Nancy Birdsall
nbirdsall.bsky.social
Nancy Birdsall
@nbirdsall.bsky.social

development economist, president emerita Center for Global Development (@cgdev.org), hoping some of my Twitter followers move over to BlueSky

Nancy Birdsall is an American economist, the founding president of the Center for Global Development (CGD) in Washington, DC, USA, and former executive vice-president of the Inter-American Development Bank. .. more

Economics 57%
Sociology 17%

Mamdani's appeal to me (!) (via @davidwallace.bsky.social): "..in his real-life suit and smile, he looks the part of an eager-beaver student council president." www.nytimes.com/2025/11/05/o...
Opinion | This Is What Democrats Must Learn From Mamdani’s Victory
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Nancy Birdsall

Wonderful: "Mamdani on election night thanked Yemeni bodega owners and Mexican abuelas. Senegalese taxi drivers and Uzbek nurses. Trinidadian line cooks and Ethiopian aunties. Thanks @hcrichardson.bsky.social @mclem.org
Accessible to all! ...my paper in Journal of Econ Perspectives on World Bank's 1993 East Asian "Miracle" report ("Too Much A Product of Its TIme?") (www.aeaweb.org/full_issue.p...). @cgdev.org @mclem.org @arvind2011.bsky.social @justsand.bsky.social
www.aeaweb.org

On the long "pregnancy" and the imminent birth of the Tropical Forest Forever Facility: www.cgdev.org/blog/birth-a... @cgdev.org. I never lost hope....Thank you @lulaoficialbluesky.bsky.social
Birth Announcement: A Sovereign Wealth Fund to Protect Tropical Forests
Luckily, good ideas have long half-lives. An idea developed here at CGD in 2018 to protect tropical forests forever (literally forever) will be born officially at COP30 in Belém. At a side meeting dur...
www.cgdev.org

Photo tells a story: Women were the driving force behind Abigail Spanberger's win in Virginia www.nytimes.com/2025/11/05/u...
The Backlash Has Arrived: 6 Takeaways From a Good Night for Democrats
www.nytimes.com

Long-run employment effects of Bush-era tariffs: When will they ever learn?
The large increase in steel tariffs under GW Bush did not cause an increase in steel-industry employment.

But it did hurt the US industries that use steel to make things, reducing employment there long after the tariffs were gone.

New in @aeajournals.bsky.social —> doi.org/10.1257/pol....

The large increase in steel tariffs under GW Bush did not cause an increase in steel-industry employment.

But it did hurt the US industries that use steel to make things, reducing employment there long after the tariffs were gone.

New in @aeajournals.bsky.social —> doi.org/10.1257/pol....

Reposted by Nancy Birdsall

Indeed. Jen, the Post misses your thoughtful and well-written commentaries dearly. Your departure was the tip of the 'democracy dies on darkness' iceberg.

"Tackiness and tyranny go hand in hand": open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
Trump’s Gilded Ballroom and the Fall of the American Republic
Tackiness and tyranny go hand in hand
open.substack.com

Bring a frog to No Kings protest and have some fun; (Trump hates being laughed at): wIsdom from Bill McKibben: mail.google.com/mail/u/0/?sh...
Gmail
Gmail is email that’s intuitive, efficient, and useful. 15 GB of storage, less spam, and mobile access.
mail.google.com

The charts are terrifying. I hope someone is showing them to Rubio.
To provide real-world evidence of aid cuts, CGD experts are using data on reported cholera deaths and US spending responses.

They find elevated cholera mortality across Africa in 2025, but no corresponding aid response from the US:
https://bit.ly/4hmWV9L
Cholera in Africa: Rising Deaths, Shrinking US Aid
The United States—long the world’s largest provider of lifesaving assistance and the largest humanitarian donor to many countries, especially in sub-Saharan Africa—saw a sharp reversal in early 2025. ...
www.cgdev.org

"No other country has true lifetime tenure for its justices, and for good reason". Too bad we do as the Roberts Court is "out of control". contrarian.substack.com/p/even-feder...
Even Federal Court Judges Know the MAGA Justices are Out of Control
The Roberts Court makes obvious the need for serious reform
contrarian.substack.com

Reposted by Nancy Birdsall

To provide real-world evidence of aid cuts, CGD experts are using data on reported cholera deaths and US spending responses.

They find elevated cholera mortality across Africa in 2025, but no corresponding aid response from the US:
https://bit.ly/4hmWV9L
Cholera in Africa: Rising Deaths, Shrinking US Aid
The United States—long the world’s largest provider of lifesaving assistance and the largest humanitarian donor to many countries, especially in sub-Saharan Africa—saw a sharp reversal in early 2025. ...
www.cgdev.org

See what countries are most affected (negatively) by recent US policy changes. Impressive analysis with depressing result -- poorer countries lose out most. www.cgdev.org/blog/who-bea...
Who Bears the Burden? Tracking the Global Impact of Recent US Foreign Policy Shifts
Since January, the United States has adopted a range of foreign economic policies with negative impacts on the rest of the world, including higher tariffs on exports, taxes on remittances, and reducti...
www.cgdev.org

Better go see coral reefs soon. Take photos for your children Oceans are failing. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
World’s oceans fail key health check as acidity crosses critical threshold for marine life
Scientists call for renewed global effort to curb fossil fuels as seven of nine planetary boundaries now transgressed
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by David K. Evans

Please Pope Leo: speak to this foolish meanness. Sometimes it's embarrassing (and maddening) to be even a "fallen-away" Catholic: www.cgdev.org/blog/catholi...
Catholic Schools in the Congo Ban Pregnant Girls
Almost everywhere, girls who get pregnant in school are allowed to finish their education. Only five countries still have explicit bans or restrictions: Afghanistan, Equatorial Guinea, Iran, Kuwait, a...
www.cgdev.org

Bill McKibben on Trump at the UN manages to be funny, sort of:https://billmckibben.substack.com/p/the-stupidest-speech-in-un-history?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=438146&post_id=174385635&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=jub32&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email

I like this representation of headwinds!
The Kuznets Curve assumed falling inequality once structural transformation has peaked. But today, unforeseen headwinds—populism, climate damage, and more—complicate that path, especially for developing economies.

More from <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:epahg7qaiww4hby5eu3pmm2p" class="hover:underline text-blue-600 dark:text-sky-400 no-card-link" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-link="bsky-mention">@nbirdsall.bsky.social:
https://bit.ly/45DsCr4
Global Headwinds to Kuznets’ Low-Inequality Transformation: Plutocrats, Populism, and More
Kuznets’s prediction that inequality would fall after structural transformation faces major obstacles in today’s globalized economy, including tax evasion by elites, restrictions on labor migration, a...
www.cgdev.org

Reposted by Michael A. Clemens

This Admin fears experts. I have think of colleagues/friends, now US citizens with US-born children, who are here thanks to those H1B visas.
The White House has chosen a truly extremist step that will kneecap American research and innovation.

It is an additional bomb dropped on the US higher education system, illegally and recklessly, that will end up harming every Conservative and Liberal American.
Why is this horrible for Universities?

Just about everyone who isn't a citizen or green card holder already who's hired for a tenure track faculty position is hired through an H1B and then, after 3-5 years, applies for a green card.

This is literally "No more foreign professors can be hired"

Thank you to Bill Burns for his letter to US public servants in The Atlantic. Compelling on US best interests and full of the understanding and empathy the victims of Trump Admin/DOGE deserve. www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
A Letter to America’s Discarded Public Servants
You all deserved better.
www.theatlantic.com
The White House has chosen a truly extremist step that will kneecap American research and innovation.

It is an additional bomb dropped on the US higher education system, illegally and recklessly, that will end up harming every Conservative and Liberal American.
Why is this horrible for Universities?

Just about everyone who isn't a citizen or green card holder already who's hired for a tenure track faculty position is hired through an H1B and then, after 3-5 years, applies for a green card.

This is literally "No more foreign professors can be hired"
Those on an H1B cannot return to the US from tomorrow (Sunday) unless paying $100K. This is an out-of-the blue presidential action. We’ll see software engineers stranded abroad.

One easy to predict outcome: those on US visas will travel less… for work, for conferences etc.

Reposted by Nancy Birdsall

WGA WRITERS protest abc & disney : “Writers against fascism — this isn’t just about Kimmel, it’s about our ability to say what we want and not be punished by the state… a chilling effect… you don’t capitulate to bullies…”

(from @moreperfectunion.bsky.social )

Reposted by Nancy Birdsall

Can developing countries expect inequality to fall post-structural transformation, as predicted by the Kuznets Curve?

@nbirdsall.bsky.social highlights unforeseen headwinds—populism, climate damage, and more—that pose new challenges ⬇️
https://bit.ly/45DsCr4
https://bit.ly/45DsCr4
t.co

below, so well said: the government's "pitiful response to its own mistakes, which vary from simple ineptitude to willful noncompliance". Thank you to the "handful of federal judges"
Awful as things are under Trump 2.0, they’d be far worse still without the courage of a handful of federal judges willing to rule against him.

Paula Xinis of Maryland has been a key leader in defending the law from the administration's abuses. trib.al/OAhL2CT

Yes you wouldn't know Kirk's extremist views. . . .
Too many journalists seem to find it impossible to acknowledge that Kirks’s extremist views, conspiratorial rhetoric, overt racism, and election denial undermined democracy and that his assassination is abhorrent.
open.substack.com/pub/contrari...
We Cannot Excuse Political Violence
And we must not whitewash abhorrent views
open.substack.com

Good photo too @mclem.org

Reposted by Nancy Birdsall

Too many journalists seem to find it impossible to acknowledge that Kirks’s extremist views, conspiratorial rhetoric, overt racism, and election denial undermined democracy and that his assassination is abhorrent.
open.substack.com/pub/contrari...
We Cannot Excuse Political Violence
And we must not whitewash abhorrent views
open.substack.com