Nathanael Melia
@nathanaelmelia.bsky.social
Climate Scientist
Climate variability, climate emergence, impacts.
Founding Director @ Climate Prescience ;
Adjunct Senior Research Fellow @ Victoria University of Wellington, NZ.
British by birth, NZ citizen by choice.
Climate variability, climate emergence, impacts.
Founding Director @ Climate Prescience ;
Adjunct Senior Research Fellow @ Victoria University of Wellington, NZ.
British by birth, NZ citizen by choice.
Universities of the 21st century are no different to any other corporate employer. Behind the veil, they are ravenous in their pursuit of money at the expense of everything. Do not think that the trials of academia are worth it just because of the special employer.
thespinoff.co.nz/society/01-1...
thespinoff.co.nz/society/01-1...
Siouxsie Wiles: Why I’m crowdfunding despite winning my legal battle
'Between the ERA and the Employment Court, my husband and I have spent over $632,000.'
thespinoff.co.nz
November 1, 2025 at 8:00 PM
Universities of the 21st century are no different to any other corporate employer. Behind the veil, they are ravenous in their pursuit of money at the expense of everything. Do not think that the trials of academia are worth it just because of the special employer.
thespinoff.co.nz/society/01-1...
thespinoff.co.nz/society/01-1...
I posted on the potential use of an AI generated image, it struck a chord and a few laughs. I was NOT expecting the newly minted Public Research Organisation to deny that AI was used. Are. Are they, lying? 🤥 www.linkedin.com/posts/nathan...
August 1, 2025 at 9:38 AM
I posted on the potential use of an AI generated image, it struck a chord and a few laughs. I was NOT expecting the newly minted Public Research Organisation to deny that AI was used. Are. Are they, lying? 🤥 www.linkedin.com/posts/nathan...
July 6, 2025 at 11:34 PM
Didn't take long for the US government's operational meteorology cuts to turn deadly.
Not the NYT edit I wanted to see today. 😢
Change in Abstract
July 6, 2025 at 3:49 AM
Didn't take long for the US government's operational meteorology cuts to turn deadly.
Reposted by Nathanael Melia
🔥📈 Fire weather & climate change
A new study finds clear evidence that human-caused climate change has intensified fire weather across western North America over the past 50+ years.
🔗 doi.org/10.1038/s432...
#SciComm #Wildfires #ClimateCrisis 🌍
A new study finds clear evidence that human-caused climate change has intensified fire weather across western North America over the past 50+ years.
🔗 doi.org/10.1038/s432...
#SciComm #Wildfires #ClimateCrisis 🌍
Fingerprint of anthropogenic climate change detected in long-term western North American fire weather trends - Communications Earth & Environment
Anthropogenic climate change has been the dominant driver of increasing fire weather trends in western North America over the past 50 years, contributing 81–188% of the observed linear trends, accordi...
doi.org
May 20, 2025 at 8:19 PM
🔥📈 Fire weather & climate change
A new study finds clear evidence that human-caused climate change has intensified fire weather across western North America over the past 50+ years.
🔗 doi.org/10.1038/s432...
#SciComm #Wildfires #ClimateCrisis 🌍
A new study finds clear evidence that human-caused climate change has intensified fire weather across western North America over the past 50+ years.
🔗 doi.org/10.1038/s432...
#SciComm #Wildfires #ClimateCrisis 🌍
PSA. Do not enter the US. Not for work. Not for tourism. Not to visit. Not to transit. Not to conference.
Bring on the post america world.
Bring on the post america world.
April 6, 2025 at 7:34 AM
PSA. Do not enter the US. Not for work. Not for tourism. Not to visit. Not to transit. Not to conference.
Bring on the post america world.
Bring on the post america world.
America the free*
*terms and conditions may apply
*terms and conditions may apply
The Trump regime expands its discouraged (BANNED) words across federal agencies. The list is long
Gift article www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Gift article www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
March 8, 2025 at 12:30 AM
America the free*
*terms and conditions may apply
*terms and conditions may apply
The USA is the most powerful nation and largest economy to ever exist. Since early Jan 2025 it has been going supernova and it's thought to be massive enough that the following implosion is likely to form a black hole.
March 1, 2025 at 8:17 AM
The USA is the most powerful nation and largest economy to ever exist. Since early Jan 2025 it has been going supernova and it's thought to be massive enough that the following implosion is likely to form a black hole.
Those climate managers and directors, you can stand up to this administration by sliding into this mans DMs with a job offer.
Last Tuesday, I was set to give a talk on 'climate change in the Northeast' at a retirement home but had to cancel due to hourly job threats.
After nearly two weeks of overwhelming uncertainty, today it happened. I was fired from my dream of working at NOAA. I'm so sorry to everyone also affected.
After nearly two weeks of overwhelming uncertainty, today it happened. I was fired from my dream of working at NOAA. I'm so sorry to everyone also affected.
February 28, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Those climate managers and directors, you can stand up to this administration by sliding into this mans DMs with a job offer.
It's been clear to me for a decade that the US was destined to decline. I expected the status quo greed and wealth division to be the culprit. I did not forsee a systematic implosion by an all powerful unhinged tech billionaire.
February 17, 2025 at 2:54 AM
It's been clear to me for a decade that the US was destined to decline. I expected the status quo greed and wealth division to be the culprit. I did not forsee a systematic implosion by an all powerful unhinged tech billionaire.
I experienced the first influence of Trump on my work. During analysis of climate model data I store locally, my script has an error check, whereby a file is redownloaded from NASA servers if my version is currupt. My code crashed as the NASA server no longer holds this climate data.
February 12, 2025 at 6:18 PM
I experienced the first influence of Trump on my work. During analysis of climate model data I store locally, my script has an error check, whereby a file is redownloaded from NASA servers if my version is currupt. My code crashed as the NASA server no longer holds this climate data.
The NAZI book burning was led by students and the SA. As @oceanterra.org linked, data is our version of this literature. Today US harddrives glow with the sound of scrubbing data, who are the brainwashed students and loyal officials?
February 6, 2025 at 8:35 PM
The NAZI book burning was led by students and the SA. As @oceanterra.org linked, data is our version of this literature. Today US harddrives glow with the sound of scrubbing data, who are the brainwashed students and loyal officials?
Deleting data, deleting values, Trump govt orders and american management does. Trump isnt deleting data from the servers. Trump isnt doing this painting. Many americans are "just following orders", and that does not end well. I honestlt though americans had more back bone than this.
The FBI’s core values, including integrity, compassion, fairness, and allegiance to the Constitution - and oh, yeah, diversity, are being painted over at the FBI Academy. Source: NYT.
February 1, 2025 at 6:29 PM
Deleting data, deleting values, Trump govt orders and american management does. Trump isnt deleting data from the servers. Trump isnt doing this painting. Many americans are "just following orders", and that does not end well. I honestlt though americans had more back bone than this.
WWA have released thier report, and it is typically for fire unsatisfactory. 🧵
www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-chan...
www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-chan...
January 30, 2025 at 4:40 AM
WWA have released thier report, and it is typically for fire unsatisfactory. 🧵
www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-chan...
www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-chan...
The unwavering and immediate compliance to follow executive orders by federal science administrations that go against the views and values of thier staff members is remarkable. So all these federal department executives just follow orders without question? For money? How spineless 🤢
January 25, 2025 at 6:27 AM
The unwavering and immediate compliance to follow executive orders by federal science administrations that go against the views and values of thier staff members is remarkable. So all these federal department executives just follow orders without question? For money? How spineless 🤢
Musk = Joseph Goebbels
January 20, 2025 at 11:30 PM
Musk = Joseph Goebbels
History:
1925, 100 years ago witnessed:
• The reformation of the National Socialist German Workers’ Party (NSDAP).
• The publication of Vol.1 of Mein Kampf.
• The foundation of the SS.
• The setting aside of direct insurection tactics infavour of electoral politics.
1925, 100 years ago witnessed:
• The reformation of the National Socialist German Workers’ Party (NSDAP).
• The publication of Vol.1 of Mein Kampf.
• The foundation of the SS.
• The setting aside of direct insurection tactics infavour of electoral politics.
"Before mass leaders seize the power to fit reality to their lies, their propaganda is marked by its extreme contempt for facts as such, for in their opinion fact depends entirely on the power of man who can fabricate it"
- Hannah Arendt, the origin of totalitarism
January 20, 2025 at 11:17 PM
History:
1925, 100 years ago witnessed:
• The reformation of the National Socialist German Workers’ Party (NSDAP).
• The publication of Vol.1 of Mein Kampf.
• The foundation of the SS.
• The setting aside of direct insurection tactics infavour of electoral politics.
1925, 100 years ago witnessed:
• The reformation of the National Socialist German Workers’ Party (NSDAP).
• The publication of Vol.1 of Mein Kampf.
• The foundation of the SS.
• The setting aside of direct insurection tactics infavour of electoral politics.
Something to look for in any climate attribution study of the LA fires is, did the study assess the change in occourance, frequency, position, and strength, of:
1. The synoptic weather pattern that gave rise to the Santa Ana winds?
2. The drought conditions that primed the fuel loading?
1. The synoptic weather pattern that gave rise to the Santa Ana winds?
2. The drought conditions that primed the fuel loading?
January 19, 2025 at 2:57 AM
Something to look for in any climate attribution study of the LA fires is, did the study assess the change in occourance, frequency, position, and strength, of:
1. The synoptic weather pattern that gave rise to the Santa Ana winds?
2. The drought conditions that primed the fuel loading?
1. The synoptic weather pattern that gave rise to the Santa Ana winds?
2. The drought conditions that primed the fuel loading?
Reposted by Nathanael Melia
Wildfires aren’t a problem in the UK, right? Wrong. Not on the same scale as we are seeing in LA, but there are thousands of wildfires every year in the UK. In the heatwave of July 2022 wildfires broke out in London.
Our new paper explores the risks: doi.org/10.1002/cli2...
Our new paper explores the risks: doi.org/10.1002/cli2...
Detecting Rising Wildfire Risks for South East England
In July 2022 southeast England experienced a record breaking heatwave and unprecedented wildfires in urban areas. We investigate fire weather trends since 1960 in southeast England using a large ense....
doi.org
January 9, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Wildfires aren’t a problem in the UK, right? Wrong. Not on the same scale as we are seeing in LA, but there are thousands of wildfires every year in the UK. In the heatwave of July 2022 wildfires broke out in London.
Our new paper explores the risks: doi.org/10.1002/cli2...
Our new paper explores the risks: doi.org/10.1002/cli2...
Apropos of nothing, this is a 🔥 edit
November 27, 2024 at 11:37 PM
Apropos of nothing, this is a 🔥 edit
In a conference this week I gave a heated rebuttle to the key note. The senior white male presenter (hydro dynamicist) presented on climate action. The second slide stated that "we" in the met/climate community were the reason for lack of climate progress for not advocating science good enough.
November 21, 2024 at 1:09 AM
In a conference this week I gave a heated rebuttle to the key note. The senior white male presenter (hydro dynamicist) presented on climate action. The second slide stated that "we" in the met/climate community were the reason for lack of climate progress for not advocating science good enough.
Geez, that an author list. Imagine the editor sending this to reviewers
November 19, 2024 at 5:09 AM
Geez, that an author list. Imagine the editor sending this to reviewers
Can someone explain to me the AMOC collapse situation? When I was at UniofReading 2005-2016 the research showed it was fanciful but plausible. Has this changed, or is the hype just being recycled?
November 16, 2024 at 7:15 PM
Can someone explain to me the AMOC collapse situation? When I was at UniofReading 2005-2016 the research showed it was fanciful but plausible. Has this changed, or is the hype just being recycled?