@kiheiakole.bsky.social
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**VIX Technical Analysis ALERT**
Higher highs, higher lows... near 21 this morning
More vol thoughts from me on @stockcharts: articles.stockcharts...
Higher highs, higher lows... near 21 this morning
More vol thoughts from me on @stockcharts: articles.stockcharts...
February 19, 2026 at 2:41 PM
**VIX Technical Analysis ALERT**
Higher highs, higher lows... near 21 this morning
More vol thoughts from me on @stockcharts: articles.stockcharts...
Higher highs, higher lows... near 21 this morning
More vol thoughts from me on @stockcharts: articles.stockcharts...
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Did you miss it? Yesterday, GasBuddy refreshed our Best Day of the Week analysis! What's the best day to fill your tank in your state, and when do you usually fill up? Here's what we suggest:
February 19, 2026 at 3:15 PM
Did you miss it? Yesterday, GasBuddy refreshed our Best Day of the Week analysis! What's the best day to fill your tank in your state, and when do you usually fill up? Here's what we suggest:
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The results are in!
After voting up for 13 straight weeks we've had an every other vote for the last 5 weeks.
Thanks for voting!
After voting up for 13 straight weeks we've had an every other vote for the last 5 weeks.
Thanks for voting!
February 14, 2026 at 7:57 PM
The results are in!
After voting up for 13 straight weeks we've had an every other vote for the last 5 weeks.
Thanks for voting!
After voting up for 13 straight weeks we've had an every other vote for the last 5 weeks.
Thanks for voting!
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I'm sure you guys know this chart...
January 26, 2026 at 2:00 PM
I'm sure you guys know this chart...
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I really miss Twitter active single stock name news and discussions. Its either all gone or moved to newsletters.
Stocktwits is a total waste of time. Reddit is the wild west.
Stocktwits is a total waste of time. Reddit is the wild west.
January 15, 2026 at 4:04 PM
I really miss Twitter active single stock name news and discussions. Its either all gone or moved to newsletters.
Stocktwits is a total waste of time. Reddit is the wild west.
Stocktwits is a total waste of time. Reddit is the wild west.
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Earnings for the week of January 5, 2026
January 2, 2026 at 4:29 PM
Earnings for the week of January 5, 2026
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‘Just about all of the boxes have been checked that an investor would look for to determine that the end of a secular bull market is near.‘ journey1advisors.com/overview-of-...
December 31, 2025 at 7:11 PM
‘Just about all of the boxes have been checked that an investor would look for to determine that the end of a secular bull market is near.‘ journey1advisors.com/overview-of-...
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Some massive losses among lower-tier cryptos this year... solana -33%, DOGE -61% @finviz_com
December 31, 2025 at 11:12 AM
Some massive losses among lower-tier cryptos this year... solana -33%, DOGE -61% @finviz_com
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Trend channel perspective. My take? SPX is likely to ride the upper rail until mid-2026 or longer based on post-April-2025 momentum. Happy New Year, everyone!
December 31, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Trend channel perspective. My take? SPX is likely to ride the upper rail until mid-2026 or longer based on post-April-2025 momentum. Happy New Year, everyone!
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Pending Home Sales, Dallas Fed Mfg today
Home price data, Chicago PMI, FOMC Minutes tomorrow
Claims Wednesday
Home price data, Chicago PMI, FOMC Minutes tomorrow
Claims Wednesday
December 29, 2025 at 10:21 AM
Pending Home Sales, Dallas Fed Mfg today
Home price data, Chicago PMI, FOMC Minutes tomorrow
Claims Wednesday
Home price data, Chicago PMI, FOMC Minutes tomorrow
Claims Wednesday
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The S&P 500 is at an all-time high, while the median S&P 500 stock is in an 11.5% drawdown.
Data from @barchart
Data from @barchart
December 26, 2025 at 2:26 PM
The S&P 500 is at an all-time high, while the median S&P 500 stock is in an 11.5% drawdown.
Data from @barchart
Data from @barchart
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The average bear market lasts 14 months and is followed by a 70-month bull market. JPMAM
December 26, 2025 at 4:01 PM
The average bear market lasts 14 months and is followed by a 70-month bull market. JPMAM
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“Looking at the 1949-1968 and 1982-2000 secular bull markets, this one appears to be in its final innings.” www.linkedin.com/pulse/outloo...
December 26, 2025 at 4:05 PM
“Looking at the 1949-1968 and 1982-2000 secular bull markets, this one appears to be in its final innings.” www.linkedin.com/pulse/outloo...
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I see several of my pals chatting up the break in COST.
I have a weird view of charts: if they break a well watched support level and can recapture that level, the stock tends to do quite well cuz we've gotten rid of the weak holders.
So can it recapture?
@conorsen.bsky.social @cavandy.bsky.social
I have a weird view of charts: if they break a well watched support level and can recapture that level, the stock tends to do quite well cuz we've gotten rid of the weak holders.
So can it recapture?
@conorsen.bsky.social @cavandy.bsky.social
December 16, 2025 at 5:04 PM
I see several of my pals chatting up the break in COST.
I have a weird view of charts: if they break a well watched support level and can recapture that level, the stock tends to do quite well cuz we've gotten rid of the weak holders.
So can it recapture?
@conorsen.bsky.social @cavandy.bsky.social
I have a weird view of charts: if they break a well watched support level and can recapture that level, the stock tends to do quite well cuz we've gotten rid of the weak holders.
So can it recapture?
@conorsen.bsky.social @cavandy.bsky.social
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Bob Dylan attempts to explain Willie Nelson in The New Yorker's profile of Willie: www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
December 22, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Bob Dylan attempts to explain Willie Nelson in The New Yorker's profile of Willie: www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
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The average restaurant stock is down rather sharply YTD (best +24%, worst -79%) $EATZ
Several -34% to -54%
Several -34% to -54%
December 21, 2025 at 12:36 PM
The average restaurant stock is down rather sharply YTD (best +24%, worst -79%) $EATZ
Several -34% to -54%
Several -34% to -54%
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Santa Claus Watch
The Santa Claus rally is a statistically observable window—the final seven trading days of the year—that has historically outperformed random periods. Since 1950, this year-end stretch has averaged gains of roughly 1.3% to 1.4%.
Dec 24-Jan 5 this go-round.
The Santa Claus rally is a statistically observable window—the final seven trading days of the year—that has historically outperformed random periods. Since 1950, this year-end stretch has averaged gains of roughly 1.3% to 1.4%.
Dec 24-Jan 5 this go-round.
December 19, 2025 at 8:24 PM
Santa Claus Watch
The Santa Claus rally is a statistically observable window—the final seven trading days of the year—that has historically outperformed random periods. Since 1950, this year-end stretch has averaged gains of roughly 1.3% to 1.4%.
Dec 24-Jan 5 this go-round.
The Santa Claus rally is a statistically observable window—the final seven trading days of the year—that has historically outperformed random periods. Since 1950, this year-end stretch has averaged gains of roughly 1.3% to 1.4%.
Dec 24-Jan 5 this go-round.
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$NVDA bounced back this week a bit, $AVGO still in jail
December 19, 2025 at 8:53 PM
$NVDA bounced back this week a bit, $AVGO still in jail
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Price changes over last year (November CPI report)
Fuel Oil: +11.3%
Gas Utilities: +9.1%
Electricity: +6.9%
Food away from home: +3.7%
Used Cars: +3.6%
Medical Care: +3.3%
Shelter: +3.0%
Overall CPI: +2.7%
Food at home: +1.9%
Transportation: +1.7%
Gasoline: +0.9%
New Cars: +0.6%
Fuel Oil: +11.3%
Gas Utilities: +9.1%
Electricity: +6.9%
Food away from home: +3.7%
Used Cars: +3.6%
Medical Care: +3.3%
Shelter: +3.0%
Overall CPI: +2.7%
Food at home: +1.9%
Transportation: +1.7%
Gasoline: +0.9%
New Cars: +0.6%
December 18, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Price changes over last year (November CPI report)
Fuel Oil: +11.3%
Gas Utilities: +9.1%
Electricity: +6.9%
Food away from home: +3.7%
Used Cars: +3.6%
Medical Care: +3.3%
Shelter: +3.0%
Overall CPI: +2.7%
Food at home: +1.9%
Transportation: +1.7%
Gasoline: +0.9%
New Cars: +0.6%
Fuel Oil: +11.3%
Gas Utilities: +9.1%
Electricity: +6.9%
Food away from home: +3.7%
Used Cars: +3.6%
Medical Care: +3.3%
Shelter: +3.0%
Overall CPI: +2.7%
Food at home: +1.9%
Transportation: +1.7%
Gasoline: +0.9%
New Cars: +0.6%
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Correct. Discharge Petition is very much alive.
Timing: now that it has 218 signatures, it has to "ripen" for 7 legislative days, then any member who signed the DP can call it up. Then Johnson has 2 legislative days to schedule a vote.
Which still means January 2026 at earliest, around Jan 13-15
Timing: now that it has 218 signatures, it has to "ripen" for 7 legislative days, then any member who signed the DP can call it up. Then Johnson has 2 legislative days to schedule a vote.
Which still means January 2026 at earliest, around Jan 13-15
December 17, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Correct. Discharge Petition is very much alive.
Timing: now that it has 218 signatures, it has to "ripen" for 7 legislative days, then any member who signed the DP can call it up. Then Johnson has 2 legislative days to schedule a vote.
Which still means January 2026 at earliest, around Jan 13-15
Timing: now that it has 218 signatures, it has to "ripen" for 7 legislative days, then any member who signed the DP can call it up. Then Johnson has 2 legislative days to schedule a vote.
Which still means January 2026 at earliest, around Jan 13-15
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One has to admit that whatever is going on here, there is something truly astonishing about it
December 17, 2025 at 6:20 AM
One has to admit that whatever is going on here, there is something truly astonishing about it
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‘Currently, FOMC members foresee upside risks to the unemployment rate and inflation. In other words, the Fed continues to forecast stagflation and is concerned that we in 2026 may experience rising inflation and rising unemployment at the same time.’ www.apolloacademy.com/fed-sees-sta...
Fed Sees Stagflation as Biggest Risk in 2026 - Apollo Academy
When FOMC members produce their forecasts ahead of Fed meetings, they are also asked how they view the risks to...
www.apolloacademy.com
December 17, 2025 at 3:04 PM
‘Currently, FOMC members foresee upside risks to the unemployment rate and inflation. In other words, the Fed continues to forecast stagflation and is concerned that we in 2026 may experience rising inflation and rising unemployment at the same time.’ www.apolloacademy.com/fed-sees-sta...
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Margin Debt increased +42% in the past 7 months. Investors went all-in.
This only happened 5 times before, and the S&P 500 was lower 1 year later every time.
The last 2 times? February 2000 & May 2007
This only happened 5 times before, and the S&P 500 was lower 1 year later every time.
The last 2 times? February 2000 & May 2007
December 17, 2025 at 4:03 PM
Margin Debt increased +42% in the past 7 months. Investors went all-in.
This only happened 5 times before, and the S&P 500 was lower 1 year later every time.
The last 2 times? February 2000 & May 2007
This only happened 5 times before, and the S&P 500 was lower 1 year later every time.
The last 2 times? February 2000 & May 2007
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Meanwhile, hotels through the roof.. $HLT $MAR 52wk highs
December 17, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Meanwhile, hotels through the roof.. $HLT $MAR 52wk highs
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Midterm years can be tricky $SPY @kevrgordon @LizAnnSonders
December 15, 2025 at 12:50 PM
Midterm years can be tricky $SPY @kevrgordon @LizAnnSonders