Neil Thomas 牛犇
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neilthomas123.bsky.social
Neil Thomas 牛犇
@neilthomas123.bsky.social
Fellow on Chinese Politics at Asia Society Policy Institute’s Center for China Analysis. Australian in DC. Views are my own.
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Honored to review "On Xi Jinping" by @mrkrudd.bsky.social in this month's edition of the Australian Book Review.

"Kevin Rudd adds a worthy new chapter to his life of public service, digesting thousands of pages of 'Xi Jinping Thought' so that you do not have to."

Key points below 👇

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Mao Zedong said China would eclipse the US by 2030

In 1955: "Our goal is to catch up with and surpass the US … it will take at least 50 years, perhaps 75, which is 15 five-year plans"

Xi just outlined China's 15th five-year plan. Can he prove Mao right?

Latest for @asiapolicy.asiasociety.org

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November 5, 2025 at 5:25 PM
Where is Xi Jinping steering China’s economy?

How are U.S.-China relations shaping his choices?

Why so much turmoil in Beijing?

Join @asiapolicy.asiasociety.org for an Oct 29 webinar on the Fourth Plenum w/Michael Hirson, Chris Johnson, Dan Wang & Guoguang Wu

asiasociety.org/policy-insti...
October 22, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Reposted by Neil Thomas 牛犇
What matters most to Xi Jinping? What policies does he drive himself?

In a new paper, #CenterforChinaAnalysis fellows @neilthomas123.bsky.social and Lobsang Tsering analyze Xi’s priorities using a CCA-compiled database of actions and policies Xi has personally initiated. ⬇️
Xi’s Personal Priorities: What Matters Most to China’s Leader?
Neil Thomas and Lobsang Tsering analyze official statements about President Xi Jinping’s actions to determine what issues China’s leader cares most about.
asiasociety.org
July 31, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Honored to join the third fellowship cohort of the Penn Project on the Future of U.S.-China Relations

Look forward to working with this amazing group as I prepare a policy paper on backchannel diplomacy

Kudos to @neysunm.bsky.social and Amy Gadsden at Penn Global for leading this project!
We are thrilled to announce the selection of our third fellowship cohort, seventeen truly outstanding next generation China scholars and analysts you can read more about here: global.upenn.edu/future-of-us...
May 7, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Reposted by Neil Thomas 牛犇
The obsession with trade deficits, manufacturing jobs...Trump clearly has China envy.

So we had @neilthomas123.bsky.social and @katelogan.bsky.social, two top China industrial strategy experts, on the pod. They played our riskgame and told us what we got right, wrong, and everything in-between
April 7, 2025 at 12:06 PM
Reposted by Neil Thomas 牛犇
WATCH: In a new webinar co-hosted with @scmpnews.bsky.social, CCA fellows @neilthomas123.bsky.social and Lizzi C. Lee join SCMP Executive Director Chow Chung-yan to discuss key insights from China's recent Two Sessions.
Webinar: Key Takeaways from China’s Two Sessions in 2025
Watch a webinar co-hosted by the Center for China Analysis and the South China Morning Post featuring Neil Thomas and Lizzi C. Lee in conversation with Chow Chung-yan.
asiasociety.org
March 13, 2025 at 10:00 PM
Reposted by Neil Thomas 牛犇
📺WATCH: Our experts from the Center for #China Analysis
@hotpotwhynot.bsky.social, @neilthomas123.bsky.social, Lizzi C. Lee, and Guoguang Wu unpack China’s Two Sessions, Premier Li Qiang’s Government Work Report, China's growth targets, and more in a new panel discussion. ⬇️
The Two Sessions: What Will China Do on Stimulus, Trade Wars, and Tech Competition?
YouTube video by Asia Society
youtu.be
March 7, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Reposted by Neil Thomas 牛犇
A good explainer on China's refreshingly boring big annual political gathering which takes place next week, by @neilthomas123.bsky.social and @jingqian.bsky.social
What to Watch at China’s Two Sessions in 2025
As Beijing readies for next week’s Two Sessions, Neil Thomas and Jing Qian highlight key watchpoints in economic policy, elite politics, and U.S.-China relations.
asiasociety.org
February 27, 2025 at 2:50 PM
NEW @asiasociety.org volume on China in 2025

"The coming year will prove pivotal in testing Beijing’s resilience and adaptability"

—Is Xi's position secure?
—Can China's economy recover?
—How will Trump affect foreign policy?
—Much more!

Highlights of each chapter below...

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December 10, 2024 at 5:02 PM
What to watch out for in China next year?

Asia Society Policy Institute's Center for China Analysis is launching our annual report in New York on Tuesday, with Kevin Rudd giving a keynote address.

Friends in New York: there are a few spots left, please message me if interested!
December 6, 2024 at 4:58 PM
How does the world view China?

Kudos to Andrew Chubb on his new @asiasociety.org product Global Public Opinion on China

As China rose, its average favorability in worldwide opinion polls fell, and faster in recent years

2002: +33
2007: +22
2012: +14
2017: +8
2022: -10

But...

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December 5, 2024 at 3:54 PM
Reposted by Neil Thomas 牛犇
What Politburo study sessions tell us about the evolution of CCP priorities and topics of interest. Love these kinds of in-depth and systematic studies. Well done, @neilthomas123.bsky.social
asiasociety.org/policy-insti...
Who Briefs Xi Jinping? How Politburo Study Sessions Help to Decode Chinese Politics
Neil Thomas and Feifei Hung explain the nature and importance of Politburo study sessions using a unique dataset to analyze changes over time.
asiasociety.org
December 2, 2024 at 3:49 PM
Honored to review "On Xi Jinping" by @mrkrudd.bsky.social in this month's edition of the Australian Book Review.

"Kevin Rudd adds a worthy new chapter to his life of public service, digesting thousands of pages of 'Xi Jinping Thought' so that you do not have to."

Key points below 👇

1/12
December 2, 2024 at 2:36 PM