Prof David Bailey
@dgbailey.bsky.social
#industrialstrategy Birmingham Business School, UK in a Changing Europe Senior Fellow, Contemporary Social Science Editor in Chief, Editor Regional Studies, ‘activist academic’ (Gove’s 🪓man Max Caller), media commentator, Likes EVs. Baggies fan.
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
This weeks post: UK Productivity and the Budget mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/11/uk-p...
if the Chancellor is going to break her tax pledge, she should do so in a big rather than small way. What she wants to avoid at all costs is finding herself in the same situation in a year or two years time.
if the Chancellor is going to break her tax pledge, she should do so in a big rather than small way. What she wants to avoid at all costs is finding herself in the same situation in a year or two years time.
UK Productivity and the Budget
Most people reading this will know that one of the Chancellor’s big problems that she will have to tackle in the November Budget is a down...
mainlymacro.blogspot.com
November 6, 2025 at 9:02 AM
This weeks post: UK Productivity and the Budget mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/11/uk-p...
if the Chancellor is going to break her tax pledge, she should do so in a big rather than small way. What she wants to avoid at all costs is finding herself in the same situation in a year or two years time.
if the Chancellor is going to break her tax pledge, she should do so in a big rather than small way. What she wants to avoid at all costs is finding herself in the same situation in a year or two years time.
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
Mystery deepens on Nexperia this morning.
After White House claimed it was solved and Sefcovic hailed progress, a MOFCOM statement today throws the Dutch government under the bus
"The Dutch side continues to act unilaterally without taking concrete steps to resolve the issue"
After White House claimed it was solved and Sefcovic hailed progress, a MOFCOM statement today throws the Dutch government under the bus
"The Dutch side continues to act unilaterally without taking concrete steps to resolve the issue"
November 4, 2025 at 7:40 AM
Mystery deepens on Nexperia this morning.
After White House claimed it was solved and Sefcovic hailed progress, a MOFCOM statement today throws the Dutch government under the bus
"The Dutch side continues to act unilaterally without taking concrete steps to resolve the issue"
After White House claimed it was solved and Sefcovic hailed progress, a MOFCOM statement today throws the Dutch government under the bus
"The Dutch side continues to act unilaterally without taking concrete steps to resolve the issue"
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
New post: UK Productivity and the Budget
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/11/uk-p...
When it comes to breaking their tax pledge, the phrase ‘better late than never’ applies. Better now than in a budget nearer the election, both from a political and economic point of view.
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/11/uk-p...
When it comes to breaking their tax pledge, the phrase ‘better late than never’ applies. Better now than in a budget nearer the election, both from a political and economic point of view.
UK Productivity and the Budget
Most people reading this will know that one of the Chancellor’s big problems that she will have to tackle in the November Budget is a down...
mainlymacro.blogspot.com
November 4, 2025 at 8:47 AM
New post: UK Productivity and the Budget
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/11/uk-p...
When it comes to breaking their tax pledge, the phrase ‘better late than never’ applies. Better now than in a budget nearer the election, both from a political and economic point of view.
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/11/uk-p...
When it comes to breaking their tax pledge, the phrase ‘better late than never’ applies. Better now than in a budget nearer the election, both from a political and economic point of view.
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
As @jillongovt.bsky.social and @iandunt.bsky.social point out, this is late and may not help Reeves much politically. But at least she's acknowledging that Brexit has been damaging.
www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
Reeves refuses to say she will stick to manifesto pledge on tax rises and insists she must face world ‘as it is’ – UK politics live
Chancellor says she is focused on priorities for British people in pre-budget speech laying ground for expected tax rises
www.theguardian.com
November 4, 2025 at 8:46 AM
As @jillongovt.bsky.social and @iandunt.bsky.social point out, this is late and may not help Reeves much politically. But at least she's acknowledging that Brexit has been damaging.
www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
Indeed. They lost a whole year.
Extraordinary to hear Reeves cite tariffs and increased defence spending in her speech, as she sets up the blame for tax rises. This message could have been really effective if she'd issued it when Trump introduced tariffs. Now, much less so.
November 4, 2025 at 8:48 AM
Indeed. They lost a whole year.
Third of British farmers made no profit in past year, report finds www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Third of British farmers made no profit in past year, report finds
Only 14% of farmers surveyed for Farmdex report had 10% or more profit margin amid drop in subsidies since Brexit
www.theguardian.com
November 4, 2025 at 8:49 AM
Third of British farmers made no profit in past year, report finds www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
🚨🚨 #China intimidated @sheffieldhallamuni.bsky.social to ditch #humanrights research conducted by @lauratmurphy.bsky.social . Absolutely disgraceful behaviour by Sheffield Hallam uni.
www-bbc-co-uk.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.bbc....
www-bbc-co-uk.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.bbc....
China intimidated UK university to ditch human rights research, documents show - BBC News
Sheffield Hallam University apologises to Professor Laura Murphy for restricting her academic freedom.
www-bbc-co-uk.cdn.ampproject.org
November 3, 2025 at 8:06 AM
🚨🚨 #China intimidated @sheffieldhallamuni.bsky.social to ditch #humanrights research conducted by @lauratmurphy.bsky.social . Absolutely disgraceful behaviour by Sheffield Hallam uni.
www-bbc-co-uk.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.bbc....
www-bbc-co-uk.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.bbc....
UK small businesses struggling to take advantage of trade deals on.ft.com/3WwK2Ah
UK small businesses struggling to take advantage of trade deals
British Chambers of Commerce urge ministers to do more to help exporters
on.ft.com
November 2, 2025 at 11:24 PM
UK small businesses struggling to take advantage of trade deals on.ft.com/3WwK2Ah
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
Considering he's supposed to be innocent of all accusations against him, this is a very 'HE'S GUILTY AS ALL FUCK' move from his brother.
October 30, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Considering he's supposed to be innocent of all accusations against him, this is a very 'HE'S GUILTY AS ALL FUCK' move from his brother.
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
New post out:
"The worst social policy ever"
Today we have a guest post from @ruthpatrick0.bsky.social on the abomination that is the two-child limit and why Labour need to scrap it ASAP.
Lots of data but also powerful testimony.
(Free to read)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...
"The worst social policy ever"
Today we have a guest post from @ruthpatrick0.bsky.social on the abomination that is the two-child limit and why Labour need to scrap it ASAP.
Lots of data but also powerful testimony.
(Free to read)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...
"The worst social policy ever"
We have a couple of bonus guest posts over the next week.
open.substack.com
October 30, 2025 at 8:27 AM
New post out:
"The worst social policy ever"
Today we have a guest post from @ruthpatrick0.bsky.social on the abomination that is the two-child limit and why Labour need to scrap it ASAP.
Lots of data but also powerful testimony.
(Free to read)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...
"The worst social policy ever"
Today we have a guest post from @ruthpatrick0.bsky.social on the abomination that is the two-child limit and why Labour need to scrap it ASAP.
Lots of data but also powerful testimony.
(Free to read)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
Show starts with Follow Up and the impact from the JLR shutdown, thanks to Professor @dgbailey.bsky.social's article linked in the show notes. Will lessons be learnt? 🤷♂️
To 👂 via streaming click 👉 www.motoringpodcast.com/episodes/202...
To 👂 via other services click 👉 mpnewsshow.captivate.fm/listen
To 👂 via streaming click 👉 www.motoringpodcast.com/episodes/202...
To 👂 via other services click 👉 mpnewsshow.captivate.fm/listen
So bilingual - 28 October 2025 - Motoring Podcast
We start with Follow Up as the UK counts the cost of the JLR shutdown. Potential new chip crisis incoming. Porsche financial results are grim again. Ford Europe gets a new boss. UK Government funds a ...
www.motoringpodcast.com
October 30, 2025 at 7:36 AM
Show starts with Follow Up and the impact from the JLR shutdown, thanks to Professor @dgbailey.bsky.social's article linked in the show notes. Will lessons be learnt? 🤷♂️
To 👂 via streaming click 👉 www.motoringpodcast.com/episodes/202...
To 👂 via other services click 👉 mpnewsshow.captivate.fm/listen
To 👂 via streaming click 👉 www.motoringpodcast.com/episodes/202...
To 👂 via other services click 👉 mpnewsshow.captivate.fm/listen
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
In critical dialogue with @nickbernards.bsky.social’s recent book 'Fictions of Financialization: Rethinking Speculation, Exploitation, and Twenty-First-Century Capitalism'
October 27, 2025 at 5:10 PM
In critical dialogue with @nickbernards.bsky.social’s recent book 'Fictions of Financialization: Rethinking Speculation, Exploitation, and Twenty-First-Century Capitalism'
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
New in Finance & Space! 📢
Why does financialisation happen — and who benefits?
Hannah Hasenberger digs into the politics behind state financialisation
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Why does financialisation happen — and who benefits?
Hannah Hasenberger digs into the politics behind state financialisation
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Challenging the ‘fictions of financialisation’: a commentary on explanation in financial geography
Financialisation is a key concept in financial geography, used to explain various phenomena. But have we sufficiently explained financialisation? Nick Bernards’ recent book, Fictions of Financializ...
www.tandfonline.com
October 27, 2025 at 4:52 PM
New in Finance & Space! 📢
Why does financialisation happen — and who benefits?
Hannah Hasenberger digs into the politics behind state financialisation
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Why does financialisation happen — and who benefits?
Hannah Hasenberger digs into the politics behind state financialisation
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
UK auto’s low volume crisis in 2025. Implications for suppliers. New blog.
blogsfromtheblackstuff.com/bftbautoblog...
blogsfromtheblackstuff.com/bftbautoblog...
Blogs from the Blackstuff - Professor John Clancy and Professor David Bailey
Blogs from the Blackstuff blogs
blogsfromtheblackstuff.com
October 27, 2025 at 5:13 PM
UK auto’s low volume crisis in 2025. Implications for suppliers. New blog.
blogsfromtheblackstuff.com/bftbautoblog...
blogsfromtheblackstuff.com/bftbautoblog...
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
This is the perfect read for a Sunday afternoon when it’s getting dark too early.
And yes, it’s also very good. 👇
And yes, it’s also very good. 👇
New post just out:
"Never again?"
On how the radical right are trying to change our collective memory about World War Two as part of their assault on the postwar order.
And why that memory remains a critical defence against nationalism.
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/n...
"Never again?"
On how the radical right are trying to change our collective memory about World War Two as part of their assault on the postwar order.
And why that memory remains a critical defence against nationalism.
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/n...
Never again?
Memory entrepreneurship and the radical right’s assault on the postwar order
open.substack.com
October 26, 2025 at 4:28 PM
This is the perfect read for a Sunday afternoon when it’s getting dark too early.
And yes, it’s also very good. 👇
And yes, it’s also very good. 👇
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
UK LGPS Assets now stand at £476Billion. blogsfromtheblackstuff.com/bftbblog251024
Our updated blog following DHCLG's publication of official statistics for England &Wales.
5th biggest pension fund in the world &9th biggest sov.asset fund in the world.
We projected £475B 10 days ago. Pretty close!
Our updated blog following DHCLG's publication of official statistics for England &Wales.
5th biggest pension fund in the world &9th biggest sov.asset fund in the world.
We projected £475B 10 days ago. Pretty close!
October 24, 2025 at 1:34 PM
Counting the cost. New blog on the Cyber Monitoring Centre Report. blogsfromtheblackstuff.com/bftbautoblog...
October 22, 2025 at 11:15 AM
Counting the cost. New blog on the Cyber Monitoring Centre Report. blogsfromtheblackstuff.com/bftbautoblog...
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
Looks like Maccabi have saved the UK government from the spectacle of somehow overturning an expert public safety assessment.
Either politicians make public safety at sports stadiums an absolute priority or they do not.
#AVFC
Either politicians make public safety at sports stadiums an absolute priority or they do not.
#AVFC
Maccabi Tel Aviv say in a statement that they will "decline any allocation offered on behalf of away fans" for next month's Europa League match against Aston Villa at Villa Park, adding that "the wellbeing and safety of our fans is paramount."
#AVFC
#AVFC
October 20, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Looks like Maccabi have saved the UK government from the spectacle of somehow overturning an expert public safety assessment.
Either politicians make public safety at sports stadiums an absolute priority or they do not.
#AVFC
Either politicians make public safety at sports stadiums an absolute priority or they do not.
#AVFC
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
In global asset terms this converts to $0.63 Trillion. If UK LGPS a combined fund it would be the 5th biggest pension fund in the world on the latest TAI | P&I 300 ranking.
October 14, 2025 at 5:20 PM
In global asset terms this converts to $0.63 Trillion. If UK LGPS a combined fund it would be the 5th biggest pension fund in the world on the latest TAI | P&I 300 ranking.
New blog: why the ‘moral hazard’ argument re the JLR loan guarantee is overblown. blogsfromtheblackstuff.com/bftbautoblog...
September 29, 2025 at 12:48 PM
New blog: why the ‘moral hazard’ argument re the JLR loan guarantee is overblown. blogsfromtheblackstuff.com/bftbautoblog...
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
Threats to children with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND) grow
Parents of children with special needs fear Labour’s SEND reforms could scrap EHCPs, sparking mass protests and petitions
northeastbylines.co.uk/news/educati...
Parents of children with special needs fear Labour’s SEND reforms could scrap EHCPs, sparking mass protests and petitions
northeastbylines.co.uk/news/educati...
Threats to children with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND) grow
Parents of children with special needs fear Labour’s SEND reforms could scrap EHCPs, sparking mass protests and petitions.
northeastbylines.co.uk
September 29, 2025 at 6:03 AM
Threats to children with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND) grow
Parents of children with special needs fear Labour’s SEND reforms could scrap EHCPs, sparking mass protests and petitions
northeastbylines.co.uk/news/educati...
Parents of children with special needs fear Labour’s SEND reforms could scrap EHCPs, sparking mass protests and petitions
northeastbylines.co.uk/news/educati...
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
Speaking of which, this, with @jdportes.bsky.social and Gove is still well worth watching ukandeu.ac.uk/video-audio/...
September 24, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Speaking of which, this, with @jdportes.bsky.social and Gove is still well worth watching ukandeu.ac.uk/video-audio/...
Mike Olley is spot on. The hapless Chris McDonald sounded particularly unimpressive yday. Why did he even come up to Brum? More ‘listening’? Not enough. His role should be retitled ‘Minister without Furlough’. Btw Olley’s brilliant blog GRIT is essential reading. www.linkedin.com/posts/mike-o...
The Empty Suit Problem
Chris McDonald, Labour’s so-called Minister for Industry, recently declared that the Jaguar Land Rover cyber-attack was a “wake-up call for industry.” In truth, it is a… | Mike...
The Empty Suit Problem
Chris McDonald, Labour’s so-called Minister for Industry, recently declared that the Jaguar Land Rover cyber-attack was a “wake-up call for industry.” In truth, it is a wake-up...
www.linkedin.com
September 24, 2025 at 8:34 AM
Mike Olley is spot on. The hapless Chris McDonald sounded particularly unimpressive yday. Why did he even come up to Brum? More ‘listening’? Not enough. His role should be retitled ‘Minister without Furlough’. Btw Olley’s brilliant blog GRIT is essential reading. www.linkedin.com/posts/mike-o...
JLR shutdown extended again as ministers meet suppliers www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Jaguar Land Rover shutdown extended again after cyber attack
The business secretary will also meet suppliers of the car maker who are at risk of closure.
www.bbc.co.uk
September 23, 2025 at 12:10 PM
JLR shutdown extended again as ministers meet suppliers www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Reposted by Prof David Bailey
The 'automatic stabilizer' "Arbeidstijdverkorting", shortening the work week also exists in the Netherlands.
It requires government permission to use the unemployment funds, owned and overseen by employers and labor unions per sector, for it. It was used end 2008.
The UK doesn't have such laws?
It requires government permission to use the unemployment funds, owned and overseen by employers and labor unions per sector, for it. It was used end 2008.
The UK doesn't have such laws?
September 21, 2025 at 8:10 PM
The 'automatic stabilizer' "Arbeidstijdverkorting", shortening the work week also exists in the Netherlands.
It requires government permission to use the unemployment funds, owned and overseen by employers and labor unions per sector, for it. It was used end 2008.
The UK doesn't have such laws?
It requires government permission to use the unemployment funds, owned and overseen by employers and labor unions per sector, for it. It was used end 2008.
The UK doesn't have such laws?