Pete Dodd
@petedodd24.bsky.social
Mathematical modelling for TB, infectious diseases, epi & pop health
Reposted by Pete Dodd
Understanding patterns of #TB exposure and transmission is needed for targeted prevention strategies. In our latest pre-print, @petedodd24.bsky.social and I estimated the proportion of TB exposure to and transmission from sex and age groups for 177 countries.
bit.ly/4nbV492
bit.ly/4nbV492
A global analysis of patterns of tuberculosis exposure and transmission
Tuberculosis (TB) is a major public health concern and the leading infectious cause of mortality globally. The disease exhibits strong prevalence patterns by age and sex, but the implications of these...
www.medrxiv.org
October 12, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Understanding patterns of #TB exposure and transmission is needed for targeted prevention strategies. In our latest pre-print, @petedodd24.bsky.social and I estimated the proportion of TB exposure to and transmission from sex and age groups for 177 countries.
bit.ly/4nbV492
bit.ly/4nbV492
Reposted by Pete Dodd
PhD opportunity: New approaches to modelling TB transmission in low-incidence settings.
Supervised by Ellen Brooks-Pollock (Bristol), me (Bath) & Rajeka Lazarus (Bristol)
Apply: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
Deadline 20 Oct
#PhD #Tuberculosis #Epidemiology #InfectiousDisease
Supervised by Ellen Brooks-Pollock (Bristol), me (Bath) & Rajeka Lazarus (Bristol)
Apply: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
Deadline 20 Oct
#PhD #Tuberculosis #Epidemiology #InfectiousDisease
New approaches for modelling tuberculosis transmission in low incidence settings at University of Bristol on FindAPhD.com
PhD Project - New approaches for modelling tuberculosis transmission in low incidence settings at University of Bristol, listed on FindAPhD.com
www.findaphd.com
September 27, 2025 at 7:10 AM
PhD opportunity: New approaches to modelling TB transmission in low-incidence settings.
Supervised by Ellen Brooks-Pollock (Bristol), me (Bath) & Rajeka Lazarus (Bristol)
Apply: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
Deadline 20 Oct
#PhD #Tuberculosis #Epidemiology #InfectiousDisease
Supervised by Ellen Brooks-Pollock (Bristol), me (Bath) & Rajeka Lazarus (Bristol)
Apply: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
Deadline 20 Oct
#PhD #Tuberculosis #Epidemiology #InfectiousDisease
#Imperial PhD studentship on #electronicpatientrecords analysis for UK #tuberculosis policy, with Onn Min Kon, Jenni Quint, Sharon Cox at #ukhsa and me. www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
PhD Studentship in Respiratory Electronic Health Record Group: Analysing electronic health records to study pathways of care for people with tuberculosis at Imperial College London on FindAPhD.com
PhD Project - PhD Studentship in Respiratory Electronic Health Record Group: Analysing electronic health records to study pathways of care for people with tuberculosis at Imperial College London, list...
www.findaphd.com
September 19, 2025 at 7:42 AM
#Imperial PhD studentship on #electronicpatientrecords analysis for UK #tuberculosis policy, with Onn Min Kon, Jenni Quint, Sharon Cox at #ukhsa and me. www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
More projected impacts of cuts to international health aid on paediatric #tuberculosis urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=htt...
September 15, 2025 at 12:40 PM
More projected impacts of cuts to international health aid on paediatric #tuberculosis urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=htt...
Reposted by Pete Dodd
So...what would happen to the global TB epidemic if we hypothetically "eliminated" undernutrition? In this preprint, we combined estimates from our new review (doi.org/10.1093/ije/...) with population-specific BMI distributions to find out...(doi.org/10.1101/2025...)
Global, regional, and national estimates of tuberculosis incidence averted by eliminating undernutrition in adults: a modelling study
Background Current efforts to reduce global tuberculosis incidence have proved insufficient, highlighting that urgent action is needed to address underlying modifiable risk factors such as undernutrit...
doi.org
September 10, 2025 at 4:11 AM
So...what would happen to the global TB epidemic if we hypothetically "eliminated" undernutrition? In this preprint, we combined estimates from our new review (doi.org/10.1093/ije/...) with population-specific BMI distributions to find out...(doi.org/10.1101/2025...)
Reposted by Pete Dodd
@cfmcquaid.bsky.social @tbtakenseriously.bsky.social @jaseddon.bsky.social @petedodd24.bsky.social @tb-lshtm.bsky.social #endtb
September 10, 2025 at 4:11 AM
Reposted by Pete Dodd
The Union's TB Undernutrition working group is hosting a webinar with Dr Matthew Saunders.
📅 21 August at 2pm CET
Dr Saunders (@lshtm.bsky.social) will share findings from a new analysis that redefines the relationship between BMI and TB incidence.
📧 To join email membership@theunion.org.
📅 21 August at 2pm CET
Dr Saunders (@lshtm.bsky.social) will share findings from a new analysis that redefines the relationship between BMI and TB incidence.
📧 To join email membership@theunion.org.
August 7, 2025 at 1:22 PM
The Union's TB Undernutrition working group is hosting a webinar with Dr Matthew Saunders.
📅 21 August at 2pm CET
Dr Saunders (@lshtm.bsky.social) will share findings from a new analysis that redefines the relationship between BMI and TB incidence.
📧 To join email membership@theunion.org.
📅 21 August at 2pm CET
Dr Saunders (@lshtm.bsky.social) will share findings from a new analysis that redefines the relationship between BMI and TB incidence.
📧 To join email membership@theunion.org.
Reposted by Pete Dodd
Check out our new @PLOSGPH paper exploring the impact and cost-effectiveness of near point-of-care technology for diagnosing #tuberculosis in children in primary healthcare settings. Read it here: doi.org/10.1371/jour... From @petedodd24.bsky.social
Evaluating the health impact, health-system costs and cost-effectiveness of using TrueNat on stool samples compared to usual care for the diagnosis of paediatric tuberculosis in primary care settings:...
The World Health Organisation (WHO) recommends rapid molecular diagnostics to improve bacteriological confirmation of tuberculosis in children. TrueNat MTB, MTB Plus and MTB-RIF Dx assays (Molbio Diag...
doi.org
June 27, 2025 at 7:44 AM
Check out our new @PLOSGPH paper exploring the impact and cost-effectiveness of near point-of-care technology for diagnosing #tuberculosis in children in primary healthcare settings. Read it here: doi.org/10.1371/jour... From @petedodd24.bsky.social
Meeting the health needs of incarcerated people can be costly. We found that targeted #tuberculosis infection screening at 1st reception in England could be cost saving.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Cost-effectiveness of tuberculosis infection screening at first reception into English prisons: a model-based analysis
The World Health Organization recommends systematic screening for tuberculosis in incarcerated populations, which are consistently at high risk of tub…
www.sciencedirect.com
May 12, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Meeting the health needs of incarcerated people can be costly. We found that targeted #tuberculosis infection screening at 1st reception in England could be cost saving.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
WHO recommends treatment decision scoring algorithms to help diagnose child #Tuberculosis. Thx to #Unitaid, our TB-Speed team evaluated them to be very cost-effective for children with severe acute malnutrition in UGA & ZAM
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Treatment decision algorithms for tuberculosis screening and diagnosis in children below 5 years hospitalised with severe acute malnutrition: a cost-effectiveness analysis
Children with severe acute malnutrition (SAM) are an important risk group for underdiagnosis and death from tuberculosis. In 2022, the World Health Or…
www.sciencedirect.com
April 25, 2025 at 6:47 AM
WHO recommends treatment decision scoring algorithms to help diagnose child #Tuberculosis. Thx to #Unitaid, our TB-Speed team evaluated them to be very cost-effective for children with severe acute malnutrition in UGA & ZAM
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Pete Dodd
In 2024, 68 million people were internally displaced by humanitarian crises, & are at increased risk of TB, the world's biggest infectious disease killer. We urgently need estimates to identify the scale of this problem & drive our response. We provide initial numbers here gh.bmj.com/content/10/3...
Thinking fast and slow: the urgency of crisis response must not lead us to overlook chronic needs such as tuberculosis
The number of people facing displacement due to humanitarian crises worldwide is increasing rapidly and is likely to continue. An average 10% year-on-year increase in the last 5 years resulted in 68.3...
gh.bmj.com
March 26, 2025 at 10:02 AM
In 2024, 68 million people were internally displaced by humanitarian crises, & are at increased risk of TB, the world's biggest infectious disease killer. We urgently need estimates to identify the scale of this problem & drive our response. We provide initial numbers here gh.bmj.com/content/10/3...
Reposted by Pete Dodd
Yes, #Tuberculosis (TB) is curable!
TB is treated with antibiotics taken daily for 4–6 months. ⚠️ Stopping treatment early can lead to drug-resistant TB.
Funding cuts & rising drug resistance put the most vulnerable at risk. Sustained support is crucial to #EndTB 👉 bit.ly/4ilkK1h #WorldTBDay
TB is treated with antibiotics taken daily for 4–6 months. ⚠️ Stopping treatment early can lead to drug-resistant TB.
Funding cuts & rising drug resistance put the most vulnerable at risk. Sustained support is crucial to #EndTB 👉 bit.ly/4ilkK1h #WorldTBDay
March 24, 2025 at 8:47 AM
Yes, #Tuberculosis (TB) is curable!
TB is treated with antibiotics taken daily for 4–6 months. ⚠️ Stopping treatment early can lead to drug-resistant TB.
Funding cuts & rising drug resistance put the most vulnerable at risk. Sustained support is crucial to #EndTB 👉 bit.ly/4ilkK1h #WorldTBDay
TB is treated with antibiotics taken daily for 4–6 months. ⚠️ Stopping treatment early can lead to drug-resistant TB.
Funding cuts & rising drug resistance put the most vulnerable at risk. Sustained support is crucial to #EndTB 👉 bit.ly/4ilkK1h #WorldTBDay
Reposted by Pete Dodd
NEW PAPER with @tom-parks.bsky.social and @petedodd24.bsky.social in @ofidjournal.bsky.social
Our tool can estimate extent to which misallocation of person time will result in spurious or optimistic estimates of intervention effects
We find benefits of IVIG in STSS have likely been exaggerated
Our tool can estimate extent to which misallocation of person time will result in spurious or optimistic estimates of intervention effects
We find benefits of IVIG in STSS have likely been exaggerated
Quantifying potential immortal time bias in observational studies in acute severe infection
We developed a tool to quantify the impact of misallocation of person time, then used it to demonstrate that published observational studies have likely ov
academic.oup.com
March 18, 2025 at 6:43 PM
NEW PAPER with @tom-parks.bsky.social and @petedodd24.bsky.social in @ofidjournal.bsky.social
Our tool can estimate extent to which misallocation of person time will result in spurious or optimistic estimates of intervention effects
We find benefits of IVIG in STSS have likely been exaggerated
Our tool can estimate extent to which misallocation of person time will result in spurious or optimistic estimates of intervention effects
We find benefits of IVIG in STSS have likely been exaggerated
A tracker estimating TB deaths from USAID funding discontinuation #IDsky #TBsky tb.impactcounter.com
Tuberculosis Impact Counter | Tracking TB Funding Impact
Tracking the impact of TB funding via USAID
tb.impactcounter.com
March 10, 2025 at 9:07 AM
A tracker estimating TB deaths from USAID funding discontinuation #IDsky #TBsky tb.impactcounter.com
PEPFAR Impact Tracker
Track the impact of PEPFAR funding halt
pepfar.impactcounter.com
March 5, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Reposted by Pete Dodd
Do not accept defeat. We don’t have time for despair.
Read this important piece from one of my heroes @gregggonsalves.bsky.social
We have work to do!
#publichealth #medsky #emedsky #episky #resist #lgbtqSTEM #academicsky
Read this important piece from one of my heroes @gregggonsalves.bsky.social
We have work to do!
#publichealth #medsky #emedsky #episky #resist #lgbtqSTEM #academicsky
Opinion | I Shudder to Imagine Kennedy Running Our Health Agencies.
We have to go toe-to-toe with this administration and resist its attacks on public health.
www.nytimes.com
February 14, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Do not accept defeat. We don’t have time for despair.
Read this important piece from one of my heroes @gregggonsalves.bsky.social
We have work to do!
#publichealth #medsky #emedsky #episky #resist #lgbtqSTEM #academicsky
Read this important piece from one of my heroes @gregggonsalves.bsky.social
We have work to do!
#publichealth #medsky #emedsky #episky #resist #lgbtqSTEM #academicsky
Reposted by Pete Dodd
Great article showing impact on Tuberculosis of funding freeze
"Stopping this—literally overnight—means that these strains have the potential to spread not just abroad but here in the US."
#EndTB #keepthelightson #11KEveryDay #RestoreTBFunding
"Stopping this—literally overnight—means that these strains have the potential to spread not just abroad but here in the US."
#EndTB #keepthelightson #11KEveryDay #RestoreTBFunding
USAID funding freeze disrupts global tuberculosis control efforts
The 90-day funding freeze, and the subsequent dismantling of USAID, has sent shockwaves throughout the community of people working on TB control.
Photo: USAID/Flickr cc
www.cidrap.umn.edu/t...
The 90-day funding freeze, and the subsequent dismantling of USAID, has sent shockwaves throughout the community of people working on TB control.
Photo: USAID/Flickr cc
www.cidrap.umn.edu/t...
February 14, 2025 at 5:25 PM
Great article showing impact on Tuberculosis of funding freeze
"Stopping this—literally overnight—means that these strains have the potential to spread not just abroad but here in the US."
#EndTB #keepthelightson #11KEveryDay #RestoreTBFunding
"Stopping this—literally overnight—means that these strains have the potential to spread not just abroad but here in the US."
#EndTB #keepthelightson #11KEveryDay #RestoreTBFunding
Reposted by Pete Dodd
New preprint (with all pre-print caveats!) tinyurl.com/589ffhu4 on Mtb infection risk by sex & age.
Men are at higher risk of #tuberculosis v women- but unclear how much driven by higher infection vs progression to disease. We meta-analysed Mtb immunoreactivity surveys to find out more🧵 #tbsky
Men are at higher risk of #tuberculosis v women- but unclear how much driven by higher infection vs progression to disease. We meta-analysed Mtb immunoreactivity surveys to find out more🧵 #tbsky
Sex Differences in the Risk of Mycobacterium Tuberculosis Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Population-Based Immunoreactivity Surveys
Background: Tuberculosis (TB) killed 1·25 million people globally in 2023. Men have a 1·7-fold higher TB incidence than women, but it is not known to what exten
papers.ssrn.com
January 10, 2025 at 8:20 AM
New preprint (with all pre-print caveats!) tinyurl.com/589ffhu4 on Mtb infection risk by sex & age.
Men are at higher risk of #tuberculosis v women- but unclear how much driven by higher infection vs progression to disease. We meta-analysed Mtb immunoreactivity surveys to find out more🧵 #tbsky
Men are at higher risk of #tuberculosis v women- but unclear how much driven by higher infection vs progression to disease. We meta-analysed Mtb immunoreactivity surveys to find out more🧵 #tbsky
Reposted by Pete Dodd
NEW PREPRINT!
Enjoyed working with @tom-parks.bsky.social and @petedodd24.bsky.social on immortal time bias
In its simplest form, ITB results from misallocation of person time, i.e. pre treatment time in intervention group being counted as time on treatment
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
[1/n]
Enjoyed working with @tom-parks.bsky.social and @petedodd24.bsky.social on immortal time bias
In its simplest form, ITB results from misallocation of person time, i.e. pre treatment time in intervention group being counted as time on treatment
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
[1/n]
January 10, 2025 at 9:29 AM
NEW PREPRINT!
Enjoyed working with @tom-parks.bsky.social and @petedodd24.bsky.social on immortal time bias
In its simplest form, ITB results from misallocation of person time, i.e. pre treatment time in intervention group being counted as time on treatment
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
[1/n]
Enjoyed working with @tom-parks.bsky.social and @petedodd24.bsky.social on immortal time bias
In its simplest form, ITB results from misallocation of person time, i.e. pre treatment time in intervention group being counted as time on treatment
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
[1/n]
This is the levofloxacin TPT Xmas double issue #TBsky
New in the December 19/26, 2024, issue of NEJM:
Ponsegromab for Cancer Cachexia (phase 1B study) nej.md/3XE645a
Levofloxacin and Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis (VQUIN MDR trial) nej.md/41BHEf5
Levofloxacin Preventive Therapy for MDR Tuberculosis (TB-CHAMP trial) nej.md/41AXgQd
#MedSky
Ponsegromab for Cancer Cachexia (phase 1B study) nej.md/3XE645a
Levofloxacin and Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis (VQUIN MDR trial) nej.md/41BHEf5
Levofloxacin Preventive Therapy for MDR Tuberculosis (TB-CHAMP trial) nej.md/41AXgQd
#MedSky
December 19, 2024 at 2:52 PM
This is the levofloxacin TPT Xmas double issue #TBsky
Reposted by Pete Dodd
Newly out RCT data on integration of child TB services into routine care in KEN/CMR gh.bmj.com/content/9/12... #TBsky & our economic evaluation of it: gh.bmj.com/content/9/12...
Effect of integrating paediatric tuberculosis services into child healthcare services on case detection in Africa: the INPUT stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial
Introduction Paediatric tuberculosis (TB) underdiagnosis is a critical concern. The INPUT stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial assessed the impact of integrating child TB services into child healthc...
gh.bmj.com
December 19, 2024 at 1:24 PM
Newly out RCT data on integration of child TB services into routine care in KEN/CMR gh.bmj.com/content/9/12... #TBsky & our economic evaluation of it: gh.bmj.com/content/9/12...
Happy to have been part of the mammoth team effort reviewing and modelling the burden of TBM in children #TBsky www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Global burden of tuberculous meningitis in children aged 0–14 years in 2019: a mathematical modelling study
Tuberculous meningitis is fatal if untreated and can lead to lifelong neurological sequelae. However, to our knowledge, there are no data on the numbe…
www.sciencedirect.com
December 19, 2024 at 1:20 PM
Happy to have been part of the mammoth team effort reviewing and modelling the burden of TBM in children #TBsky www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
analytic and economic considerations, and how to Investigate the impact of an intervention on health equity, acceptability, and feasibility.
Link to the document here:
https://buff.ly/3Bx6MJl
Link to the document here:
https://buff.ly/3Bx6MJl
December 16, 2024 at 9:12 PM