Joey Schnaubelt
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jschnaubelt.bsky.social
Joey Schnaubelt
@jschnaubelt.bsky.social
Paleoclimate, climate modeling, atmospheric rivers, the Last Interglacial, ice sheets, grad student at UConn. He/him. 🏃🚴🧗
Pinned
Our paper is out today in @aguadvances.bsky.social 🥳! My coauthors and I use a simulation spanning the Last Interglacial (~130,000 - ~115,000 years ago) to show how changes in Earth's orbit impact atmospheric river behavior and the ensuing impacts on the Greenland ice sheet. 🧪🥼⚒️❄️

🧵
Atmospheric River Impacts on the Greenland Ice Sheet Through the Last Interglacial
Atmospheric rivers are dynamically coupled to orbit through latitudinal shifts in wind belts and seasonal shifts in moisture availability High latitude moisture controls the frequency, intensity,...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Nature research paper: Climate change shifts the North Pacific storm track polewards

go.nature.com/4jy48Vh
Climate change shifts the North Pacific storm track polewards - Nature
An observation-based storm-track proxy shows that the winter North Pacific storm track has shifted substantially polewards, suggesting regional impacts on precipitation and warming patterns, with implications for temperature variability and extreme events.
go.nature.com
January 9, 2026 at 11:56 AM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Martin Peterson's creative response to being banned from teaching Plato (shared with his permission).
January 8, 2026 at 5:38 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
New paper out in @natgeosci.nature.com in which we combined marine sediment core analysis with models to show spatial differences in how #Antarctica responded to warmer #climate during the Pliocene:
phys.org/news/2026-01...
Ancient Antarctica reveals a 'one–two punch' behind ice sheet collapse
When we think of global warming, what first comes to mind is the air: crushing heat waves that are felt rather than seen, except through the haziness of humid air. But when it comes to melting ice she...
phys.org
January 7, 2026 at 6:30 AM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
trying my best with my words and actions. Latest piece. Trump is nuts...

theconversation.com/greenlands-m...

❄️🧪💙📚
#scicomm
#climate
#UVMresearch
#science
January 7, 2026 at 5:03 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Excited to share our new paper (w/ @aakashsane.bsky.social @baylorfk.bsky.social) where we used the CESM-LME and information theory to understand Pacific decadal variability! 🌊
link.springer.com/epdf/10.1007...
Understanding the characteristics and drivers of Pacific decadal variability in the Community Earth System Model Last Millennium Ensemble
link.springer.com
January 6, 2026 at 4:11 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Published today: Importance of beginning industrial-era climate simulations in the eighteenth century

Defining pre-industrial to be 1750, rather than 1850, produces different (simulated) historical climate changes after 1850. Pre-1850 volcanoes & land use matter.

iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
January 6, 2026 at 4:30 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
West Antarctic Ice Sheet glaciers underwent at least five major inland retreats during the Pliocene—a period with temperatures similar to projected future warming—suggesting the possibility of meter-scale global sea-level rise in our future. In PNAS: https://ow.ly/I6NZ50XRaap
January 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Thrilled to share our new paper in GRL investigating future changes to Indonesias Seas currents using a high resolution climate model (CESM-HR)!

doi.org/10.1029/2025...
Remote and Regional Drivers of the Indonesian Throughflow Under Future Warming: Implications for Inter‐Basin Freshwater Transport
Under future warming, Pacific wind changes reduce Indonesian Throughflow surface transport through the Halmahera Sea Future Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation decline induces oceanic adj...
doi.org
January 3, 2026 at 4:28 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
The last day of 2025. An unsettling year, especially for science, medicine, universities, human rights, democracy...

But in The Rise and Fall of the Dinosaurs, I wrote this passage. Things can be bad, but things have always gotten better.

Best wishes for a better 2026!
December 31, 2025 at 8:28 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Parker et al provide a revised model of the ice sheet margin retreat of the Ross Sea sector of Antarctica. They show there was a rapid retreat of ice shelf between about 6900 and 5400 years ago. doi.org/10.1038/s414...
Synchronous mid-Holocene marine and terrestrial deglaciation in the Ross Sea, Antarctica - Nature Communications
Methods used to date a network of marine sediment cores reveal that rapid retreat of the Ross Ice Shelf was contemporaneous with the lowering of nearby outlet glaciers, implicating warm ocean waters a...
doi.org
December 24, 2025 at 3:32 AM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Repeated major inland retreat of Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers (West Antarctica) during the Pliocene | PNAS www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
www.pnas.org
December 22, 2025 at 10:23 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
If you’re interested in why the #Antarctic overturning circulation is very likely closer to a tipping point than the #AMOC, I touch on the topic in this 10 minute talk presented virtually today at #COP30. Starts at approx. 20 min mark.
Antarctic science at COP30 🌍❄️

A panel of Australian scientists, including ACEAS Deputy Director @profmattengland.bsky.social (UNSW), today shared insights about abrupt changes unfolding across the #Antarctic environment at the #COP30 Cryosphere Pavilion.

Watch now: www.youtube.com/live/YjYkKvw...
Policy Briefing: Emerging Evidence of Abrupt Changes in the Antarctic Environment
YouTube video by International Cryosphere Climate Initiative
www.youtube.com
November 18, 2025 at 5:22 AM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Please raise your voice to oppose dismantling the National Center for Atmospheric Research. NCAR provides essential support for university science, including the training of the next generation of atmospheric scientists to predict weather and climate.
December 20, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
From @AGU.org: Senators are working on legislation to save NCAR, but we need extra support for these 8 states. Your Senators in Alabama, Alaska, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Texas, and Wyoming need to hear from you.
December 20, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Read this from Ben Santer (very famous climate scientist for those who don’t know) about what NCAR means and what dismantling it will do.
Threatening NCAR, Trump administration seeks to extinguish a beacon of climate science
The Trump administration’s world view is that the US doesn’t need a climate science brain trust because it doesn’t like what the brains say.
thebulletin.org
December 20, 2025 at 4:03 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
New AMS Statement: Dismantling NSF’s National Center for Atmospheric Research would weaken U.S. leadership in weather, water, and climate science, putting public safety at risk.

For more than 60 years, NSF NCAR has improved forecasts and early warnings that save lives. More: https://bit.ly/4q6eChn
December 19, 2025 at 10:54 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Scientist at #AGU25 are speaking out to #SaveNCAR. Join more than 2000 of your colleagues to call or email your members of Congress to ask them to support NCAR today: agu.quorum.us/campaign/151...
December 18, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
The Trump Administration's plan to dismantle the @ncar-ucar.bsky.social is senseless & dangerous.

It would weaken weather forecasting, climate research, & the science that keeps people safe.

We urge that this plan be abandoned.

Call Congress to #SaveNCAR today. buff.ly/7ka1BQA
Save NCAR from being dismantled today!
The Trump Administration has vowed to dissolve the center that provides critical extreme weather and climate data for our nation.
buff.ly
December 17, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
AGU has a Congressional email and call script up on NCAR:
Save NCAR from being dismantled today!
The Trump Administration has vowed to dissolve the center that provides critical extreme weather and climate data for our nation.
agu.quorum.us
December 17, 2025 at 7:33 PM
This is awful. Our lab’s work would not be possible without the help of NCAR scientists. Beyond their own work, NCAR provides crucial support and education for university researchers. This would be a huge loss, especially for ECRs.
Exclusive: The Trump administration is moving to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, according to a senior White House official, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
Trump moves to dismantle major US climate research center in Colorado
The Trump administration is breaking up the National Center for Atmospheric Research, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
bit.ly
December 17, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
NCAR is a unique & valuable asset - far more than a climate model, or observations, or technology, or training ground, or gathering space. It covers weather, space weather, data, climate, paleo-climate, and everything in-between. It's building is an icon, but it's iconic status goes far beyond that.
December 17, 2025 at 12:21 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
On Thursday, I’m giving an invited talk #AGU25. We know a lot about how ice ages end, much less about how they start. Come for new data on AMOC, an analogy involving butterflies, and a reference to “2001, A Space Odyssey”
December 16, 2025 at 5:02 AM
If you’re attending #AGU25 and like paleoclimate come see my talks tomorrow!
1) Atmospheric River Impacts on the Greenland Ice Sheet through the Last Interglacial (A12D-04; 271 at 11:05 AM)
2) Southern Ocean response to a rapid retreat of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (PP14A-02; 214 at 4:25 PM)
December 15, 2025 at 1:55 AM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Find me at #AGU25 this week & have a chance to win $100 through Cryosphere BINGO!

I’m giving a talk Tuesday 11am in C22B ice cores session & will be at many Cryo sessions/posters through Thursday morning! @agucryo.bsky.social @agu.org

🙏 @glacierdoc.bsky.social for posting & reminding me…
December 14, 2025 at 4:53 PM
Reposted by Joey Schnaubelt
Announcing the @agu.org Chapman Conference on Updating Usable Projections of Future Sea Level, this June in Montreal - abstract deadline 11 February
Updating Usable Projections of Future Sea Level | AGU Chapman Conference
A conference for scientists interested in guiding the next generation of integrated sea-level rise projections, as well as users who apply integrated sea-level rise projections to support decision-mak...
www.agu.org
December 12, 2025 at 5:54 PM