AliVaez.bsky.social
@alivaez.bsky.social
Director of #Iran Project & Senior Advisor @CrisisGroup; Adjunct Prof @Georgetown; Fellow @FPI_SAIS; Ex @UNDPPA @FAScientists @Harvard
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
🇮🇷 Failing to implement environmentally sound policies will only deepen the crisis, further imperilling both Baluchestan’s fragile ecosystems and its already vulnerable communities.
Our latest report explains why: www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Our latest report explains why: www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
August 21, 2025 at 9:22 AM
🇮🇷 Failing to implement environmentally sound policies will only deepen the crisis, further imperilling both Baluchestan’s fragile ecosystems and its already vulnerable communities.
Our latest report explains why: www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Our latest report explains why: www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
📈 Rising temperatures, sporadic rainfall, over-extraction and poor planning have converged to make water scarcity a major crisis in Sistan and #Baluchestan – and an increasingly pressing concern across #Iran.
August 21, 2025 at 9:22 AM
📈 Rising temperatures, sporadic rainfall, over-extraction and poor planning have converged to make water scarcity a major crisis in Sistan and #Baluchestan – and an increasingly pressing concern across #Iran.
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
🇮🇷 #Baluchestan has been plagued by neglect and a sense of exclusion and growing grievances have at times manifested in unrest and militancy.
Growing water scarcity could deepen public discontent in Iran’s semi-arid region.
Growing water scarcity could deepen public discontent in Iran’s semi-arid region.
August 21, 2025 at 9:22 AM
🇮🇷 #Baluchestan has been plagued by neglect and a sense of exclusion and growing grievances have at times manifested in unrest and militancy.
Growing water scarcity could deepen public discontent in Iran’s semi-arid region.
Growing water scarcity could deepen public discontent in Iran’s semi-arid region.
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
NEW OP-ED | How a Historic Israel-Iran Non-aggression Pact Could Change the Middle East
The only sustainable solution is a diplomatic one. Donald Trump should seal the deal.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
The only sustainable solution is a diplomatic one. Donald Trump should seal the deal.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
August 21, 2025 at 10:31 AM
NEW OP-ED | How a Historic Israel-Iran Non-aggression Pact Could Change the Middle East
The only sustainable solution is a diplomatic one. Donald Trump should seal the deal.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
The only sustainable solution is a diplomatic one. Donald Trump should seal the deal.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
"A dash toward nuclear weapons in a secret facility is still something that Iran can do. It has the knowledge, the material, and the equipment needed. And without inspections, the world will be blinded to that possibility."
More from @crisisgroup.org's Ali Vaez: ip-quarterly.com/en/iran-down...
More from @crisisgroup.org's Ali Vaez: ip-quarterly.com/en/iran-down...
“Iran Is Down, But It Is Not Out”
The 12-day war has weakened the regime in Tehran and limited its options. This increases Iran’s incentives to become a nuclear weapon state, argues Ali Vaez of the International Crisis Group. But ther...
ip-quarterly.com
August 21, 2025 at 11:04 AM
"A dash toward nuclear weapons in a secret facility is still something that Iran can do. It has the knowledge, the material, and the equipment needed. And without inspections, the world will be blinded to that possibility."
More from @crisisgroup.org's Ali Vaez: ip-quarterly.com/en/iran-down...
More from @crisisgroup.org's Ali Vaez: ip-quarterly.com/en/iran-down...
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
NEW STATEMENT | How Trump and Tehran Can Find an Exit from an Escalating War
As Israel pummels Iran, the U.S. is weighing direct involvement. Washington should look to diplomacy, while Tehran should offer meaningful incentives for it to do so.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
As Israel pummels Iran, the U.S. is weighing direct involvement. Washington should look to diplomacy, while Tehran should offer meaningful incentives for it to do so.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
June 19, 2025 at 9:47 PM
NEW STATEMENT | How Trump and Tehran Can Find an Exit from an Escalating War
As Israel pummels Iran, the U.S. is weighing direct involvement. Washington should look to diplomacy, while Tehran should offer meaningful incentives for it to do so.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
As Israel pummels Iran, the U.S. is weighing direct involvement. Washington should look to diplomacy, while Tehran should offer meaningful incentives for it to do so.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
Friday, May 16, 11 AM ET: Join us for a timely conversation with @alivaez.bsky.social, Iran Program Director at @crisisgroup.org, and DAWN's @sarahleah1.bsky.social, on the shifting dynamics of nuclear policy in the Middle East on the heels of Trump's trip.
On X Spaces: twitter.com/i/spaces/1Zk...
On X Spaces: twitter.com/i/spaces/1Zk...
May 15, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Friday, May 16, 11 AM ET: Join us for a timely conversation with @alivaez.bsky.social, Iran Program Director at @crisisgroup.org, and DAWN's @sarahleah1.bsky.social, on the shifting dynamics of nuclear policy in the Middle East on the heels of Trump's trip.
On X Spaces: twitter.com/i/spaces/1Zk...
On X Spaces: twitter.com/i/spaces/1Zk...
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
Wow.
Will be looking for US follow through due to possibility of some in the administration seeking to slow roll this.
Erdogan and MBS seemed to have played key roles.
wapo.st/43aWW9R
Will be looking for US follow through due to possibility of some in the administration seeking to slow roll this.
Erdogan and MBS seemed to have played key roles.
wapo.st/43aWW9R
Live updates: Trump says U.S. will end sanctions on Syria ‘to give them a chance at greatness’
The four-day trip, President Donald Trump’s first overseas tour since his reelection, is expected to focus on business deals and investments from the region.
wapo.st
May 13, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Wow.
Will be looking for US follow through due to possibility of some in the administration seeking to slow roll this.
Erdogan and MBS seemed to have played key roles.
wapo.st/43aWW9R
Will be looking for US follow through due to possibility of some in the administration seeking to slow roll this.
Erdogan and MBS seemed to have played key roles.
wapo.st/43aWW9R
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
Astonishing news on Trump’s lifting of Syria sanctions. Much still depends on follow through and implementation and there is a Congressional piece as well, but I would never have predicted this; I’m sure some members of his administration feel the same.
May 13, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Astonishing news on Trump’s lifting of Syria sanctions. Much still depends on follow through and implementation and there is a Congressional piece as well, but I would never have predicted this; I’m sure some members of his administration feel the same.
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
@richardgowan1.bsky.social examines how the Trump administration’s approach could make or break UN reforms in @wpr.bsky.social.
www.worldpoliticsreview.com/trump-united...
www.worldpoliticsreview.com/trump-united...
The Trump Administration’s Approach Could Make or Break U.N. Reform
As Trump continues to decouple the U.S. from parts of the U.N. system, his concerns about the world organization are actually shared by many.
www.worldpoliticsreview.com
February 12, 2025 at 1:59 PM
@richardgowan1.bsky.social examines how the Trump administration’s approach could make or break UN reforms in @wpr.bsky.social.
www.worldpoliticsreview.com/trump-united...
www.worldpoliticsreview.com/trump-united...
This week, the Trump administration issued NSPM-2, laying out the economic and diplomatic tools of a renewed "Maximum Pressure" campaign, while POTUS @realDonaldTrump called for a "Verified Nuclear Peace Agreement" with Iran.
🧵 on reading the early tea leaves.
🧵 on reading the early tea leaves.
February 6, 2025 at 4:50 PM
This week, the Trump administration issued NSPM-2, laying out the economic and diplomatic tools of a renewed "Maximum Pressure" campaign, while POTUS @realDonaldTrump called for a "Verified Nuclear Peace Agreement" with Iran.
🧵 on reading the early tea leaves.
🧵 on reading the early tea leaves.
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/syria-iran-assad-axis-of-resistance-6289667a
t.co
December 10, 2024 at 8:54 AM
Told @NYTimes: The fall of Assad puts an exclamation point on the fact that decades of Iranian strategy and investment in the Levant have come undone in a matter of weeks.
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...
Stunned Iranian Officials Try to Distance Their Country From Assad
A reckoning emerged in Iran on Sunday as officials and commentators swiftly moved to distance the government from a tyrant it had supported.
www.nytimes.com
December 9, 2024 at 6:38 AM
Told @NYTimes: The fall of Assad puts an exclamation point on the fact that decades of Iranian strategy and investment in the Levant have come undone in a matter of weeks.
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...
Reposted by AliVaez.bsky.social
Man, history has a sense of irony. Hamas initially supported the Syrian revolution, but Yahya Sinwar came along and played a key role in reconciling the group with the Assad regime, only for Sinwar to then trigger a chain of dominoes that led to the Assad regime losing Aleppo
November 30, 2024 at 5:59 AM
Man, history has a sense of irony. Hamas initially supported the Syrian revolution, but Yahya Sinwar came along and played a key role in reconciling the group with the Assad regime, only for Sinwar to then trigger a chain of dominoes that led to the Assad regime losing Aleppo