Rafael Loss
@rafaelloss.bsky.social
policy fellow @ecfr.eu berlin | defence, nukes and nato | prev cgsr llnl | he/him
latest 👉 https://ecfr.eu/article/look-what-you-made-us-do-how-to-realise-a-european-led-nato/
latest 👉 https://ecfr.eu/article/look-what-you-made-us-do-how-to-realise-a-european-led-nato/
Vibing from Husum back to Berlin mit 71 Minuten Verspätung 🚅
November 8, 2025 at 8:27 PM
Vibing from Husum back to Berlin mit 71 Minuten Verspätung 🚅
Reposted by Rafael Loss
"To keep the alliance credible and united, Europeans not only need to spend more—they need to learn to lead" ecfr.eu/article/look...
Look what you made us do: How to realise a European-led NATO
America’s gradual retreat from European security under the current Trump administration is reshaping NATO’s centre of gravity. To keep the alliance credible and united, Europeans not only need to…
ecfr.eu
November 3, 2025 at 5:06 PM
"To keep the alliance credible and united, Europeans not only need to spend more—they need to learn to lead" ecfr.eu/article/look...
Reposted by Rafael Loss
Thoughtful piece. And a clever wheeze re using Hegseth's cull of 4-star positions to europeanise NATO's chain of command
Look what you made us do: How to realise a European-led NATO: ecfr.eu/article/look...
Look what you made us do: How to realise a European-led NATO
America’s gradual retreat from European security under the current Trump administration is reshaping NATO’s centre of gravity. To keep the alliance credible and united, Europeans not only need to…
ecfr.eu
October 31, 2025 at 8:25 AM
Thoughtful piece. And a clever wheeze re using Hegseth's cull of 4-star positions to europeanise NATO's chain of command
Reuters: "A military source said a [ground-launched] 9M729 fired by Russia on October 5 flew over 1,200 km to its impact in Ukraine."
Exclusive: Russia uses missile in Ukraine that led Trump to quit nuclear treaty [in 2019], Kyiv says www.reuters.com/business/aer...
Exclusive: Russia uses missile in Ukraine that led Trump to quit nuclear treaty [in 2019], Kyiv says www.reuters.com/business/aer...
www.reuters.com
October 31, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Reuters: "A military source said a [ground-launched] 9M729 fired by Russia on October 5 flew over 1,200 km to its impact in Ukraine."
Exclusive: Russia uses missile in Ukraine that led Trump to quit nuclear treaty [in 2019], Kyiv says www.reuters.com/business/aer...
Exclusive: Russia uses missile in Ukraine that led Trump to quit nuclear treaty [in 2019], Kyiv says www.reuters.com/business/aer...
Reposted by Rafael Loss
Look what you made us do: How to realise a European-led NATO: ecfr.eu/article/look...
Look what you made us do: How to realise a European-led NATO
America’s gradual retreat from European security under the current Trump administration is reshaping NATO’s centre of gravity. To keep the alliance credible and united, Europeans not only need to…
ecfr.eu
October 31, 2025 at 7:32 AM
Look what you made us do: How to realise a European-led NATO: ecfr.eu/article/look...
It should be JFC Naples rather than MARCOM. We’ll correct the error.
"They (The Europeans) should propose a Europeanisation of #NATO’s command structure, appointing European four-star officers to lead the NATO air, land and maritime commands, with US three-stars serving as their deputies to ensure continued integration."
The most effective deterrent to Russian aggression? According to Pete Hegseth: "a lethal, capable and European-led NATO."
My co-authors—Leoni Habedank and Katrine Westgaard—and I spell out what it takes to make NATO, its structures and its forces mostly European: ecfr.eu/article/look... @ecfr.eu
My co-authors—Leoni Habedank and Katrine Westgaard—and I spell out what it takes to make NATO, its structures and its forces mostly European: ecfr.eu/article/look... @ecfr.eu
October 30, 2025 at 9:28 PM
It should be JFC Naples rather than MARCOM. We’ll correct the error.
The most effective deterrent to Russian aggression? According to Pete Hegseth: "a lethal, capable and European-led NATO."
My co-authors—Leoni Habedank and Katrine Westgaard—and I spell out what it takes to make NATO, its structures and its forces mostly European: ecfr.eu/article/look... @ecfr.eu
My co-authors—Leoni Habedank and Katrine Westgaard—and I spell out what it takes to make NATO, its structures and its forces mostly European: ecfr.eu/article/look... @ecfr.eu
Look what you made us do: How to realise a European-led NATO
America’s gradual retreat from European security under the current Trump administration is reshaping NATO’s centre of gravity. To keep the alliance credible and united, Europeans not only need to…
ecfr.eu
October 30, 2025 at 5:02 PM
The most effective deterrent to Russian aggression? According to Pete Hegseth: "a lethal, capable and European-led NATO."
My co-authors—Leoni Habedank and Katrine Westgaard—and I spell out what it takes to make NATO, its structures and its forces mostly European: ecfr.eu/article/look... @ecfr.eu
My co-authors—Leoni Habedank and Katrine Westgaard—and I spell out what it takes to make NATO, its structures and its forces mostly European: ecfr.eu/article/look... @ecfr.eu
Reposted by Rafael Loss
yeeting this section at the Army procurement office
October 28, 2025 at 7:44 PM
yeeting this section at the Army procurement office
"The Bundeswehr plans to buy 400 Tomahawk Block Vb cruise missiles for roughly €1.15 billion, along with three Lockheed Martin Typhon launchers valued at €220 million — a combination that would give Germany a 2,000-kilometer strike reach." www.politico.eu/article/germ...
h/t @bjoernm.bsky.social
h/t @bjoernm.bsky.social
October 27, 2025 at 8:31 AM
"The Bundeswehr plans to buy 400 Tomahawk Block Vb cruise missiles for roughly €1.15 billion, along with three Lockheed Martin Typhon launchers valued at €220 million — a combination that would give Germany a 2,000-kilometer strike reach." www.politico.eu/article/germ...
h/t @bjoernm.bsky.social
h/t @bjoernm.bsky.social
Gerald Ford's last deployment to the EUCOM area of responsibility in 2023 was interrupted by Hamas's 7 October attack and Ford's subsequent redeployment to the Eastern Mediterranean Sea, with several of its escort ships continuing on into the Red Sea. www.navytimes.com/news/your-na...
October 24, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Gerald Ford's last deployment to the EUCOM area of responsibility in 2023 was interrupted by Hamas's 7 October attack and Ford's subsequent redeployment to the Eastern Mediterranean Sea, with several of its escort ships continuing on into the Red Sea. www.navytimes.com/news/your-na...
Reposted by Rafael Loss
US offers nuclear energy companies access to weapons-grade plutonium in bid to boost nucelar revival, ignoring concerns over proliferation risks on.ft.com/4qnLRx4 @financialtimes.com
US offers nuclear energy companies access to weapons-grade plutonium
[FREE TO READ] Expert warns commercial use of the radioactive material from cold war-era warheads carries safety risks
on.ft.com
October 21, 2025 at 9:50 PM
US offers nuclear energy companies access to weapons-grade plutonium in bid to boost nucelar revival, ignoring concerns over proliferation risks on.ft.com/4qnLRx4 @financialtimes.com
Reposted by Rafael Loss
“The British plan for mass casualty outcomes appears to be based on not taking casualties. This could be considered an optimistic planning assumption.”
I suspect of relevance for most European nations. Are we prepared for a long war?
www.rusi.org/explore-our-...
I suspect of relevance for most European nations. Are we prepared for a long war?
www.rusi.org/explore-our-...
The Long War: Fighting Beyond the First Battle
It is irresponsible to conceal the prospect of war from a population you will call on for second and third echelon reinforcements, for whom survival hinges on preparation.
www.rusi.org
October 21, 2025 at 10:25 PM
“The British plan for mass casualty outcomes appears to be based on not taking casualties. This could be considered an optimistic planning assumption.”
I suspect of relevance for most European nations. Are we prepared for a long war?
www.rusi.org/explore-our-...
I suspect of relevance for most European nations. Are we prepared for a long war?
www.rusi.org/explore-our-...
ICYMI, two sharp pieces on Russia's military reconstitution
"How Russia Recovered" by @massdara.bsky.social www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/how-r...
"Down but Not Out?" by Diego Ruiz Palmer csds.vub.be/publication/...
"How Russia Recovered" by @massdara.bsky.social www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/how-r...
"Down but Not Out?" by Diego Ruiz Palmer csds.vub.be/publication/...
October 20, 2025 at 12:21 PM
ICYMI, two sharp pieces on Russia's military reconstitution
"How Russia Recovered" by @massdara.bsky.social www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/how-r...
"Down but Not Out?" by Diego Ruiz Palmer csds.vub.be/publication/...
"How Russia Recovered" by @massdara.bsky.social www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/how-r...
"Down but Not Out?" by Diego Ruiz Palmer csds.vub.be/publication/...
"The very long range (2000km+) Deep Precision Strike programme launched between UK and Germany is an example with opportunities for wider European participation under ELSA" – not in opposition to it. questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-ques...
October 20, 2025 at 10:18 AM
"The very long range (2000km+) Deep Precision Strike programme launched between UK and Germany is an example with opportunities for wider European participation under ELSA" – not in opposition to it. questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-ques...
Reposted by Rafael Loss
Go read my latest study “When Your Ally Turns Narcissistic: A Self-Help Manual for Europe Navigating Transatlantic Relations” 📚📖 if @bressansar.bsky.social is referencing it, it must be worth your time
Fits Trump’s narcissistic policy patterns (internationally and domestically) - and adequate response strategies (including unity and resolve), grounded in psychology and applied to the administration-level @sofielillistoffel.bsky.social : gppi.net/2025/10/12/w...
When Your Ally Turns Narcissistic: A Self-Help Manual for Europe Navigating Transatlantic Relations
This study applies insights from psychological research on narcissism to offer a new approach to understanding — and countering — the unprecedented way the US currently wields power vis-à-vis its alli...
gppi.net
October 17, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Go read my latest study “When Your Ally Turns Narcissistic: A Self-Help Manual for Europe Navigating Transatlantic Relations” 📚📖 if @bressansar.bsky.social is referencing it, it must be worth your time
Reposted by Rafael Loss
Looking for a late-Friday read featuring airspace incursions, political warfare, operational intelligence, cost-imposition,… and maritime strategy?
I got u fam.
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions ecfr.eu/article/flau... @ecfr.eu
I got u fam.
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions ecfr.eu/article/flau... @ecfr.eu
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals…
ecfr.eu
September 26, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Looking for a late-Friday read featuring airspace incursions, political warfare, operational intelligence, cost-imposition,… and maritime strategy?
I got u fam.
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions ecfr.eu/article/flau... @ecfr.eu
I got u fam.
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions ecfr.eu/article/flau... @ecfr.eu
Reposted by Rafael Loss
Exclusive: Kawasaki in talks to develop Taurus missile engines, sources say reut.rs/3Wd1RnJ
Exclusive: Kawasaki in talks to develop Taurus missile engines, sources say
Japan's Kawasaki Heavy Industries is in talks to co-develop new engines for Germany's Taurus cruise missiles, two sources familiar with the matter said, another potentially significant step in Tokyo's retreat from decades of pacifism.
reut.rs
October 17, 2025 at 5:45 AM
Exclusive: Kawasaki in talks to develop Taurus missile engines, sources say reut.rs/3Wd1RnJ
Reposted by Rafael Loss
Come work with me! German is a must, international security geekyness too. Everything else is a bonus 😇.
📢 Zum 01.01.2026 suchen wir zwei Wissenschaftler:innen für das vom BMVg geförderte Forschungsprojekt
„Rückkehr des militärischen Wettbewerbs – Deutschlands Sicherheit zwischen russischer Bedrohung und transatlantischer Ungewissheit“
🕒Vollzeit | befristet bis 31.12.2027
💼E 14 TVöD
📅Frist: 01.11.2025
„Rückkehr des militärischen Wettbewerbs – Deutschlands Sicherheit zwischen russischer Bedrohung und transatlantischer Ungewissheit“
🕒Vollzeit | befristet bis 31.12.2027
💼E 14 TVöD
📅Frist: 01.11.2025
Wissenschaftler:innen (d/m/w)
Wir suchen zum 1. Januar 2026 zweiWissenschaftler:innen (d/m/w)für das vom BMVg geförderte Forschungsprojekt »Die Rückkehr des militärischen...
www.swp-berlin.org
October 14, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Come work with me! German is a must, international security geekyness too. Everything else is a bonus 😇.
Reposted by Rafael Loss
🇫🇷 Two women will lead defense policy in the new government: Catherine Vautrin as armed forces minister and Alice Rufo as her deputy.
October 12, 2025 at 8:34 PM
🇫🇷 Two women will lead defense policy in the new government: Catherine Vautrin as armed forces minister and Alice Rufo as her deputy.
Reposted by Rafael Loss
A reminder that October is the month for annual nuclear exercises, both Russian and NATOs. On schedule = good.
This is normal and does not directly reflect tensions. Don't buy into fear mongering.
When Grom gets postponed, that's the time to get suspicious.
This is normal and does not directly reflect tensions. Don't buy into fear mongering.
When Grom gets postponed, that's the time to get suspicious.
Looks like we have the first indicator for Grom, between the 20th and 24th.
This PRIP is consistent with SS-N-23 from the Barents Sea to Kura.
H/T La_souris_DA on the other site.
This PRIP is consistent with SS-N-23 from the Barents Sea to Kura.
H/T La_souris_DA on the other site.
October 11, 2025 at 11:24 AM
A reminder that October is the month for annual nuclear exercises, both Russian and NATOs. On schedule = good.
This is normal and does not directly reflect tensions. Don't buy into fear mongering.
When Grom gets postponed, that's the time to get suspicious.
This is normal and does not directly reflect tensions. Don't buy into fear mongering.
When Grom gets postponed, that's the time to get suspicious.
Reposted by Rafael Loss
Drohnenalarm - Wie muss sich Europa verteidigen?
@rafaelloss.bsky.social ist heute Abend um 22:15 zu Gast in der Phoenix-Runde mit Anke Plättner, Wolfgang Richter, WIlhelmine Stenglin @table.media, und Johannes Rundfeldt
www.phoenix.de/sendungen/ge...
@rafaelloss.bsky.social ist heute Abend um 22:15 zu Gast in der Phoenix-Runde mit Anke Plättner, Wolfgang Richter, WIlhelmine Stenglin @table.media, und Johannes Rundfeldt
www.phoenix.de/sendungen/ge...
phoenix
www.phoenix.de
October 1, 2025 at 8:13 PM
Reposted by Rafael Loss
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
Flaunting mischief: Three aims of Russia’s airspace incursions
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals…
bit.ly
September 30, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Russia’s recent incursions into NATO airspace are the biggest escalation with the alliance since the cold war. With it, Putin likely hopes to achieve three main goals, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
https://bit.ly/4nl9m7P
Reposted by Rafael Loss
My report from aboard the world's largest warship, USS Gerald R. Ford, this week at an undisclosed location in the North Sea.
Massive NATO show of force in Nordic region sends message to Russia
THE NORTH SEA: The Barents Observer was aboard the USS Gerald R. Ford on Wednesday as fighter jets took off for exercise bombing missions from the North Sea to the southern coast of Finland. The show ...
www.thebarentsobserver.com
September 27, 2025 at 3:59 PM
My report from aboard the world's largest warship, USS Gerald R. Ford, this week at an undisclosed location in the North Sea.
Reposted by Rafael Loss
Thank you, Austin Long, for your recent Wednesday Seminar discussion. It was an enlightening peek behind the scenes of the Joint Staff.
📼ICYMI catch up with the conversation with the recorded stream: youtube.com/live/LQKGyAv...
📼ICYMI catch up with the conversation with the recorded stream: youtube.com/live/LQKGyAv...
September 30, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Thank you, Austin Long, for your recent Wednesday Seminar discussion. It was an enlightening peek behind the scenes of the Joint Staff.
📼ICYMI catch up with the conversation with the recorded stream: youtube.com/live/LQKGyAv...
📼ICYMI catch up with the conversation with the recorded stream: youtube.com/live/LQKGyAv...