Kevin Hanley
@khanley.bsky.social
polling @dataforprogress.org
very interested in your thoughts
very interested in your thoughts
traditionally you're not supposed to say that you were told to shut up about something
Charlie Kirk says he doesn't want to talk about Jeffrey Epstein anymore, pivoting to "We have tons of announcements happening when it comes to NATO..."
Charlie Kirk Announces He’s ‘Done Talking About Epstein’ After Trump Called Him
"I'm gonna trust my friends in the administration, I'm gonna trust my friends in the government to do what needs to be done"
www.mediaite.com
July 14, 2025 at 8:12 PM
traditionally you're not supposed to say that you were told to shut up about something
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
If you had a magic wand, what would you change in your community?
Folks in Milwaukee, WI told us about the minimum wage, job training, and welcoming immigrants.
Folks in Milwaukee, WI told us about the minimum wage, job training, and welcoming immigrants.
July 14, 2025 at 5:32 PM
If you had a magic wand, what would you change in your community?
Folks in Milwaukee, WI told us about the minimum wage, job training, and welcoming immigrants.
Folks in Milwaukee, WI told us about the minimum wage, job training, and welcoming immigrants.
our new poll has zohran up 16 points over cuomo in a traditional electorate weight
July 14, 2025 at 1:24 PM
our new poll has zohran up 16 points over cuomo in a traditional electorate weight
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
This is a Hall of Fame reader comment on a very reactionary op-ed about Zohran Mamdani's victory that was published in my local paper today.
June 25, 2025 at 7:31 PM
This is a Hall of Fame reader comment on a very reactionary op-ed about Zohran Mamdani's victory that was published in my local paper today.
Yup, i think in many ways 2021 was a needed loss for the left to familiarize themselves with RCV and all its intricacies
Feels like ranked choice was absolutely decisive in this race—not because of the vote count, but because of how it changed the incentives from zero-sum to cooperapetitive. It allowed a fractured left field to align organically through co-endorsements instead of falling into a circular firing squad.
From a key Mamdani adviser ❤️
June 25, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Yup, i think in many ways 2021 was a needed loss for the left to familiarize themselves with RCV and all its intricacies
after removing undecideds we have:
Cuomo - 40%
Zohran - 33%
within the margin of error of the Expedition poll. we're showing the same race, only thing that differs is RCV
Cuomo - 40%
Zohran - 33%
within the margin of error of the Expedition poll. we're showing the same race, only thing that differs is RCV
June 10, 2025 at 12:15 AM
after removing undecideds we have:
Cuomo - 40%
Zohran - 33%
within the margin of error of the Expedition poll. we're showing the same race, only thing that differs is RCV
Cuomo - 40%
Zohran - 33%
within the margin of error of the Expedition poll. we're showing the same race, only thing that differs is RCV
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
New piece! Media coverage of Kilmar Abrego Garcia hurt Trump, not Democrats. An actually data-driven analysis of some stale conventional wisdom.
Alt title: Matt Yglesias is wrong about Democrats and Abrego Garcia🧵
Alt title: Matt Yglesias is wrong about Democrats and Abrego Garcia🧵
Media coverage of Kilmar Abrego Garcia hurt Trump, not Democrats
Public opinion on immigration has shifted — and pundits need to catch up
www.gelliottmorris.com
June 5, 2025 at 12:05 PM
New piece! Media coverage of Kilmar Abrego Garcia hurt Trump, not Democrats. An actually data-driven analysis of some stale conventional wisdom.
Alt title: Matt Yglesias is wrong about Democrats and Abrego Garcia🧵
Alt title: Matt Yglesias is wrong about Democrats and Abrego Garcia🧵
Bold move for brad lander to shoutout the manhattan institute in this debate. let's see if that pays off
June 4, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Bold move for brad lander to shoutout the manhattan institute in this debate. let's see if that pays off
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
NEW Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll out this AM. We find cuts to Medicaid deeply unpopular (58% oppose to 14%), Trump underwater on most issues (-16 net approval), Democrats ahead on the generic ballot by 6 points, and Harris leading a 2024 rematch
Full results in this thread
Full results in this thread
New poll: Americans oppose cuts to Medicaid, want Democrats to control the U.S. House
...and Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 rematch. Results from the inaugural Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll
www.gelliottmorris.com
May 14, 2025 at 12:40 PM
NEW Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll out this AM. We find cuts to Medicaid deeply unpopular (58% oppose to 14%), Trump underwater on most issues (-16 net approval), Democrats ahead on the generic ballot by 6 points, and Harris leading a 2024 rematch
Full results in this thread
Full results in this thread
If only
Trump says Pete Buttigieg "has no clue. You know, he drives to work on his bicycle with his, in all fairness, with his husband on the back."
May 8, 2025 at 3:54 PM
If only
Im sensing a lot of demand in the friend market. Looking to optimize this space for efficiency and productivity
Mark Zuckerberg says Meta's chatbots will supplement your real friends: "The average American has fewer than 3 friends ... but has demand for ... 15 friends" (h/t x.com/romanhelmetg...)
May 2, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Im sensing a lot of demand in the friend market. Looking to optimize this space for efficiency and productivity
will arnett coded
April 30, 2025 at 4:35 PM
will arnett coded
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
What’s different about this question from many Qs in politics, is the *lack* of polarization—by party or by race. This dimension, which we can call “news engagement,” cuts across other dimensions, and tells us something your party & demographics alone cannot. Makes a potentially powerful tool.
April 30, 2025 at 2:07 PM
What’s different about this question from many Qs in politics, is the *lack* of polarization—by party or by race. This dimension, which we can call “news engagement,” cuts across other dimensions, and tells us something your party & demographics alone cannot. Makes a potentially powerful tool.
everyone at the Brooklyn Half Marathon is talking about The Pit
April 27, 2025 at 12:54 PM
everyone at the Brooklyn Half Marathon is talking about The Pit
having a "why it matters" section that just reiterates patel's tweet is something else
April 25, 2025 at 2:53 PM
having a "why it matters" section that just reiterates patel's tweet is something else
not often do we see such similar results across partisanship
NEW: A majority of voters support banning members of Congress from trading stocks, including 61% of Democrats, 62% of Independents, and 58% of Republicans.
www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
April 21, 2025 at 7:05 PM
not often do we see such similar results across partisanship
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
NEW: Voters across party lines believe that immigrants with green cards or visas should have due process rights.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/4/...
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/4/...
April 15, 2025 at 4:54 PM
NEW: Voters across party lines believe that immigrants with green cards or visas should have due process rights.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/4/...
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/4/...
party leaders should stake out positions and lead! i write about that here:
NEW Insight from @khanley.bsky.social :
Party leaders can have an important role in shaping public opinion — particularly on issues for which voters don't have strongly held convictions.
www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
Party leaders can have an important role in shaping public opinion — particularly on issues for which voters don't have strongly held convictions.
www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
How Party Leaders Can Shape Public Opinion Rather Than Chase It
In many cases, voters are looking for signals from party leaders they trust.
www.dataforprogress.org
April 14, 2025 at 4:53 PM
party leaders should stake out positions and lead! i write about that here:
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
NEW: In a hypothetical matchup for the 2028 U.S. Senate primary in New York, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads Chuck Schumer by a 19-point margin.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/4/...
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/4/...
April 4, 2025 at 1:21 PM
NEW: In a hypothetical matchup for the 2028 U.S. Senate primary in New York, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads Chuck Schumer by a 19-point margin.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/4/...
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/4/...
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
NEW: Only 15% of New York City voters think Eric Adams should run for office again.
A majority think he should either resign immediately (37%) or serve out the remainder of his term but not run again (40%).
www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
A majority think he should either resign immediately (37%) or serve out the remainder of his term but not run again (40%).
www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
April 2, 2025 at 3:44 PM
NEW: Only 15% of New York City voters think Eric Adams should run for office again.
A majority think he should either resign immediately (37%) or serve out the remainder of his term but not run again (40%).
www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
A majority think he should either resign immediately (37%) or serve out the remainder of his term but not run again (40%).
www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
When Democratic voters are asked how they would grade the Democratic Party on its response to Trump, 70% give the party a C or below.
About 1 in 5 give the party an F, and only 10% give an A.
About 1 in 5 give the party an F, and only 10% give an A.
March 31, 2025 at 2:34 PM
When Democratic voters are asked how they would grade the Democratic Party on its response to Trump, 70% give the party a C or below.
About 1 in 5 give the party an F, and only 10% give an A.
About 1 in 5 give the party an F, and only 10% give an A.
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
1. A new poll shows a massive opposition to government censorship of transgender people happening now.
It also shows heavy opposition to the impacts of Trump's anti-trans executive orders... the military ban, teacher investigations, and trans youth care ban.
Subscribe to support our journalism.
It also shows heavy opposition to the impacts of Trump's anti-trans executive orders... the military ban, teacher investigations, and trans youth care ban.
Subscribe to support our journalism.
New Poll Shows Massive Opposition To The Active US Government Censorship Of Trans People
The poll also shows heavy support for transgender youth care, opposition to the military ban, and opposition to the prosecution of teachers affirming trans youth.
www.erininthemorning.com
March 27, 2025 at 7:11 PM
1. A new poll shows a massive opposition to government censorship of transgender people happening now.
It also shows heavy opposition to the impacts of Trump's anti-trans executive orders... the military ban, teacher investigations, and trans youth care ban.
Subscribe to support our journalism.
It also shows heavy opposition to the impacts of Trump's anti-trans executive orders... the military ban, teacher investigations, and trans youth care ban.
Subscribe to support our journalism.
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
NEW NYC MAYORAL POLL:
Cuomo leads the pack with 39% in the first-round vote, followed by Mamdani (15%), Lander (8%), Eric Adams (7%), and Adrienne Adams (5%).
The other five candidates tested receive less than 5% of the vote each.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/3/...
Cuomo leads the pack with 39% in the first-round vote, followed by Mamdani (15%), Lander (8%), Eric Adams (7%), and Adrienne Adams (5%).
The other five candidates tested receive less than 5% of the vote each.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/3/...
March 26, 2025 at 2:09 PM
NEW NYC MAYORAL POLL:
Cuomo leads the pack with 39% in the first-round vote, followed by Mamdani (15%), Lander (8%), Eric Adams (7%), and Adrienne Adams (5%).
The other five candidates tested receive less than 5% of the vote each.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/3/...
Cuomo leads the pack with 39% in the first-round vote, followed by Mamdani (15%), Lander (8%), Eric Adams (7%), and Adrienne Adams (5%).
The other five candidates tested receive less than 5% of the vote each.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/3/...
Reposted by Kevin Hanley
NEW: A majority of voters, including 57% of Independents, oppose the Trump administration’s efforts to shutter the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
March 25, 2025 at 5:34 PM
NEW: A majority of voters, including 57% of Independents, oppose the Trump administration’s efforts to shutter the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.