Laurits Aarslew
@aarslew.bsky.social
Assistant Professor @AarhusUni.
Researching how public opinion dynamics sustain regimes or facilitate regime change.
Comparative politics | Political behavior | Authoritarianism | Democracy
https://www.lauritsaarslew.com
Researching how public opinion dynamics sustain regimes or facilitate regime change.
Comparative politics | Political behavior | Authoritarianism | Democracy
https://www.lauritsaarslew.com
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Are regimes with higher nr's of core supporters more durable? Are regimes with more diverse coalitions of supporters more durable?
In this (published today) @cpsjournal.bsky.social article, @sirianned.bsky.social , @magnusrasmussen.bsky.social , and @torewig.bsky.social I answer "Yes" to both Qs.
In this (published today) @cpsjournal.bsky.social article, @sirianned.bsky.social , @magnusrasmussen.bsky.social , and @torewig.bsky.social I answer "Yes" to both Qs.
August 20, 2025 at 9:20 AM
Are regimes with higher nr's of core supporters more durable? Are regimes with more diverse coalitions of supporters more durable?
In this (published today) @cpsjournal.bsky.social article, @sirianned.bsky.social , @magnusrasmussen.bsky.social , and @torewig.bsky.social I answer "Yes" to both Qs.
In this (published today) @cpsjournal.bsky.social article, @sirianned.bsky.social , @magnusrasmussen.bsky.social , and @torewig.bsky.social I answer "Yes" to both Qs.
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
🚨 New publication alert! 🚨
Why do some people keep voting throughout their lives while others drop out? And how do authoritarian elections - even uncompetitive ones- shape citizens’ habits?
Ksenia Northmore-Ball and I tackle these questions in my new paper, now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
Why do some people keep voting throughout their lives while others drop out? And how do authoritarian elections - even uncompetitive ones- shape citizens’ habits?
Ksenia Northmore-Ball and I tackle these questions in my new paper, now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
September 1, 2025 at 4:08 PM
🚨 New publication alert! 🚨
Why do some people keep voting throughout their lives while others drop out? And how do authoritarian elections - even uncompetitive ones- shape citizens’ habits?
Ksenia Northmore-Ball and I tackle these questions in my new paper, now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
Why do some people keep voting throughout their lives while others drop out? And how do authoritarian elections - even uncompetitive ones- shape citizens’ habits?
Ksenia Northmore-Ball and I tackle these questions in my new paper, now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
Re. Trump’s comments on Kimmel, do you know who else have “bad ratings”?
September 19, 2025 at 9:39 AM
Re. Trump’s comments on Kimmel, do you know who else have “bad ratings”?
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
🤔 Do surveys exaggerate democratic support due to social desirability bias (SDB)?
➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
September 19, 2025 at 6:58 AM
🤔 Do surveys exaggerate democratic support due to social desirability bias (SDB)?
➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Det er altså ikke bare anklager for upassende bemærkninger om Kirks død, men også massivt pres fra den amerikanske regering. Altså repression og censur: www.nytimes.com/2025/09/17/b...
September 18, 2025 at 6:28 AM
Det er altså ikke bare anklager for upassende bemærkninger om Kirks død, men også massivt pres fra den amerikanske regering. Altså repression og censur: www.nytimes.com/2025/09/17/b...
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Exactly!
David Frum on Jimmy Kimmel: "This is not cancel culture because it's not culture. It's state repression. It's an order from the government. Here is the script, you must read, if you do not read it, you will be taken off the air."
September 18, 2025 at 5:44 AM
Exactly!
Check out this paper with @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social in @psrm.bsky.social.
We examine whether social desirability bias contaminates survey measures of democratic support.
tl/dr: we find no evidence to suggest that SDB inflates support for democracy in commonly used survey measures
We examine whether social desirability bias contaminates survey measures of democratic support.
tl/dr: we find no evidence to suggest that SDB inflates support for democracy in commonly used survey measures
Long ago, in a study of the democratic attitudes in Germany, Dalton raised the possibility of “Fragebogendemokraten” (questionnaire democrats): people who hesitate to express their sincere dislike for “democracy” in surveys, providing instead the “socially desirable” response (1)
September 13, 2025 at 12:05 AM
Check out this paper with @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social in @psrm.bsky.social.
We examine whether social desirability bias contaminates survey measures of democratic support.
tl/dr: we find no evidence to suggest that SDB inflates support for democracy in commonly used survey measures
We examine whether social desirability bias contaminates survey measures of democratic support.
tl/dr: we find no evidence to suggest that SDB inflates support for democracy in commonly used survey measures
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Long ago, in a study of the democratic attitudes in Germany, Dalton raised the possibility of “Fragebogendemokraten” (questionnaire democrats): people who hesitate to express their sincere dislike for “democracy” in surveys, providing instead the “socially desirable” response (1)
September 12, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Long ago, in a study of the democratic attitudes in Germany, Dalton raised the possibility of “Fragebogendemokraten” (questionnaire democrats): people who hesitate to express their sincere dislike for “democracy” in surveys, providing instead the “socially desirable” response (1)
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Arrived and all set for #APSA2025 with two papers:
Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy with @robbwiller.bsky.social and @m-b-petersen.bsky.social (Thur at 12)
What Elites Believe About Opposing Trump with @aarslew.bsky.social and Martin Bisgaard (Sun at 8)
See you at the conference!
Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy with @robbwiller.bsky.social and @m-b-petersen.bsky.social (Thur at 12)
What Elites Believe About Opposing Trump with @aarslew.bsky.social and Martin Bisgaard (Sun at 8)
See you at the conference!
September 10, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Arrived and all set for #APSA2025 with two papers:
Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy with @robbwiller.bsky.social and @m-b-petersen.bsky.social (Thur at 12)
What Elites Believe About Opposing Trump with @aarslew.bsky.social and Martin Bisgaard (Sun at 8)
See you at the conference!
Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy with @robbwiller.bsky.social and @m-b-petersen.bsky.social (Thur at 12)
What Elites Believe About Opposing Trump with @aarslew.bsky.social and Martin Bisgaard (Sun at 8)
See you at the conference!
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Who supports free speech, and how consistent is the support? Together with @suthank.bsky.social, I’ve conducted a survey of citizens in 33 countries for The Future of Free Speech. A lot of interesting findings (see 🧵 + link): futurefreespeech.org/wp-content/u...
futurefreespeech.org
April 8, 2025 at 9:43 AM
Who supports free speech, and how consistent is the support? Together with @suthank.bsky.social, I’ve conducted a survey of citizens in 33 countries for The Future of Free Speech. A lot of interesting findings (see 🧵 + link): futurefreespeech.org/wp-content/u...
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Steve Levitsky gives the canonical answer about whether defending democracy is the right answer electorally for Democrats - that can't be the question. *Society* has to defend democracy and the Constitution, or they could cease to exist. nymag.com/intelligence...
March 4, 2025 at 4:37 PM
Steve Levitsky gives the canonical answer about whether defending democracy is the right answer electorally for Democrats - that can't be the question. *Society* has to defend democracy and the Constitution, or they could cease to exist. nymag.com/intelligence...
Spot the difference! Hint: one of them is a dictator, who ruled Turkmenistan for more than 20 years...
#Trump #Gaza #Trumpgaza
#Trump #Gaza #Trumpgaza
February 27, 2025 at 12:28 PM
Spot the difference! Hint: one of them is a dictator, who ruled Turkmenistan for more than 20 years...
#Trump #Gaza #Trumpgaza
#Trump #Gaza #Trumpgaza
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Thrilled that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social! 🎉 The article argues that low statistical power is a major impediment to acquiring cumulative knowledge on questions concerning cross-national differences: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
What Can We Learn about the Effects of Democracy Using Cross-National Data? | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
What Can We Learn about the Effects of Democracy Using Cross-National Data?
www.cambridge.org
December 10, 2024 at 11:13 AM
Thrilled that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social! 🎉 The article argues that low statistical power is a major impediment to acquiring cumulative knowledge on questions concerning cross-national differences: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Delighted that @gregoryeady.bsky.social and my paper "Gendered Perceptions and the Costs of Political Toxicity: Experimental Evidence from Politicians and Citizens in Four Democracies" is now online @apsrjournal.bsky.social (Open access)
More in this [1/14]
More in this [1/14]
December 11, 2024 at 4:53 PM
Delighted that @gregoryeady.bsky.social and my paper "Gendered Perceptions and the Costs of Political Toxicity: Experimental Evidence from Politicians and Citizens in Four Democracies" is now online @apsrjournal.bsky.social (Open access)
More in this [1/14]
More in this [1/14]
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Does childhood exposure to coethnics impede or promote the acquisition of citizenship?
In a new article in @pnas.org, I show that the modest presence of coethnic peers in school increases migrant children’s probability of getting 🇩🇰 citizenship later in life. 🧵👇 1/15
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
In a new article in @pnas.org, I show that the modest presence of coethnic peers in school increases migrant children’s probability of getting 🇩🇰 citizenship later in life. 🧵👇 1/15
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
www.pnas.org
November 28, 2024 at 1:50 PM
Does childhood exposure to coethnics impede or promote the acquisition of citizenship?
In a new article in @pnas.org, I show that the modest presence of coethnic peers in school increases migrant children’s probability of getting 🇩🇰 citizenship later in life. 🧵👇 1/15
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
In a new article in @pnas.org, I show that the modest presence of coethnic peers in school increases migrant children’s probability of getting 🇩🇰 citizenship later in life. 🧵👇 1/15
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Polisky Dictatorsky
Our starter pack keeps on growing! Check it out!
Our starter pack keeps on growing! Check it out!
We noticed there wasn't a starter pack on authoritarian politics yet – Now there is!
go.bsky.app/UFHn7sS
Spread and ask to join!
go.bsky.app/UFHn7sS
Spread and ask to join!
November 26, 2024 at 10:17 AM
Polisky Dictatorsky
Our starter pack keeps on growing! Check it out!
Our starter pack keeps on growing! Check it out!
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Do you think Europeans are getting increasingly fed up with their democracies? Not really!
New 2024 Eurobarometer data reveals 50 years of democratic resilience.
Top-3 in 2024:
🥇 Denmark
🥈 Luxembourg
🥉 Sweden
Here are the numbers you usually don’t see.
New 2024 Eurobarometer data reveals 50 years of democratic resilience.
Top-3 in 2024:
🥇 Denmark
🥈 Luxembourg
🥉 Sweden
Here are the numbers you usually don’t see.
November 25, 2024 at 12:00 PM
Do you think Europeans are getting increasingly fed up with their democracies? Not really!
New 2024 Eurobarometer data reveals 50 years of democratic resilience.
Top-3 in 2024:
🥇 Denmark
🥈 Luxembourg
🥉 Sweden
Here are the numbers you usually don’t see.
New 2024 Eurobarometer data reveals 50 years of democratic resilience.
Top-3 in 2024:
🥇 Denmark
🥈 Luxembourg
🥉 Sweden
Here are the numbers you usually don’t see.
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
The victory march of democracy has ended
What can we as researchers do?
In the Scandinavian countries, a particular tool is available: Democracy & Power Studies.
The Danish government appointed me as director of such a study. We started our work this year.
A 🧵 on what we do & how we do it
1/8
What can we as researchers do?
In the Scandinavian countries, a particular tool is available: Democracy & Power Studies.
The Danish government appointed me as director of such a study. We started our work this year.
A 🧵 on what we do & how we do it
1/8
November 23, 2024 at 3:03 PM
The victory march of democracy has ended
What can we as researchers do?
In the Scandinavian countries, a particular tool is available: Democracy & Power Studies.
The Danish government appointed me as director of such a study. We started our work this year.
A 🧵 on what we do & how we do it
1/8
What can we as researchers do?
In the Scandinavian countries, a particular tool is available: Democracy & Power Studies.
The Danish government appointed me as director of such a study. We started our work this year.
A 🧵 on what we do & how we do it
1/8
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Political Science Starter Pack Collection!
Many have shared excellent starter packs lately, but finding the most relevant ones can be tricky.
This 🧵 gathers many of them in one place 👇🏽
#PoliticalScience #StarterPack
Many have shared excellent starter packs lately, but finding the most relevant ones can be tricky.
This 🧵 gathers many of them in one place 👇🏽
#PoliticalScience #StarterPack
November 22, 2024 at 12:11 PM
Political Science Starter Pack Collection!
Many have shared excellent starter packs lately, but finding the most relevant ones can be tricky.
This 🧵 gathers many of them in one place 👇🏽
#PoliticalScience #StarterPack
Many have shared excellent starter packs lately, but finding the most relevant ones can be tricky.
This 🧵 gathers many of them in one place 👇🏽
#PoliticalScience #StarterPack
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Så er der en starter pack klar med folk fra Statskundskab på @aarhusuni.bsky.social. Og bare rolig, vi har ikke allesammen korslagte arme 😊
November 21, 2024 at 9:21 PM
Så er der en starter pack klar med folk fra Statskundskab på @aarhusuni.bsky.social. Og bare rolig, vi har ikke allesammen korslagte arme 😊
The Duma has approved a budget that allocates 41% of the federal budget to fund security and military forces.
With growing prices, this could prove very problematic for support for the Kremlin
buff.ly/4eFUY52
With growing prices, this could prove very problematic for support for the Kremlin
buff.ly/4eFUY52
November 21, 2024 at 10:02 PM
The Duma has approved a budget that allocates 41% of the federal budget to fund security and military forces.
With growing prices, this could prove very problematic for support for the Kremlin
buff.ly/4eFUY52
With growing prices, this could prove very problematic for support for the Kremlin
buff.ly/4eFUY52
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Why do some democracies break down, whereas others survive?
If you're curious, here’s a starter pack of researchers studying citizens’ democratic stability on Bluesky 🔵
Let me know if you’d like to be included in the list! 👇🏽
#Democracy #PoliticalScience
go.bsky.app/BFsKm4T
If you're curious, here’s a starter pack of researchers studying citizens’ democratic stability on Bluesky 🔵
Let me know if you’d like to be included in the list! 👇🏽
#Democracy #PoliticalScience
go.bsky.app/BFsKm4T
November 21, 2024 at 11:45 AM
Why do some democracies break down, whereas others survive?
If you're curious, here’s a starter pack of researchers studying citizens’ democratic stability on Bluesky 🔵
Let me know if you’d like to be included in the list! 👇🏽
#Democracy #PoliticalScience
go.bsky.app/BFsKm4T
If you're curious, here’s a starter pack of researchers studying citizens’ democratic stability on Bluesky 🔵
Let me know if you’d like to be included in the list! 👇🏽
#Democracy #PoliticalScience
go.bsky.app/BFsKm4T
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
How democratic are ordinary citizens in Western democracies?
If you're curious, here’s a starter pack of researchers studying citizens’ democratic values on Bluesky 🔵
Let me know if you’d like to be included in the list! 👇🏽
#Democracy #PoliticalScience
go.bsky.app/HX24CcL
If you're curious, here’s a starter pack of researchers studying citizens’ democratic values on Bluesky 🔵
Let me know if you’d like to be included in the list! 👇🏽
#Democracy #PoliticalScience
go.bsky.app/HX24CcL
November 21, 2024 at 10:35 AM
How democratic are ordinary citizens in Western democracies?
If you're curious, here’s a starter pack of researchers studying citizens’ democratic values on Bluesky 🔵
Let me know if you’d like to be included in the list! 👇🏽
#Democracy #PoliticalScience
go.bsky.app/HX24CcL
If you're curious, here’s a starter pack of researchers studying citizens’ democratic values on Bluesky 🔵
Let me know if you’d like to be included in the list! 👇🏽
#Democracy #PoliticalScience
go.bsky.app/HX24CcL
Reposted by Laurits Aarslew
Hey #polisky, can you please help @katharinalawall.bsky.social and I?
For a joint project, we are looking for public opinion, post-electoral surveys for state elections in Germany.
These surveys would need to include variables tapping whether someone voted, who they voted for, their gender & age.
For a joint project, we are looking for public opinion, post-electoral surveys for state elections in Germany.
These surveys would need to include variables tapping whether someone voted, who they voted for, their gender & age.
November 20, 2024 at 4:33 PM
Hey #polisky, can you please help @katharinalawall.bsky.social and I?
For a joint project, we are looking for public opinion, post-electoral surveys for state elections in Germany.
These surveys would need to include variables tapping whether someone voted, who they voted for, their gender & age.
For a joint project, we are looking for public opinion, post-electoral surveys for state elections in Germany.
These surveys would need to include variables tapping whether someone voted, who they voted for, their gender & age.
My paper on the effect of election fraud revelations on support for authoritarian leaders and regimes now has volume and issue number in @cpsjournal.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Does Election Fraud Erode Support for Autocrats? - Laurits F. Aarslew, 2024
Does election fraud erode support for dictators? An original survey experiment from Russia following the 2020 vote on constitutional amendments reveals three ke...
journals.sagepub.com
November 20, 2024 at 4:34 PM
My paper on the effect of election fraud revelations on support for authoritarian leaders and regimes now has volume and issue number in @cpsjournal.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...