Lauren Sukin
@laurensukin.bsky.social
Associate Professor, Department of Politics and International Relations, Nuffield College, University of Oxford | Nuclear Weapons | Alliance Politics | Emerging Technology | Contact: lauren.sukin@politics.ox.ac.uk |
Does public opinion matter for nuclear policy? We say yes, in @ejisbisa.bsky.social.
Whether the public backs nuclear use can sway leaders’ preferences and affects external perceptions of the credibility of deterrence.
doi.org/10.1017/eis....
Whether the public backs nuclear use can sway leaders’ preferences and affects external perceptions of the credibility of deterrence.
doi.org/10.1017/eis....
Atomic responsiveness: How public opinion shapes elite beliefs and preferences on nuclear weapon use | European Journal of International Security | Cambridge Core
Atomic responsiveness: How public opinion shapes elite beliefs and preferences on nuclear weapon use
doi.org
November 11, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Does public opinion matter for nuclear policy? We say yes, in @ejisbisa.bsky.social.
Whether the public backs nuclear use can sway leaders’ preferences and affects external perceptions of the credibility of deterrence.
doi.org/10.1017/eis....
Whether the public backs nuclear use can sway leaders’ preferences and affects external perceptions of the credibility of deterrence.
doi.org/10.1017/eis....
Reposted by Lauren Sukin
The old nuclear rulebook is out of date. From China's growing arsenal to a "crisis of faith" in US alliances, the world is facing a new, more complex nuclear landscape.
Our discussion on all this and more with
@laurensukin.bsky.social and Nicola Leveringhaus: tnsr.org/horns-of-a-d...
Our discussion on all this and more with
@laurensukin.bsky.social and Nicola Leveringhaus: tnsr.org/horns-of-a-d...
October 21, 2025 at 8:58 PM
The old nuclear rulebook is out of date. From China's growing arsenal to a "crisis of faith" in US alliances, the world is facing a new, more complex nuclear landscape.
Our discussion on all this and more with
@laurensukin.bsky.social and Nicola Leveringhaus: tnsr.org/horns-of-a-d...
Our discussion on all this and more with
@laurensukin.bsky.social and Nicola Leveringhaus: tnsr.org/horns-of-a-d...
Reposted by Lauren Sukin
1/5
In @foreignpolicy.com, @laurensukin.bsky.social, @lanoszka.bsky.social, and I provide analysis on how publics around the world viewed the Biden administration's extensive but restricted military aid to Ukraine in 2022-2023.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/20/u...
In @foreignpolicy.com, @laurensukin.bsky.social, @lanoszka.bsky.social, and I provide analysis on how publics around the world viewed the Biden administration's extensive but restricted military aid to Ukraine in 2022-2023.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/20/u...
Reliable Not Reckless
Why Washington’s measured support for Ukraine reassured the world.
foreignpolicy.com
October 20, 2025 at 7:43 PM
1/5
In @foreignpolicy.com, @laurensukin.bsky.social, @lanoszka.bsky.social, and I provide analysis on how publics around the world viewed the Biden administration's extensive but restricted military aid to Ukraine in 2022-2023.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/20/u...
In @foreignpolicy.com, @laurensukin.bsky.social, @lanoszka.bsky.social, and I provide analysis on how publics around the world viewed the Biden administration's extensive but restricted military aid to Ukraine in 2022-2023.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/20/u...
Reposted by Lauren Sukin
💥 "Navigating the New Nuclear Map" 💥
The nuclear landscape is more complex than ever. Our multi-author roundtable chaired by @laurensukin.bsky.social and @rohanmukherjee.bsky.social explores the evolving challenges, from Asia to Europe and the Middle East. 🌍⚛️
tnsr.org/roundtable/n...
The nuclear landscape is more complex than ever. Our multi-author roundtable chaired by @laurensukin.bsky.social and @rohanmukherjee.bsky.social explores the evolving challenges, from Asia to Europe and the Middle East. 🌍⚛️
tnsr.org/roundtable/n...
Navigating the New Nuclear Map - Texas National Security Review
The global nuclear order is undergoing rapid and complex transformations, driven by the expansion of arsenals, evolving doctrines, and the interplay of domestic and international politics. This…
tnsr.org
October 13, 2025 at 4:48 PM
💥 "Navigating the New Nuclear Map" 💥
The nuclear landscape is more complex than ever. Our multi-author roundtable chaired by @laurensukin.bsky.social and @rohanmukherjee.bsky.social explores the evolving challenges, from Asia to Europe and the Middle East. 🌍⚛️
tnsr.org/roundtable/n...
The nuclear landscape is more complex than ever. Our multi-author roundtable chaired by @laurensukin.bsky.social and @rohanmukherjee.bsky.social explores the evolving challenges, from Asia to Europe and the Middle East. 🌍⚛️
tnsr.org/roundtable/n...
Reposted by Lauren Sukin
How are alliances like AUKUS and cooperation between Russia, China, and North Korea reshaping the nuclear order? @laurensukin.bsky.social and @rohanmukherjee.bsky.social introduce the essays and explore the effects of domestic politics and global competition.
📖 Read here: tnsr.org/roundtable/n...
📖 Read here: tnsr.org/roundtable/n...
September 30, 2025 at 4:50 PM
How are alliances like AUKUS and cooperation between Russia, China, and North Korea reshaping the nuclear order? @laurensukin.bsky.social and @rohanmukherjee.bsky.social introduce the essays and explore the effects of domestic politics and global competition.
📖 Read here: tnsr.org/roundtable/n...
📖 Read here: tnsr.org/roundtable/n...
At War on the Rocks, Gregory Winger, @drmagomez.bsky.social, and I show that, while the Trump administration has been supportive of U.S. Indo-Pacific partners in rhetoric, it has been neglectful of the personnel and mechanisms that sustain alliances.
warontherocks.com/2025/09/wash...
warontherocks.com/2025/09/wash...
Washington’s Ironclad Commitments Are Rusting in the Indo-Pacific
The recent wave of meetings between U.S. officials and allies in the Indo-Pacific have been studies in the duality of American diplomacy under President
warontherocks.com
September 24, 2025 at 3:24 PM
At War on the Rocks, Gregory Winger, @drmagomez.bsky.social, and I show that, while the Trump administration has been supportive of U.S. Indo-Pacific partners in rhetoric, it has been neglectful of the personnel and mechanisms that sustain alliances.
warontherocks.com/2025/09/wash...
warontherocks.com/2025/09/wash...
WARNING: An email account—“lauren.sukin.dr@hotmail.com”—has been created by the North Korean group Kimsuky to impersonate me. Please delete any emails you receive from this account. While it will soon be closed down, they are likely to create alternates.
September 13, 2025 at 2:13 PM
WARNING: An email account—“lauren.sukin.dr@hotmail.com”—has been created by the North Korean group Kimsuky to impersonate me. Please delete any emails you receive from this account. While it will soon be closed down, they are likely to create alternates.
Reposted by Lauren Sukin
Now out open access in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. @laurensukin.bsky.social, @lanoszka.bsky.social, & I investigate US reassurance efforts in 2023 during Russia's war on Ukraine.
We conducted public opinion surveys in 24 countries on 6 continents.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
We conducted public opinion surveys in 24 countries on 6 continents.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
August 14, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Now out open access in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. @laurensukin.bsky.social, @lanoszka.bsky.social, & I investigate US reassurance efforts in 2023 during Russia's war on Ukraine.
We conducted public opinion surveys in 24 countries on 6 continents.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
We conducted public opinion surveys in 24 countries on 6 continents.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Lauren Sukin
In a new article for the Journal of Conflict Resolution, CISAC affiliate @laurensukin.bsky.social & colleagues examine data from 24 countries finding early support for the US in the Russo-Ukrainian war came largely from approval of its restrained aid to Ukraine
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Winning Hearts and Minds? How the United States Reassured During the Russo-Ukrainian War - Lauren Sukin, Stephen Herzog, Alexander Lanoszka, 2025
Decades of scholarship hold that great powers shore up global confidence during crises with strong demonstrations of resolve. A much smaller literature critique...
journals.sagepub.com
August 14, 2025 at 6:31 PM
In a new article for the Journal of Conflict Resolution, CISAC affiliate @laurensukin.bsky.social & colleagues examine data from 24 countries finding early support for the US in the Russo-Ukrainian war came largely from approval of its restrained aid to Ukraine
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Lauren Sukin
As great power competition in the Indo-Pacific intensifies, U.S. commitments to regional partners is under scrutiny.
Our new article with @ghwinger.bsky.social & @laurensukin.bsky.social explores how the American public reacts to potential security crises. ⬇️
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Our new article with @ghwinger.bsky.social & @laurensukin.bsky.social explores how the American public reacts to potential security crises. ⬇️
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Allies and partners: US public opinion and relationships in the Indo-Pacific
Competition between China and the United States spurs renewed emphasis on security cooperation in the Indo-Pacific. However, this development in security collaboration unfolds differently from the ...
www.tandfonline.com
July 25, 2025 at 12:53 AM
As great power competition in the Indo-Pacific intensifies, U.S. commitments to regional partners is under scrutiny.
Our new article with @ghwinger.bsky.social & @laurensukin.bsky.social explores how the American public reacts to potential security crises. ⬇️
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Our new article with @ghwinger.bsky.social & @laurensukin.bsky.social explores how the American public reacts to potential security crises. ⬇️
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
As Washington turns the screws on trade policy and burden-sharing against even its closest allies, Gregory Winger, Miguel Alberto Gomez, and I have a new article out at Contemporary Security Policy on alliance dynamics and the willingness to aid partners during crises. Here are three key takeaways:
July 24, 2025 at 9:53 AM
As Washington turns the screws on trade policy and burden-sharing against even its closest allies, Gregory Winger, Miguel Alberto Gomez, and I have a new article out at Contemporary Security Policy on alliance dynamics and the willingness to aid partners during crises. Here are three key takeaways:
Seoul wants the bomb, China and North Korea are piling up warheads. What role should U.S. nuclear weapons play in Asia? Sam Seitz and I tackle this question in a new article at the Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament.
Read our open access article here:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1...
Read our open access article here:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1...
www.tandfonline.com
June 7, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Seoul wants the bomb, China and North Korea are piling up warheads. What role should U.S. nuclear weapons play in Asia? Sam Seitz and I tackle this question in a new article at the Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament.
Read our open access article here:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1...
Read our open access article here:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1...
Reposted by Lauren Sukin
To show resolve or restraint? That is the question for great powers facing major global crises. In a newly published paper, CISAC affiliate @laurensukin.bsky.social & Alexander Lanoszka show the benefits of restraint for reassuring allies during crises. Open access ⤵️ doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Credibility in Crises: How Patrons Reassure Their Allies
Abstracts. How do citizens of US allies assess different reassurance strategies? This article investigates the effects of US reassurance policies on public
doi.org
April 16, 2024 at 10:38 PM
To show resolve or restraint? That is the question for great powers facing major global crises. In a newly published paper, CISAC affiliate @laurensukin.bsky.social & Alexander Lanoszka show the benefits of restraint for reassuring allies during crises. Open access ⤵️ doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Had a great conversation with APLN last night on managing US extended deterrence in East Asia. You know it was good when the conference ended at 1am and you’re still thinking about it when you wake up! I love it when my job is talking about interesting problems with interesting people.
October 31, 2023 at 10:24 AM
Had a great conversation with APLN last night on managing US extended deterrence in East Asia. You know it was good when the conference ended at 1am and you’re still thinking about it when you wake up! I love it when my job is talking about interesting problems with interesting people.
Does the US need more nuclear weapons to face the “two-peer problem” posed by Russia’s and China’s nuclear arsenals?
I revisit the nuclear superiority lit in my latest for Carnegie Endowment & argue this approach “is unlikely to be helpful” in the current geopolitical environment.
t.co/fTCGpH9BeI
I revisit the nuclear superiority lit in my latest for Carnegie Endowment & argue this approach “is unlikely to be helpful” in the current geopolitical environment.
t.co/fTCGpH9BeI
When Nuclear Superiority Isn’t Superior: Revisiting the Nuclear Balance of Power
Statistical analysis of nuclear crises tells an unexpected story about the usefulness of expanding nuclear arsenals.
t.co
October 19, 2023 at 5:01 PM
Does the US need more nuclear weapons to face the “two-peer problem” posed by Russia’s and China’s nuclear arsenals?
I revisit the nuclear superiority lit in my latest for Carnegie Endowment & argue this approach “is unlikely to be helpful” in the current geopolitical environment.
t.co/fTCGpH9BeI
I revisit the nuclear superiority lit in my latest for Carnegie Endowment & argue this approach “is unlikely to be helpful” in the current geopolitical environment.
t.co/fTCGpH9BeI
Honored to receive this award from the Army Strategist Association for my work with Katie Hedgecock on attribution and retaliation to cyber attacks.
Read our JCR article here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1....
Read our JCR article here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1....
October 13, 2023 at 7:50 AM
Honored to receive this award from the Army Strategist Association for my work with Katie Hedgecock on attribution and retaliation to cyber attacks.
Read our JCR article here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1....
Read our JCR article here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1....
It was a pleasure to speak at this year’s NATO nuclear policy forum! I discussed my recent research on Russian and North Korean nuclear threats, which you can read about here: carnegieendowment.org/2023/05/04/r....
October 2, 2023 at 2:46 PM
It was a pleasure to speak at this year’s NATO nuclear policy forum! I discussed my recent research on Russian and North Korean nuclear threats, which you can read about here: carnegieendowment.org/2023/05/04/r....
Why does the US struggle to deter North Korea? What should we make of KJU’s visit to Russia? What role does China play in the Korean Peninsula? We discuss these questions and more in the latest edition of The Focus Podcast: sageinternational.com.au/video/u-s-st...
sageinternational.com.au
September 26, 2023 at 8:38 AM
Why does the US struggle to deter North Korea? What should we make of KJU’s visit to Russia? What role does China play in the Korean Peninsula? We discuss these questions and more in the latest edition of The Focus Podcast: sageinternational.com.au/video/u-s-st...
Goodbye, CISAC! It was great to be back at Stanford for an excellent conversation about law, ethics, and nuclear weapons.
September 23, 2023 at 2:52 PM
Goodbye, CISAC! It was great to be back at Stanford for an excellent conversation about law, ethics, and nuclear weapons.
Are bigger nuclear arsenals really better? Nuclear superiority makes states less likely to accomplish their goals during crises against adversaries that have much smaller arsenals. Read more in the new edition of Security Studies:
doi.org/10.1080/0963...
doi.org/10.1080/0963...
The Disadvantage of Nuclear Superiority
When crises occur between nuclear-armed states, do relative nuclear capabilities affect the outcome? The literature offers no consensus about nuclear superiority’s effect on crisis victory, but thi....
doi.org
September 11, 2023 at 2:17 PM
Are bigger nuclear arsenals really better? Nuclear superiority makes states less likely to accomplish their goals during crises against adversaries that have much smaller arsenals. Read more in the new edition of Security Studies:
doi.org/10.1080/0963...
doi.org/10.1080/0963...