Defenestration
@madwonk.bsky.social
DC-based technical analyst, I study that which should never be used. All opinions my own, but you probably shouldn't trust me anyways.
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and the larger point here is that anyone writing/posting right now that they Definitely Know What This Means... doesn't
re: the el paso thing, I will say as a defense nerd that the answer is probably very, very stupid and benign
but given [gestures at world] there is of course always a chance it is very, very stupid and awful
but given [gestures at world] there is of course always a chance it is very, very stupid and awful
February 11, 2026 at 10:40 AM
and the larger point here is that anyone writing/posting right now that they Definitely Know What This Means... doesn't
Only one problem: There doesn't seem to be a designation for a Shahed-139. Does he mean a 129, or a 136? There's a big difference and the nuance matters!
THREAD
THREAD
February 3, 2026 at 6:38 PM
Only one problem: There doesn't seem to be a designation for a Shahed-139. Does he mean a 129, or a 136? There's a big difference and the nuance matters!
THREAD
THREAD
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There really seems to be a lot of kayfabe happening right now. Trump is pretending to de-escalate to placate Dems so they don't demand reform, and Dems are making up fake reforms so they can pretend like they made changes while they vote to fund DHS.
January 29, 2026 at 1:26 PM
There really seems to be a lot of kayfabe happening right now. Trump is pretending to de-escalate to placate Dems so they don't demand reform, and Dems are making up fake reforms so they can pretend like they made changes while they vote to fund DHS.
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The reality is that 2024 was a fundamental test of the moral character of the nation and we failed spectacularly. We’re living with the consequences now. Maybe we improve. I hope so.
January 23, 2026 at 4:14 AM
The reality is that 2024 was a fundamental test of the moral character of the nation and we failed spectacularly. We’re living with the consequences now. Maybe we improve. I hope so.
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I think this speech will be talked about for a long time, honestly.
From Carney's Davos speech: "A country that cannot feed itself, fuel itself or defend itself has few options. When the rules no longer protect you, you must protect yourself" www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
'The old order is not coming back,' Carney says in provocative speech at Davos | CBC News
Prime Minister Mark Carney delivered a frank assessment of how he views the world in a provocative speech in Davos, Switzerland, on Tuesday, where he said the longstanding U.S.-led, rules-based international...
www.cbc.ca
January 20, 2026 at 4:12 PM
I think this speech will be talked about for a long time, honestly.
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I'll point out that @mprnews.org has covered the fraud ad nauseum. We all know about it (thanks to public radio). No one is pro-fraud. It's bad. State and federal prosecutors have been prosecuting it. Both the governor and the AG have been investing heavily in fraud detection. There's no cover up.
Trump: “In MN, there is too much media attention on ICE, who have removed some of the worst murderers & criminals in the World, people let into our Country by Crooked Joe Biden’s horrendous Open Border Policy, & not enough paid to the staggering sums stolen from the State by corrupt MN politicians!”
January 19, 2026 at 10:10 PM
I'll point out that @mprnews.org has covered the fraud ad nauseum. We all know about it (thanks to public radio). No one is pro-fraud. It's bad. State and federal prosecutors have been prosecuting it. Both the governor and the AG have been investing heavily in fraud detection. There's no cover up.
"The purpose of a system is what it does"
speaker of the house mike johnson looks at ice agents shooting random minneapolis residents and says, "ice is doing what ice is designed to do"
Mike Johnson comes out against additional guardrails on ICE as Democrats call for it.
“I think there's a lot of Democrats playing games right now with national security and with law enforcement. And I think it's dangerous. Ice is doing what ice is designed to do by its very name.”
“I think there's a lot of Democrats playing games right now with national security and with law enforcement. And I think it's dangerous. Ice is doing what ice is designed to do by its very name.”
January 15, 2026 at 4:01 AM
"The purpose of a system is what it does"
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Literally doing the meme lol
January 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM
Literally doing the meme lol
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Well, would you look at this? I spotted a P-8 Poseidon — which is a modified 737 airframe — with no reg # coming out of dark mode in flight data I posted the day of the first boat strike.
January 13, 2026 at 4:55 AM
Well, would you look at this? I spotted a P-8 Poseidon — which is a modified 737 airframe — with no reg # coming out of dark mode in flight data I posted the day of the first boat strike.
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This picture was taken in 2000 by an Associated Press photographer who was allowed to be present as an observer. ICE now keeps press blocks away from the areas where they are operating. One of the first actions ICE takes during a raid is to confiscate phones.
January 12, 2026 at 4:18 PM
This picture was taken in 2000 by an Associated Press photographer who was allowed to be present as an observer. ICE now keeps press blocks away from the areas where they are operating. One of the first actions ICE takes during a raid is to confiscate phones.
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This is the sort of statement that was expected from every university president and law firm partner over the last year. That those statements weren’t made played a huge part in where we are now and people will remember.
Jerome Powell: "This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions—or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation."
January 12, 2026 at 1:45 AM
This is the sort of statement that was expected from every university president and law firm partner over the last year. That those statements weren’t made played a huge part in where we are now and people will remember.
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This afternoon, retired Army general Stanley McChrystal spoke at the retirement ceremony hosted by HRC for six trans service members who were forced out under Trump’s ban.
“I shouldn’t have to be thanked for being here. First off, we shouldn’t be here. This shouldn’t be happening.”
Full remarks:
“I shouldn’t have to be thanked for being here. First off, we shouldn’t be here. This shouldn’t be happening.”
Full remarks:
January 8, 2026 at 11:39 PM
This afternoon, retired Army general Stanley McChrystal spoke at the retirement ceremony hosted by HRC for six trans service members who were forced out under Trump’s ban.
“I shouldn’t have to be thanked for being here. First off, we shouldn’t be here. This shouldn’t be happening.”
Full remarks:
“I shouldn’t have to be thanked for being here. First off, we shouldn’t be here. This shouldn’t be happening.”
Full remarks:
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Gallego's surprisingly good at messaging.
January 3, 2026 at 10:15 PM
Gallego's surprisingly good at messaging.
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America’s global fascist war against reason and democracy is only just getting started. Trump will be long dead, and we will still be fighting the wars he started because fascism is not going to die with Trump. It is fully solidified as the government now.
These freaks want territorial expansion and they know Trump will do everything he can to deliver.
This isn’t just a tweet from some random asshole either. This is Stephen Miller’s wife. Miller was in the room with Trump during the kidnapping of Maduro.
This isn’t just a tweet from some random asshole either. This is Stephen Miller’s wife. Miller was in the room with Trump during the kidnapping of Maduro.
January 3, 2026 at 9:28 PM
America’s global fascist war against reason and democracy is only just getting started. Trump will be long dead, and we will still be fighting the wars he started because fascism is not going to die with Trump. It is fully solidified as the government now.
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DOJ plane carrying Venezuela’s Nicholas Maduro lands at New York’s Stewart Airport.
January 3, 2026 at 9:37 PM
DOJ plane carrying Venezuela’s Nicholas Maduro lands at New York’s Stewart Airport.
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"If we hadn’t already, we’ve unquestionably joined the league of ordinary nations—a league in which we’re acting as little more than a bully, and in circumstances in which no obvious principle of self-defense, human rights, or even humantarianism writ large justifies our bellicosity."
Me on Maduro:
Me on Maduro:
200. Five Questions About the Maduro Arrest Operation
Friday night's U.S. military operation in Venezuela was a textbook violation of international law. It's also entirely unauthorized by U.S. law, which ought to (but probably won't) matter.
www.stevevladeck.com
January 3, 2026 at 9:32 PM
"If we hadn’t already, we’ve unquestionably joined the league of ordinary nations—a league in which we’re acting as little more than a bully, and in circumstances in which no obvious principle of self-defense, human rights, or even humantarianism writ large justifies our bellicosity."
Me on Maduro:
Me on Maduro:
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Here is J.D. Vance's rationale for seizing Maduro. He says Trump "was very clear throughout this process: the drug trafficking must stop, and the stolen oil must be returned to the United States." Very interesting, since the indictment says nothing whatever about oil, stolen or otherwise. /1
January 3, 2026 at 4:40 PM
Here is J.D. Vance's rationale for seizing Maduro. He says Trump "was very clear throughout this process: the drug trafficking must stop, and the stolen oil must be returned to the United States." Very interesting, since the indictment says nothing whatever about oil, stolen or otherwise. /1
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something worth pointing out is that Americans largely have zero concept of who Bolivar was, what he did, and what South Americans think about him
VP Delcy Rodriguez, whom Trump indicated earlier today was collaborating with the US government, is live on television right now.
Earlier reports that she's in Russia are false. She's in Caracas with the rest of the cabinet.
Rodriguez: "We will never again be a colony for any empire"
Earlier reports that she's in Russia are false. She's in Caracas with the rest of the cabinet.
Rodriguez: "We will never again be a colony for any empire"
January 3, 2026 at 7:18 PM
something worth pointing out is that Americans largely have zero concept of who Bolivar was, what he did, and what South Americans think about him
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Maduro is a brutal and oppressive dictator of Venezuela.
Trump has no legitimate legal basis for military action against Venezuela under United States or international law.
Both of those facts are simultaneously true.
Trump has no legitimate legal basis for military action against Venezuela under United States or international law.
Both of those facts are simultaneously true.
January 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM
Maduro is a brutal and oppressive dictator of Venezuela.
Trump has no legitimate legal basis for military action against Venezuela under United States or international law.
Both of those facts are simultaneously true.
Trump has no legitimate legal basis for military action against Venezuela under United States or international law.
Both of those facts are simultaneously true.
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President Trump ordered strikes on sites inside Venezuela, including military facilities, U.S. officials told CBS News, as the administration early Saturday ratcheted up its campaign against the regime of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.
January 3, 2026 at 7:41 AM
President Trump ordered strikes on sites inside Venezuela, including military facilities, U.S. officials told CBS News, as the administration early Saturday ratcheted up its campaign against the regime of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.
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Yep there’s no legal justification here. Either we have laws or we don’t.
They didn’t even bother to ask for an AUMF, impeachment
January 3, 2026 at 7:06 AM
Yep there’s no legal justification here. Either we have laws or we don’t.