Chris Vagasky
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coweatherman.bsky.social
Chris Vagasky
@coweatherman.bsky.social
American Meteorologist
Blixtexperten
Weather Measurements Guy
Award-Winning Communicator
AMS Certified Digital Meteorologist #18
Sounds painful
November 11, 2025 at 1:20 AM
I don’t agree with Helene comment, but I don’t think he was going off of “hook = tornado”. I really think they misstated the tornado possible tag as “possible tornado signature” and apparently someone did report a tornado.

Can’t say why sheriff would authorize vs EM, but not a bad decision to me.
November 10, 2025 at 11:53 PM
I don’t think so. I think he misstated the tornado possible tag as “possible tornado signature” and someone reported a tornado (even though I don’t think there was one).
November 10, 2025 at 11:19 PM
Tornado possible tag on the warning. I’m ok with this.
November 10, 2025 at 11:14 PM
Tornado possible tag on the warning. I’m ok with this.
November 10, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Can we get @dieworkwear.bsky.social to talk about the fit of that suit?
November 10, 2025 at 6:07 PM
The shading was based on the local forecast. The values are the 25-75 percentiles.

The communication value of that is 0.

The forecast was entirely dependent on how far inland the lake effect got.
November 10, 2025 at 5:51 PM
This came from using just NBM.
November 10, 2025 at 5:34 PM
What if the local office has a completely different idea of the long range forecast than WPC and there’s a discrepancy between what the forecast says and what the office wants to put in the forecast discussion?
November 10, 2025 at 5:29 PM
A lot of the offices apply local tweaks to NBM based on their knowledge and experiences.

I also hope that there doesn’t become a mandate of “you’re only to focus on days 1-3, so no forecast discussions beyond that”.
November 10, 2025 at 5:18 PM