Prof Christina Pagel
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chrischirp.bsky.social
Prof Christina Pagel
@chrischirp.bsky.social

Prof Operational Research , @UCL_CORU, passionate about health care, women in STEMs, defending liberal democracy (!). Member of @independentsage, posts personal. https://www.trumpactiontracker.info/

Christina Pagel FMedSci HonFFPH is a German-British mathematician and professor of operational research at University College London (UCL) within UCL's Clinical Operational Research Unit (CORU), which applies operational research, data analysis and mathematical modelling to topics in healthcare. She was Director of UCL CORU from 2017 to 2022 and is currently Vice President of the UK Operational Research Society. She also co-leads, alongside Rebecca Shipley, UCL's CHIMERA research hub which analyses data from critically ill hospital patients. .. more

Public Health 39%
Medicine 29%

Reposted by Christina Pagel

I have been trying to parse this sentence, which, as I read it, suggests that Harvard is not directly at fault for violating the civil rights “of white and Jewish people,” but rather doubly indirectly so as an ‘incubator’ of an ideology (which they call “liberalism”) that did so.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

The last five or so years have involved a growing realisation that my kids inherited their autism from me, and I've been slowly ticking off lifelong (or childhood) 'odd' feelings/habits/predispositions.

You can learn some remarkable things from your kids.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

I've had a lifelong but very private discomfort at saying 'Merry Christmas' to others (and 'Good Morning' but more opportunities to get accustomed to that).

I just quietly asked my most autistic daughter about this and it turns out (a) she has it too, (b) it is an autism thing.

Merry Christmas.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Long before Covid there was the annual flu surveillance. Still exists:

www.gov.uk/government/s...
National flu and COVID-19 surveillance reports: 2025 to 2026 season
National influenza (flu) and COVID-19 report, monitoring COVID-19 activity, seasonal flu and other seasonal respiratory illnesses.
www.gov.uk

Turns out to be a pretty average flu year that started a bit earlier.

NHS and Govt have a responsibility to communicate data responsibly and they failed this winter.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Forceful response to the absurd sanctions by the US on NGO leaders and former EU Comm. Breton. Actions must follow: The EU is an open, rules-based single market, with the sovereign right to regulate economic activity in line with our democratic values & int. commitments ec.europa.eu/commission/p...

Reposted by Christina Pagel

1/ Seasonal influenza summary from latest @ukhsa.bsky.social surveillance report. #IDSky #EpiSky 🧪

🗓️ Based on data up to week 51 2025 (15-21 Dec 2025)

📊 Influenza activity has decreased. Influenza circulating at medium levels in England.

Report 🔗: www.gov.uk/government/s...
National flu and COVID-19 surveillance report: 24 December 2025 (week 52)
www.gov.uk
Nearly 30 U.S. ambassadors just got recalled within a week. Career diplomats. No explanation.
The Foreign Service union says this has NEVER happened in U.S. history.
Not during wars. Not during scandals.
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/22/u...
#BlueSky #NewsSky #PoliSky
Trump Administration Orders Nearly 30 U.S. Ambassadors to Leave Their Posts
www.nytimes.com
Everyone is porcupining and bracing for war. Finland has raised the reservist age to 65, bringing its reserve force to nearly one million. The memory of the Winter War with the USSR continues to shape Finnish thinking. yle.fi/a/74-20201345
Finland raises reservist age to 65
The reserve force will gradually swell to one million.
yle.fi
In 2023 I became obsessed with videos of dads in cargo shortswaiting in parking lots during Taylor Swift's Eras Tour. So when she came to town, I grabbed a camera and headed down to talk to them. I thought it'd be funny. It turned out to be something else entirely.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Circling back

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Greta Thunberg arrested at a protest supporting Palestine Action hunger strikers
Greta Thunberg arrested at a protest supporting Palestine Action hunger strikers
Climate activist Greta Thunberg has been arrested in central London at a demonstration in support of Palestine Action hunger strikers.
news.sky.com

Reposted by Christina Pagel

GREENLAND PRIME MINISTER­:­ I AM SAD THAT U.S. PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP ONCE AGAIN HAS EXPRESSED A DESIRE TO TAKE OVER GREENLAND
YouGov have Reform on 25% in both their first poll of 2025 and their final poll before Christmas. The only significan sustained gain across 2025 was Green Party +7, at expense of Labour

Reform 25% tp 25% (-)
Labour 26% to 20% (-6)
Cons 22% to 19% (-3)
LibDems 14% to 15% (+1)
Greens 8% to 15% (+7)
Bill Clinton releasing a statement saying 'release the Epstein files, you cowards' was not on my bingo list.
This is so ridiculous, even for this absurd administration.
Burgum: "Today we're sending notifications to the 5 large offshore wind projects that are under construction that their leases will be suspended due to national security concerns ... the Dept of War has come back conclusively that these large offshore wind programs create radar interference"

Reposted by Christina Pagel

How bad is it for Russia on the frontlines? They launched an attack on Dobropillia today, led by men on horseback, followed by motorbikes and quads. Ukraine’s 1st Azov Corps wiped them all out in 2 hours with artillery and drones, as well as a bunch of armoured vehicles.

It’s the horses I feel for.
In a joint statement, the prime ministers of Greenland and Denmark urged the US to show respect, saying annexation is not an option.

Denmark’s Mette Frederiksen and Greenland’s Jens Frederik Nielsen stressed that Greenland belongs to its people, not the United States.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Do both.

And if solar parks are built near villages or towns, then offer the people who are potentially affected free electricity to offset their concerns.

Solar panels are not nuclear power stations. They can be removed with little environmental impact and can actually benefit biodiversity.
The solution is right above us. Solar panels on existing buildings, car parks, and along highways generate clean power without sacrificing farmland or wild spaces. Let's use our built world first. #Renewables #Innovation
The solution is right above us. Solar panels on existing buildings, car parks, and along highways generate clean power without sacrificing farmland or wild spaces. Let's use our built world first. #Renewables #Innovation

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Israel approves 19 new Jewish settlements in occupied West Bank www.theguardian.com/world/2025/d...
Israel approves 19 new Jewish settlements in occupied West Bank
Decision takes the total number of new settlements to 69 in past few years as construction binge continues
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Christina Pagel

It's not just that it is 'rules-based', it is that it is a single market, not just a trade area. It's this, I think, that isn't understood in the UK, even by some 'pro-Europeans', like Streeting.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Streeting seems to have ended up, 10+ years later, at exactly the same misunderstanding as Cameron's pre-referendum 'renegotiation'. Tedious and depressing. (Extract is from my Blogpost of February 2017: chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2017/02/even...)
JD Vance: "They are not sending their best. Omar Fateh was Ilehan [sic] Omar's candidate for mayor of Mogadishu-- I mean Minneapolis. Little Freudian slip there."
JD Vance: "In the United States of America you don't have to apologize for being white anymore"
Apparently engaging with the EU is all about economics, while also avoiding freedom of movement. Sigh.

Anyone hoping to rejoin has a very very long wait.

Frankly, if you're a rejoiner over 50, I'd suggest taking up stamp collecting or bird watching instead. It'll be more fulfilling.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Woohoo! Best Christmas present ever:
London St Pancras revamp aims to cut Eurostar waiting time to 15 minutes
Planned £100mn overhaul of train station will seek to end ‘holding pen’ experience for passengers
www.ft.com

Reposted by Christina Pagel

The source of the flu hype appears to be NHS and politicians, but journalists parroted without question.

How do you write these two paragraphs and not think: “Hang on, flu beds hit 5,400 in 2022, and they had RSV and COVID peak at the same time”.

That’s all you need to recognise this as bollocks.

Reposted by Christina Pagel

Thank you @chrischirp.bsky.social for your expertise and insights. Scary but a must read article.

Reposted by Christina Pagel