Stefan Schandelmaier
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sschandelmaier.bsky.social
Stefan Schandelmaier
@sschandelmaier.bsky.social

Health research methodologist, methods guidance & implementation, meta-science.
www.LIGHTS.science
@lightsdatabase.bsky.social
www.ICEMAN.help
@clinepi-basel.bsky.social

Mathematics 33%
Economics 25%
Pinned
I’m thrilled that leading research groups now recommend our #ICEMANtool to evaluate possible subgroup effects:
#Cochrane in their handbook Chapter 10.6
#GRADE in their guidance No. 36
Germany's #IQWIG in their general methods
www.iceman.help
www.cmaj.ca/content/192/...
ICEMAN
Welcome to the web pages for ICEMAN! ICEMAN is an instrument to help researchers identify credible effect modification (also called subgroup effect, statistical interaction, moderation, or heterogenei...
www.iceman.help
J Clin EPi @jclinepi.bsky.social has a unique focus on meta-research. I've co-led a November editorial reflecting on the variety its content, and how an even richer balance might be achieved. Methodologists assemble! www.jclinepi.com/article/S089... @davidit.bsky.social @andreatricco.bsky.social
What advice can we offer to authors? Reflections from the statisticians’ bench
What are the statistical issues on which the Journal of Clinical Epidemiology editorial team should be offering advice to authors? Lists of statistical bugbears and elephant traps in health research r...
www.jclinepi.com
With over 96% of global trial data on this topic included, this #IPDMA, published in @lancetrespirmed.bsky.social and initiated by #EU-RESPONSE, provides the most comprehensive analysis for JAK inhibitors for adults hospitalized due to #COVID19.

Full article: www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
Effects of Janus kinase inhibitors in adults admitted to hospital due to COVID-19: a systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis of randomised clinical trials
This IPDMA of RCTs in adults admitted to hospital due to COVID-19 found that JAK inhibitors reduced mortality across all levels of respiratory support, independent of dexamethasone or tocilizumab, and...
www.thelancet.com

Ian Fleming's original James Bond novels haven't aged well. For example, Moonraker - published almost exactly 70 years ago in April 1955 - features a villain who's a super-rich industrialist and rocket-maker seeking to cause chaos because he's a secret Nazi. Such a silly idea!
a man with a beard is sitting in a room with a harp in the background
ALT: a man with a beard is sitting in a room with a harp in the background
media.tenor.com
Hi @bmj.com
Can you add a Bluesky share button instead of the X button you have please?
Time to evict AirBnB from your life, if you have't already.
Airbnb’s co-founder is joining Elon Musk’s DOGE
Gebbia, a close friend of Musk, has praised DOGE’s work and defended it against criticisms on social media
www.independent.co.uk
Have you checked our risk-stratified #RapidRecs on #PCSK9 inhibitors and #ezetimibe for the reduction of cardiovascular events ?
@magicevidence.bsky.social @bmj.com
-->https://www.bmj.com/content/377/bmj-2021-069066
The risks of backing scattered islands of sensible points in a sea of nonsense: kucharski.substack.com/p/islands-of...

So true!
I just saw this elsewhere and it made me think of our discussion here:
I just saw this elsewhere and it made me think of our discussion here:

A better statistic might be the prediction interval but in my view the community needs to develop more experience with it before we can use it to confidentially judge relevance of heterogeneity (if ever). And unfortunately it does not work very well in a meta-analysis with only a few studies

True. But what else can we do? A paper in the new Core GRADE series (currently under revision in the BMJ) offers a practical solution based on visual inspection of both overlap of confidence intervals (similar to I2) but also where point estimates lie in relation to a relevance threshold.
Happy New Year! I wrote a list of numerical coincidences involving 2025, see if you spot something fun!

#MathsSky #MathSky #MathsToday #MathChat
Numerical coincidences for 2025
There seem to be a lot of numerical coincidences bouncing around concerning the new year 2025. For example, it’s a square number: \( 2025 = 45^2 \). The last square year was \(44^2 = 1936\), …
aperiodical.com

Ever wonder about the basis for fear-mongering & conspiracy theories about mRNA vax? Wish you had a place to go when someone cites "proof"?

I've got you covered! In my latest @plos.org I buckle up for the waves of anti-vax muck likely to come in 2025. 1/2

absolutelymaybe.plos.org/2024/12/28/g...
Getting Ready for More mRNA Vaccine Fear-Mongering: A Compendium - Absolutely Maybe
Recently, I wrote about a depressingly successful campaign against the introduction of a next generation Covid vaccine in Japan. It is a…
absolutelymaybe.plos.org
Vaccines stopped polio.
1/ Excited to share thoughts on two excellent blog posts about clinical trials! First up: "The Case for Clinical Trial Abundance" by @ruxandrabio.bsky.social and Willy Chertman . They argue we need more clinical trials & that bureaucracy hampers faster progress. A sentiment I fully share!
The case for clinical trial abundance
A supply-side reform agenda for one of our most urgent problems
www.slowboring.com

Methods guidance is evolving. Here the authors chose to provide explicit recommendations both in favor but also agains certain methods. I think that that’s the way forward!
Very nice summary recommendations on how to evaluate a prediction model from a group of top researchers in the field.

Great! Will include it in @lightsdatabase.bsky.social
Very nice summary recommendations on how to evaluate a prediction model from a group of top researchers in the field.
Does #randomization ensures balance of risk factors between groups? Consider this:

In Denmark 860 individuals were randomly allocated to either intervention or control. Individuals were unaware of their allocation. No intervention took place. Mortality was higher in the intervention group (p=0.003)
Launching this week, MetaROR will be a free, open platform where anyone working with metaresearch can share their work and receive transparent, open peer reviews.

Join us at one of our launch events to find out more: researchonresearch.org/metaror-laun...
"We need to get [scientists] to realise that history and philosophy of science has much to contribute to science itself"

A highly quotable episode with Editor-in-Chief of Science @holdenthorp.bsky.social

Out on @hpspodcast.bsky.social now!

#hps #philsci #histsci #sts🧪
S4 Ep 9 - Holden Thorp on 'Teach History and Philosophy of Science' - The HPS Podcast - Conversations from History, Philosophy and Social Studies of Science
“This is Holden Thorp. I'm the Editor in Chief of Science and thanks to Sam and Carmelina for all they're doing to get the word out about the history and philosophy of science”Today's guest is Holden ...
thehpspodcast.buzzsprout.com
Quincy Jones, producer and entertainment powerhouse, dies aged 91
Quincy Jones, producer and entertainment powerhouse, dies aged 91
Widely and wildly talented musician and industry mogul worked with Michael Jackson, Frank Sinatra, Will Smith and others
www.theguardian.com

Hi qualitative researchers!

For my teaching, I was searching for something like PICO for qualitative. I found SPIDER and like it! pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22829486/

Is anybody aware of any other scheme for systematic question / problem / objective formulation in a qualitative study?
For patient-focused research, there are very few useful research aims, and none of them are "identifying risk factors.”

Seriously! 😜

(ICYMI)

statsepi.substack.com/p/sorry-what...
Sorry, what was the question again?
And again. And again. And again...
statsepi.substack.com

Did you just present new #TrialsMethodology guidance at #ICTMC2024? Have a look at our new database and check whether it is already in it. If not, send it along!
lights.science
Homepage - LIGHTS
The Library of Guidance for Health Scientists. A living database for methods guidance.
lights.science