August Wraae
@august-wraae.bsky.social
Reposted by August Wraae
My free weekend update is out. This week confirmed the basic truth that Ukraine is winning the war at sea. Offensively the Ukrainians took the war into a vital Russian naval base and attacked a Russian tanker at sea. Russia is far more vulnerable than many admit. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Weekend Update #164: Ukraine Is Winning The War At Sea
Europe: Glass Half Empty or Half Full?; Is The Trump Administration Quietly Unwinding Sanctions On Russia?
open.substack.com
December 21, 2025 at 9:50 AM
My free weekend update is out. This week confirmed the basic truth that Ukraine is winning the war at sea. Offensively the Ukrainians took the war into a vital Russian naval base and attacked a Russian tanker at sea. Russia is far more vulnerable than many admit. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted by August Wraae
”Viktor Orbán satsar inrikespolitiskt hårt på sitt Ukraina- och Brysselmotstånd och agerar gärna putins buktalardocka men han tänker inte skjuta sig själv i huvudet för den ryske diktatorns skull.”
Några tankar om EU:s Ukrainabeslut i går. (Ej betalvägg)
Några tankar om EU:s Ukrainabeslut i går. (Ej betalvägg)
Dags att hylla EU
....
open.substack.com
December 20, 2025 at 1:02 PM
”Viktor Orbán satsar inrikespolitiskt hårt på sitt Ukraina- och Brysselmotstånd och agerar gärna putins buktalardocka men han tänker inte skjuta sig själv i huvudet för den ryske diktatorns skull.”
Några tankar om EU:s Ukrainabeslut i går. (Ej betalvägg)
Några tankar om EU:s Ukrainabeslut i går. (Ej betalvägg)
Reposted by August Wraae
Thank you to everyone who has donated. We were able to get close to our target, but we are still short of some funds. Please consider supporting us so we can put out more quality investigations in January.
For the past month, we have published 3 unique investigations, including exclusive data on Mi-8 production, Indian recruits in the Russian army, and desertions Much more is coming after the New Year. Meanwhile, we ask you to support our ongoing researches:
buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence
buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence
Frontelligence Insight is All Source Public Intelligence
Satellite imagery and other expenses
buymeacoffee.com
December 16, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Thank you to everyone who has donated. We were able to get close to our target, but we are still short of some funds. Please consider supporting us so we can put out more quality investigations in January.
Reposted by August Wraae
[VIDEO] Rare access to Saab's A26 submarine under construction 🇸🇪
Naval News takes you on a rare and exclusive access to Saab Karlskrona shipyard in Sweden, where two Blekinge-class submarines are currently being built for the Royal Swedish Navy 👇
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wabi...
Naval News takes you on a rare and exclusive access to Saab Karlskrona shipyard in Sweden, where two Blekinge-class submarines are currently being built for the Royal Swedish Navy 👇
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wabi...
Rare access to Saab's A26 submarine under construction
YouTube video by Naval News
www.youtube.com
December 16, 2025 at 10:50 AM
[VIDEO] Rare access to Saab's A26 submarine under construction 🇸🇪
Naval News takes you on a rare and exclusive access to Saab Karlskrona shipyard in Sweden, where two Blekinge-class submarines are currently being built for the Royal Swedish Navy 👇
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wabi...
Naval News takes you on a rare and exclusive access to Saab Karlskrona shipyard in Sweden, where two Blekinge-class submarines are currently being built for the Royal Swedish Navy 👇
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wabi...
Reposted by August Wraae
We’ve been working on this drop for months, longer than planned, but some things are worth the wait.
Honored to collaborate with the 3rd Army Corps, who hold positions up to 120 km from the front line.
Honored to collaborate with the 3rd Army Corps, who hold positions up to 120 km from the front line.
December 12, 2025 at 9:30 AM
We’ve been working on this drop for months, longer than planned, but some things are worth the wait.
Honored to collaborate with the 3rd Army Corps, who hold positions up to 120 km from the front line.
Honored to collaborate with the 3rd Army Corps, who hold positions up to 120 km from the front line.
Reposted by August Wraae
A few thoughts on the new US national security strategy that was released today.
🧵
www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...
🧵
www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...
December 5, 2025 at 9:49 AM
A few thoughts on the new US national security strategy that was released today.
🧵
www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...
🧵
www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...
Reposted by August Wraae
U.S. Department of Defense's Inspector General's report on the Signalgate saga is now online
media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/04/...
media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/04/...
December 4, 2025 at 4:16 PM
U.S. Department of Defense's Inspector General's report on the Signalgate saga is now online
media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/04/...
media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/04/...
Reposted by August Wraae
"We've let a war criminal drag us into a boxing match; and made him the referee!"
That’s how EU lawmaker Reinier van Lanschot sums up the West’s handling of Putin, warning it’s time to stop playing by Moscow’s rules.
That’s how EU lawmaker Reinier van Lanschot sums up the West’s handling of Putin, warning it’s time to stop playing by Moscow’s rules.
November 24, 2025 at 1:55 PM
"We've let a war criminal drag us into a boxing match; and made him the referee!"
That’s how EU lawmaker Reinier van Lanschot sums up the West’s handling of Putin, warning it’s time to stop playing by Moscow’s rules.
That’s how EU lawmaker Reinier van Lanschot sums up the West’s handling of Putin, warning it’s time to stop playing by Moscow’s rules.
Reposted by August Wraae
In November, the Indian Ministry of External Affairs reported that 44 Indian nationals were serving in the Russian army. Frontelligence Insight obtained and reviewed data that shows the real number is higher. At least 146 Indian citizens have signed contracts. 🧵Thread:
November 17, 2025 at 3:32 PM
In November, the Indian Ministry of External Affairs reported that 44 Indian nationals were serving in the Russian army. Frontelligence Insight obtained and reviewed data that shows the real number is higher. At least 146 Indian citizens have signed contracts. 🧵Thread:
Reposted by August Wraae
Hi All, Just sent out my free weekend update. It starts with the Ukrainian corruption scandal--we must all remember that this war is not about Zelensky personally, it’s about that for which the Ukrainians are fighting and dying. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Weekend Update #159: Ukraine Is Much More Than Zelensky
Ukraine’s Ranged War: Thermal Plants and Ports; Russia's Ranged War: Darkness and Death; Pokrovsk is all about the Relative Losses
open.substack.com
November 16, 2025 at 7:55 AM
Hi All, Just sent out my free weekend update. It starts with the Ukrainian corruption scandal--we must all remember that this war is not about Zelensky personally, it’s about that for which the Ukrainians are fighting and dying. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted by August Wraae
Totally surreal Mad Max shit. This is Russian forces entering Pokrovsk on the E50 highway under cover of fog. 🎥 Video from Telegram.
How are they able to do this? In large part because of their manpower advantage. Read @fabricedeprez.bsky.social’s story about that here: www.ft.com/content/ebdf...
How are they able to do this? In large part because of their manpower advantage. Read @fabricedeprez.bsky.social’s story about that here: www.ft.com/content/ebdf...
November 11, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Totally surreal Mad Max shit. This is Russian forces entering Pokrovsk on the E50 highway under cover of fog. 🎥 Video from Telegram.
How are they able to do this? In large part because of their manpower advantage. Read @fabricedeprez.bsky.social’s story about that here: www.ft.com/content/ebdf...
How are they able to do this? In large part because of their manpower advantage. Read @fabricedeprez.bsky.social’s story about that here: www.ft.com/content/ebdf...
Reposted by August Wraae
Ukraine has made mistakes before in withdrawing from lost positions too late, but there have also been examples of Ukraine staying in areas despite commentators calling for a retreat, and it turning out to be the right decision. These decisions are hard to get right.
Ukraine may be repeating a costly mistake in Pokrovsk.
It’s a recurring pattern, seen for example in Vuhledar and Kursk – a reluctance to conduct a controlled, militarily justified withdrawal from a threatened salient when the situation no longer favors the defender. 1/
It’s a recurring pattern, seen for example in Vuhledar and Kursk – a reluctance to conduct a controlled, militarily justified withdrawal from a threatened salient when the situation no longer favors the defender. 1/
November 5, 2025 at 9:24 AM
Ukraine has made mistakes before in withdrawing from lost positions too late, but there have also been examples of Ukraine staying in areas despite commentators calling for a retreat, and it turning out to be the right decision. These decisions are hard to get right.
Reposted by August Wraae
The amount is meaningless — less than one day of salary. But the principle is important: once the armed services are paid by the oligarchs, they become a private militia, and we no longer have a country.
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10...
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10...
Trump Administration Live Updates: Pentagon Accepts $130 Million Donation to Help Pay Troops During Shutdown
www.nytimes.com
October 24, 2025 at 9:18 PM
The amount is meaningless — less than one day of salary. But the principle is important: once the armed services are paid by the oligarchs, they become a private militia, and we no longer have a country.
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10...
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10...
Reposted by August Wraae
President Zelenskyy in Sweden today: Ukraine plans to buy 100-150 JAS-39 Gripen E fighters. Certainly a positive sign for the post-war prospects of the Ukrainian Air Force. Great EW suite, modern AESA radar, Meteor missile compatible.
But, it doesn't help win the current war.
But, it doesn't help win the current war.
October 22, 2025 at 2:20 PM
President Zelenskyy in Sweden today: Ukraine plans to buy 100-150 JAS-39 Gripen E fighters. Certainly a positive sign for the post-war prospects of the Ukrainian Air Force. Great EW suite, modern AESA radar, Meteor missile compatible.
But, it doesn't help win the current war.
But, it doesn't help win the current war.
Reposted by August Wraae
Läget just nu. Mycket bra. Tack alla! Men vi har långt kvar. Fortsätt sprida detta, inte bara här utan även i era andra kanaler. www.kickstarter.com/projects/294...
October 22, 2025 at 1:44 PM
Läget just nu. Mycket bra. Tack alla! Men vi har långt kvar. Fortsätt sprida detta, inte bara här utan även i era andra kanaler. www.kickstarter.com/projects/294...
Reposted by August Wraae
Dear friends, when you pick up your little ones from kindergarten today hold them tight and kiss and take a moment to be grateful that your neighbor isn’t Russia, and your children don’t have to live through what Ukrainian kids do.
October 22, 2025 at 12:22 PM
Dear friends, when you pick up your little ones from kindergarten today hold them tight and kiss and take a moment to be grateful that your neighbor isn’t Russia, and your children don’t have to live through what Ukrainian kids do.
Reposted by August Wraae
Dutch intelligence suspends sharing arrangements with the US after concluding that high level intel was routinely being shared by the White House with their friends in the Kremlin. www.volkskrant.nl/binnenland/n...
Nederlandse diensten delen minder informatie met de VS: ‘Soms vertellen we dingen niet meer’
Het aantal dreigingen dat op Nederland afkomt is groot, zien de hoofden van de AIVD en de MIVD elke dag: niet alleen Russische agressie, maar ook de opmars van China als digitale macht en binnenlands ...
www.volkskrant.nl
October 19, 2025 at 1:24 AM
Dutch intelligence suspends sharing arrangements with the US after concluding that high level intel was routinely being shared by the White House with their friends in the Kremlin. www.volkskrant.nl/binnenland/n...
Reposted by August Wraae
De senaste månadernas tal om fred och försoning låter hoppfulla – men bakom de politiska handslagen döljer sig en farligare verklighet. När rättvisa förhandlas bort till förmån för stillestånd blir freden den starkares vapen, inte de svagas skydd.
blankspot.se/kronika-fred...
blankspot.se/kronika-fred...
Krönika: Freden är inte alltid god
De senaste månadernas tal om fred och försoning låter hoppfulla – men bakom de politiska handslagen döljer sig en farligare verklighet. När rättvisa förhandlas bort till förmån för stillestånd blir…
blankspot.se
October 19, 2025 at 7:36 AM
De senaste månadernas tal om fred och försoning låter hoppfulla – men bakom de politiska handslagen döljer sig en farligare verklighet. När rättvisa förhandlas bort till förmån för stillestånd blir freden den starkares vapen, inte de svagas skydd.
blankspot.se/kronika-fred...
blankspot.se/kronika-fred...
Reposted by August Wraae
Swedish rapper Yung Lean plans a free concert in Ukraine.
🧵 1/5 ⬇️
🧵 1/5 ⬇️
October 17, 2025 at 3:29 PM
Swedish rapper Yung Lean plans a free concert in Ukraine.
🧵 1/5 ⬇️
🧵 1/5 ⬇️
Reposted by August Wraae
I know there is a new surge of optimism that Trump will really help Ukraine and hammer Russia. And the White House is making lots of "noise". However, keep in mind the following:
The first threat to really hammer Putin with sanctions was made 9 months ago. www.cnbc.com/2025/01/22/t...
The first threat to really hammer Putin with sanctions was made 9 months ago. www.cnbc.com/2025/01/22/t...
Trump threatens Russia with sanctions, tariffs if Putin doesn't end Ukraine war
The war in Ukraine began with an invasion by Russia in February 2022. More than 240,000 soldiers have been killed on both sides, according to Ukraine.
www.cnbc.com
October 16, 2025 at 9:29 AM
I know there is a new surge of optimism that Trump will really help Ukraine and hammer Russia. And the White House is making lots of "noise". However, keep in mind the following:
The first threat to really hammer Putin with sanctions was made 9 months ago. www.cnbc.com/2025/01/22/t...
The first threat to really hammer Putin with sanctions was made 9 months ago. www.cnbc.com/2025/01/22/t...
Reposted by August Wraae
Free link: on.ft.com/435Cvfi Ukraine hit Russian energy sites with US help
October 12, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Free link: on.ft.com/435Cvfi Ukraine hit Russian energy sites with US help
Reposted by August Wraae
Our exclusive report on Russia’s tank production is out. Using internal files and state contracts, we show production plans for the next decade and current output. A short thread will follow soon, but for now, you can read the report
frontelligence.substack.com/p/exclusive-inside-russias-20262036
frontelligence.substack.com/p/exclusive-inside-russias-20262036
Exclusive: Inside Russia’s 2026–2036 Tank Fleet Modernization and Buildup Plans
In the spring and summer of 2025, as part of our own operation, our team obtained exclusive documents that provide new insight into Russia’s tank-production plans and confirm the existence of a little...
frontelligence.substack.com
October 12, 2025 at 1:21 AM
Our exclusive report on Russia’s tank production is out. Using internal files and state contracts, we show production plans for the next decade and current output. A short thread will follow soon, but for now, you can read the report
frontelligence.substack.com/p/exclusive-inside-russias-20262036
frontelligence.substack.com/p/exclusive-inside-russias-20262036
Reposted by August Wraae
In a surprise move 🇩🇰Denmark today changed the order with 🇸🇪BAE Systems Hägglunds to upgrade the existing 44 CV9035DK to acquire 44 new CV CV9035IIIC to create a uniform fleet of 159 CV9035IIIC for the 1st Brigade. A donation to 🇺🇦Ukraine of the old CV90 is not unlikely. www.fmn.dk/da/nyheder/2...
October 11, 2025 at 2:09 PM
In a surprise move 🇩🇰Denmark today changed the order with 🇸🇪BAE Systems Hägglunds to upgrade the existing 44 CV9035DK to acquire 44 new CV CV9035IIIC to create a uniform fleet of 159 CV9035IIIC for the 1st Brigade. A donation to 🇺🇦Ukraine of the old CV90 is not unlikely. www.fmn.dk/da/nyheder/2...
Reposted by August Wraae
Please join me in raising funds for medical cargo buses and trucks with electric jamming for brigades of Ukraine's Khartiia Corps. These automobiles make the difference between whether people survive or not. We can do something very specific and meaningful to help.
www.help99.co/patches/timo...
www.help99.co/patches/timo...
Timothy Snyder: Freedom is Action
Professor Timothy Snyder – a prominent voice of freedom, teams up with NAFO to fundraise for ten trucks and ten cargo buses with anti-drone jamming systems. These will transport and protect those who ...
www.help99.co
October 8, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Please join me in raising funds for medical cargo buses and trucks with electric jamming for brigades of Ukraine's Khartiia Corps. These automobiles make the difference between whether people survive or not. We can do something very specific and meaningful to help.
www.help99.co/patches/timo...
www.help99.co/patches/timo...
Reposted by August Wraae
7 October – Putin’s 73rd birthday. I won’t wish him many happy returns, but let’s just spend a moment pondering the dilemmas that will likely face him in the coming year 1/
October 7, 2025 at 6:59 AM
7 October – Putin’s 73rd birthday. I won’t wish him many happy returns, but let’s just spend a moment pondering the dilemmas that will likely face him in the coming year 1/