Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
@redrabbleroz.bsky.social
Policy & Research, @cpsu.org.au | Research Fellow, @percapitaaustralia.bsky.social | On the left-wing of the possible | Views are my own🌹✊
https://linktr.ee/ochiu
https://linktr.ee/ochiu
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
#FoxHedgehog SA (state) 61-39 to ALP (63-37 vs ON)
ALP 40 Lib 19 ON 20 Green 12 Other 9
First SA poll of the election leadup and if anything even worse for Liberals in seat outlook terms.
www.foxhedgehog.com.au/news-den/the... #saparli
ALP 40 Lib 19 ON 20 Green 12 Other 9
First SA poll of the election leadup and if anything even worse for Liberals in seat outlook terms.
www.foxhedgehog.com.au/news-den/the... #saparli
The Advertiser - February 2026 - South Australian Election Poll — Fox & Hedgehog
The first South Australian election poll of 2026, published exclusively in The Advertiser shows Peter Malinauskas remains on the ascendancy in South Australia, while One Nation has overtaken the Libe...
www.foxhedgehog.com.au
February 9, 2026 at 11:29 PM
#FoxHedgehog SA (state) 61-39 to ALP (63-37 vs ON)
ALP 40 Lib 19 ON 20 Green 12 Other 9
First SA poll of the election leadup and if anything even worse for Liberals in seat outlook terms.
www.foxhedgehog.com.au/news-den/the... #saparli
ALP 40 Lib 19 ON 20 Green 12 Other 9
First SA poll of the election leadup and if anything even worse for Liberals in seat outlook terms.
www.foxhedgehog.com.au/news-den/the... #saparli
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
Those respondent preferences might be taken as implying an ALP/ON overall split somewhere in the ballpark of 57-43 but possibly the Liberal dunnos would be more of the HTV-card following variety which would pull it back somewhat. If that is the Liberals recommended prefs to ON.
February 10, 2026 at 12:12 AM
Those respondent preferences might be taken as implying an ALP/ON overall split somewhere in the ballpark of 57-43 but possibly the Liberal dunnos would be more of the HTV-card following variety which would pull it back somewhat. If that is the Liberals recommended prefs to ON.
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
#Newspoll: Liberal and other voter preferences to keep Pauline Hanson’s One Nation at bay
One Nation would have received just 29 per cent of preferences from Coalition, Greens and independent voters if an election was held last week.
www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/polit... ($) #auspol
One Nation would have received just 29 per cent of preferences from Coalition, Greens and independent voters if an election was held last week.
www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/polit... ($) #auspol
February 10, 2026 at 12:16 AM
#Newspoll: Liberal and other voter preferences to keep Pauline Hanson’s One Nation at bay
One Nation would have received just 29 per cent of preferences from Coalition, Greens and independent voters if an election was held last week.
www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/polit... ($) #auspol
One Nation would have received just 29 per cent of preferences from Coalition, Greens and independent voters if an election was held last week.
www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/polit... ($) #auspol
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
💷 Why do the costs of health, education & care services seem to rise relentlessly?
In our latest blog we turn to William Baumol to explain why it pays to be cautious about rapid productivity growth/lower costs in people driven services.
@stephenboydippr.bsky.social🖊️
www.ippr.org/articles/ret...
In our latest blog we turn to William Baumol to explain why it pays to be cautious about rapid productivity growth/lower costs in people driven services.
@stephenboydippr.bsky.social🖊️
www.ippr.org/articles/ret...
Rethinking public sector productivity | IPPR
The Spending Review published alongside the 2026-27 Budget commits the Scottish government to a programme of reform ‘designed to protect frontline services
www.ippr.org
February 5, 2026 at 11:09 AM
💷 Why do the costs of health, education & care services seem to rise relentlessly?
In our latest blog we turn to William Baumol to explain why it pays to be cautious about rapid productivity growth/lower costs in people driven services.
@stephenboydippr.bsky.social🖊️
www.ippr.org/articles/ret...
In our latest blog we turn to William Baumol to explain why it pays to be cautious about rapid productivity growth/lower costs in people driven services.
@stephenboydippr.bsky.social🖊️
www.ippr.org/articles/ret...
Americans really don't get the fundamental nature of political parties is different in the USA. It's not about ideology or voting systems, it's that political parties are quasi-public institutions, highly regulated by the state instead of private associations that can exclude people from membership
The parties that have dominated European politics for decades are collapsing. Does the same fate await the Democrats and the GOP?, wonders columnist Ed Kilgore.
How Political Parties Die
The parties that have dominated European politics for decades are collapsing. Does the same fate await the Democrats and the GOP?, wonders columnist Ed Kilgore.
nymag.com
February 9, 2026 at 4:35 AM
Americans really don't get the fundamental nature of political parties is different in the USA. It's not about ideology or voting systems, it's that political parties are quasi-public institutions, highly regulated by the state instead of private associations that can exclude people from membership
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
#Newspoll federal poll. Here is the table graphic as it appears on page 4 of The Australian, 9 February 2026, including voting, leader approval ratings, and better Prime Minister. For this poll, unlike the previous polls, no TPP is given. The poll was of 1234 voters, taken 4 to 7 Feb. #auspol
February 9, 2026 at 12:26 AM
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
Hanson says the supposed anti-duopoly party One Nation would give supply to the ex-Coalition to assist it to govern. www.skynews.com.au/opinion/chri...
No Cookies | Sky News Australia
SkyNews.com.au — Australian News Headlines & World News Online from the best award winning journalists
www.skynews.com.au
February 4, 2026 at 11:02 PM
Hanson says the supposed anti-duopoly party One Nation would give supply to the ex-Coalition to assist it to govern. www.skynews.com.au/opinion/chri...
From afar, you really have to wonder if Keir Starmer is British Labour’s version of François Hollande
February 4, 2026 at 10:35 PM
From afar, you really have to wonder if Keir Starmer is British Labour’s version of François Hollande
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
Interesting arguments but I think the #auspol analysis falls short on a number of fronts & relies too much on a belief that a muscular subtropical Corbynism will somehow win over One Nation voters
Two good pieces on the Aus Greens and how they should be pushing way harder towards seizing on public discontent with elites right now
www.jonathansri.com/greensdeadend/
www.deepcutnews.com/p/the-greens...
www.jonathansri.com/greensdeadend/
www.deepcutnews.com/p/the-greens...
February 4, 2026 at 8:07 AM
Interesting arguments but I think the #auspol analysis falls short on a number of fronts & relies too much on a belief that a muscular subtropical Corbynism will somehow win over One Nation voters
Interesting arguments but I think the #auspol analysis falls short on a number of fronts & relies too much on a belief that a muscular subtropical Corbynism will somehow win over One Nation voters
Two good pieces on the Aus Greens and how they should be pushing way harder towards seizing on public discontent with elites right now
www.jonathansri.com/greensdeadend/
www.deepcutnews.com/p/the-greens...
www.jonathansri.com/greensdeadend/
www.deepcutnews.com/p/the-greens...
February 4, 2026 at 8:07 AM
Interesting arguments but I think the #auspol analysis falls short on a number of fronts & relies too much on a belief that a muscular subtropical Corbynism will somehow win over One Nation voters
Really weird Robin Archer’s excellent book on this question does not even get a mention in this @jacobinmag.bsky.social interview when most of the points come straight from it. Also the divergence with Canada in the 1930s after the CCF forms doesn’t get a mention jacobin.com/2026/02/labo...
Why America Never Got a Labor Party
In Europe, labor unions and socialist parties marched together and won massive reforms. In the United States, they were divided. Vivek Chibber explains how that split still shapes US politics today.
jacobin.com
February 3, 2026 at 2:27 AM
Really weird Robin Archer’s excellent book on this question does not even get a mention in this @jacobinmag.bsky.social interview when most of the points come straight from it. Also the divergence with Canada in the 1930s after the CCF forms doesn’t get a mention jacobin.com/2026/02/labo...
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
This year, 680 Australians were recognised in the Order of Australia Honours List.
Notably, only 27% of recipients were women. However, what has received far less attention is the lack of cultural diversity within the list.
Per Capita explores this disparity in their new paper:
Notably, only 27% of recipients were women. However, what has received far less attention is the lack of cultural diversity within the list.
Per Capita explores this disparity in their new paper:
Australia Day 2026 Honours List Analysis - Per Capita
This document analyses the cultural composition of recipients in the 2026 Order of Australia Honours List.
percapita.org.au
February 2, 2026 at 10:55 PM
This year, 680 Australians were recognised in the Order of Australia Honours List.
Notably, only 27% of recipients were women. However, what has received far less attention is the lack of cultural diversity within the list.
Per Capita explores this disparity in their new paper:
Notably, only 27% of recipients were women. However, what has received far less attention is the lack of cultural diversity within the list.
Per Capita explores this disparity in their new paper:
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
Pedro Sánchez: Europe’s left-wing icon
Spain’s prime minister on how progressive politics can win on its own terms
By Adam Rasmi
Spain’s prime minister on how progressive politics can win on its own terms
By Adam Rasmi
Pedro Sánchez: Europe’s left-wing icon
Spain’s prime minister on how progressive politics can win on its own terms
www.newstatesman.com
February 1, 2026 at 8:02 AM
Pedro Sánchez: Europe’s left-wing icon
Spain’s prime minister on how progressive politics can win on its own terms
By Adam Rasmi
Spain’s prime minister on how progressive politics can win on its own terms
By Adam Rasmi
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
Steve Bannon interfered in the 2019 Australian federal election, as part of a global effort to stifle climate action.
He should face investigation under Australia’s foreign interference laws.
#auspol
www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
He should face investigation under Australia’s foreign interference laws.
#auspol
www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
‘I had Clive Palmer do the … ads’: Trump lieutenant’s Australian election claim revealed in Epstein files
Trump ally Steve Bannon told paedophile Jeffrey Epstein in 2019 he had influenced an omnipresent election advertising campaign by the mining billionaire.
www.smh.com.au
February 1, 2026 at 7:34 AM
Steve Bannon interfered in the 2019 Australian federal election, as part of a global effort to stifle climate action.
He should face investigation under Australia’s foreign interference laws.
#auspol
www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
He should face investigation under Australia’s foreign interference laws.
#auspol
www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
#Redbridge/Accent fed poll in the AFR
Libs, Nats in freefall while Hanson surges: Poll
TPP: ALP 56 (0) L/NP 44 (0)
Primaries: ALP 34 (-1) L/NP 19 (-7) ON 26 (+9) GRN 11 (-2) OTH 10 (+1)
www.afr.com/politics/fed... ($) #auspol
archive version: archive.is/0xdkl
Libs, Nats in freefall while Hanson surges: Poll
TPP: ALP 56 (0) L/NP 44 (0)
Primaries: ALP 34 (-1) L/NP 19 (-7) ON 26 (+9) GRN 11 (-2) OTH 10 (+1)
www.afr.com/politics/fed... ($) #auspol
archive version: archive.is/0xdkl
February 1, 2026 at 7:42 AM
#Redbridge/Accent fed poll in the AFR
Libs, Nats in freefall while Hanson surges: Poll
TPP: ALP 56 (0) L/NP 44 (0)
Primaries: ALP 34 (-1) L/NP 19 (-7) ON 26 (+9) GRN 11 (-2) OTH 10 (+1)
www.afr.com/politics/fed... ($) #auspol
archive version: archive.is/0xdkl
Libs, Nats in freefall while Hanson surges: Poll
TPP: ALP 56 (0) L/NP 44 (0)
Primaries: ALP 34 (-1) L/NP 19 (-7) ON 26 (+9) GRN 11 (-2) OTH 10 (+1)
www.afr.com/politics/fed... ($) #auspol
archive version: archive.is/0xdkl
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
A pattern is emerging: a controversial announcement is made that catapults the NT chief minister and her government into national headlines, which gloss over policy details that make the change more limited or ambiguous than it first appears.
www.abc.net.au/news/2026-02... #ntpol #auspol
www.abc.net.au/news/2026-02... #ntpol #auspol
NT schools already sing the national anthem. So why mandate it?
The NT government's national anthem mandate in public schools made headlines this week — but little will be changing on the ground.
www.abc.net.au
February 1, 2026 at 2:22 AM
A pattern is emerging: a controversial announcement is made that catapults the NT chief minister and her government into national headlines, which gloss over policy details that make the change more limited or ambiguous than it first appears.
www.abc.net.au/news/2026-02... #ntpol #auspol
www.abc.net.au/news/2026-02... #ntpol #auspol
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
NDIS workers are being stalked, harassed and assaulted while ‘urgent’ safety reforms take three years to enact
NDIS workers are being stalked, harassed and assaulted while ‘urgent’ safety reforms take three years to enact
Agency does not plan to fully implement recommended safety measures until 2027, despite reports of hundreds of security incidents
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In the years he has worked for the National Disability Insurance Agency, Lawrence (not his real name) has narrowly escaped violence on multiple occasions.
He managed to avoid being beaten up at a hospital, was present when an angry NDIS participant threw a table through a glass window at a service centre, and witnessed another participant try to smash glass and run over staff in their power wheelchair. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com
January 31, 2026 at 7:04 PM
NDIS workers are being stalked, harassed and assaulted while ‘urgent’ safety reforms take three years to enact
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
Your regular reminder that #LunarNewYear is a public holiday in parts of Australia - on Christmas Island they get two days for it.
Wouldn’t it be nice if it was emulated across the country?
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne... #auspol
Wouldn’t it be nice if it was emulated across the country?
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne... #auspol
Extra public holiday for NSW under consideration as Anzac Day falls on weekend, premier says
State government in talks with RSL to ensure the creation of long weekend doesn’t detract from national day of remembrance
www.theguardian.com
January 29, 2026 at 4:21 AM
Your regular reminder that #LunarNewYear is a public holiday in parts of Australia - on Christmas Island they get two days for it.
Wouldn’t it be nice if it was emulated across the country?
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne... #auspol
Wouldn’t it be nice if it was emulated across the country?
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne... #auspol
Your regular reminder that #LunarNewYear is a public holiday in parts of Australia - on Christmas Island they get two days for it.
Wouldn’t it be nice if it was emulated across the country?
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne... #auspol
Wouldn’t it be nice if it was emulated across the country?
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne... #auspol
Extra public holiday for NSW under consideration as Anzac Day falls on weekend, premier says
State government in talks with RSL to ensure the creation of long weekend doesn’t detract from national day of remembrance
www.theguardian.com
January 29, 2026 at 4:21 AM
Your regular reminder that #LunarNewYear is a public holiday in parts of Australia - on Christmas Island they get two days for it.
Wouldn’t it be nice if it was emulated across the country?
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne... #auspol
Wouldn’t it be nice if it was emulated across the country?
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne... #auspol
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
Not only should NSW get a replacement holiday for ANZAC Day when it falls on a weekend but it should also get additional permanent public holidays as it is the jurisdiction with the least number of public holidays in Australia www.news.com.au/national/nsw... #nswpol #auspol
www.news.com.au
January 29, 2026 at 1:09 AM
Not only should NSW get a replacement holiday for ANZAC Day when it falls on a weekend but it should also get additional permanent public holidays as it is the jurisdiction with the least number of public holidays in Australia www.news.com.au/national/nsw... #nswpol #auspol
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
I enjoyed writing this in the great new issue of Renewal. It's an effort to think through how fighting the far right should be integrated with campaigns for economic alternatives in a "postneoliberal" context
FREE TO READ: Neil Warner (@neilwarner.bsky.social) argues social democrats must connect the far-right threat to authoritarianism already present within neoliberalism, and calls for a cross-scale anti-authoritarian agenda to counter concentrations of both political economic power
Anti-oligarchy as anti-fascism
03 Renewal 33.3-33.4_Warner03 Renewal 33.3-33.4_Warner.pdf95 KBdownload-circle
Progressive responses to the rise of the far right have often been confused due to a tendency to overemphasise its dis...
renewal.org.uk
January 27, 2026 at 4:55 PM
I enjoyed writing this in the great new issue of Renewal. It's an effort to think through how fighting the far right should be integrated with campaigns for economic alternatives in a "postneoliberal" context
Not only should NSW get a replacement holiday for ANZAC Day when it falls on a weekend but it should also get additional permanent public holidays as it is the jurisdiction with the least number of public holidays in Australia www.news.com.au/national/nsw... #nswpol #auspol
www.news.com.au
January 29, 2026 at 1:09 AM
Not only should NSW get a replacement holiday for ANZAC Day when it falls on a weekend but it should also get additional permanent public holidays as it is the jurisdiction with the least number of public holidays in Australia www.news.com.au/national/nsw... #nswpol #auspol
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
Much of this argument is equally applicable to Australia & #auspol
New substack: the Tories can have a viable economic policy, or they can cultivate the traditional class base of conservatism, but they cannot do both. chrisdillow.substack.com/p/the-death-...
The death of the centre-right
Liberal conservatism has been killed by the economic system it supported.
chrisdillow.substack.com
January 28, 2026 at 10:02 AM
Much of this argument is equally applicable to Australia & #auspol
Reposted by Osmond Chiu (赵明佑)
January 28, 2026 at 12:12 PM