Expected Own Goals
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Expected Own Goals
@xowngoals.com
A podcast about the NWSL, USWNT, and women's soccer around the world.

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All month long, we are taking our new Patreon episodes out from behind the paywall! Enjoy all of our bonus content on us throughout the #NWSL playoffs, and consider joining for only $6/month! You get bonus episodes, our main feed episodes ad-free, and so much more!
PATREON BONUS: The NWSL Bad Team Postmortem
Spotify video
open.spotify.com
Just gonna put this here for no reason at all
Football managers are idolised and mythologised, but are they actually important? (Published 2023)
www.nytimes.com
November 11, 2025 at 2:22 AM
The best performances in the #NWSL quarterfinals according to g+, the possession value stat from @americansocceranalysis.com (minimum 50 minutes played, including stoppage time)
November 9, 2025 at 11:39 PM
The Portland Thorns return to the #NWSL semifinals with a nervy but sufficient performance in front of over 19,000 at Providence Park.

Score: 1 - 0 (aet)
xG: 1.5 - 1.1
xG/Shot: 0.08 - 0.06
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 4 - 3
Box Shots: 13 - 9
Field Tilt: 26 - 74

#BAONPDX | #PORvSD | #NWSL
November 9, 2025 at 11:00 PM
106' in extra time, the first San Diego shot since the 78th minute in the second half.

#PORvSD | #NWSL
November 9, 2025 at 10:38 PM
You want more stoppage time? You got it! Sufferball met struggleball in regulation time between the Portland Thorns and San Diego Wave.

Score: 0 - 0
xG: 0.9 - 0.8
xG/Shot: 0.07 - 0.06
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 1 - 2
Box Shots: 7 - 8
Field Tilt: 20 - 80

#BAONPDX | #PORvSD | #NWSL
November 9, 2025 at 10:08 PM
The upset of the decade, as two chaotic Gotham FC goals end the reign of the best regular-season team in #NWSL history.

Score: 1 - 2 (aet)
xG: 1.2 - 0.9
xG/Shot: 0.07 - 0.06
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 3 - 0
Box Shots: 10 - 9
Field Tilt: 41 - 59

#KCBABY | #GothamFC | #KCvNJY
November 9, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Since the start of 2024, the Kansas City Current have only played four games where they generated less than 1.0 xG, a below-average shot total, and a below-average xG/Shot value.

The Current have won all four. Will today be the fifth?

#KCBABY | #KCvNJY | #NWSL
November 9, 2025 at 7:56 PM
An Ann-Katrin Berger howler sends the Kansas City Current and Gotham FC to extra time. Stats thru regulation.

Score: 1 - 1
xG: 0.8 - 0.6
xG/Shot: 0.08 - 0.06
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 2 - 0
Box Shots: 6 - 7
Field Tilt: 41 - 59

#KCBABY | #GothamFC | #KCvNJY | #NWSL
November 9, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
KC lost so much in their front line press with Chawinga and Cooper out (See: Debinha trying to do it herself in the first half). Wonder if the Current could have had a stronger midfield approach to offset Gotham’s high line
Never want to count out KC Current based on availability reports with the season the team put together, but they suffered a detrimental loss of a very special player ahead of this game that was key to success and yes I am absolutely talking about Michelle Cooper. #NWSLPlayoffs
November 9, 2025 at 7:36 PM
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
pretty confident in saying a goal like this hadn't happened to the current all season, sharples being caught out and shrugged off, lorena beaten from a wide angle. also, absurd entry pass to shaw from sonnett.
November 9, 2025 at 7:16 PM
November 9, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Gotham had the control in the first half, but it didn't lead to good chances. And for that, Kansas City can take some small comfort.

xG: 0.3 - 0.4
xG/Shot: 0.10 - 0.07
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 1 - 0
Box Shots: 2 - 3
Box Touches: 6 - 11
Field Tilt: 24 - 76

#KCBABY | #GothamFC | #NWSL | #KCvNJY
November 9, 2025 at 6:36 PM
best in the biz right here 👇
Greetings and salutations from a FROSTY CPKC Stadium! I am your @sheabutterfc.com correspondent for today’s NWSL quarterfinal playoff match between Gotham and Shield winners KC Current. This is the match day thread. Let’s get into it!!!
November 9, 2025 at 5:58 PM
The head-to-head breakdown in the two matches between the Kansas City Current and Gotham FC this season.

All of KC's Quality Chances were taken by Chawinga and Cooper.

#KCBABY | #GothamFC | #KCvNJY | #NWSL | #NWSLPlayoffs | #NWSLPostseason
November 9, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Three models with the final win probability for Kansas City Current - Gotham FC.

#NWSL | #NWSLPlayoffs | #NWSLPostseason | #GothamFC | #KCBABY | #KCvNJY
November 9, 2025 at 5:10 PM
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
g+ GameFlow: NWSL Playoffs Washington Spirit v Racing Louisville FC on November 08, 2025. #WASvLOU ⚽️🤖
November 8, 2025 at 11:44 PM
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
g+ GameFlow: NWSL Playoffs Orlando Pride v Seattle Reign on November 07, 2025. #ORLvRGN ⚽️🤖
November 8, 2025 at 11:44 PM
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
Washington Spirit: 1 (2.0 xG)
vs
Racing Louisville FC: 1 (1.94 xG)

#WASvLOU | #ThatsTheSpirit | #RacingLou | #NWSL | 🤖⚽
November 8, 2025 at 11:16 PM
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
Orlando Pride: 2 (1.17 xG)
vs
Seattle Reign FC: 0 (1.22 xG)

#ORLvSEA | #VamosPride | #HerefortheCrown | #NWSL | 🤖⚽
November 8, 2025 at 11:15 PM
In the end, the Washington Spirit probably did just enough across 120 minutes to deserve a victory, but another lights-out shootout display from Aubrey Kingsbury didn't hurt, either.

Score: 1 - 1 (aet) (3-1 pens)
xG: 2.0 - 1.9
xG/Shot: 0.10 - 0.07
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 6 - 4
Field Tilt: 73-27
November 8, 2025 at 8:34 PM
The career penalty save% leaderboard since 2011 (professional competitive matches, club + country, min. 15 saveable pens faced)
November 8, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Career saveable penalties faced in professional competitive games (club + country)

#NWSL | #WASvLOU | #NWSLPlayoffs | #NWSLPostseason
November 8, 2025 at 8:06 PM
The shadows likely played their part on the equalizer, but Racing Louisville have refused to go quietly to the Washington Spirit. Some stats at the end of regulation.

Score: 1 - 1
xG: 1.5 - 1.4
xG/Shot: 0.12 - 0.08
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 5 - 3
Box Shots: 9 - 14
Field Tilt: 75 - 25
November 8, 2025 at 7:18 PM
She's a gift!
November 8, 2025 at 6:52 PM
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
Attendance: 19,215. Third consecutive playoff sellout.
Second half underway.

Certainly the Spirit’s best home crowd this season. Beautiful day at Audi Field.
November 8, 2025 at 6:33 PM