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Data for Progress
@dataforprogress.org
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Data movements trust. Progressive policy and polling organization.

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Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · Oct 30
We are thrilled to announce that @rodonnell.bsky.social has been named the next executive director of Data for Progress!

Ryan is an expert in survey methodology with a long history in progressive and union politics — he has worked with DFP since 2019 to shape our electoral polling.
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters (64%) think that Trump will attempt to deploy immigration enforcement agents to interfere in the 2026 midterms.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/2/...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Believe Trump Will Attempt to Use ICE to Interfere in 2026 Midterms. Description: Do you think President Trump will or will not attempt to deploy immigration enforcement agents to prevent participation in the 2026 midterms? All likely voters — Trump will attempt to do this: 64%, Don't know: 15%, Trump will not attempt to do this: 21% Democrat — Trump will attempt to do this: 81%, Don't know: 10%, Trump will not attempt to do this: 9% Independent / Third party — Trump will attempt to do this: 66%, Don't know: 15%, Trump will not attempt to do this: 20% Republican — Trump will attempt to do this: 45%, Don't know: 19%, Trump will not attempt to do this: 36% January 30–February 2, 2026 survey of 1,307 U.S. likely voters.
February 9, 2026 at 5:12 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Voter favorability of ICE has plummeted after the fatal shootings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti.

Only 39% of voters have a favorable view of ICE, while 58% are unfavorable.
Time series chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: ICE Favorability Has Plummeted After Two Shootings in Minneapolis. Description: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following people or institutions? — U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Favorable — Decreased, with the highest response reported on Apr 28, 2025 (51%) and the lowest response recorded on Feb 02, 2026 (39%). Unfavorable — Increased, with the highest response reported on Feb 02, 2026 (58%) and the lowest response recorded on Jan 24, 2025 (36%). 12 surveys of 14,630 U.S. likely voters, conducted January 24, 2025–February 2, 2026.
February 3, 2026 at 7:59 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters think the U.S. should not try to acquire Greenland — including a +38-point margin of Independents.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think the U.S. Should Not Try to Acquire Greenland. Description: Do you think the U.S. should or should not try to acquire Greenland from Denmark? All likely voters — The U.S. should not try to acquire Greenland: 62%, Don't know: 8%, The U.S. should try to acquire Greenland: 30% Democrat — The U.S. should not try to acquire Greenland: 88%, Don't know: 4%, The U.S. should try to acquire Greenland: 9% Independent / Third party — The U.S. should not try to acquire Greenland: 63%, Don't know: 12%, The U.S. should try to acquire Greenland: 25% Republican — The U.S. should not try to acquire Greenland: 32%, Don't know: 11%, The U.S. should try to acquire Greenland: 57% January 23–26, 2026 survey of 1,226 U.S. likely voters.
January 27, 2026 at 7:31 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Voters support a wide range of policies that would put a check on ICE abuses.

These include body cameras, oversight & independent investigations, and limits to raids, masks, and ICE funding.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support Actions to Rein In Immigration Enforcement Abuses. Description: Do you support or oppose the federal government taking the following actions related to immigration policy? View crosstabs for full question results: https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2026/1/dfp_immigration_policy_support.pdf
January 26, 2026 at 7:58 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters are now unfavorable of ICE.

While ICE was viewed favorably by +13-point margin at the beginning of Trump’s second term, it is now viewed unfavorably by a -9-point margin.
Time series chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Have Become More Unfavorable of ICE Across Trump's Second Term. Description: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following people or institutions? — U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Favorable — Decreased, with the highest response reported on Apr 28, 2025 (51%) and the lowest response recorded on Jan 20, 2026 (43%). Unfavorable — Increased, with the highest response reported on Jan 20, 2026 (52%) and the lowest response recorded on Jan 24, 2025 (36%). 10 surveys of 12,060 U.S. likely voters, conducted January 24, 2025–January 20, 2026.
January 22, 2026 at 6:45 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters say the federal government is not investing enough into housing, infrastructure, and transportation.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Say the Federal Government Is Not Investing Enough Into Housing and Infrastructure. Description: Do you think the federal government is investing too much, the right amount, or not enough money and resources into the following? Key: a = Not enough b = The right amount c = Too much d = Don’t know Results: Housing — a: 62%, b: 23%, c: 6%, d: 8% Infrastructure (e.g., bridges, power grid) — a: 60%, b: 25%, c: 6%, d: 8% Transportation (e.g., high-speed rail) — a: 50%, b: 29%, c: 13%, d: 8% Clean energy (e.g., solar, wind, nuclear) — a: 46%, b: 25%, c: 21%, d: 8% New tech manufacturing (e.g., chips, batteries) — a: 33%, b: 38%, c: 15%, d: 14% Electric vehicles & charging stations — a: 24%, b: 28%, c: 38%, d: 10% Artificial intelligence & data centers — a: 16%, b: 34%, c: 38%, d: 12% Survey conducted December 13–15, 2025 among 1,145 U.S. likely voters.
January 21, 2026 at 6:14 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: After one year of Trump's second term, voters are still pessimistic about inflation and the state of the economy.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...
Time series chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Are Consistently Pessimistic About Inflation. Description: For each of the following, please say if they are getting better or worse for people like you: — Inflation or costs of goods Getting better for people like me — Increased, with the highest response reported on Jul 28, 2025 (27%) and the lowest response recorded on Mar 01, 2025 (17%). Don't know — Decreased, with the highest response reported on Mar 27, 2025 (10%) and the lowest response recorded on Dec 24, 2025 (5%). Getting worse for people like me — Increased, with the highest response reported on Mar 01, 2025 (74%) and the lowest response recorded on Mar 27, 2025 (66%). 11 surveys of 13,339 U.S. likely voters, conducted January 31–December 24, 2025.
January 20, 2026 at 5:44 PM
dataforprogress.org
Our new polling finds that voters across party lines would support their state government implementing a free child care program for all 2-year-olds and 3-year-olds.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Strong Majority of Voters Support Providing Free Child Care to All 2-Year-Olds and 3-Year-Olds. Description: Would you support or oppose your state government investing taxpayer dollars to create a system that provides free child care to all 2-year-olds and 3-year-olds? All likely voters — Support: 71%, Oppose: 25% Democrat — Support: 86%, Oppose: 11% Independent / Third party — Support: 71%, Oppose: 23% Republican — Support: 56%, Oppose: 40% January 10–12, 2026 survey of 1,124 U.S. likely voters.
January 16, 2026 at 5:29 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: After the U.S. invasion of Venezuela, a majority of voters think Trump is a “pro-war” president, including 61% of Independents.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think Trump Is a Pro-War President. Description: Which of the following better describes Donald Trump? All likely voters — A pro-war president: 57%, Don't know: 4%, A pro-peace president: 39% Democrat — A pro-war president: 86%, Don't know: 3%, A pro-peace president: 11% Independent / Third party — A pro-war president: 61%, Don't know: 6%, A pro-peace president: 33% Republican — A pro-war president: 27%, Don't know: 5%, A pro-peace president: 69% Persuadable voter — A pro-war president: 56%, Don't know: 7%, A pro-peace president: 38% January 10–12, 2026 survey of 1,124 U.S. likely voters.
January 15, 2026 at 5:43 PM
Reposted by Data for Progress
matthewcort.land
At @dataforprogress.org we find that:

More than ½ of voters, including a majority of Independents, would support the State of Minnesota bringing charges against the ICE officer who shot and killed Renee Nicole Good

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: More Than Half of Voters Would Support Pressing Charges Against the ICE Officer Who Killed Renee Good. Description: Would you support or oppose the State of Minnesota pressing charges against the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer who shot and killed a woman in Minneapolis? All likely voters — I would support this: 51%, Don't know: 10%, I would oppose this: 39% Democrat — I would support this: 79%, Don't know: 5%, I would oppose this: 16% Independent / Third party — I would support this: 55%, Don't know: 11%, I would oppose this: 34% Republican — I would support this: 21%, Don't know: 14%, I would oppose this: 65% January 9–11, 2026 survey of 1,265 U.S. likely voters.
January 14, 2026 at 6:29 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: By a -16-point margin, voters say that the ICE officer in Minneapolis was not justified in using lethal force against Renee Good.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Do Not Believe the ICE Officer in Minneapolis Was Justified in Using Lethal Force. Description: Based on what you have seen or heard, do you believe the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer who shot and killed a woman in Minneapolis was justified in using lethal force? All likely voters — The ICE officer was justified in using lethal force: 36%, Don't know: 12%, The ICE officer was not justified in using lethal force: 52% Democrat — The ICE officer was justified in using lethal force: 8%, Don't know: 8%, The ICE officer was not justified in using lethal force: 84% Independent / Third party — The ICE officer was justified in using lethal force: 30%, Don't know: 11%, The ICE officer was not justified in using lethal force: 58% Republican — The ICE officer was justified in using lethal force: 68%, Don't know: 15%, The ICE officer was not justified in using lethal force: 17% January 9–11, 2026 survey of 1,265 U.S. likely voters.
January 13, 2026 at 2:27 PM
Reposted by Data for Progress
zeteo.com
Most voters do not believe the ICE officer in Minneapolis was justified in using lethal force, new EXCLUSIVE poll results show.

@dataforprogress.org polled Americans on how they view ICE in the aftermath of Renee Good’s murder in Minneapolis last week.

RESULTS: zeteo.com/p/ice-renee-...
January 12, 2026 at 11:35 PM
dataforprogress.org
Voters do not agree with Trump that the economy is “A+++++.”
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Have a Negative View of the Trump Economy. Description: Thinking about the U.S. economy today, what grade would you give it overall? All likely voters — A or B: 20%, C, D, or F: 79% Democrat — A or B: 4%, C, D, or F: 93% Independent / Third party — A or B: 12%, C, D, or F: 86% Republican — A or B: 40%, C, D, or F: 60% December 20–24, 2025 survey of 1,261 U.S. likely voters.
January 7, 2026 at 4:36 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW with @careinaction.bsky.social:

In Republican-held swing districts, a generic Democrat performs better once voters learn that their representative voted against extending ACA subsidies.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/12...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Generic Democrat Increases Advantage in Republican-Held Swing Districts if Incumbent Votes Against ACA Extension. Description: Voters were inititally asked: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Voters were then provided with a hypothetical event where their representative voted against extending ACA subsidies, and then re-asked: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Initial generic congressional ballot — The Democrat: 47%, Don't know: 7%, The Republican: 46% Ballot if representative voted against ACA extension — The Democrat: 48%, Don't know: 9%, The Republican: 44% December 5-9, 2025 survey of 2,205 likely voters in: AZ-06, CA-22, PA-07, VA-02, WI-03.
December 17, 2025 at 2:45 PM
dataforprogress.org
An overwhelming majority of voters (86%) say it is important that actions taken by the U.S. in international waters comply with international law and treaty agreements.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/12...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: An Overwhelming Majority of Voters Think the U.S. Military Should Comply With International Law. Description: How important is it to you that the U.S. government demonstrates that any actions taken in international waters comply with international law and treaty agreements? All likely voters — Important: 86%, Not important: 14% Democrat — Important: 88%, Not important: 12% Independent / Third party — Important: 83%, Not important: 17% Republican — Important: 86%, Not important: 14% December 5–9, 2025 survey of 1,165 U.S. likely voters.
December 15, 2025 at 8:07 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: By a -10-point margin, voters do not believe the boat strikes in the Caribbean are an effective way to reduce drug trafficking.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/12...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Do Not Think Strikes Are an Effective Way to Reduce Drug Trafficking. Description: The U.S. military is actively striking boats in the Caribbean Sea that are believed to be carrying alleged drug traffickers. Do you believe these military strikes will effectively reduce drug trafficking into the U.S.? Response Options: A) Yes, this is an effective strategy to reduce drug trafficking into the U.S. B) Don't know C) No, this is not an effective strategy to reduce drug trafficking into the U.S. All likely voters — 42% chose A, 7% chose B, 52% chose C Democrat — 18% chose A, 4% chose B, 77% chose C Independent / Third party — 33% chose A, 9% chose B, 58% chose C Republican — 70% chose A, 7% chose B, 23% chose C December 5–9, 2025 survey of 1,165 U.S. likely voters.
December 15, 2025 at 3:55 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters think that Trump will try to restrict various types of speech.

But in each case, a minority of voters actually want that speech to be restricted.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think Trump Will Try to Restrict Various Types of Speech, but Do Not Personally Support It. Trump will try to restrict — 59% Personally support restricting — 26% Trump will try to restrict — 55% Personally support restricting — 19% Trump will try to restrict — 53% Personally support restricting — 24% Trump will try to restrict — 53% Personally support restricting — 40% Trump will try to restrict — 52% Personally support restricting — 18% Trump will try to restrict — 52% Personally support restricting — 27% Trump will try to restrict — 49% Personally support restricting — 24% Trump will try to restrict — 43% Personally support restricting — 27% November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,224 U.S. likely voters.
December 11, 2025 at 7:51 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Today, the Senate is set to vote on extending the Affordable Care Act's premium tax credits

Although the vote is expected to fail, 69% of voters support extending these tax credits.

www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Strongly Support Extending ACA Tax Credits. Description: Do you support or oppose each of the following policies that lawmakers in Congress are considering? — Extending the Affordable Care Act's premium tax credits for low-income and middle-income Americans All likely voters — Support: 70%, Oppose: 22% Democrat — Support: 89%, Oppose: 8% Independent / Third party — Support: 68%, Oppose: 19% Republican — Support: 51%, Oppose: 38% December 5–9, 2025 survey of 1,165 U.S. likely voters.
December 11, 2025 at 4:27 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A plurality of voters view the Republican Party as more extreme than the Democratic Party — including Independents by a +20-point margin.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think the Republican Party Is More Extreme Than the Democratic Party. Description: Which party do you think is more extreme in their views? All likely voters — Republican Party: 46%, Democratic Party: 39% Democrat — Republican Party: 71%, Democratic Party: 17% Independent / Third party — Republican Party: 48%, Democratic Party: 28% Republican — Republican Party: 21%, Democratic Party: 66% November 26–30, 2025 survey of 1,256 U.S. likely voters.
December 3, 2025 at 5:11 PM
dataforprogress.org
We work tirelessly to deliver accurate polling data that builds the progressive movement and lays out a clear, inspiring vision for our country's future.

We'd be *extremely* grateful if you could support us this Giving Tuesday.

Support us today:
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dataforprogress.org Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · Nov 26
NEW: A majority of voters (63%) support a Medicare for All system that would:

- Eliminate most private insurance plans
- Replace premiums with higher taxes
- Guarantee health coverage for everyone
- Eliminate most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support Medicare for All, Even After Hearing It Would Eliminate Most Private Insurance and Raise Taxes. Description: Some proposals for Medicare for All would eliminate most private insurance plans and replace premiums with higher taxes, while guaranteeing health coverage for everyone and eliminating most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles. Knowing this, do you support or oppose "Medicare for All"? All likely voters — Support: 63%, Oppose: 29% Democrat — Support: 78%, Oppose: 14% Independent / Third party — Support: 64%, Oppose: 24% Republican — Support: 47%, Oppose: 46% November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,207 U.S. likely voters.
December 2, 2025 at 7:09 PM
dataforprogress.org
Had a delayed flight over the holidays?

This year, the Trump administration withdrew a plan to require compensation for delays caused by the airline.

But 85% of voters think passengers should receive refunds for these delays.

www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think Passengers Should Be Entitled to Refunds if the Airline Causes Delays. Description: If a flight is significantly delayed due to circumstances within the airline's control — such as maintenance problems, cabin cleaning, or baggage loading — should the airline be required to provide passengers with a partial refund? Response Options: A) Yes, the airline should be required to provide passengers with a partial refund B) Don't know C) No, the airline should not be required to provide passengers with a partial refund All likely voters — 85% chose A, 3% chose B, 12% chose C Democrat — 88% chose A, 3% chose B, 9% chose C Independent / Third party — 84% chose A, 2% chose B, 14% chose C Republican — 83% chose A, 3% chose B, 15% chose C November 26–30, 2025 survey of 1,256 U.S. likely voters.
December 1, 2025 at 6:39 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters (63%) support a Medicare for All system that would:

- Eliminate most private insurance plans
- Replace premiums with higher taxes
- Guarantee health coverage for everyone
- Eliminate most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support Medicare for All, Even After Hearing It Would Eliminate Most Private Insurance and Raise Taxes. Description: Some proposals for Medicare for All would eliminate most private insurance plans and replace premiums with higher taxes, while guaranteeing health coverage for everyone and eliminating most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles. Knowing this, do you support or oppose "Medicare for All"? All likely voters — Support: 63%, Oppose: 29% Democrat — Support: 78%, Oppose: 14% Independent / Third party — Support: 64%, Oppose: 24% Republican — Support: 47%, Oppose: 46% November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,207 U.S. likely voters.
November 26, 2025 at 8:12 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters oppose giving the federal government authority over AI regulation and withholding funding from states that attempt to regulate AI.

www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Would Oppose the Federal Government Taking Control of AI Regulation. Description: As you may know, some federal lawmakers are considering a national policy that would give the federal government authority over artificial intelligence (AI) rules nationwide. Under this policy, the federal government could withhold federal funding from any states that attempt to regulate AI, and could challenge these state laws in court. Which of the following comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Key: a = I would support this policy if it were issued b = Don’t know c = I would oppose this policy if it were issued Results: All likely voters — a: 35%, b: 14%, c: 51% Democrat — a: 25%, b: 18%, c: 58% Independent / Third party — a: 30%, b: 9%, c: 61% Republican — a: 47%, b: 13%, c: 40% Survey conducted November 21–25, 2025 among 616 U.S. likely voters.
November 25, 2025 at 8:37 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A strong majority (65%) of voters prefer that the United States takes ambitious action on climate change, even if other countries do not.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Strong Majority of Voters Think the U.S. Should Take Ambitious Action on Climate Change. Description: Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Response Options: A) The United States should take ambitious action to address climate change, even if other countries do not. We should lead the world on this issue and set the example for other countries to follow suit. B) Don't know C) If other countries do not take action to address climate change, the United States should not either. It is not fair for us to act while other countries contributing to the problem are sitting still. All likely voters — 65% chose A, 10% chose B, 25% chose C Democrat — 85% chose A, 6% chose B, 9% chose C Independent / Third party — 63% chose A, 11% chose B, 26% chose C Republican — 47% chose A, 12% chose B, 41% chose C November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,224 U.S. likely voters.
November 21, 2025 at 3:51 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW IL-09 poll with the Justice Coalition Action: Daniel Biss and Kat Abughazaleh are tied for first in the Democratic primary with 18% of the vote.

Laura Fine trails in third with 10%, and all other candidates receive 6% or less of the vote.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Current State of the IL-09 Democratic Primary. Description: If the March 2026 Democratic primary election for the U.S. House of Representatives was held tomorrow, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for? Daniel Biss — 18% Kat Abughazaleh — 18% Laura Fine — 10% Mike Simmons — 6% Another candidate — 6% Bushra Amiwala — 6% Hoan Huynh — 5% Not sure — 31% October 29-November 3, 2025 survey of 569 likely Democratic primary voters in IL-09.
November 20, 2025 at 9:03 PM