13/13 When POTUS first took office, we @CrisisGroup argued he was well-positioned to improve JCPOA. Much has changed, but underlying proposition hasn't: Calibrating means & ends - and with necessary compromises on Tehran's part - a "VNPA" won't be easy, but also not unimaginable.

This week, the Trump administration issued NSPM-2, laying out the economic and diplomatic tools of a renewed "Maximum Pressure" campaign, while POTUS @realDonaldTrump called for a "Verified Nuclear Peace Agreement" with Iran. 

🧵 on reading the early tea leaves.