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Data for Progress
@dataforprogress.org
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Data movements trust. Progressive policy and polling organization.

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Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · Oct 30
We are thrilled to announce that @rodonnell.bsky.social has been named the next executive director of Data for Progress!

Ryan is an expert in survey methodology with a long history in progressive and union politics — he has worked with DFP since 2019 to shape our electoral polling.
dataforprogress.org
NEW with @careinaction.bsky.social:

In Republican-held swing districts, a generic Democrat performs better once voters learn that their representative voted against extending ACA subsidies.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/12...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Generic Democrat Increases Advantage in Republican-Held Swing Districts if Incumbent Votes Against ACA Extension. Description: Voters were inititally asked: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Voters were then provided with a hypothetical event where their representative voted against extending ACA subsidies, and then re-asked: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Initial generic congressional ballot — The Democrat: 47%, Don't know: 7%, The Republican: 46% Ballot if representative voted against ACA extension — The Democrat: 48%, Don't know: 9%, The Republican: 44% December 5-9, 2025 survey of 2,205 likely voters in: AZ-06, CA-22, PA-07, VA-02, WI-03.
December 17, 2025 at 2:45 PM
dataforprogress.org
An overwhelming majority of voters (86%) say it is important that actions taken by the U.S. in international waters comply with international law and treaty agreements.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/12...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: An Overwhelming Majority of Voters Think the U.S. Military Should Comply With International Law. Description: How important is it to you that the U.S. government demonstrates that any actions taken in international waters comply with international law and treaty agreements? All likely voters — Important: 86%, Not important: 14% Democrat — Important: 88%, Not important: 12% Independent / Third party — Important: 83%, Not important: 17% Republican — Important: 86%, Not important: 14% December 5–9, 2025 survey of 1,165 U.S. likely voters.
December 15, 2025 at 8:07 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: By a -10-point margin, voters do not believe the boat strikes in the Caribbean are an effective way to reduce drug trafficking.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/12...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Do Not Think Strikes Are an Effective Way to Reduce Drug Trafficking. Description: The U.S. military is actively striking boats in the Caribbean Sea that are believed to be carrying alleged drug traffickers. Do you believe these military strikes will effectively reduce drug trafficking into the U.S.? Response Options: A) Yes, this is an effective strategy to reduce drug trafficking into the U.S. B) Don't know C) No, this is not an effective strategy to reduce drug trafficking into the U.S. All likely voters — 42% chose A, 7% chose B, 52% chose C Democrat — 18% chose A, 4% chose B, 77% chose C Independent / Third party — 33% chose A, 9% chose B, 58% chose C Republican — 70% chose A, 7% chose B, 23% chose C December 5–9, 2025 survey of 1,165 U.S. likely voters.
December 15, 2025 at 3:55 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters think that Trump will try to restrict various types of speech.

But in each case, a minority of voters actually want that speech to be restricted.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think Trump Will Try to Restrict Various Types of Speech, but Do Not Personally Support It. Trump will try to restrict — 59% Personally support restricting — 26% Trump will try to restrict — 55% Personally support restricting — 19% Trump will try to restrict — 53% Personally support restricting — 24% Trump will try to restrict — 53% Personally support restricting — 40% Trump will try to restrict — 52% Personally support restricting — 18% Trump will try to restrict — 52% Personally support restricting — 27% Trump will try to restrict — 49% Personally support restricting — 24% Trump will try to restrict — 43% Personally support restricting — 27% November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,224 U.S. likely voters.
December 11, 2025 at 7:51 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Today, the Senate is set to vote on extending the Affordable Care Act's premium tax credits

Although the vote is expected to fail, 69% of voters support extending these tax credits.

www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Strongly Support Extending ACA Tax Credits. Description: Do you support or oppose each of the following policies that lawmakers in Congress are considering? — Extending the Affordable Care Act's premium tax credits for low-income and middle-income Americans All likely voters — Support: 70%, Oppose: 22% Democrat — Support: 89%, Oppose: 8% Independent / Third party — Support: 68%, Oppose: 19% Republican — Support: 51%, Oppose: 38% December 5–9, 2025 survey of 1,165 U.S. likely voters.
December 11, 2025 at 4:27 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A plurality of voters view the Republican Party as more extreme than the Democratic Party — including Independents by a +20-point margin.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think the Republican Party Is More Extreme Than the Democratic Party. Description: Which party do you think is more extreme in their views? All likely voters — Republican Party: 46%, Democratic Party: 39% Democrat — Republican Party: 71%, Democratic Party: 17% Independent / Third party — Republican Party: 48%, Democratic Party: 28% Republican — Republican Party: 21%, Democratic Party: 66% November 26–30, 2025 survey of 1,256 U.S. likely voters.
December 3, 2025 at 5:11 PM
dataforprogress.org
We work tirelessly to deliver accurate polling data that builds the progressive movement and lays out a clear, inspiring vision for our country's future.

We'd be *extremely* grateful if you could support us this Giving Tuesday.

Support us today:
secure.actblue.com/donate/data-...
dataforprogress.org Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · Nov 26
NEW: A majority of voters (63%) support a Medicare for All system that would:

- Eliminate most private insurance plans
- Replace premiums with higher taxes
- Guarantee health coverage for everyone
- Eliminate most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support Medicare for All, Even After Hearing It Would Eliminate Most Private Insurance and Raise Taxes. Description: Some proposals for Medicare for All would eliminate most private insurance plans and replace premiums with higher taxes, while guaranteeing health coverage for everyone and eliminating most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles. Knowing this, do you support or oppose "Medicare for All"? All likely voters — Support: 63%, Oppose: 29% Democrat — Support: 78%, Oppose: 14% Independent / Third party — Support: 64%, Oppose: 24% Republican — Support: 47%, Oppose: 46% November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,207 U.S. likely voters.
December 2, 2025 at 7:09 PM
dataforprogress.org
Had a delayed flight over the holidays?

This year, the Trump administration withdrew a plan to require compensation for delays caused by the airline.

But 85% of voters think passengers should receive refunds for these delays.

www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Think Passengers Should Be Entitled to Refunds if the Airline Causes Delays. Description: If a flight is significantly delayed due to circumstances within the airline's control — such as maintenance problems, cabin cleaning, or baggage loading — should the airline be required to provide passengers with a partial refund? Response Options: A) Yes, the airline should be required to provide passengers with a partial refund B) Don't know C) No, the airline should not be required to provide passengers with a partial refund All likely voters — 85% chose A, 3% chose B, 12% chose C Democrat — 88% chose A, 3% chose B, 9% chose C Independent / Third party — 84% chose A, 2% chose B, 14% chose C Republican — 83% chose A, 3% chose B, 15% chose C November 26–30, 2025 survey of 1,256 U.S. likely voters.
December 1, 2025 at 6:39 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters (63%) support a Medicare for All system that would:

- Eliminate most private insurance plans
- Replace premiums with higher taxes
- Guarantee health coverage for everyone
- Eliminate most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support Medicare for All, Even After Hearing It Would Eliminate Most Private Insurance and Raise Taxes. Description: Some proposals for Medicare for All would eliminate most private insurance plans and replace premiums with higher taxes, while guaranteeing health coverage for everyone and eliminating most out-of-pocket costs like copays and deductibles. Knowing this, do you support or oppose "Medicare for All"? All likely voters — Support: 63%, Oppose: 29% Democrat — Support: 78%, Oppose: 14% Independent / Third party — Support: 64%, Oppose: 24% Republican — Support: 47%, Oppose: 46% November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,207 U.S. likely voters.
November 26, 2025 at 8:12 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A majority of voters oppose giving the federal government authority over AI regulation and withholding funding from states that attempt to regulate AI.

www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Would Oppose the Federal Government Taking Control of AI Regulation. Description: As you may know, some federal lawmakers are considering a national policy that would give the federal government authority over artificial intelligence (AI) rules nationwide. Under this policy, the federal government could withhold federal funding from any states that attempt to regulate AI, and could challenge these state laws in court. Which of the following comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Key: a = I would support this policy if it were issued b = Don’t know c = I would oppose this policy if it were issued Results: All likely voters — a: 35%, b: 14%, c: 51% Democrat — a: 25%, b: 18%, c: 58% Independent / Third party — a: 30%, b: 9%, c: 61% Republican — a: 47%, b: 13%, c: 40% Survey conducted November 21–25, 2025 among 616 U.S. likely voters.
November 25, 2025 at 8:37 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: A strong majority (65%) of voters prefer that the United States takes ambitious action on climate change, even if other countries do not.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Strong Majority of Voters Think the U.S. Should Take Ambitious Action on Climate Change. Description: Which statement comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Response Options: A) The United States should take ambitious action to address climate change, even if other countries do not. We should lead the world on this issue and set the example for other countries to follow suit. B) Don't know C) If other countries do not take action to address climate change, the United States should not either. It is not fair for us to act while other countries contributing to the problem are sitting still. All likely voters — 65% chose A, 10% chose B, 25% chose C Democrat — 85% chose A, 6% chose B, 9% chose C Independent / Third party — 63% chose A, 11% chose B, 26% chose C Republican — 47% chose A, 12% chose B, 41% chose C November 14–17, 2025 survey of 1,224 U.S. likely voters.
November 21, 2025 at 3:51 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW IL-09 poll with the Justice Coalition Action: Daniel Biss and Kat Abughazaleh are tied for first in the Democratic primary with 18% of the vote.

Laura Fine trails in third with 10%, and all other candidates receive 6% or less of the vote.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Current State of the IL-09 Democratic Primary. Description: If the March 2026 Democratic primary election for the U.S. House of Representatives was held tomorrow, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for? Daniel Biss — 18% Kat Abughazaleh — 18% Laura Fine — 10% Mike Simmons — 6% Another candidate — 6% Bushra Amiwala — 6% Hoan Huynh — 5% Not sure — 31% October 29-November 3, 2025 survey of 569 likely Democratic primary voters in IL-09.
November 20, 2025 at 9:03 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: The government shutdown improved perceptions of the Democratic Party among its own voters.

Democratic voters rated the party higher during the shutdown than after the last funding fight in March.

However, their ratings declined slightly once the shutdown ended.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Shutdown Temporarily Increased Base Voters' Perceptions of the Democratic Party. Description: Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents were asked how they would grade the Democratic Party on their handling of Donald Trump. Post-Shutdown (Nov 14–17, 2025): A: 12%, B: 21%, C: 36%, D: 18%, F: 12% → A or B: 33%, C/D/F: 66%, Net: –33 During Shutdown (Nov 5–6, 2025): A: 16%, B: 25%, C: 31%, D: 13%, F: 13% → A or B: 41%, C/D/F: 57%, Net: –16 Pre-Shutdown (Mar 21–24, 2025): A: 10%, B: 17%, C: 26%, D: 23%, F: 21% → A or B: 27%, C/D/F: 70%, Net: –43 Survey conducted among ~560 likely Democratic and Democratic-leaning Independent voters in each wave.
November 20, 2025 at 7:31 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW POLL: Voters agree that increased cryptocurrency uptake at the expense of traditional bank or credit union deposits will be harmful to local economies.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/11...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Bipartisan Majority of Voters Believe Increased Cryptocurrency Uptake Will Hurt Local Economies. Description: When thinking about more customers moving their deposits from banks or credit unions to cryptocurrency like stablecoin, which of the following statements comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Response Options: A) This will hurt local economies. It will limit credit availability (such as access to car, home, agricultural, or small business loans) in rural and underserved areas, because banks or credit unions rely on customer deposits to provide credit to the community. B) Don't know C) This will help local economies. It could create new ways for households and small businesses to borrow, save, and invest outside of traditional banking institutions through digital lending and decentralized finance. All likely voters — 65% chose A, 15% chose B, 20% chose C Democrat — 71% chose A, 13% chose B, 16% chose C Independent / Third party — 68% chose A, 14% chose B, 18% chose C Republican — 58% chose A, 17% chose B, 26% chose C October 24–27, 2025 survey of 1,235 U.S. likely voters.
November 20, 2025 at 2:17 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW HI-01 poll with @ourhawaii808.bsky.social and @indivisible.org:

Among likely Dem. primary voters, Rep. Ed Case leads against a generic opponent by 7 points, with 21% undecided.

While Case leads by 24 points against two named challengers, the race tightens if he faces only one opponent.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Ed Case Leads a Generic Democratic Opponent by 7 Points, With 21% Undecided. Description: If the August 2026 Democratic primary election for the U.S. House of Representatives was held tomorrow, would you be more likely to vote for Ed Case or another Democratic candidate? Ed Case — 43% Another Democratic candidate — 36% Don't know — 21% October 6–14, 2025 survey of 366 likely Democratic primary voters in HI-01.
November 17, 2025 at 9:24 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Voters support a variety of progressive immigration policies, including requiring officers to visibly display their identities and prohibiting the detainment of children in ICE facilities.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/11...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Support a Range of Progressive Immigration Policies. Description: Below are some policies around immigration enforcement. Please say to what extent you support or oppose these policies. Requiring federal agencies to swiftly report to Congress of any death of an individual in immigration enforcement custody — Support: 77%, Oppose: 14% Requiring immigration officers to visibly display their federal agencies though badges, uniforms, and clearly marked vehicles — Support: 75%, Oppose: 20% Prohibiting ICE from representing themselves as local police officers or other officials — Support: 66%, Oppose: 24% Preventing ICE from detaining, arresting, or transporting U.S. citizens outside the country — Support: 66%, Oppose: 25% Requiring the President to consult with Congress when invoking the Insurrection Act and allowing for civil action if the power is misused — Support: 65%, Oppose: 25% Requiring immigrant enforcement agencies to admit Members of Congress into facilities for unannounced inspections — Support: 63%, Oppose: 25% Requiring ICE to visibly display their identities, including their faces, during detentions and arrests — Support: 65%, Oppose: 28% Prohibiting the detainment of children in immigration facilities — Support: 63%, Oppose: 29% Prohibiting immigration enforcement actions at sensitive locations such as schools, hospitals, places of worship, or public demonstrations — Support: 63%, Oppose: 31% Phasing out the use of private detention facilities and jails — Support: 52%, Oppose: 34% Prohibiting National Guard from being used for immigration enforcement purposes — Support: 55%, Oppose: 38% October 22–23, 2025 survey of 1,215 U.S. likely voters.
November 12, 2025 at 8:25 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW from @deluzio.house.gov:

It’s not just the rent that’s too damn high — it’s everything.

The American Dream isn’t real for a lot of hardworking people; it’s been ripped away.

Democrats must make the patriotic fight to restore the American Dream the beating heart of our party.
Representative Chris Deluzio: We Need a New Vision of Politics to Restore the American Dream
November 10, 2025 at 6:32 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: After being provided with information on the government shutdown dynamic in Congress, a majority of voters (52%), including 61% of Independents, think Democrats should continue to push for negotiations to prevent health care price hikes.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: A Majority of Voters Say Democrats Should Continue Pushing for Health Care Negotiations. Description: Republican leaders in Congress have said they will allow a vote on the Democratic proposal to prevent health care price hikes, but only after the government is reopened. Democrats say that a vote on preventing health care price hikes, if taken after the government is reopened, will fail. Which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Statement 1: Democrats in Congress should continue to push for negotiations to prevent health care price hikes, even though the government shutdown will continue. Statement 2: Democrats in Congress should accept the Republican leaders' offer, even though the vote on preventing health care price hikes will likely fail if taken after the government is reopened All likely voters — Statement 1: 52%, Don't know: 6%, Statement 2: 42% Democrat — Statement 1: 83%, Don't know: 4%, Statement 2: 12% Independent / Third party — Statement 1: 61%, Don't know: 8%, Statement 2: 31% Republican — Statement 1: 19%, Don't know: 6%, Statement 2: 75% November 5, 2025 survey of 1,236 U.S. likely voters.
November 7, 2025 at 7:39 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Voters have a highly favorable view of SNAP, including 71% of Independents and 69% of Republicans.

Voters trust the Democratic Party (51%) more than the Republican Party (43%) to handle SNAP.

www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/11...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Have a Highly Favorable View of SNAP. Description: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, also known as SNAP or food stamps? All likely voters — Favorable: 79%, Unfavorable: 16% Democrat — Favorable: 92%, Unfavorable: 6% Independent / Third party — Favorable: 71%, Unfavorable: 19% Republican — Favorable: 69%, Unfavorable: 24% October 31–November 3, 2025 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.
November 6, 2025 at 7:06 PM
Reposted by Data for Progress
rodonnell.bsky.social
zohran's election wasn't just a quirk of NYC — his policies are popular nationwide. voters want to see moral conviction and concrete plans to lower costs
dataforprogress.org Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · Nov 5
NEW DFP Insight:

Voters everywhere respond when a candidate connects economic populism to clear, actionable goals.

Zohran Mamdani's policies are key examples — and they have popular appeal nationwide.

www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Nationwide Support Key Planks of Zohran Mamdani's Platform. Description: Do you support or oppose each of the following policy proposals? Speeding up the approval process to build affordable housing — Support: 83%, Oppose: 12% Penalizing landlords who significantly increase rent or violate tenant protections — Support: 82%, Oppose: 12% Cutting fines and fees for small businesses — Support: 70%, Oppose: 15% Adding a 2 percent tax on income over $1 million — Support: 72%, Oppose: 18% Raising taxes on corporations — Support: 72%, Oppose: 19% Creating new violence de-escalation programs and mental health teams to respond to certain 911 calls instead of the police — Support: 71%, Oppose: 19% Spending funds to provide free child care for every child from infancy through age 3 — Support: 65%, Oppose: 25% October 31–November 3, 2025 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.
November 5, 2025 at 8:45 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW DFP Insight:

Voters everywhere respond when a candidate connects economic populism to clear, actionable goals.

Zohran Mamdani's policies are key examples — and they have popular appeal nationwide.

www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Nationwide Support Key Planks of Zohran Mamdani's Platform. Description: Do you support or oppose each of the following policy proposals? Speeding up the approval process to build affordable housing — Support: 83%, Oppose: 12% Penalizing landlords who significantly increase rent or violate tenant protections — Support: 82%, Oppose: 12% Cutting fines and fees for small businesses — Support: 70%, Oppose: 15% Adding a 2 percent tax on income over $1 million — Support: 72%, Oppose: 18% Raising taxes on corporations — Support: 72%, Oppose: 19% Creating new violence de-escalation programs and mental health teams to respond to certain 911 calls instead of the police — Support: 71%, Oppose: 19% Spending funds to provide free child care for every child from infancy through age 3 — Support: 65%, Oppose: 25% October 31–November 3, 2025 survey of 1,228 U.S. likely voters.
November 5, 2025 at 8:16 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW AK POLL:

We find that Mary Peltola leads Sen. Sullivan by one point in a hypothetical Senate race.

If she were to run for governor, we find Peltola in a commanding lead, leading the next Republican candidate by 31 points in the first round of ranked choice voting.
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Peltola and Sullivan Neck and Neck in Hypothetical 2026 Senate Matchup. Description: If the November 2026 general election for U.S. Senator from Alaska was being held tomorrow, and these were the candidates, who would you rank higher? Democrat Mary Peltola — 46% Republican Dan Sullivan — 45% I would rank neither — 5% Not sure — 4% October 17–23, 2025 survey of 823 AK likely voters.
November 3, 2025 at 6:16 PM
dataforprogress.org
NEW: Energy prices are straining Americans.

But voters like renewable energy, view wind and solar as the cheapest forms of energy, and don't blame renewables for high prices.

That gives Democrats the high ground to go on offense on energy prices.

Read our new DFP Insight: ⤵️
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Most Blame Utility Companies for Higher Electric Utility Bills. Description: Who or what do you think is most responsible for higher electric utility bills? Utility companies increasing profits — 38% Increased energy demand from new industries (like AI) — 14% Extreme weather events causing higher energy demand — 11% Aging or inadequate energy infrastructure — 10% Foreign conflicts limiting energy supply — 9% Increased reliance on fossil fuels — 8% Increased reliance on wind and solar energy — 5% Something else [please specify] — 5% September 19–22, 2025 survey of 1,361 U.S. likely voters.
October 31, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Reposted by Data for Progress
rodonnell.bsky.social
I’m deeply honored to lead Data for Progress into our next chapter.

The point of our research is not to determine what our values should be, but how to fight for our values most effectively.

Excited to keep working with our amazing, dedicated team to sharpen our strategy.
dataforprogress.org Data for Progress @dataforprogress.org · Oct 30
We are thrilled to announce that @rodonnell.bsky.social has been named the next executive director of Data for Progress!

Ryan is an expert in survey methodology with a long history in progressive and union politics — he has worked with DFP since 2019 to shape our electoral polling.
October 30, 2025 at 3:15 PM
dataforprogress.org
We are thrilled to announce that @rodonnell.bsky.social has been named the next executive director of Data for Progress!

Ryan is an expert in survey methodology with a long history in progressive and union politics — he has worked with DFP since 2019 to shape our electoral polling.
October 30, 2025 at 3:01 PM