Susanne Spector
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susannespector.bsky.social
Susanne Spector
@susannespector.bsky.social
Chief Economist at Danske Bank Sweden. Labour Econ PhD.
Reposted by Susanne Spector
🇺🇸 USA-börserna lockar igen, menar @aktierobban.bsky.social.
Mer i dagens Börsmorgon där vi också pratar räntebesked med Annika Winsth och @susannespector.bsky.social

#finanssky

Hela programmet:
PODD
podcasts.apple.com/se/podcast/e...

TV
di.se/ditv/borsmor...
March 20, 2025 at 11:09 AM
High unemployment out from Sweden this morning where the LFS unemployment unexpectedly rose to 9.7 percent.

A single month should always be interpreted with caution, but the overall picture is that individuals who exited the labour market during the autumn have now returned.
February 17, 2025 at 1:16 PM
Clearly higher than expected inflation out of Sweden this morning. Flash core inflation at 2.7 percent – much higher than consensus and the Riksbank’s view. We will have to wait for the details, but taken at first glance this number puts doubt on further cuts from the Riksbank.
February 6, 2025 at 9:12 AM
The Swedish housing market is picking up some momentum on the back of rate cuts. Prices are up, as well as transaction volumes. But the share of total supply of homes on the market that are sold are still low, which makes the upturn a bit shaky.
December 6, 2024 at 11:55 AM
Reposted by Susanne Spector
Really interesting piece from @kevinrinz.bsky.social trying to reconcile the various (and to some degree conflicting) signals being sent by quits, openings and hires right now. #EconSky
kevinrinz.substack.com/p/revisiting...
Revisiting a bad Beveridge curve take
And offering some hopefully better ones with medium confidence
kevinrinz.substack.com
November 21, 2024 at 4:05 PM
The Riksbank’s new assessment of the nominal neutral rate is an interval between 1.5 to 3 percent.

Full seminar (in Swedish): m.youtube.com/watch?v=5dn2...
Frukostseminarium om neutral ränta med vice riksbankschef Anna Seim
YouTube video by Sveriges riksbank
m.youtube.com
November 26, 2024 at 7:58 AM
Reposted by Susanne Spector
Since when did Black Friday last like a month? Tell me you have no pricing power anymore without...
November 25, 2024 at 10:49 PM
New vacancies typically lead
the labor market by 6 months. The fact that we do not yet see a clear turnaround in demand for labor suggests that forecasts of recovery early next year may be too optimistic.
November 25, 2024 at 11:52 AM
Despite the fact that the Riksbank has cut interest rates by 125 basis points this year, there are no signs that demand for labor is about to gear up.

The weekly statistics so far in November show that new job vacancies remain subdued.
November 18, 2024 at 12:12 PM
The Swedish labor market continued to weaken in October.

▫️Employment declined by 0.2% and the employment rate fell further
▫️ The unemployment rate also declined to 8.4% due to a drop in the labor force by 0.5% over the month
▫️ Weaker than forecast and underscores the risks to the expected recovery
November 15, 2024 at 10:46 AM