genomic sequencing access to critical resources like Nextstrain, Covspectrum, Outbreak-info, & others.
This makes us less safe, as live tracking of viral evolution remains critical for assessment of emerging threats. This needs to be escalated.
This makes us less safe, as live tracking of viral evolution remains critical for assessment of emerging threats. This needs to be escalated.
Kafka in der Reha
Aufgrund der ganzen kafkaesken Geschichten, die man hier aktuell wieder aus Krankenhäusern, Pflegeeinrichtungen und Praxen lesen muss, möchte ich noch mal auf diese Erfahrung verweisen - das ist das neue Normal:
Covid gibt es nicht - warum alle immer nur erkältet sind
Meinen Eltern war es seit Pandemiebeginn gelungen, sich von Corona fernzuhalten, denn sie waren sehr vorsichtig. Sie trugen Masken, sie testeten sich regelmäßig, sie mieden größere Veranstaltungen und...
pala.mischamandl.de
October 30, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Kafka in der Reha
Schätzung für Zürich aufgrund Kalibrierung der Abwasserprävalenzen Werdhölzli, Daten bis 26. Oktober:
Inzidenz ~1'200.
Ca. jede 85. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 5 gemessene Anlagen: 0↑, 3→, 2↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Inzidenz ~1'200.
Ca. jede 85. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 5 gemessene Anlagen: 0↑, 3→, 2↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
October 29, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Schätzung für Zürich aufgrund Kalibrierung der Abwasserprävalenzen Werdhölzli, Daten bis 26. Oktober:
Inzidenz ~1'200.
Ca. jede 85. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 5 gemessene Anlagen: 0↑, 3→, 2↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Inzidenz ~1'200.
Ca. jede 85. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 5 gemessene Anlagen: 0↑, 3→, 2↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland in 2025, data until October 19.
Some Covid-dependent excess mortality at (hopefully) the peak of the current wave.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Some Covid-dependent excess mortality at (hopefully) the peak of the current wave.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
October 28, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland in 2025, data until October 19.
Some Covid-dependent excess mortality at (hopefully) the peak of the current wave.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Some Covid-dependent excess mortality at (hopefully) the peak of the current wave.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Wastewater seq data, Switzerland, until October 3, prevalence data until October 19.
XFG* variants almost completely dominant since many weeks, now comprising two thirds of infections in this wave.
NB.1.8.1* variants staying present, at about 10%.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
XFG* variants almost completely dominant since many weeks, now comprising two thirds of infections in this wave.
NB.1.8.1* variants staying present, at about 10%.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
October 28, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Wastewater seq data, Switzerland, until October 3, prevalence data until October 19.
XFG* variants almost completely dominant since many weeks, now comprising two thirds of infections in this wave.
NB.1.8.1* variants staying present, at about 10%.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
XFG* variants almost completely dominant since many weeks, now comprising two thirds of infections in this wave.
NB.1.8.1* variants staying present, at about 10%.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Auf Twitter trendet "Merkel" und die ersten 6 Posts im Feed so. Läuft eine Desinformations/Influence-Kampagne?
October 27, 2025 at 4:26 PM
Auf Twitter trendet "Merkel" und die ersten 6 Posts im Feed so. Läuft eine Desinformations/Influence-Kampagne?
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Singapore, data until week 42 2025.
Influenza wave continues, with lowering ILI positivity.
Covid at baseline levels.
Influenza wave continues, with lowering ILI positivity.
Covid at baseline levels.
October 27, 2025 at 1:30 PM
Singapore, data until week 42 2025.
Influenza wave continues, with lowering ILI positivity.
Covid at baseline levels.
Influenza wave continues, with lowering ILI positivity.
Covid at baseline levels.
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
"Es werde wohl nicht der letzte Fund sein, sagt Alina Bothe: 'Vieles liegt vermutlich noch in privaten Bilderalben. Aus Berlin, wo es 180 Transporte gab, haben wir bisher kein einziges Foto gefunden. Dabei hatten zehn Prozent der Bevölkerung in den 1930ern Kameras. Es muss diese Bilder geben.'"
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Neue Deportationsfotos entdeckt: Ein neuer Beweis – es geschah vor aller Augen
Forschende haben erstmals Fotos einer Deportation der NS-Zeit aus Hamburg identifiziert. Sie beweisen einmal mehr, dass dies vor aller Augen geschah.
taz.de
October 27, 2025 at 6:42 AM
"Es werde wohl nicht der letzte Fund sein, sagt Alina Bothe: 'Vieles liegt vermutlich noch in privaten Bilderalben. Aus Berlin, wo es 180 Transporte gab, haben wir bisher kein einziges Foto gefunden. Dabei hatten zehn Prozent der Bevölkerung in den 1930ern Kameras. Es muss diese Bilder geben.'"
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Life in the idiocracy
October 26, 2025 at 9:00 AM
Life in the idiocracy
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Cool development
@nejm.org Evidence will publish a section in association with @cidrap.bsky.social on public health and vaccine issues usually covered by the now-dead MMWR
www.statnews.com/2025/10/21/c...
#publicHealth #MedSky
@nejm.org Evidence will publish a section in association with @cidrap.bsky.social on public health and vaccine issues usually covered by the now-dead MMWR
www.statnews.com/2025/10/21/c...
#publicHealth #MedSky
NEJM and public health group are launching rival to CDC’s MMWR publication
Two institutions are coming together to create an alternative to the CDC’s vaunted Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report
www.statnews.com
October 26, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Cool development
@nejm.org Evidence will publish a section in association with @cidrap.bsky.social on public health and vaccine issues usually covered by the now-dead MMWR
www.statnews.com/2025/10/21/c...
#publicHealth #MedSky
@nejm.org Evidence will publish a section in association with @cidrap.bsky.social on public health and vaccine issues usually covered by the now-dead MMWR
www.statnews.com/2025/10/21/c...
#publicHealth #MedSky
Medscape-Newsletter, zum Höhepunkt der Welle: "Covid-Welle rollt an".
Grippeimpfungen, Covidimpfungen und Qualität der Public-Health-Kommunikation auf dem Tiefpunkt.
Grippeimpfungen, Covidimpfungen und Qualität der Public-Health-Kommunikation auf dem Tiefpunkt.
October 25, 2025 at 12:46 PM
Medscape-Newsletter, zum Höhepunkt der Welle: "Covid-Welle rollt an".
Grippeimpfungen, Covidimpfungen und Qualität der Public-Health-Kommunikation auf dem Tiefpunkt.
Grippeimpfungen, Covidimpfungen und Qualität der Public-Health-Kommunikation auf dem Tiefpunkt.