Brian Schaffner
@bfschaffner.bsky.social
Political scientist ~ Newhouse Professor of Civic Studies at Tufts ~ CES Whisperer ~ #COYS #GoDawgs
Pinned
Brian Schaffner
@bfschaffner.bsky.social
· Aug 19
doi.org
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
worth noting that some of this tension was clear in the NYC mayoral, as exit polls show that Mamdani received 79% of the secular white vote, but just 56% among black voters.
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/secular...
Secular Democrats are on the rise
Fewer Democrats identify as religious. That’s creating tension with Black voters.
goodauthority.org
November 10, 2025 at 2:45 PM
worth noting that some of this tension was clear in the NYC mayoral, as exit polls show that Mamdani received 79% of the secular white vote, but just 56% among black voters.
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/secular...
Secular Democrats are on the rise
Fewer Democrats identify as religious. That’s creating tension with Black voters.
goodauthority.org
October 29, 2025 at 2:59 PM
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/secular...
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/secular...
Secular Democrats are on the rise
Fewer Democrats identify as religious. That’s creating tension with Black voters.
goodauthority.org
October 29, 2025 at 2:59 PM
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/secular...
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
the @nytimes.com recently profiled LGB Republicans, in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Toby Winick explores what the data tells about this group and finds that they look quite different from other LGB Americans
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
LGB Republicans look a lot like other Republicans and less like other LGB Americans
by Toby Winick (class of ‘2026)
tufts-pol.medium.com
October 27, 2025 at 4:41 PM
the @nytimes.com recently profiled LGB Republicans, in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Toby Winick explores what the data tells about this group and finds that they look quite different from other LGB Americans
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
the @nytimes.com recently profiled LGB Republicans, in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Toby Winick explores what the data tells about this group and finds that they look quite different from other LGB Americans
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
LGB Republicans look a lot like other Republicans and less like other LGB Americans
by Toby Winick (class of ‘2026)
tufts-pol.medium.com
October 27, 2025 at 4:41 PM
the @nytimes.com recently profiled LGB Republicans, in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Toby Winick explores what the data tells about this group and finds that they look quite different from other LGB Americans
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
newest Tufts public opinion lab blog features Rolando Ortega exploring how Latino attitudes differ across generations tufts-pol.medium.com/qu%C3%A9-est...
¿Qué Está Pasando? Generational Assimilation & Latino America’s Rightward Shift
by Rolando Ortega (class of ‘26)
tufts-pol.medium.com
October 17, 2025 at 1:15 PM
newest Tufts public opinion lab blog features Rolando Ortega exploring how Latino attitudes differ across generations tufts-pol.medium.com/qu%C3%A9-est...
the outcome of the 2024 election increased confidence in U.S. elections among Trump voters, but they still lagged behind Harris voters...newest @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/many-tr...
August 29, 2025 at 5:02 PM
the outcome of the 2024 election increased confidence in U.S. elections among Trump voters, but they still lagged behind Harris voters...newest @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/many-tr...
in a new @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler, we use vote validated CES data to show that nonvoters preferred Trump over Harris for president but Dems over Reps in down ballot races goodauthority.org/news/trump-a...
August 27, 2025 at 1:31 PM
in a new @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler, we use vote validated CES data to show that nonvoters preferred Trump over Harris for president but Dems over Reps in down ballot races goodauthority.org/news/trump-a...
after 15 months, today is Caroline Soler's last day as the CES research associate. she has been a tremendous asset to the study and is going to be missed in so many ways. but she's on to bigger and better things with the Election Analytics team for the @nytimes.com!
August 22, 2025 at 2:00 PM
after 15 months, today is Caroline Soler's last day as the CES research associate. she has been a tremendous asset to the study and is going to be missed in so many ways. but she's on to bigger and better things with the Election Analytics team for the @nytimes.com!
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
doi.org
August 19, 2025 at 5:17 PM
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
fuck yeah, it's christmas day
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
doi.org
August 19, 2025 at 5:22 PM
fuck yeah, it's christmas day
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
doi.org
August 19, 2025 at 5:17 PM
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
in the newest post on the CES blog, Caroline Soler digs in to the question of what is the best approach for identifying Evangelicals in surveys sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
When we talk about evangelicals, who are we actually talking about? – Cooperative Election Study Blog
sites.tufts.edu
August 1, 2025 at 2:54 PM
in the newest post on the CES blog, Caroline Soler digs in to the question of what is the best approach for identifying Evangelicals in surveys sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
still time to sign up for a 2025 CES module if you're interested!
we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
Announcing the 2025 Cooperative Election Study – Cooperative Election Study Blog
sites.tufts.edu
July 24, 2025 at 1:47 AM
still time to sign up for a 2025 CES module if you're interested!
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
Announcing the 2025 Cooperative Election Study – Cooperative Election Study Blog
sites.tufts.edu
April 15, 2025 at 3:31 PM
we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
Lucy Morisse-Corsetti asked Americans what they think their government owes them...hint: it's quite a lot. Check out her new post on the @TuftsUniversity Public Opinion Lab blog! tufts-pol.medium.com/what-your-go...
What your government can do for you: Exploring Americans’ perceptions of government…
by Lucy Morisse-Corsetti
tufts-pol.medium.com
July 17, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Lucy Morisse-Corsetti asked Americans what they think their government owes them...hint: it's quite a lot. Check out her new post on the @TuftsUniversity Public Opinion Lab blog! tufts-pol.medium.com/what-your-go...
in 2008, Conservative Jews voted similarly to Reform/Reconstructionist Jews but by 2024 there was more than a 20-point gap between those two groups
July 15, 2025 at 6:10 PM
in 2008, Conservative Jews voted similarly to Reform/Reconstructionist Jews but by 2024 there was more than a 20-point gap between those two groups
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
The word 'civility' has sometimes meant politeness and sometimes meant equality and political freedom.
With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others: peterlevine.ws?p=34156
With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others: peterlevine.ws?p=34156
June 24, 2025 at 1:05 PM
The word 'civility' has sometimes meant politeness and sometimes meant equality and political freedom.
With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others: peterlevine.ws?p=34156
With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others: peterlevine.ws?p=34156
in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Jackson Wetherill explores the intersection of NIMBYism and partisanship when it comes to attitudes towards affordable housing tufts-pol.medium.com/its-not-just...
It’s not just NIMBYism: How partisanship shapes support for affordable housing
by Jackson Wetherill
tufts-pol.medium.com
June 24, 2025 at 1:02 PM
in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Jackson Wetherill explores the intersection of NIMBYism and partisanship when it comes to attitudes towards affordable housing tufts-pol.medium.com/its-not-just...
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
Panel!
this post uses newly released data from the 2020-2022-2024 CES panel survey, which includes interviews with ~6k Americans we interviewed (and re-interviewed) over the past three election cycles. download it and dig in! dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...
dataverse.harvard.edu
June 20, 2025 at 1:34 PM
Panel!
it's not just that Hispanic voters shifted Republican since 2020, it's also the case that some of them no longer even identify as Hispanic! new @goodauth.bsky.social post from me and Caroline Soler
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
Democrats’ losses among Hispanic voters may be larger than they look.
Conservative Hispanic Americans are ditching their Hispanic identity, surveys show.
goodauthority.org
June 20, 2025 at 1:31 PM
it's not just that Hispanic voters shifted Republican since 2020, it's also the case that some of them no longer even identify as Hispanic! new @goodauth.bsky.social post from me and Caroline Soler
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
in a new Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Caroline Soler analyzes data from April asking people how much eggs cost now and how much they will cost in the future. big partisan gaps in perceptions of current prices, even bigger for expectations of future prices
tufts-pol.medium.com/republicans-...
tufts-pol.medium.com/republicans-...
Republicans think eggs will be cheaper under Trump, Democrats disagree
by Caroline Soler
tufts-pol.medium.com
June 19, 2025 at 3:23 PM
in a new Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Caroline Soler analyzes data from April asking people how much eggs cost now and how much they will cost in the future. big partisan gaps in perceptions of current prices, even bigger for expectations of future prices
tufts-pol.medium.com/republicans-...
tufts-pol.medium.com/republicans-...
it's been 10 years since the last @pewresearch.org Religious Landscape Study, but the release of a new study gave Caroline Soler a chance to see how the CES stacked up against this benchmark. overall, the surveys produce very similar portraits of religion in America!
sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
Does the CES accurately reflect America’s religious landscape? – Cooperative Election Study Blog
sites.tufts.edu
June 18, 2025 at 4:45 PM
it's been 10 years since the last @pewresearch.org Religious Landscape Study, but the release of a new study gave Caroline Soler a chance to see how the CES stacked up against this benchmark. overall, the surveys produce very similar portraits of religion in America!
sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
another Cooperative Election Study conference in the books! new mountain resort, same great vibes! we had a special time honoring Steve Ansolabehere who is stepping down from his leadership role, 20 years after founding this incredible innovative project that has done so much for the discipline.
June 4, 2025 at 1:59 PM
another Cooperative Election Study conference in the books! new mountain resort, same great vibes! we had a special time honoring Steve Ansolabehere who is stepping down from his leadership role, 20 years after founding this incredible innovative project that has done so much for the discipline.
Egan: "the CES is currently political scientists’ most comprehensive source of large, representative samples of sexual and gender minorities in the United States."
he humbly fails to note that this is due to his encouragement that we include key items
bit.ly/43Zn7Ss
he humbly fails to note that this is due to his encouragement that we include key items
bit.ly/43Zn7Ss
Centering LGBTQ+ Political Behavior in Political Science | PS: Political Science & Politics | Cambridge Core
Centering LGBTQ+ Political Behavior in Political Science
bit.ly
June 3, 2025 at 10:13 PM
Egan: "the CES is currently political scientists’ most comprehensive source of large, representative samples of sexual and gender minorities in the United States."
he humbly fails to note that this is due to his encouragement that we include key items
bit.ly/43Zn7Ss
he humbly fails to note that this is due to his encouragement that we include key items
bit.ly/43Zn7Ss