Lisa Musiol
@lisamusiol.bsky.social
Head of EU Affairs @crisisgroup.org. Working on EU Foreign and Security Policy, Conflict Prevention, Early Warning, Crisis Management. Based in BXL.
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
Trump isn't the first global leader to try (& try) to find a path to peace in the Russo-Ukraine war. New @crisisgroup.org War & Peace podcast welcomes @clingendael.bsky.social's Bob Deen to discuss the roles global powers have tried to play & might yet play with guest host Alissa de Carbonnel & me.
A Bigger Table? The Case for More Global Diplomacy over Ukraine | International Crisis Group
This week on War & Peace, Olga and guest host Alissa de Carbonnel speak with Bob Deen, Head of the Security Unit at the Clingendael Institute, about diplomacy to end the war in Ukraine and how countri...
www.crisisgroup.org
October 21, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Trump isn't the first global leader to try (& try) to find a path to peace in the Russo-Ukraine war. New @crisisgroup.org War & Peace podcast welcomes @clingendael.bsky.social's Bob Deen to discuss the roles global powers have tried to play & might yet play with guest host Alissa de Carbonnel & me.
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
NEW BRIEFING | Gaza’s Ceasefire is Vital, but Only a Start
Trump’s Gaza ceasefire is holding. But unless the truce is bolstered by sustained international diplomacy and pressure, the plan may collapse, leaving the decimated strip in limbo.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Trump’s Gaza ceasefire is holding. But unless the truce is bolstered by sustained international diplomacy and pressure, the plan may collapse, leaving the decimated strip in limbo.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
October 21, 2025 at 4:10 PM
NEW BRIEFING | Gaza’s Ceasefire is Vital, but Only a Start
Trump’s Gaza ceasefire is holding. But unless the truce is bolstered by sustained international diplomacy and pressure, the plan may collapse, leaving the decimated strip in limbo.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Trump’s Gaza ceasefire is holding. But unless the truce is bolstered by sustained international diplomacy and pressure, the plan may collapse, leaving the decimated strip in limbo.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
🔴 We just published the Autumn Update for our Watch List for the European Union.
This special @crisisgroup.org report highlights global crises that the EU has the potential to address in 2025.
Here are our latest updates: www.crisisgroup.org/global/watch...
This special @crisisgroup.org report highlights global crises that the EU has the potential to address in 2025.
Here are our latest updates: www.crisisgroup.org/global/watch...
October 16, 2025 at 2:23 PM
🔴 We just published the Autumn Update for our Watch List for the European Union.
This special @crisisgroup.org report highlights global crises that the EU has the potential to address in 2025.
Here are our latest updates: www.crisisgroup.org/global/watch...
This special @crisisgroup.org report highlights global crises that the EU has the potential to address in 2025.
Here are our latest updates: www.crisisgroup.org/global/watch...
‘Israel needs to deliver’: Europe’s private fears over Trump’s plan for Gaza via @politico.eu
www.politico.eu/article/isra...
www.politico.eu/article/isra...
‘Israel needs to deliver’: Europe’s private fears over Trump’s plan for Gaza
Officials and diplomats are hoping the ceasefire lasts but don’t want to ease the pressure on Israel just yet.
www.politico.eu
October 14, 2025 at 8:17 AM
‘Israel needs to deliver’: Europe’s private fears over Trump’s plan for Gaza via @politico.eu
www.politico.eu/article/isra...
www.politico.eu/article/isra...
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
‘Two years on, Gaza has paid the price for global inaction.’
As we mark Hamas’s attacks against Israel on 7 October 2023, @crisisgroup.org’s CEO and President @comfortero.crisisgroup.org reflects on what has unfolded since - and the urgent choices now before us. 1/9 🧵
mailchi.mp/crisisgroup....
As we mark Hamas’s attacks against Israel on 7 October 2023, @crisisgroup.org’s CEO and President @comfortero.crisisgroup.org reflects on what has unfolded since - and the urgent choices now before us. 1/9 🧵
mailchi.mp/crisisgroup....
October 7, 2025 at 9:27 AM
‘Two years on, Gaza has paid the price for global inaction.’
As we mark Hamas’s attacks against Israel on 7 October 2023, @crisisgroup.org’s CEO and President @comfortero.crisisgroup.org reflects on what has unfolded since - and the urgent choices now before us. 1/9 🧵
mailchi.mp/crisisgroup....
As we mark Hamas’s attacks against Israel on 7 October 2023, @crisisgroup.org’s CEO and President @comfortero.crisisgroup.org reflects on what has unfolded since - and the urgent choices now before us. 1/9 🧵
mailchi.mp/crisisgroup....
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
🗒️ NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | EU Commission Draws up Plans to Pressure Israel over Gaza Offensive
@lisamusiol.bsky.social examines EU proposals to sanction Israel and curb trade benefits, and the likely resistance from some member states.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
@lisamusiol.bsky.social examines EU proposals to sanction Israel and curb trade benefits, and the likely resistance from some member states.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
EU Commission Draws up Plans to Pressure Israel over Gaza Offensive | International Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert Lisa Musiol examines EU proposals to sanction Israel and curb trade benefits, and the likely resistance from some member states
www.crisisgroup.org
September 18, 2025 at 2:54 PM
🗒️ NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | EU Commission Draws up Plans to Pressure Israel over Gaza Offensive
@lisamusiol.bsky.social examines EU proposals to sanction Israel and curb trade benefits, and the likely resistance from some member states.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
@lisamusiol.bsky.social examines EU proposals to sanction Israel and curb trade benefits, and the likely resistance from some member states.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Read here a quick take on the EU proposal to pressure Israel over Gaza offensive.
The ball is now in the court of EU capitals. Failing once again agree on more prerssure would mean standing by as Israel continues to destroy Palestinian life in Gaza.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
The ball is now in the court of EU capitals. Failing once again agree on more prerssure would mean standing by as Israel continues to destroy Palestinian life in Gaza.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
EU Commission Draws up Plans to Pressure Israel over Gaza Offensive | International Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert Lisa Musiol examines EU proposals to sanction Israel and curb trade benefits, and the likely resistance from some member states
www.crisisgroup.org
September 19, 2025 at 7:22 AM
Read here a quick take on the EU proposal to pressure Israel over Gaza offensive.
The ball is now in the court of EU capitals. Failing once again agree on more prerssure would mean standing by as Israel continues to destroy Palestinian life in Gaza.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
The ball is now in the court of EU capitals. Failing once again agree on more prerssure would mean standing by as Israel continues to destroy Palestinian life in Gaza.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
#EU ambassadors roll-over #Russia sanctions on more than 2,500 sanctioned persons and entities by 6 months, without any political delistings.
We just extended our sanctions on Russia.
At the same time, we are finalising work on the 19th package – looking into additional curbs on Russian oil sales, shadow oil tankers, and banks.
We’ll keep choking off the cash for Putin’s war.
At the same time, we are finalising work on the 19th package – looking into additional curbs on Russian oil sales, shadow oil tankers, and banks.
We’ll keep choking off the cash for Putin’s war.
September 12, 2025 at 10:25 AM
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
Why the impact of Poland and its NATO allies' decision to shoot down Russian drones may well be stabilizing. Expanding a bit on my Bluesky thread from yesterday with an entry in the @crisisgroup.org Analyst's Notebook series.
Drones over Poland | International Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert Olga Oliker analyses the implications of the decision by Poland and its NATO allies to shoot down Russian drones over Polish territory on 9 September
www.crisisgroup.org
September 11, 2025 at 10:35 AM
Why the impact of Poland and its NATO allies' decision to shoot down Russian drones may well be stabilizing. Expanding a bit on my Bluesky thread from yesterday with an entry in the @crisisgroup.org Analyst's Notebook series.
@crisisgroup.org at its best, separating the signal from the noise.
Read my colleague @olyaoliker.bsky.social 's take on the drone incident in Poland.
Some headlines suggested a NATO-Russia confrontation might be closer. But the opposite could be true.
👇
www.crisisgroup.org/europe-centr...
Read my colleague @olyaoliker.bsky.social 's take on the drone incident in Poland.
Some headlines suggested a NATO-Russia confrontation might be closer. But the opposite could be true.
👇
www.crisisgroup.org/europe-centr...
Drones over Poland | International Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert Olga Oliker analyses the implications of the decision by Poland and its NATO allies to shoot down Russian drones over Polish territory on 9 September
www.crisisgroup.org
September 11, 2025 at 12:02 PM
@crisisgroup.org at its best, separating the signal from the noise.
Read my colleague @olyaoliker.bsky.social 's take on the drone incident in Poland.
Some headlines suggested a NATO-Russia confrontation might be closer. But the opposite could be true.
👇
www.crisisgroup.org/europe-centr...
Read my colleague @olyaoliker.bsky.social 's take on the drone incident in Poland.
Some headlines suggested a NATO-Russia confrontation might be closer. But the opposite could be true.
👇
www.crisisgroup.org/europe-centr...
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
Von der Leyen on Israel:
- We will put our financial support to Israel on hold
- We will propose sanctions on extremist Israeli ministers and violent settlers
- We will also propose a partial suspension of the association agreement on trade-related measures
- We will put our financial support to Israel on hold
- We will propose sanctions on extremist Israeli ministers and violent settlers
- We will also propose a partial suspension of the association agreement on trade-related measures
Von der Leyen on Gaza: "Man-made famine can never be a weapon of war. For the sake of the children, for the sake of humanity, this must stop"
September 10, 2025 at 7:42 AM
Von der Leyen on Israel:
- We will put our financial support to Israel on hold
- We will propose sanctions on extremist Israeli ministers and violent settlers
- We will also propose a partial suspension of the association agreement on trade-related measures
- We will put our financial support to Israel on hold
- We will propose sanctions on extremist Israeli ministers and violent settlers
- We will also propose a partial suspension of the association agreement on trade-related measures
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
Ursula von der Leyen: "We need to move to qualified majority in some areas, for example, in foreign policy. It is time to break free from the shackles of unanimity. The point is that we need to make sure our Union is faster and can deliver for Europeans."
#SOTEU
#SOTEU
September 10, 2025 at 8:33 AM
Ursula von der Leyen: "We need to move to qualified majority in some areas, for example, in foreign policy. It is time to break free from the shackles of unanimity. The point is that we need to make sure our Union is faster and can deliver for Europeans."
#SOTEU
#SOTEU
In her #SOTEU State of the Union speech Von der Leyen surprised with harsh word's against Israel and plans to push for sanctions and partial suspension of Association Agreement
www.politico.eu/article/ursu...
www.politico.eu/article/ursu...
Von der Leyen announces plan to sanction Israeli ministers — live updates
Follow our analysis as the European Commission chief outlines the EU’s priorities against the backdrop of a turbulent world order.
www.politico.eu
September 10, 2025 at 8:23 AM
In her #SOTEU State of the Union speech Von der Leyen surprised with harsh word's against Israel and plans to push for sanctions and partial suspension of Association Agreement
www.politico.eu/article/ursu...
www.politico.eu/article/ursu...
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
Colombia is entering a difficult election year, amid rising armed group violence.
The temptation to seek a military solution is a false one.
Peace talks work. Sustaining their gains is harder.
My column today in @nytimes.com offers a way forward.
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/08/o...
The temptation to seek a military solution is a false one.
Peace talks work. Sustaining their gains is harder.
My column today in @nytimes.com offers a way forward.
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/08/o...
Opinion | A New War Is Emerging in Colombia
www.nytimes.com
September 8, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Colombia is entering a difficult election year, amid rising armed group violence.
The temptation to seek a military solution is a false one.
Peace talks work. Sustaining their gains is harder.
My column today in @nytimes.com offers a way forward.
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/08/o...
The temptation to seek a military solution is a false one.
Peace talks work. Sustaining their gains is harder.
My column today in @nytimes.com offers a way forward.
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/08/o...
Israel orders evacuation of Gaz city via @financialtimes.com
on.ft.com/3Vaxi1v
@crisisgroup.org warned in a recent statement that if Israel’s assault on Gaza city, in the midst of a famine, continues, the results look set to be still more horrifying than what the world has witnessed to date.
on.ft.com/3Vaxi1v
@crisisgroup.org warned in a recent statement that if Israel’s assault on Gaza city, in the midst of a famine, continues, the results look set to be still more horrifying than what the world has witnessed to date.
Israel orders evacuation of Gaza City
Benjamin Netanyahu has argued assault is needed to break Hamas
on.ft.com
September 9, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Israel orders evacuation of Gaz city via @financialtimes.com
on.ft.com/3Vaxi1v
@crisisgroup.org warned in a recent statement that if Israel’s assault on Gaza city, in the midst of a famine, continues, the results look set to be still more horrifying than what the world has witnessed to date.
on.ft.com/3Vaxi1v
@crisisgroup.org warned in a recent statement that if Israel’s assault on Gaza city, in the midst of a famine, continues, the results look set to be still more horrifying than what the world has witnessed to date.
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
UPDATE: it's now 187 NGOs & trade unions urging suspension of the #EU - #Israel Association Agreement.
Credible findings of genocide & apartheid are NOT compatible with the human rights clause - nor is inaction.
EU ministers failed on June 20. They must not fail again on July 15.
#SuspendTheDeal
Credible findings of genocide & apartheid are NOT compatible with the human rights clause - nor is inaction.
EU ministers failed on June 20. They must not fail again on July 15.
#SuspendTheDeal
Ahead of EU foreign ministers meeting, 110+ NGOs & trade unions urge suspension of the #EU - #Israel Association Agreement
Under the #Genocide Convention, EU states are bound to act. Signatories "appalled" it took so long for the EU to launch review of the agreement:
hrw.org/news/2025/06...
Under the #Genocide Convention, EU states are bound to act. Signatories "appalled" it took so long for the EU to launch review of the agreement:
hrw.org/news/2025/06...
Joint Statement on the EU-Israel Association Agreement Review
The undersigned human rights and humanitarian organizations and trade unions urge the EU to ensure that the ongoing review of Israel’s compliance with article 2 of the EU-Israel Association Agreement ...
hrw.org
July 8, 2025 at 8:03 AM
UPDATE: it's now 187 NGOs & trade unions urging suspension of the #EU - #Israel Association Agreement.
Credible findings of genocide & apartheid are NOT compatible with the human rights clause - nor is inaction.
EU ministers failed on June 20. They must not fail again on July 15.
#SuspendTheDeal
Credible findings of genocide & apartheid are NOT compatible with the human rights clause - nor is inaction.
EU ministers failed on June 20. They must not fail again on July 15.
#SuspendTheDeal
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
Letzte Woche war voll geopolitischer Entwicklungen.
Um alles einzuordnen, waren MdEP Tobias Cremer, @lisamusiol.bsky.social und ich bei
@euronewsde.bsky.social zu Gast und sprachen über:
🛡️ NATO-Gipfel
❗ Angriff auf Irans Atomanlagen
🤝 EU–Kanada-Gipfel
🎥 www.youtube.com/watch?v=p-cS...
Um alles einzuordnen, waren MdEP Tobias Cremer, @lisamusiol.bsky.social und ich bei
@euronewsde.bsky.social zu Gast und sprachen über:
🛡️ NATO-Gipfel
❗ Angriff auf Irans Atomanlagen
🤝 EU–Kanada-Gipfel
🎥 www.youtube.com/watch?v=p-cS...
Brüssel, meine Liebe? Ein besänftigter Trump und das europäisch-kanadische Liebespaar
YouTube video by euronews (deutsch)
www.youtube.com
June 30, 2025 at 6:40 AM
Letzte Woche war voll geopolitischer Entwicklungen.
Um alles einzuordnen, waren MdEP Tobias Cremer, @lisamusiol.bsky.social und ich bei
@euronewsde.bsky.social zu Gast und sprachen über:
🛡️ NATO-Gipfel
❗ Angriff auf Irans Atomanlagen
🤝 EU–Kanada-Gipfel
🎥 www.youtube.com/watch?v=p-cS...
Um alles einzuordnen, waren MdEP Tobias Cremer, @lisamusiol.bsky.social und ich bei
@euronewsde.bsky.social zu Gast und sprachen über:
🛡️ NATO-Gipfel
❗ Angriff auf Irans Atomanlagen
🤝 EU–Kanada-Gipfel
🎥 www.youtube.com/watch?v=p-cS...
Iran attack could be the death knell for nuclear non-proliferation
More countries will seek atomic weapons unless Europe and its allies defend a flawes but vital treaty
- on.ft.com/45Jehd3 via @FT
More countries will seek atomic weapons unless Europe and its allies defend a flawes but vital treaty
- on.ft.com/45Jehd3 via @FT
Iran attack could be the death knell for nuclear non-proliferation
More countries will seek atomic weapons unless Europe and its allies defend a flawed but vital treaty
on.ft.com
June 30, 2025 at 7:28 AM
Iran attack could be the death knell for nuclear non-proliferation
More countries will seek atomic weapons unless Europe and its allies defend a flawes but vital treaty
- on.ft.com/45Jehd3 via @FT
More countries will seek atomic weapons unless Europe and its allies defend a flawes but vital treaty
- on.ft.com/45Jehd3 via @FT
My quotes @deutschewelle.bsky.social coverage on EU's Gaza policy
"It seems that after the recent escalation between Israel and Iran, many member states have fallen into their old positions," she said.
www.dw.com/en/double-st...
"It seems that after the recent escalation between Israel and Iran, many member states have fallen into their old positions," she said.
www.dw.com/en/double-st...
'Double standards': Spain slams EU inaction on Israel deal – DW – 06/26/2025
An EU report concluded Israel might be breaching human rights in Gaza. The bloc could suspend a major trade deal, but it won't. A brief hardening towards Israel appears to have dissipated after recent...
www.dw.com
June 27, 2025 at 1:11 PM
My quotes @deutschewelle.bsky.social coverage on EU's Gaza policy
"It seems that after the recent escalation between Israel and Iran, many member states have fallen into their old positions," she said.
www.dw.com/en/double-st...
"It seems that after the recent escalation between Israel and Iran, many member states have fallen into their old positions," she said.
www.dw.com/en/double-st...
In a new @crisisgroup.org 'Analyst Notebook' my colleague Marta Musiol unpacks the outcome of the NATO summit with all its pledges and ambiguities.
👇
www.crisisgroup.org/rss.xml
👇
www.crisisgroup.org/rss.xml
www.crisisgroup.org
June 26, 2025 at 12:48 PM
In a new @crisisgroup.org 'Analyst Notebook' my colleague Marta Musiol unpacks the outcome of the NATO summit with all its pledges and ambiguities.
👇
www.crisisgroup.org/rss.xml
👇
www.crisisgroup.org/rss.xml
How war became contagious -
on.ft.com/3GdXS5Z via @FT
"Drones improve by the month, changing the geopolitical calculus."
on.ft.com/3GdXS5Z via @FT
"Drones improve by the month, changing the geopolitical calculus."
How war became contagious
With peaceful norms fading, a new weapon has made conflict cheaper and easier
on.ft.com
June 26, 2025 at 10:35 AM
How war became contagious -
on.ft.com/3GdXS5Z via @FT
"Drones improve by the month, changing the geopolitical calculus."
on.ft.com/3GdXS5Z via @FT
"Drones improve by the month, changing the geopolitical calculus."
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
NATO gathers: as U.S. recalibrates its role & Russia presses Ukraine, a certain amount of improvisation seems destined to be part of Europe’s security architecture, both when it comes to war in Ukraine & when it comes to other future challenges.
www.crisisgroup.org/global-usrus... @crisisgroup.org
www.crisisgroup.org/global-usrus... @crisisgroup.org
A Way Forward for Europe’s Coalitions of the Willing | International Crisis Group
Whatever the forthcoming NATO summit decides, the alliance’s European members are preparing for a continuing threat from Russia and reduced U.S. support for Ukrainian and regional security. To this en...
www.crisisgroup.org
June 24, 2025 at 1:45 PM
NATO gathers: as U.S. recalibrates its role & Russia presses Ukraine, a certain amount of improvisation seems destined to be part of Europe’s security architecture, both when it comes to war in Ukraine & when it comes to other future challenges.
www.crisisgroup.org/global-usrus... @crisisgroup.org
www.crisisgroup.org/global-usrus... @crisisgroup.org
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
Overdue. EU’s stance (or let’s rather say, non-stance) on Israel/ Gaza massively harms its credibility as a supporter of the rules-based international order.
The EU “missed an important opportunity to make clear to the Israeli government that its policies in Gaza and the West Bank have long crossed a red line and will come at a cost for EU-Israel relations”.
My quote in @theguardian.com coverage of yesterday's FAC.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...
My quote in @theguardian.com coverage of yesterday's FAC.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...
EU may take action against Israel if conditions in Gaza do not improve
Bloc’s foreign affairs chief warns of a response unless action is taken to ‘stop the suffering’ in Gaza Strip
www.theguardian.com
June 24, 2025 at 8:14 AM
Overdue. EU’s stance (or let’s rather say, non-stance) on Israel/ Gaza massively harms its credibility as a supporter of the rules-based international order.
The EU “missed an important opportunity to make clear to the Israeli government that its policies in Gaza and the West Bank have long crossed a red line and will come at a cost for EU-Israel relations”.
My quote in @theguardian.com coverage of yesterday's FAC.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...
My quote in @theguardian.com coverage of yesterday's FAC.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...
EU may take action against Israel if conditions in Gaza do not improve
Bloc’s foreign affairs chief warns of a response unless action is taken to ‘stop the suffering’ in Gaza Strip
www.theguardian.com
June 24, 2025 at 8:11 AM
The EU “missed an important opportunity to make clear to the Israeli government that its policies in Gaza and the West Bank have long crossed a red line and will come at a cost for EU-Israel relations”.
My quote in @theguardian.com coverage of yesterday's FAC.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...
My quote in @theguardian.com coverage of yesterday's FAC.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...
Reposted by Lisa Musiol
“The head-spinning course changes on Iran revealed once again how the US president alternates between blustery threats, efforts to cut deals, extreme measures and sudden victory laps — even when momentous issues are at stake.”
‘Regime change’ or peace: Donald Trump’s head-spinning Iran policy
President claims another Middle East war has ended — just days after the US joined it
on.ft.com
June 24, 2025 at 7:38 AM
“The head-spinning course changes on Iran revealed once again how the US president alternates between blustery threats, efforts to cut deals, extreme measures and sudden victory laps — even when momentous issues are at stake.”